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Cyprus vs Portugal Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 66-75
9-21 27-17 22-26 8-11
Position#40
Record1-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game64.3
Allowed / game79.1
vs
Position#14
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game67.0
EuropeEuroBasketRound 5· Tassos Papadopoulos Eleftheria SC
Other2023
Meetings · Cyprus v Portugal
23 Feb 2023
CYPR66
PORT75
20 Feb 2021
CYPR52
PORT84
23 Nov 2017
CYPR69
PORT67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cyprus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Portugal winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCyprus
Date
Competition
Ireland
#29
L
73-81
73
81
-8
no box
H25/11
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
L
43-66
43
66
-23
no box
A28/11
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
L
77-86
77
86
-9
68avg 53
H24/02
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
L
75-83 OT
75
83
-8
63avg 53
A27/02
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
71-63
71
63
+8
61avg 53
H30/06
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
L
49-78
49
78
-29
34avg 53
A03/07
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
55-88
55
88
-33
44avg 53
A25/08
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
L
69-102
69
102
-33
54avg 53
A28/08
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
L
65-69
65
69
-4
53avg 53
H10/11
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
66-75
66
75
-9
45avg 53
H13/11
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
14-24
19-22
23-15
11-21
20-20
4-11
8-14
15-22
19-25
17-21
26-18
15-15
11-23
21-10
17-16
22-21
21-19
11-6
17-17
15-19
5-18
15-21
14-20
15-19
15-29
11-16
14-24
17-35
22-23
18-23
12-21
19-19
16-21
13-14
17-15
8-16
13-17
27-24
18-18
143.4Avg total
64.3Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)64.379.1143.4-14.810%
Season at home (5)70.474.8145.2-4.420%
Season away (5)58.283.4141.6-25.20%
Last 10 (10)64.379.1143.4-14.810%
Last 5 (5)60.882.4143.2-21.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)64.281.3145.5-17.17%
vs Similar (1)76.089.0165.0-13.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Portugal) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPortugal
Date
Competition
Hungary
#42
L
75-81
75
81
-6
no box
H26/11
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
L
69-83
69
83
-14
no box
A29/11
World Cup
France
#8
L
56-94
56
94
-38
no box
A24/02
World Cup
France
#8
L
56-69
56
69
-13
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Hungary
#42
L
68-69
68
69
-1
no box
A01/07
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
L
62-77
62
77
-15
no box
H04/07
World Cup
Romania
#16
W
75-59
75
59
+16
72avg 88
A25/08
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
102-69
102
69
+33
108avg 88
H28/08
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
88-78
88
78
+10
85avg 88
H10/11
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
W
92-62
92
62
+30
89avg 88
H13/11
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
18-18
16-23
26-20
14-24
22-17
20-23
13-19
17-15
16-22
11-27
12-30
16-17
19-17
8-15
13-20
13-21
18-19
21-13
16-16
14-19
16-26
21-21
11-11
17-14
25-16
19-19
14-10
35-17
23-22
23-18
21-12
21-20
23-32
23-12
21-14
27-14
27-27
18-10
20-11
148.4Avg total
74.3Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)89.267.0156.2+22.2100%
Season at home (3)94.069.7163.7+24.3100%
Season away (1)75.059.0134.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)74.374.1148.4+0.240%
Last 5 (5)83.869.0152.8+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)63.874.4138.2-10.620%
vs Similar (7)77.080.9157.9-3.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)80.565.4145.9+15.285%
This opponent (Cyprus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -6.3-6.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.4+0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -6.3-6.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.4+0.4
CyprusPortugal
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CyprusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ireland
#29
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H25/11
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A28/11
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H24/02
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A27/02
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H30/06
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
L
20-37
20
37
-17
A03/07
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A25/08
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A28/08
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H10/11
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
21-33
21
33
-12
H13/11
EuroBasket
73.6Avg total
31.0Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.941.572.4-10.617%-
Last 30 at home (14)30.940.671.6-9.714%-
Last 30 away (16)30.942.273.1-11.419%-
Last 10 (10)31.042.673.6-11.610%-
