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Fresno State vs Sacramento State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 53-59
23-24 30-35
Position#295
Record3-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game63.1
Allowed / game63.6
vs
Position#253
Record5-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game69.3
Allowed / game72.1
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Fresno State v Sacramento State
19 Dec 2026
FRES v SACR
upcoming
08 Nov 2024
FRES64
SACR57
17 Dec 2022
FRES53
SACR59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sacramento State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#52
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A11/03
NCAA
Fresno Pacific
#387
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H08/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A11/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#126
L
60-67
60
67
-7
H17/11
NCAA
North Texas
#19
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A19/11
NCAA
Washington
#212
L
57-62
57
62
-5
A24/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
59-67
59
67
-8
A25/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
W
80-66
80
66
+14
A04/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H08/12
NCAA
Pacific
#242
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A10/12
NCAA
1H
2H
23-20
23-33
33-32
36-24
21-23
33-38
26-29
34-38
28-31
24-30
28-27
29-35
26-31
33-36
47-41
33-25
29-30
36-26
29-38
43-38
123.9Avg total
61.4Scored
62.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)63.163.6126.7-0.433%
Season at home (3)64.759.7124.3+5.067%
Season away (6)62.365.5127.8-3.217%
Last 10 (10)61.462.5123.9-1.130%
Last 5 (5)66.665.4132.0+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)61.563.8125.2-2.225%
vs Similar ◀ (16)59.962.0121.9-2.125%
vs Weaker (9)68.758.3127.0+10.378%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#12
L
50-76
50
76
-26
A08/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A13/11
NCAA
Denver
#233
W
73-69
73
69
+4
A15/11
NCAA
California Merced
#399
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H18/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#150
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A23/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A26/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
L
87-91 OT
87
91
-4
H27/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#53
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A03/12
NCAA
Denver
#233
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
H08/12
NCAA
Long Beach State
#197
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H10/12
NCAA
1H
2H
25-39
25-37
29-24
36-31
33-36
40-33
26-16
32-27
40-33
31-49
30-44
31-30
29-34
35-30
24-26
41-46
33-33
38-38
37-30
39-44
141.4Avg total
69.3Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)69.372.1141.4-2.850%
Season at home (4)77.073.2150.2+3.875%
Season away (6)64.271.3135.5-7.233%
Last 10 (10)69.372.1141.4-2.850%
Last 5 (5)75.279.2154.4-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)64.975.3140.2-10.317%
vs Similar ◀ (11)70.966.2137.1+4.773%
vs Weaker (1)58.043.0101.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.2-1.21st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: +0.1+0.12nd half: -1.7-1.7
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.2-1.21st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: +0.1+0.12nd half: -1.7-1.7
Fresno StateSacramento State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#52
W
23-20
23
20
+3
A11/03
NCAA
Fresno Pacific
#387
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H08/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
L
21-23
21
23
-2
A11/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#126
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H17/11
NCAA
North Texas
#19
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A19/11
NCAA
Washington
#212
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A24/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A25/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A04/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H08/12
NCAA
Pacific
#242
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A10/12
NCAA
59.2Avg total
29.0Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.628.157.8+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (12)29.129.258.3-0.242%-
Last 30 away (18)30.027.457.4+2.661%-
Last 10 (10)29.030.259.2-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)31.833.465.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)30.531.061.5-0.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)27.428.655.9-1.231%-
vs Weaker (9)32.925.758.6+7.2100%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#12
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A08/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A13/11
NCAA
Denver
#233
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A15/11
NCAA
California Merced
#399
W
26-16
26
16
+10
H18/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#150
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A23/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A26/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H27/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#53
L
24-26
24
26
-2
A03/12
NCAA
Denver
#233
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H08/12
NCAA
Long Beach State
#197
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H10/12
NCAA
62.1Avg total
30.6Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.232.062.1-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (13)29.331.060.3-1.738%-
Last 30 away (17)30.832.763.5-1.941%-
Last 10 (10)30.631.562.1-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)30.633.464.0-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)30.534.665.1-4.133%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)30.029.159.1+0.945%-
vs Weaker (1)26.016.042.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fresno State wins
0
Sacramento State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/22APacific72-76
08/12/22HCS Northridge65-56
04/12/22AUC Irvine80-66
25/11/22AVanderbilt59-67
24/11/22AWashington57-62
19/11/22ANorth Texas52-61
17/11/22HSan Francisco60-67
11/11/22AUC Santa Barbara54-61
08/11/22HFresno Pacific69-56
11/03/22ASan Diego State46-53
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/22HLong Beach State76-74
08/12/22HDenver87-85 OT
03/12/22ASanta Clara65-72
27/11/22HSouthern Utah87-91 OT
26/11/22AHawaii61-74
23/11/22AUC Davis71-82
18/11/22HCalifornia Merced58-43
15/11/22ADenver73-69
13/11/22AUC San Diego65-55
08/11/22AUCLA50-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL33%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %33%67%17%
Points / game63.164.762.3
Allowed / game63.659.765.5
Point differential-0.4+5.0-3.2
Avg total126.7124.3127.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sacramento State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %50%75%33%
Points / game69.377.064.2
Allowed / game72.173.271.3
Point differential-2.8+3.8-7.2
Avg total141.4150.2135.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %20%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State990100%88.272.0+16.2
2 New Mexico10100100%83.867.6+16.2
3 UNLV1110191%78.562.6+15.9
4 Boise State119282%71.257.1+14.1
5 Nevada129375%72.664.1+8.5
6 San Diego State118373%76.767.2+9.5
7 San Jose State118373%70.167.2+2.9
8 Colorado State117464%78.668.0+10.6
9 Air Force117464%69.460.6+8.7
10 Grand Canyon106460%66.959.2+7.7
11 Wyoming105550%76.170.0+6.1
12 Fresno State93633%63.163.6-0.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Montana State127558%78.867.8+11.1
2 Montana116555%67.867.4+0.5
3 Sacramento State105550%69.372.1-2.8
4 Northern Colorado105550%71.480.1-8.7
5 Idaho115645%80.566.5+14.0
6 Portland State115645%81.172.2+8.9
7 East. Washington125742%67.770.4-2.8
8 Weber State114736%66.568.9-2.4
9 Northern Arizona134931%74.575.6-1.1
10 Idaho State113827%69.567.7+1.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fresno State233053
Sacramento State243559
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