CSM Targu Mures vs Corona Brasov Result & Analysis

CSM Targu Mures face Corona Brasov in the Divizia A on 14 November 2026, with the model favouring the home side at 77% to win because of their 5-1 record, 93.5 points per game and 82.7 allowed, and their league position of 1, while Corona Brasov sit 8th with 2-4, 87.2 points per game and 87.8 allowed. Targu Mures have gone 2-1 at home, averaging 94.0 points and 86.7 allowed, and won four of their last five games, including a 105-80 home victory over Rapid Bucuresti on 9 November, a 110-81 away win over Petrolul Ploiesti on 31 October, and a 92-89 home win over BC Steaua Bucuresti on 22 October; Corona Brasov have a 1-2 road record, 82.7 points per game and 84.3 allowed, and won two of their last five, notably a 97-80 home win over Petrolul Ploiesti on 7 November but a 89-94 loss to BC Steaua Bucuresti on 31 October. Their head-to-head record is tied 4-4, with Targu Mures last beating Corona Brasov 96-81 on 23 May. The model projects a 95-87 score, 181.6 total points, a home line of -8.0 with a 52% chance of covering, an over line of 183.5 with a 45% chance, and a 4% overtime probability. The next game will see Targu Mures try to extend their winning streak.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSM Targu Mures winWon

77.4%fair 1.29

Best odds1.29

Implied74.5%

Edge+2.9pp

Corona Brasov winLost

22.6%fair 4.43

Best odds3.65

Implied25.5%

Edge-2.9pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSM Targu Mures Romania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMures

Date

Competition

CSM Targu Jiu

#15

108-87

108

+21

111avg 90

H12/05

Divizia A

CSM Targu Jiu

#15

98-95

94avg 90

A16/05

Divizia A

Corona Brasov

#13

118-78

118

+40

126avg 90

H21/05

Divizia A

Corona Brasov

#13

96-81

+15

91avg 90

A23/05

Divizia A

SCM Timisoara

#12

78-72

69avg 90

A04/10

Divizia A

Voluntari

85-91

-6

81avg 90

H10/10

Divizia A

Valcea

91-83

90avg 90

A17/10

Divizia A

BC Steaua Bucuresti

92-89

88avg 90

H22/10

Divizia A

Petrolul Ploiesti

#13

110-81

110

+29

106avg 90

A31/10

Divizia A

Rapid Bucuresti

#10

105-80

105

+25

no box

H09/11

Divizia A

23-17

35-27

22-16

28-27

28-18

24-36

20-25

26-16

34-20

27-5

30-24

27-29

26-22

28-21

22-18

20-20

17-21

11-20

31-14

19-17

24-23

19-26

22-18

20-24

14-22

23-15

20-17

34-29

21-29

25-23

30-19

16-18

27-18

21-18

35-18

27-27

31-16

22-26

20-22

32-16

181.8Avg total

98.1Scored

83.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	93.5	82.7	176.2	+10.8	83%
Season at home (3)	94.0	86.7	180.7	+7.3	67%
Season away (3)	93.0	78.7	171.7	+14.3	100%
Last 10 (10)	98.1	83.7	181.8	+14.4	90%
Last 5 (5)	96.6	84.8	181.4	+11.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	85.0	93.0	178.0	-8.0	0%
vs Similar (14)	98.0	95.8	193.8	+2.2	57%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	93.9	86.9	180.7	+7.0	67%

This opponent (Corona Brasov) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Corona Brasov Romania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBrasov

