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CSU Bakersfield vs UC Riverside Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 08 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 02:30
Scheduled
Position#56
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game72.3
vs
Position#109
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game67.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · CSU Bakersfield v UC Riverside
07 Jan 2027
CSU v UC R
upcoming
08 Jan 2026
CSU 67
UC R66
25 Jan 2025
CSU 79
UC R83
18 Jan 2024
CSU 80
UC R56
02 Feb 2023
CSU 82
UC R76
15 Jan 2022
CSU 64
UC R65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSU Bakersfield win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
UC Riverside win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSU BakersfieldUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hawaii
#44
L
74-89
74
89
-15
H13/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
L
65-93
65
93
-28
A20/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
L
80-88
80
88
-8
H22/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A27/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
L
87-88
87
88
-1
H01/03
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
84-86
84
86
-2
H06/03
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
L
76-108
76
108
-32
A08/03
NCAA
Stanton
#451
W
93-54
93
54
+39
H06/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#264
W
91-80
91
80
+11
H08/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#303
W
91-83
91
83
+8
A13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-43
42-46
23-43
42-50
42-41
38-47
27-43
45-41
43-44
44-44
34-36
50-50
41-62
35-46
36-22
57-32
38-32
53-48
32-38
59-45
166.6Avg total
81.3Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)91.772.3164.0+19.3100%
Season at home (2)92.067.0159.0+25.0100%
Season away (1)91.083.0174.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.385.3166.6-4.030%
Last 5 (5)87.082.2169.2+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)72.485.1157.5-12.717%
vs Similar ◀ (1)62.070.0132.0-8.00%
vs Weaker (4)91.274.8166.0+16.5100%
This opponent (UC Riverside) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC RiversideUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC San Diego
#64
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A15/02
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
93-65
93
65
+28
H20/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
73-78
73
78
-5
H21/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A27/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
W
95-84
95
84
+11
H01/03
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
74-93
74
93
-19
A06/03
NCAA
La Verne
#522
W
110-47
110
47
+63
H03/11
NCAA
Denver
#359
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H08/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#278
W
80-75
80
75
+5
A13/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#143
L
80-89
80
89
-9
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-32
38-40
43-23
50-42
31-37
42-41
27-39
32-31
39-32
56-52
39-46
35-47
52-21
58-26
22-29
42-31
36-37
44-38
28-50
52-39
152.7Avg total
79.4Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.567.8151.2+15.875%
Season at home (2)87.053.5140.5+33.5100%
Season away (2)80.082.0162.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)79.473.3152.7+6.150%
Last 5 (5)81.672.8154.4+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)69.180.8149.9-11.716%
vs Similar ◀ (4)79.881.8161.5-2.050%
vs Weaker (6)79.771.0150.7+8.767%
This opponent (CSU Bakersfield) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -5.6-5.61st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: +6.2+6.2
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -5.6-5.61st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: +6.2+6.2
CSU BakersfieldUC Riverside
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CSU BakersfieldLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hawaii
#44
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H13/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A20/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H22/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A27/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H01/03
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H06/03
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
L
41-62
41
62
-21
A08/03
NCAA
Stanton
#451
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H06/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#264
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H08/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#303
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A13/11
NCAA
75.2Avg total
34.8Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.239.372.5-6.123%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.635.970.5-1.235%-
Last 30 away (13)31.343.875.2-12.58%-
Last 10 (10)34.840.475.2-5.630%-
Last 5 (5)36.238.074.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)32.341.774.0-9.412%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)26.033.059.0-7.00%-
vs Weaker (4)39.531.070.5+8.575%-
This opponent (UC Riverside) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC RiversideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC San Diego
#64
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A15/02
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H20/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H21/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A27/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H01/03
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A06/03
NCAA
La Verne
#522
W
52-21
52
21
+31
H03/11
NCAA
Denver
#359
L
22-29
22
29
-7
H08/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#278
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A13/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#143
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A14/11
NCAA
69.1Avg total
34.5Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.736.871.5-2.130%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.232.969.1+3.350%-
Last 30 away (16)33.340.273.5-6.912%-
Last 10 (10)34.534.669.1-0.130%-
Last 5 (5)35.436.672.0-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)33.038.171.1-5.121%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)38.039.877.8-1.825%-
vs Weaker (6)34.833.568.3+1.350%-
This opponent (CSU Bakersfield) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
CSU Bakersfield wins
7
UC Riverside wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AWestern Illinois91-83
08/11/26HNorth Dakota St91-80
06/11/26HStanton93-54
08/03/26ACal Poly76-108
06/03/26HCS Northridge84-86
01/03/26HLong Beach State87-88
27/02/26AUC San Diego72-84
22/02/26HCS Fullerton80-88
20/02/26AUC Riverside65-93
13/02/26HHawaii74-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AFresno State80-89
13/11/26ASan Jose State80-75
08/11/26HDenver64-60
03/11/26HLa Verne110-47
06/03/26AHawaii74-93
01/03/26HCS Northridge95-84
27/02/26AUC Santa Barbara59-70
21/02/26HUC Davis73-78
20/02/26HCSU Bakersfield93-65
15/02/26AUC San Diego66-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSU Bakersfield
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.792.091.0
Allowed / game72.367.083.0
Point differential+19.3+25.0+8.0
Avg total164.0159.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
UC Riverside
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game83.587.080.0
Allowed / game67.853.582.0
Point differential+15.8+33.5-2.0
Avg total151.2140.5162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC Irvine330100%91.061.7+29.3
2 UC Santa Barbara330100%83.761.7+22.0
3 CSU Bakersfield330100%91.772.3+19.3
4 Hawaii43175%81.863.0+18.8
5 UC Riverside43175%83.567.8+15.8
6 UC Davis43175%74.064.0+10.0
7 CS Fullerton32167%88.786.0+2.7
8 UC San Diego32167%87.786.7+1.0
9 Cal Poly42250%79.084.8-5.8
10 CS Northridge31233%84.381.0+3.3
11 Long Beach State31233%65.069.3-4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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