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Valcea vs CSM Targu Mures Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 105-110 (OT)
27-31 25-18 21-29 22-17 10-15
Position#6
Record5-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#9
Record5-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game90.5
RomaniaDivizia ARound 12· Traian Sports Hall
Other2025-26
Meetings · Valcea v CSM Targu Mures
17 Oct 2026
VALC83
CSM 91
13 Dec 2025
VALC105
CSM 110
11 Nov 2024
VALC99
CSM 92
23 Dec 2023
VALC73
CSM 85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valcea winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSM Targu Mures winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValceaRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValcea
Date
Competition
Sassari
#23
L
73-94
73
94
-21
66avg 78
A22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Voluntari
#3
L
85-103
85
103
-18
82avg 78
H25/10
Divizia A
Sporting CP
#24
L
61-102
61
102
-41
48avg 78
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Corona Brasov
#13
W
93-65
93
65
+28
98avg 78
A01/11
Divizia A
Vechta
#8
W
90-88
90
88
+2
87avg 78
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Arges Pitesti
#11
W
82-75
82
75
+7
84avg 78
H09/11
Divizia A
Sassari
#23
L
65-97
65
97
-32
48avg 78
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rapid Bucuresti
#5
L
76-82
76
82
-6
69avg 78
A16/11
Divizia A
Sporting CP
#24
L
67-121
67
121
-54
49avg 78
A19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
91-96 OT
91
96
-5
86avg 78
A07/12
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-30
20-17
18-23
8-24
25-29
18-28
20-24
22-22
12-27
19-26
21-24
9-25
27-12
24-25
22-22
20-6
23-29
20-21
25-22
22-16
16-18
20-21
23-21
23-15
17-24
18-19
13-25
17-29
22-14
16-26
24-24
14-18
20-37
21-31
17-24
9-29
19-24
21-25
21-20
23-15
170.6Avg total
78.3Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)89.481.2170.7+8.256%
Season at home (4)91.882.2174.0+9.575%
Season away (5)87.680.4168.0+7.240%
Last 10 (10)78.392.3170.6-14.030%
Last 5 (5)76.294.2170.4-18.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.794.9169.6-20.28%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.583.2164.7-1.758%
vs Weaker (6)94.076.5170.5+17.583%
This opponent (CSM Targu Mures) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSM Targu MuresRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMures
Date
Competition
Rapid Bucuresti
#5
L
69-87
69
87
-18
58avg 83
A01/10
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
95-89
95
89
+6
86avg 83
A08/10
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
97-86
97
86
+11
90avg 83
A11/10
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
L
76-96
76
96
-20
68avg 83
H20/10
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#12
L
92-94 OT
92
94
-2
80avg 83
A25/10
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
W
91-89
91
89
+2
89avg 83
H01/11
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#16
W
89-76
89
76
+13
54avg 83
A08/11
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
95-85
95
85
+10
88avg 83
H13/11
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#7
L
97-102
97
102
-5
90avg 83
H19/11
Divizia A
CSM Oradea
#2
L
82-101
82
101
-19
71avg 83
H04/12
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
21-22
13-20
21-27
27-33
27-16
26-19
15-21
29-17
23-28
16-23
29-18
18-27
19-18
20-30
19-21
24-21
24-16
17-19
17-26
28-22
25-20
21-26
17-21
30-14
21-25
20-13
18-24
17-24
31-21
22-22
25-18
26-25
25-31
21-24
25-22
16-26
28-19
20-32
18-24
178.8Avg total
88.3Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)88.390.5178.8-2.250%
Season at home (5)88.294.6182.8-6.440%
Season away (5)88.486.4174.8+2.060%
Last 10 (10)88.390.5178.8-2.250%
Last 5 (5)90.890.6181.4+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)89.0101.8190.8-12.80%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.591.0174.5-7.525%
vs Weaker (13)96.482.1178.5+14.385%
This opponent (Valcea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -1.8-1.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -1.8-1.8
ValceaCSM Targu Mures
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValceaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#23
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Voluntari
#3
L
43-57
43
57
-14
H25/10
Divizia A
Sporting CP
#24
L
31-53
31
53
-22
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Corona Brasov
#13
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A01/11
Divizia A
Vechta
#8
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Arges Pitesti
#11
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H09/11
Divizia A
Sassari
#23
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rapid Bucuresti
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A16/11
Divizia A
Sporting CP
#24
L
41-68
41
68
-27
A19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A07/12
Divizia A
88.8Avg total
40.5Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.743.483.1-3.630%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.742.281.9-2.533%-
Last 30 away (15)39.844.584.3-4.727%-
Last 10 (10)40.548.388.8-7.810%-
Last 5 (5)38.047.885.8-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.347.484.8-10.18%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.043.082.0-4.017%-