Date

Competition

Municipal Galati

#16

92-85

85avg 79

H12/05

Divizia A

Municipal Galati

#16

96-88

96avg 79

A17/05

Divizia A

CSM Targu Mures

78-118

118

-40

60avg 79

A21/05

Divizia A

CSM Targu Mures

81-96

-15

67avg 79

H23/05

Divizia A

SCM Craiova

98-113

113

-15

88avg 79

H03/10

Divizia A

SCM Timisoara

#12

81-76

71avg 79

A10/10

Divizia A

Voluntari

78-83

-5

68avg 79

A17/10

Divizia A

Valcea

80-81

-1

74avg 79

H22/10

Divizia A

BC Steaua Bucuresti

89-94

-5

79avg 79

A31/10

Divizia A

Petrolul Ploiesti

#13

97-80

+17

no box

H07/11

Divizia A

28-19

20-21

18-18

26-27

26-32

27-15

20-18

23-23

20-34

5-27

24-30

29-27

22-26

21-28

18-22

20-20

19-26

18-31

19-29

42-27

25-13

20-18

23-20

13-25

26-26

25-21

11-23

16-13

23-20

26-22

12-27

19-12

29-29

17-17

17-24

26-24

26-23

20-23

34-16

17-18

178.4Avg total

87.0Scored

91.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	87.2	87.8	175.0	-0.7	33%
Season at home (3)	91.7	91.3	183.0	+0.3	33%
Season away (3)	82.7	84.3	167.0	-1.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	87.0	91.4	178.4	-4.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	85.0	82.8	167.8	+2.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	86.8	90.4	177.2	-3.6	20%
vs Similar (13)	87.1	94.2	181.3	-7.2	23%
vs Weaker (7)	92.6	82.0	174.6	+10.6	100%

This opponent (CSM Targu Mures) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 176.5Actual: Over 176.5

Over 176.5

61.5%

Under 176.5

38.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 181.75 · main lineActual: Over 181.75

Over 181.75

no forecast

@ 1.80

Under 181.75

no forecast

@ 1.82

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.80

Under

1xBet

1.82

Over/Under 186.5Actual: Over 186.5

Over 186.5

37.6%

Under 186.5

62.4%

@ 1.53

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

Marathon Be

1.53

📊 3. Team Totals

CSM Targu Mures total 91.5Actual: CSM Targu Mures over 91.5

Over 91.5

63.8%

@ 1.41+1.9pp

Under 91.5

36.2%

@ 2.29-1.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.41

Under

1xBet

2.29

CSM Targu Mures total 95.5 · main lineActual: CSM Targu Mures over 95.5

Over 95.5

48.3%

@ 1.88-0.8pp

Under 95.5

51.7%

@ 1.83+0.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

1.88

Betano

1.85

Marathon Be

1.85

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.77

Under

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.80

Marathon Be

1.79

Betano

1.78

1xBet

1.68

CSM Targu Mures total 99.5Actual: CSM Targu Mures under 99.5

Over 99.5

33.0%

@ 2.46-2.6pp

Under 99.5

67.0%

@ 1.36+2.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.46

Under

1xBet

1.36

Corona Brasov total 82.5Actual: Corona Brasov over 82.5

Over 82.5

64.7%

@ 1.37+0.7pp

Under 82.5

35.3%

@ 2.43-0.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.37

Under

1xBet

2.43

Corona Brasov total 86.5 · main lineActual: Corona Brasov over 86.5

Over 86.5

49.4%

@ 1.83-1.2pp

Under 86.5

50.6%

@ 1.85+1.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.81

Betano

1.78

1xBet

1.70

Under

Betano

1.85

Marathon Be

1.85

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.75

Corona Brasov total 90.5Actual: Corona Brasov under 90.5

Over 90.5

34.4%

@ 2.31-3.3pp

Under 90.5

65.6%

@ 1.40+3.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.31

Under

1xBet

1.40

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread CSM Targu Mures -11Actual: Corona Brasov +11

CSM -11

40.9%

CORO +11

59.1%

Best 5 market prices

CSM

No market prices yet.

CORO

No market prices yet.

Spread CSM Targu Mures -8 · main lineActual: Corona Brasov +8

CSM -8

52.2%

@ 1.88+2.6pp

CORO +8

47.8%

@ 1.87-2.6pp

Best 5 market prices

CSM

Pinnacle

1.88

SBO

1.87

Marathon Be

1.78

CORO

Marathon Be

1.87

Pinnacle

1.85

SBO

1.79

Spread CSM Targu Mures -5Actual: CSM Targu Mures -5

CSM -5

63.7%

@ 1.52+2.8pp

CORO +5

36.3%

@ 2.37-2.8pp

Best 5 market prices

CSM

Pinnacle

1.52

Marathon Be

1.49

CORO

Pinnacle

2.37

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CSM Targu MuresCorona Brasov

