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CSU Bakersfield vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 48-56
27-27 21-29
Position#311
Record4-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game60.9
Allowed / game59.4
vs
Position#295
Record3-7
FormLWWLL
Points / game62.1
Allowed / game63.1
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · CSU Bakersfield v Fresno State
16 Nov 2024
CSU 74
FRES58
20 Dec 2022
CSU 48
FRES56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSU Bakersfield winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSU BakersfieldUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego Christian
#527
W
68-35
68
35
+33
H08/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#171
L
44-72
44
72
-28
A12/11
NCAA
Idaho
#325
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A17/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
W
73-63
73
63
+10
A22/11
NCAA
UTEP
#250
L
67-68 OT
67
68
-1
A24/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#131
L
54-62
54
62
-8
H25/11
NCAA
La Sierra
#545
W
90-49
90
49
+41
H30/11
NCAA
Dartmouth
#293
L
54-79
54
79
-25
A03/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
48-58
48
58
-10
A07/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
L
59-65
59
65
-6
H18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
39-20
29-15
23-36
21-36
22-21
30-22
33-21
40-42
21-34
34-21
28-31
26-31
42-23
48-26
28-40
26-39
25-25
23-33
31-15
28-50
120.3Avg total
60.9Scored
59.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)60.959.4120.3+1.540%
Season at home (4)67.852.8120.5+15.050%
Season away (6)56.363.8120.2-7.533%
Last 10 (10)60.959.4120.3+1.540%
Last 5 (5)61.062.6123.6-1.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)59.966.8126.8-6.911%
vs Similar ◀ (7)64.067.6131.6-3.643%
vs Weaker (4)70.250.0120.2+20.275%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno Pacific
#387
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H08/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A11/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#126
L
60-67
60
67
-7
H17/11
NCAA
North Texas
#19
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A19/11
NCAA
Washington
#212
L
57-62
57
62
-5
A24/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
59-67
59
67
-8
A25/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
W
80-66
80
66
+14
A04/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H08/12
NCAA
Pacific
#242
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A10/12
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
L
53-59
53
59
-6
H18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-32
36-24
21-23
33-38
26-29
34-38
28-31
24-30
28-27
29-35
26-31
33-36
47-41
33-25
29-30
36-26
29-38
43-38
23-24
30-35
125.2Avg total
62.1Scored
63.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)62.163.1125.2-1.030%
Season at home (4)61.859.5121.2+2.250%
Season away (6)62.365.5127.8-3.217%
Last 10 (10)62.163.1125.2-1.030%
Last 5 (5)65.864.8130.6+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)61.563.8125.2-2.225%
vs Similar ◀ (17)59.561.8121.3-2.424%
vs Weaker (8)71.058.8129.8+12.288%
This opponent (CSU Bakersfield) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: +0.6+0.6
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: +0.6+0.6
CSU BakersfieldFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CSU BakersfieldLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego Christian
#527
W
39-20
39
20
+19
H08/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#171
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A12/11
NCAA
Idaho
#325
W
22-21
22
21
+1
A17/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
W
33-21
33
21
+12
A22/11
NCAA
UTEP
#250
L
21-34
21
34
-13
A24/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#131
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H25/11
NCAA
La Sierra
#545
W
42-23
42
23
+19
H30/11
NCAA
Dartmouth
#293
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A03/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A07/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
W
31-15
31
15
+16
H18/12
NCAA
55.8Avg total
29.2Scored
26.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.529.558.0-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (13)29.627.457.0+2.246%-
Last 30 away (17)27.631.158.7-3.435%-
Last 10 (10)29.226.655.8+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)30.826.857.6+4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)27.629.557.1-1.942%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)29.032.361.3-3.314%-
vs Weaker (4)32.024.256.2+7.875%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno Pacific
#387
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H08/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
L
21-23
21
23
-2
A11/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#126
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H17/11
NCAA
North Texas
#19
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A19/11
NCAA
Washington
#212
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A24/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A25/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A04/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H08/12
NCAA
Pacific
#242
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A10/12
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
L
23-24
23
24
-1
H18/12
NCAA
59.6Avg total
29.0Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.628.257.8+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (13)28.628.857.5-0.238%-
Last 30 away (17)30.427.758.1+2.759%-
Last 10 (10)29.030.659.6-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)30.832.863.6-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)30.531.061.5-0.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)27.128.355.4-1.229%-
vs Weaker (8)34.126.160.2+8.0100%-
This opponent (CSU Bakersfield) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
CSU Bakersfield wins
0
Fresno State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/22HAbilene Christian59-65
07/12/22ASan Jose State48-58
03/12/22ADartmouth54-79
30/11/22HLa Sierra90-49
25/11/22HAlcorn State54-62
24/11/22AUTEP67-68 OT
22/11/22ATexas A&M-CC73-63
17/11/22AIdaho52-43
12/11/22AUtah Utes44-72
08/11/22HSan Diego Christian68-35
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/22HSacramento State53-59
10/12/22APacific72-76
08/12/22HCS Northridge65-56
04/12/22AUC Irvine80-66
25/11/22AVanderbilt59-67
24/11/22AWashington57-62
19/11/22ANorth Texas52-61
17/11/22HSan Francisco60-67
11/11/22AUC Santa Barbara54-61
08/11/22HFresno Pacific69-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSU Bakersfield
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL40%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game60.967.856.3
Allowed / game59.452.863.8
Point differential+1.5+15.0-7.5
Avg total120.3120.5120.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %10%0%17%
Fresno State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL30%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %30%50%17%
Points / game62.161.862.3
Allowed / game63.159.565.5
Point differential-1.0+2.2-3.2
Avg total125.2121.2127.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC Santa Barbara108280%73.466.1+7.3
2 UC Irvine117464%79.565.5+14.0
3 UC Davis117464%80.371.3+9.0
4 Hawaii85362%68.961.1+7.8
5 UC Riverside106460%72.367.6+4.7
6 Cal Poly105550%64.665.1-0.5
7 Long Beach State115645%74.571.1+3.4
8 CS Fullerton115645%70.368.9+1.4
9 UC San Diego115645%67.370.5-3.2
10 CSU Bakersfield104640%60.959.4+1.5
11 CS Northridge102820%68.665.0+3.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico12120100%84.567.8+16.8
2 UNLV1110191%78.562.6+15.9
3 Utah State109190%86.672.3+14.3
4 Boise State1210283%71.757.1+14.6
5 Nevada129375%72.664.1+8.5
6 San Diego State118373%76.767.2+9.5
7 Air Force139469%70.161.5+8.6
8 Colorado State128467%77.267.3+9.9
9 Grand Canyon128467%68.360.9+7.4
10 San Jose State128467%69.166.5+2.6
11 Wyoming115645%73.669.6+4.0
12 Fresno State103730%62.163.1-1.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
CSU Bakersfield272148
Fresno State272956
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