vs Weaker (6)46.036.082.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (CSM Targu Mures) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSM Targu MuresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rapid Bucuresti
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A01/10
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A08/10
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A11/10
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H20/10
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#12
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A25/10
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H01/11
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#16
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A08/11
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H13/11
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#7
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H19/11
Divizia A
CSM Oradea
#2
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H04/12
Divizia A
91.6Avg total
47.3Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.444.189.4+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.543.090.5+4.560%-
Last 30 away (15)43.345.188.4-1.947%-
Last 10 (10)47.344.391.6+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)49.445.494.8+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.647.489.0-5.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.345.888.1-3.433%-
vs Weaker (13)49.641.290.8+8.485%-
This opponent (Valcea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valceatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valcea: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.2 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.317.3
50.4%
55.9%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.1
36.0%
33.8%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.215.4
72.6%
73.0%15.4
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSM Targu Murestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSM Targu Mures: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.2 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.523.0
58.2%
55.9%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.6
35.3%
33.8%28.8
🏀 Free throws15.912.5
78.6%
73.0%12.5
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valcea
LLLLWWWLLL
CSM Targu Mures
LLWWWLLWWL
#6
League position
#9
-18.9
Net rating
-2.9
102.8
Offensive rating
116.2
121.7
Defensive rating
119.2
51.9%
Effective FG%
56.1%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
17.8%
Turnover %
13.0%
21.6%
Off. rebound %
23.9%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.24
36.0%
3-point %
35.3%
68.9%
Assist %
53.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 116.2Defence121.7 · 119.2Shooting51.9% · 56.1%3-point %36.0% · 35.3%Ball care17.8% · 13.0%Off. rebounds21.6% · 23.9%Free throws0.36 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Valcea   ■ CSM Targu Mures
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Valcea wins
1
CSM Targu Mures wins
DateGameScore
15/03/25CSM Targu Mures v Valcea77-99
11/11/24Valcea v CSM Targu Mures99-92
23/12/23Valcea v CSM Targu Mures73-85
21/10/23CSM Targu Mures v Valcea72-94
Valcealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25ASCM Timisoara91-96 OT
19/11/25ASporting CP67-121
16/11/25ARapid Bucuresti76-82
12/11/25HSassari65-97
09/11/25HArges Pitesti82-75
05/11/25AVechta90-88
01/11/25ACorona Brasov93-65
29/10/25HSporting CP61-102
25/10/25HVoluntari85-103
22/10/25ASassari73-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25HCSM Oradea82-101
19/11/25HSCM Craiova97-102
13/11/25HCSM Targu Jiu95-85
08/11/25AMunicipal Galati89-76
01/11/25HDinamo Bucharest91-89
25/10/25ABC Steaua Bucuresti92-94 OT
20/10/25HCSU Sibiu76-96
11/10/25APetrolul Ploiesti97-86
08/10/25ASCM Timisoara95-89
01/10/25ARapid Bucuresti69-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valcea
Divizia A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL56%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game89.491.887.6
Allowed / game81.282.280.4
Point differential+8.2+9.5+7.2
Avg total170.7174.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %11%0%20%
CSM Targu Mures
Divizia A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayLWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%40%60%
Points / game88.388.288.4
Allowed / game90.594.686.4
Point differential-2.2-6.4+2.0
Avg total178.8182.8174.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%20%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSM Oradea11110100%88.572.3+16.2
2 Voluntari107370%88.878.8+10.0
3 Arges Pitesti107370%77.068.6+8.4
4 SCM Craiova107370%87.881.3+6.5
5 Rapid Bucuresti107370%81.776.5+5.2
6 Valcea95456%89.481.2+8.2
7 Dinamo Bucharest116555%86.081.8+4.2
8 Corona Brasov116555%79.281.7-2.5
9 SCM Timisoara105550%89.186.7+2.4
10 CSM Targu Mures105550%88.390.5-2.2
11 BC Steaua Bucuresti115645%84.682.0+2.6
12 CSU Sibiu104640%81.083.4-2.4
13 Petrolul Ploiesti103730%83.990.8-6.9
14 CSM Targu Jiu110110%70.189.5-19.5
15 Municipal Galati120120%70.595.1-24.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Valcea2725212210105
CSM Targu Mures3118291715110
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