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 45.5
Last 30 (30)	23.6	22.3	45.9	+1.3	60%	50%
Last 30 at home (17)	24.9	22.6	47.5	+2.3	65%	53%
Last 30 away (13)	21.9	21.8	43.8	+0.1	54%	46%
Last 10 (10)	24.5	20.6	45.1	+3.9	70%	60%
Last 5 (5)	23.4	21.6	45.0	+1.8	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	100%	0%
vs Similar (14)	23.1	23.1	46.1	+0.0	50%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	24.3	21.7	45.9	+2.6	67%	53%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 45.5
Last 30 (30)	23.1	23.8	46.8	-0.7	43%	57%
Last 30 at home (15)	23.5	23.9	47.4	-0.3	47%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	22.6	23.7	46.3	-1.1	40%	47%
Last 10 (10)	24.4	24.8	49.2	-0.4	40%	70%
Last 5 (5)	25.8	22.2	48.0	+3.6	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	24.3	24.6	48.9	-0.3	50%	60%
vs Similar (13)	20.7	24.1	44.8	-3.4	23%	46%
vs Weaker (7)	25.7	22.0	47.7	+3.7	71%	71%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 44.75
Last 30 (30)	23.3	23.0	46.3	+0.3	43%	53%
Last 30 at home (17)	26.4	22.9	49.2	+3.5	59%	71%
Last 30 away (13)	19.4	23.2	42.5	-3.8	23%	31%
Last 10 (10)	23.5	21.7	45.2	+1.8	60%	60%
Last 5 (5)	22.0	21.6	43.6	+0.4	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	17.0	24.0	41.0	-7.0	0%	0%
vs Similar (14)	22.7	21.7	44.4	+1.0	43%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	24.3	24.1	48.5	+0.2	47%	60%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 44.75
Last 30 (30)	21.6	21.1	42.8	+0.5	53%	47%
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	21.8	44.9	+1.3	60%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	20.5	40.7	-0.3	47%	33%
Last 10 (10)	19.9	22.3	42.2	-2.4	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.2	41.8	+1.4	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	23.8	21.3	45.1	+2.5	90%	70%
vs Similar (13)	18.9	22.0	40.9	-3.1	23%	38%
vs Weaker (7)	23.6	19.3	42.9	+4.3	57%	29%

CSM Targu MuresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CSM Targu Jiu

#15

58-44

+14

H12/05

Divizia A

CSM Targu Jiu

#15

52-54

-2

A16/05

Divizia A

Corona Brasov

#13

61-25

+36

H21/05

Divizia A

Corona Brasov

#13

54-43

+11

A23/05

Divizia A

SCM Timisoara

#12

28-41

-13

A04/10

Divizia A

Voluntari

43-49

-6

H10/10

Divizia A

Valcea

37-37

A17/10

Divizia A

BC Steaua Bucuresti

46-52

-6

H22/10

Divizia A

Petrolul Ploiesti

#13

48-36

+12

A31/10

Divizia A

Rapid Bucuresti

#10

53-42

+11

H09/11

Divizia A

90.3Avg total

48.0Scored

42.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 89.5
Last 30 (30)	46.9	45.3	92.2	+1.7	43%	63%
Last 30 at home (17)	51.2	45.5	96.7	+5.8	65%	82%
Last 30 away (13)	41.3	45.0	86.3	-3.7	15%	38%
Last 10 (10)	48.0	42.3	90.3	+5.7	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	45.4	43.2	88.6	+2.2	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	38.0	44.0	82.0	-6.0	0%	0%
vs Similar (14)	45.8	44.8	90.6	+1.0	43%	64%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	48.6	45.8	94.4	+2.8	47%	67%

This opponent (Corona Brasov) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Corona BrasovLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Municipal Galati

#16

48-40

H12/05

Divizia A

Municipal Galati

#16

53-47

A17/05

Divizia A

CSM Targu Mures

25-61

-36

A21/05

Divizia A

CSM Targu Mures

43-54

-11

H23/05

Divizia A

SCM Craiova

37-57

-20

H03/10

Divizia A

SCM Timisoara

#12

45-31

+14

A10/10

Divizia A

Voluntari

51-47

A17/10

Divizia A

Valcea

49-42

H22/10

Divizia A

BC Steaua Bucuresti

46-46

A31/10

Divizia A

Petrolul Ploiesti

#13

46-46

H07/11

Divizia A

91.4Avg total

44.3Scored

47.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 89.5
Last 30 (30)	44.7	44.9	89.6	-0.2	53%	53%
Last 30 at home (15)	46.6	45.7	92.3	+0.9	53%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	42.8	44.1	86.9	-1.3	53%	40%
Last 10 (10)	44.3	47.1	91.4	-2.8	50%	70%
Last 5 (5)	47.4	42.4	89.8	+5.0	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	48.1	45.9	94.0	+2.2	70%	80%
vs Similar (13)	39.6	46.1	85.7	-6.5	23%	38%
vs Weaker (7)	49.3	41.3	90.6	+8.0	86%	43%