Last 5 (5)29.043.272.2-14.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)31.041.472.3-10.417%-
vs Similar (1)29.045.074.0-16.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Portugal) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortugalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hungary
#42
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H26/11
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A29/11
World Cup
France
#8
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A24/02
World Cup
France
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H27/02
World Cup
Hungary
#42
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A01/07
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H04/07
World Cup
Romania
#16
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A25/08
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H28/08
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H10/11
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H13/11
EuroBasket
79.3Avg total
39.6Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.236.475.6+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.735.876.5+4.975%-
Last 30 away (14)37.537.174.6+0.443%-
Last 10 (10)39.639.779.3-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)45.641.487.0+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)33.934.968.8-1.050%-
vs Similar (7)38.142.380.4-4.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.834.578.3+9.477%-
This opponent (Cyprus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cyprustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cyprus: 63.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.415.5
43.8%
50.6%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.8
30.6%
32.5%23.4
🏀 Free throws13.89.1
65.9%
71.4%9.1
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Portugaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portugal: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.5 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.223.8
59.0%
50.6%47.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.5
36.9%
32.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.212.8
69.9%
71.4%12.8
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/4 games with a box score before 23 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cyprus
LLLLLWLLLL
Portugal
WWWWLLLLLL
#40
League position
#14
-20.2
Net rating
+31.7
88.0
Offensive rating
123.7
108.2
Defensive rating
92.0
44.7%
Effective FG%
57.6%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.2%
19.5%
Turnover %
15.0%
23.1%
Off. rebound %
38.5%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.6%
3-point %
36.9%
47.6%
Assist %
67.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence88.0 · 123.7Defence108.2 · 92.0Shooting44.7% · 57.6%3-point %30.6% · 36.9%Ball care19.5% · 15.0%Off. rebounds23.1% · 38.5%Free throws0.23 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Cyprus   ■ Portugal
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cyprus wins
4
Portugal wins
DateGameScore
28/08/22Portugal v Cyprus102-69
20/02/21Cyprus v Portugal52-84
26/11/20Portugal v Cyprus74-56
25/02/18Portugal v Cyprus76-64
23/11/17Cyprus v Portugal69-67
Cypruslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/22HBulgaria66-75
10/11/22HRomania65-69
28/08/22APortugal69-102
25/08/22ABulgaria55-88
03/07/22AAustria49-78
30/06/22HSwitzerland71-63
27/02/22AIreland75-83 OT
24/02/22HAustria77-86
28/11/21ASwitzerland43-66
25/11/21HIreland73-81
Portugallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/22HRomania92-62
10/11/22HBulgaria88-78
28/08/22HCyprus102-69
25/08/22ARomania75-59
04/07/22HMontenegro62-77
01/07/22AHungary68-69
27/02/22HFrance56-69
24/02/22AFrance56-94
29/11/21AMontenegro69-83
26/11/21HHungary75-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cyprus
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL10%
HomeLLWLL20%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %10%20%0%
Points / game64.370.458.2
Allowed / game79.174.883.4
Point differential-14.8-4.4-25.2
Avg total143.4145.2141.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %10%0%20%
Portugal
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.294.075.0
Allowed / game67.069.759.0
Point differential+22.2+24.3+16.0
Avg total156.2163.7134.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portugal440100%89.267.0+22.2
2 North Macedonia440100%71.063.0+8.0
3 Poland43175%81.567.5+14.0
4 Croatia43175%83.871.0+12.8
5 Bulgaria43175%81.270.2+11.0
6 Romania85362%73.874.9-1.1
7 Switzerland106460%71.070.1+0.9
8 Austria105550%75.374.6+0.7
9 Norway84450%73.673.2+0.4
10 Slovakia42250%71.273.0-1.8
11 Denmark83538%76.574.9+1.6
12 Ireland62433%75.784.7-9.0
13 Luxembourg41325%78.079.5-1.5
14 Albania41325%78.288.0-9.8
15 Kosovo41325%79.589.8-10.2
16 Cyprus101910%64.379.1-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cyprus92722866
Portugal2117261175
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