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CSKA Moscow vs Barcelona Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 27 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 15:00
Postponed
Position#6
Record14-10
FormWLLWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#1
Record20-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game75.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 19
European cup2021
Meetings · CSKA Moscow v Barcelona
27 Feb 2022
CMO v BAR
upcoming
15 Jan 2021
CMO75
BAR88
11 Oct 2018
CMO95
BAR75
01 Dec 2017
CMO92
BAR78
16 Dec 2016
CMO92
BAR76
14 Jan 2016
CMO93
BAR82
12 Dec 2013
CMO79
BAR65
12 May 2013
CMO74
BAR73
08 Nov 2012
CMO60
BAR81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSKA Moscow win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Barcelona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMoscow
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
68-81
68
81
-13
62avg 78
A17/01
VTB United League
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
57-67
57
67
-10
42avg 78
H21/01
Euroleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#9
W
104-62
104
62
+42
102avg 78
H24/01
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#9
W
86-75
86
75
+11
78avg 78
A28/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#7
L
97-99 OT
97
99
-2
no box
H02/02
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#14
W
91-72
91
72
+19
90avg 78
H04/02
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#3
L
103-105 OT
103
105
-2
no box
H07/02
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
75-84
75
84
-9
70avg 78
A10/02
Euroleague
Astana
#12
W
84-65
84
65
+19
85avg 78
H13/02
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
91-71
91
71
+20
no box
H18/02
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
14-21
18-23
15-16
10-23
25-17
11-15
11-12
26-19
31-15
27-18
20-10
16-20
21-12
27-25
22-18
16-23
25-21
23-13
22-29
22-15
28-22
19-19
22-16
13-26
28-16
20-18
16-17
17-23
11-26
18-18
29-17
18-14
26-16
18-19
22-16
22-17
32-34
22-8
15-12
163.7Avg total
85.6Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)80.879.0159.8+1.858%
Season at home (12)81.279.1160.3+2.267%
Season away (12)80.478.9159.3+1.550%
Last 10 (10)85.678.1163.7+7.550%
Last 5 (5)88.879.4168.2+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)76.382.5158.8-6.221%
vs Weaker (16)87.271.1158.2+16.188%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
W
85-75
85
75
+10
77avg 78
A23/01
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
84-71
84
71
+13
80avg 78
H27/01
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#4
W
99-84
99
84
+15
97avg 78
H30/01
ACB
Bayern
#11
W
71-66
71
66
+5
68avg 78
H01/02
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
86-60
86
60
+26
94avg 78
H03/02
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
83-67
83
67
+16
80avg 78
H06/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
86-68
86
68
+18
no box
A11/02
Euroleague
Manresa
#8
W
107-70
107
70
+37
no box
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Murcia
#3
W
103-90
103
90
+13
no box
A19/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#2
W
64-59
64
59
+5
no box
A20/02
Spanish Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
24-16
21-14
22-21
28-17
17-13
23-20
16-21
24-13
16-22
26-21
33-28
9-9
19-20
17-12
26-25
17-15
28-10
18-17
23-18
19-19
18-15
20-16
26-17
28-8
24-23
19-24
15-13
22-26
30-16
36-11
19-17
32-16
23-33
18-23
30-18
5-19
13-10
23-17
23-13
157.8Avg total
86.8Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)82.875.0157.7+7.880%
Season at home (13)86.873.2160.0+13.792%
Season away (12)78.376.9155.2+1.467%
Last 10 (10)86.871.0157.8+15.8100%
Last 5 (5)88.670.8159.4+17.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)86.177.4163.6+8.789%
vs Weaker (20)82.575.4157.9+7.070%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +4.2+4.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +4.2+4.2
CSKA MoscowBarcelona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A17/01
VTB United League
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H21/01
Euroleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#9
W
57-34
57
34
+23
H24/01
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#9
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A28/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#7
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H02/02
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#14
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H04/02
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#3
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H07/02
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A10/02
Euroleague
Astana
#12
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H13/02
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H18/02
VTB United League