This opponent (CSM Targu Mures) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: CSM Targu Mures win

CSM win

no forecast

@ 1.40

CORO win

no forecast

@ 2.95

1st half Spread CSM Targu Mures -4.5 · main lineActual: CSM Targu Mures -4.5

CSM -4.5

no forecast

@ 1.88

CORO +4.5

no forecast

@ 1.85

1st half Over/Under 89.5 · main lineActual: Under 89.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

CSM Targu Mures 1st half total 47.5 · main lineActual: CSM Targu Mures over 47.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.85

Under

no forecast

@ 1.85

Corona Brasov 1st half total 43 · main lineActual: Corona Brasov under 43

Over

no forecast

@ 1.81

Under

no forecast

@ 1.85

1st half: CSM + total 90.5

CSM & over

no forecast

@ 2.70

CSM & under

no forecast

@ 2.85

1st half: Draw + total 90.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 29.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 31.00

1st half: CORO + total 90.5

CORO & over

no forecast

@ 5.50

CORO & under

no forecast

@ 5.75

1st half Over/Under 90.75Actual: Under 90.75

Over

no forecast

@ 1.82

Under

no forecast

@ 1.79

1st half Spread CSM Targu Mures -5.5Actual: CSM Targu Mures -5.5

CSM -5.5

no forecast

@ 1.90

CORO +5.5

no forecast

@ 1.65

1st half Spread CSM Targu Mures -3.5Actual: CSM Targu Mures -3.5

CSM -3.5

no forecast

@ 1.65

CORO +3.5

no forecast

@ 1.90

1st half Spread CSM Targu Mures -6.5Actual: CSM Targu Mures -6.5

CSM -6.5

no forecast

@ 2.05

CORO +6.5

no forecast

@ 1.55

1st half Spread CSM Targu Mures -2.5Actual: CSM Targu Mures -2.5

CSM -2.5

no forecast

@ 1.55

CORO +2.5

no forecast

@ 2.05

1st half Spread CSM Targu Mures -7.5Actual: CSM Targu Mures -7.5

CSM -7.5

no forecast

@ 2.23

CORO +7.5

no forecast

@ 1.47

1st half Spread CSM Targu Mures -1.5Actual: CSM Targu Mures -1.5

CSM -1.5

no forecast

@ 1.47

CORO +1.5

no forecast

@ 2.23

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: CSM Targu Mures (regulation)

CSM

no forecast

@ 1.43

Draw

no forecast

@ 17.50

CORO

no forecast

@ 3.05

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 44.75
Last 30 (30)	23.5	21.4	45.0	+2.1	60%	47%
Last 30 at home (17)	23.4	21.8	45.1	+1.6	53%	41%
Last 30 away (13)	23.8	21.0	44.8	+2.8	69%	54%
Last 10 (10)	25.2	19.1	44.3	+6.1	80%	50%
Last 5 (5)	25.4	18.8	44.2	+6.6	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	28.0	26.0	54.0	+2.0	100%	100%
vs Similar (14)	23.0	22.7	45.7	+0.3	57%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	23.7	19.9	43.7	+3.8	60%	40%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 44.75
Last 30 (30)	20.1	21.1	41.2	-1.0	47%	27%
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	21.3	40.5	-2.0	33%	33%
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	20.9	41.8	-0.1	60%	20%
Last 10 (10)	19.6	22.7	42.3	-3.1	30%	30%
Last 5 (5)	19.4	22.0	41.4	-2.6	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	16.5	22.6	39.1	-6.1	20%	30%
vs Similar (13)	20.9	21.8	42.8	-0.9	46%	23%
vs Weaker (7)	23.6	17.6	41.1	+6.0	86%	29%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 45
Last 30 (30)	22.6	22.7	45.3	-0.1	50%	40%
Last 30 at home (17)	22.1	23.2	45.2	-1.1	47%	41%
Last 30 away (13)	23.3	22.0	45.3	+1.3	54%	38%
Last 10 (10)	24.9	22.3	47.2	+2.6	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	25.8	22.8	48.6	+3.0	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	19.0	23.0	42.0	-4.0	0%	0%
vs Similar (14)	24.0	24.3	48.3	-0.3	57%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	21.5	21.1	42.7	+0.4	47%	33%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 45
Last 30 (30)	20.7	21.8	42.6	-1.1	43%	33%
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	21.4	41.9	-0.9	33%	33%
Last 30 away (15)	21.0	22.3	43.3	-1.3	53%	33%
Last 10 (10)	23.1	21.6	44.7	+1.5	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.4	36.6	-0.2	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	20.6	21.3	41.9	-0.7	40%	30%
vs Similar (13)	21.4	21.5	42.9	-0.2	62%	31%
vs Weaker (7)	19.7	23.1	42.9	-3.4	14%	43%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 90
Last 30 (30)	46.1	44.1	90.2	+2.0	50%	43%
Last 30 at home (17)	45.4	44.9	90.4	+0.5	41%	41%
Last 30 away (13)	47.1	43.0	90.1	+4.1	62%	46%
Last 10 (10)	50.1	41.4	91.5	+8.7	90%	40%
Last 5 (5)	51.2	41.6	92.8	+9.6	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	47.0	49.0	96.0	-2.0	0%	100%
vs Similar (14)	47.0	47.0	94.0	+0.0	43%	64%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	45.3	41.1	86.3	+4.2	60%	20%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 90
Last 30 (30)	40.8	42.9	83.7	-2.1	27%	23%
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	42.7	82.4	-2.9	20%	20%
Last 30 away (15)	41.9	43.2	85.1	-1.3	33%	27%
Last 10 (10)	42.7	44.3	87.0	-1.6	30%	30%
Last 5 (5)	37.6	40.4	78.0	-2.8	20%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	37.1	43.9	81.0	-6.8	10%	30%
vs Similar (13)	42.3	43.4	85.7	-1.1	23%	31%
vs Weaker (7)	43.3	40.7	84.0	+2.6	57%	0%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

CSM win + total 181.5

🔒 Pro

CORO win + total 181.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: CSM leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: CORO leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (CSM :CORO): CSM wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Overtime: no	96.0%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Corona Brasov under 92.5	72.3%	1.30	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
CSM Targu Mures (regulation)	75.1%	1.25	1xBet 1.25	Marathon Bet 1.25	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
CSM Targu Mures under 100.5	70.6%	1.31	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
CSM Targu Mures under 101.5	73.9%	1.24	1xBet 1.24	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
CSM Targu Mures win	77.4%	1.25	WilliamHill 1.29	1xBet 1.25	SBO 1.25	Betano 1.25	Bet365 1.25	+2.9pp	Won
CSM Targu Mures over 89.5	70.9%	1.30	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Corona Brasov over 80.5	71.7%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

CSM Targu Murestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSM Targu Mures: 96.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀35%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 87.2 points a game

55%

26%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.7	23.6	58.0%	56.7%	47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.6	11.4	39.9%	32.6%	34.2
🏀 Free throws	18.4	15.1	82.1%	75.1%	15.1

They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Corona Brasovtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Corona Brasov: 86.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 87.2 points a game

55%

26%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	22.7	55.1%	56.7%	45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.4	8.5	31.0%	32.6%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	22.9	15.8	69.0%	75.1%	15.8

They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.0	23.3	53.0%	56.7%	46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.2	7.8	31.0%	32.6%	23.4
🏀 Free throws	19.9	13.9	69.8%	75.1%	13.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	48.8	26.1	53.5%	56.7%	52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.0	7.6	34.5%	32.6%	22.8
🏀 Free throws	20.2	15.5	76.7%	75.1%	15.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.3	23.3	57.9%	56.7%	46.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.5	11.0	38.6%	32.6%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	20.2	16.3	80.7%	75.1%	16.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.2	24.3	55.1%	56.7%	48.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.8	7.2	29.0%	32.6%	21.6
🏀 Free throws	25.9	18.0	69.5%	75.1%	18.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.3	26.4	58.2%	56.7%	52.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.4	8.1	31.9%	32.6%	24.3
🏀 Free throws	21.1	15.0	71.1%	75.1%	15.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.5	25.7	55.3%	56.7%	51.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.5	6.8	31.6%	32.6%	20.4
🏀 Free throws	24.7	18.4	74.5%	75.1%	18.4