82.3Avg total
42.2Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.338.680.0+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.540.784.3+2.853%-
Last 30 away (15)39.136.575.7+2.660%-
Last 10 (10)42.240.182.3+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.441.885.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)36.840.677.4-3.936%-
vs Weaker (16)45.336.982.2+8.475%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A23/01
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H27/01
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#4
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H30/01
ACB
Bayern
#11
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H01/02
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H03/02
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H06/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
52-31
52
31
+21
A11/02
Euroleague
Manresa
#8
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Murcia
#3
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A19/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#2
L
18-29
18
29
-11
A20/02
Spanish Cup
75.8Avg total
41.4Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.636.275.8+3.567%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.635.877.3+5.869%-
Last 30 away (14)37.436.674.1+0.864%-
Last 10 (10)41.434.475.8+7.080%-
Last 5 (5)42.837.079.8+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.236.177.3+5.178%-
vs Weaker (20)38.335.974.2+2.460%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.418.4
53.5%
52.4%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.710.9
38.0%
35.6%32.7
🏀 Free throws17.514.3
81.7%
77.2%14.3
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.319.3
53.2%
52.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.99.5
43.4%
35.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.013.6
80.0%
77.2%13.6
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Feb 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSKA Moscow
WWLLWLWWLL
Barcelona
WWWWWWWWWW
#6
League position
#1
+16.1
Net rating
+14.7
116.4
Offensive rating
114.1
100.3
Defensive rating
99.4
55.1%
Effective FG%
57.6%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
46.4%
17.0%
Turnover %
18.1%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.0%
3-point %
43.4%
69.6%
Assist %
58.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence116.4 · 114.1Defence100.3 · 99.4Shooting55.1% · 57.6%3-point %38.0% · 43.4%Ball care17.0% · 18.1%Off. rebounds32.2% · 28.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 100%
■ CSKA Moscow   ■ Barcelona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
CSKA Moscow wins
5
Barcelona wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/22HLokomotiv Kuban91-71
13/02/22HAstana84-65
10/02/22AMaccabi Tel Aviv75-84
07/02/22HUnics Kazan103-105 OT
04/02/22HAlba Berlin91-72
02/02/22HAnadolu Efes97-99 OT
28/01/22AUnics Kazan86-75
24/01/22HBC Kalev/Cramo104-62
21/01/22HOlimpia Milano57-67
17/01/22AZenit Petersburg68-81
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/22AReal Madrid64-59
19/02/22AMurcia103-90
18/02/22HManresa107-70
11/02/22AReal Madrid86-68
06/02/22HObradoiro CAB83-67
03/02/22HPanathinaikos86-60
01/02/22HBayern71-66
30/01/22HJoventut Badalona99-84
27/01/22HLyon-Villeurbanne84-71
23/01/22AReal Madrid85-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL58%
HomeLWLLW67%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game80.881.280.4
Allowed / game79.079.178.9
Point differential+1.8+2.2+1.5
Avg total159.8160.3159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Barcelona
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeLWWWW92%
AwayWWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %80%92%67%
Points / game82.886.878.3
Allowed / game75.073.276.9
Point differential+7.8+13.7+1.4
Avg total157.7160.0155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%54%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)80% (5)80% (5)
Overtime %16%15%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2520580%82.875.0+7.8
2 Real Madrid2620677%78.072.0+6.0
3 Olimpia Milano2517868%73.470.3+3.1
4 Olympiacos2415962%79.073.4+5.6
5 Zenit Petersburg2314961%74.073.5+0.6
6 CSKA Moscow24141058%80.879.0+1.8
7 Fenerbahce23121152%76.473.5+3.0
8 Anadolu Efes25131252%83.179.8+3.3
9 Unics Kazan25131252%76.775.5+1.2
10 Monaco27141352%83.482.0+1.4
11 Bayern24121250%74.073.5+0.4
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv24111346%78.179.0-0.8
13 Crvena zvezda2491538%72.474.1-1.7
14 Alba Berlin2591636%75.279.6-4.4
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne2691735%73.279.7-6.5
16 Panathinaikos2471729%73.479.2-5.8
17 Baskonia2471729%72.279.7-7.4
18 Zalgiris Kaunas2451921%70.178.0-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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