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

CSM Targu Mures

WWWWLWWWWW

Corona Brasov

WLLLWLLLWW

League position

#11

+14.5

Net rating

-4.2

110.8

Offensive rating

96.4

96.3

Defensive rating

100.6

58.7%

Effective FG%

51.7%

50.6%

Opp. effective FG%

53.0%

11.0%

Turnover %

12.2%

0.27

Free-throw rate

0.33

39.9%

3-point %

31.0%

57.4%

Assist %

59.9%

90%

Form (last 10/10)

40%

Profile

■ CSM Targu Mures ■ Corona Brasov

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

CSM Targu Mures wins

Corona Brasov wins

Date	Game	Score
23/05/26	Corona Brasov v CSM Targu Mures	81-96
21/05/26	CSM Targu Mures v Corona Brasov	118-78
14/04/26	CSM Targu Mures v Corona Brasov	123-118 OT
30/12/25	Corona Brasov v CSM Targu Mures	117-120 OT
27/01/25	CSM Targu Mures v Corona Brasov	96-106
04/10/24	Corona Brasov v CSM Targu Mures	80-75
28/03/24	Corona Brasov v CSM Targu Mures	89-79
28/02/24	CSM Targu Mures v Corona Brasov	81-88

CSM Targu Mureslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/11/26	H	Rapid Bucuresti	105-80
31/10/26	A	Petrolul Ploiesti	110-81
22/10/26	H	BC Steaua Bucuresti	92-89
17/10/26	A	Valcea	91-83
10/10/26	H	Voluntari	85-91
04/10/26	A	SCM Timisoara	78-72
23/05/26	A	Corona Brasov	96-81
21/05/26	H	Corona Brasov	118-78
16/05/26	A	CSM Targu Jiu	98-95
12/05/26	H	CSM Targu Jiu	108-87

Corona Brasovlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/11/26	H	Petrolul Ploiesti	97-80
31/10/26	A	BC Steaua Bucuresti	89-94
22/10/26	H	Valcea	80-81
17/10/26	A	Voluntari	78-83
10/10/26	A	SCM Timisoara	81-76
03/10/26	H	SCM Craiova	98-113
23/05/26	H	CSM Targu Mures	81-96
21/05/26	A	CSM Targu Mures	78-118
17/05/26	A	Municipal Galati	96-88
12/05/26	H	Municipal Galati	92-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSM Targu Mures

Divizia A 2026-27

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	83%
Home	LWW	67%
Away	WWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	83%	67%	100%
Points / game	93.5	94.0	93.0
Allowed / game	82.7	86.7	78.7
Point differential	+10.8	+7.3	+14.3
Avg total	176.2	180.7	171.7
Over 181.75	33%	33%	33%
Win by 10+	33%	33%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Corona Brasov

Divizia A 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	33%
Home	LLW	33%
Away	WLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	33%	33%	33%
Points / game	87.2	91.7	82.7
Allowed / game	87.8	91.3	84.3
Point differential	-0.7	+0.3	-1.7
Avg total	175.0	183.0	167.0
Over 181.75	33%	33%	33%
Win by 10+	17%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	0% (1)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Voluntari	7	6	1	86%	88.9	82.7	+6.1
2	CSM Targu Mures	6	5	1	83%	93.5	82.7	+10.8
3	Valcea	6	5	1	83%	87.7	78.2	+9.5
4	Dinamo Bucharest	5	4	1	80%	87.2	77.6	+9.6
5	SCM Craiova	4	3	1	75%	103.0	99.2	+3.8
6	CSM Oradea	6	4	2	67%	88.0	82.0	+6.0
7	CSU Sibiu	7	3	4	43%	94.6	93.6	+1.0
8	Corona Brasov	6	2	4	33%	87.2	87.8	-0.7
9	Arges Pitesti	6	2	4	33%	85.3	86.7	-1.3
10	BC Steaua Bucuresti	6	2	4	33%	88.7	91.0	-2.3
11	Rapid Bucuresti	6	2	4	33%	89.5	94.7	-5.2
12	SCM Timisoara	7	2	5	29%	80.0	87.1	-7.1
13	Municipal Galati	6	1	5	17%	90.0	100.8	-10.8
14	Petrolul Ploiesti	6	1	5	17%	76.7	93.2	-16.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
CSM Targu Mures	16	32	24	25	97
Corona Brasov	21	16	31	22	90

← all games of the day

CSM Targu Mures vs Corona Brasov Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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