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Darussafaka vs Balikesir Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 15:15
Final 84-71
16-19 17-23 31-13 20-16
Position#12
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game68.3
Allowed / game75.3
vs
Position#15
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game84.3
TurkeyTBLRound 4· Ayhan
Other2025-26
Meetings · Darussafaka v Balikesir
20 Sep 2026
DAR67
BALI65
12 Oct 2025
DAR84
BALI71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Darussafaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Balikesir winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DarussafakaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDarussafaka
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#13
W
84-75
84
75
+9
83avg 73
H04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
77avg 73
A11/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
W
94-87
94
87
+7
84avg 73
H19/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
86-89
86
89
-3
75avg 73
A26/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#16
L
77-84 OT
77
84
-7
67avg 73
H04/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#9
L
82-98
82
98
-16
74avg 73
A10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#6
L
89-105
89
105
-16
83avg 73
A18/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cayirova
#1
L
58-89
58
89
-31
52avg 73
A19/09
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#13
W
77-62
77
62
+15
64avg 73
H28/09
TBL
Kahramanmaras
#8
L
70-75
70
75
-5
62avg 73
A05/10
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
26-22
21-16
17-15
20-21
12-23
15-24
30-20
19-17
20-21
19-23
36-26
23-22
17-17
19-29
27-21
20-13
19-14
15-22
16-21
19-31
17-24
27-24
19-19
26-28
22-28
19-31
22-18
18-21
10-26
14-21
16-21
16-21
27-14
22-19
12-8
18-19
18-18
12-18
22-20
164.6Avg total
79.4Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)68.375.3143.7-7.033%
Season at home (1)77.062.0139.0+15.0100%
Season away (2)64.082.0146.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)79.485.2164.6-5.830%
Last 5 (5)75.285.8161.0-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)80.488.7169.1-8.222%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.682.5164.1-0.942%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Balikesir) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalikesirTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalikesir
Date
Competition
Trabzonspor
#2
L
85-97
85
97
-12
76avg 84
H06/04
TBL
MKE Ankaragucu
#3
L
87-100
87
100
-13
78avg 84
A13/04
TBL
Konya BBSK
#7
W
104-95
104
95
+9
106avg 84
H19/04
TBL
Bordo Sportif
#9
W
82-80
82
80
+2
75avg 84
A22/04
TBL
Harem Spor
#10
W
106-96
106
96
+10
100avg 84
A24/04
TBL
Esenler Erokspor
#1
L
109-116
109
116
-7
102avg 84
A27/04
TBL
Esenler Erokspor
#1
L
77-84
77
84
-7
68avg 84
H30/04
TBL
Gaziantep
#3
L
66-77
66
77
-11
55avg 84
H21/09
TBL
Kocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor
#17
L
81-96
81
96
-15
78avg 84
A27/09
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#9
W
82-80 OT
82
80
+2
70avg 84
H03/10
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
26-27
18-27
20-20
26-24
16-29
25-15
20-32
33-21
29-21
18-26
24-27
29-19
19-16
16-19
18-26
21-26
28-26
29-21
28-23
26-28
25-31
31-31
27-26
12-26
29-16
17-18
19-24
20-21
16-23
18-21
12-12
26-19
23-32
13-23
19-22
23-22
9-16
19-18
22-17
180.0Avg total
87.9Scored
92.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.384.3160.7-8.033%
Season at home (2)74.078.5152.5-4.550%
Season away (1)81.096.0177.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)87.992.1180.0-4.240%
Last 5 (5)83.090.6173.6-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.088.0164.0-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (19)90.389.6179.9+0.742%
vs Weaker (8)96.581.4177.9+15.188%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -2.0-2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -2.0-2.0
DarussafakaBalikesir
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#13
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A11/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H19/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A26/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#16
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H04/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#9
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#6
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A18/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cayirova
#1
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A19/09
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#13
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H28/09
TBL
Kahramanmaras
#8
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A05/10
TBL
80.9Avg total
38.7Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.342.382.6-2.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.339.881.1+1.573%-
Last 30 away (15)39.344.884.1-5.520%-
Last 10 (10)38.742.280.9-3.550%-
Last 5 (5)38.246.084.2-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)39.843.283.0-3.439%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.040.981.9+0.158%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Balikesir) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalikesirLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trabzonspor
#2
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H06/04
TBL
MKE Ankaragucu
#3
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A13/04
TBL
Konya BBSK
#7
W
62-42
62
42
+20
H19/04
TBL
Bordo Sportif
#9
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A22/04
TBL
Harem Spor
#10
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A24/04
TBL
Esenler Erokspor
#1
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A27/04
TBL
Esenler Erokspor
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H30/04
TBL
Gaziantep
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H21/09
TBL
Kocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor
#17
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A27/09
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#9
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H03/10
TBL
92.3Avg total
45.7Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.544.390.8+2.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.440.383.7+3.140%-
Last 30 away (15)49.548.497.9+1.140%-
Last 10 (10)45.746.692.3-0.920%-
Last 5 (5)41.846.888.6-5.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.047.088.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)46.445.391.6+1.137%-
vs Weaker (8)48.841.189.9+7.662%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.7 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.0
50.8%
51.1%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.1
34.6%
34.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws12.88.7
68.0%
72.0%8.7
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Balikesirtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balikesir: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.220.0
55.3%
51.1%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.2
31.6%
34.3%21.5
🏀 Free throws22.715.3
67.6%
72.0%15.3
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/6 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Darussafaka
LWLLLLLWLW
Balikesir
WLLLLWWWLL
#12
League position
#15
-4.8
Net rating
-4.7
106.9
Offensive rating
108.4
111.7
Defensive rating
113.1
51.3%
Effective FG%
52.3%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
16.5%
Turnover %
19.2%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.39
34.6%
3-point %
31.6%
63.5%
Assist %
50.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 108.4Defence111.7 · 113.1Shooting51.3% · 52.3%3-point %34.6% · 31.6%Ball care16.5% · 19.2%Off. rebounds30.5% · 31.3%Free throws0.19 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Darussafaka   ■ Balikesir
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Darussafaka wins
0
Balikesir wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/25AKahramanmaras70-75
28/09/25HiLab Basketbol77-62
19/09/25ACayirova58-89
18/05/25AMersin SK89-105
10/05/25ABursaspor82-98
04/05/25HYalovaspor77-84 OT
26/04/25ABuyukcekmece86-89
19/04/25HGalatasaray94-87
11/04/25ABesiktas77-88
04/04/25HKarsiyaka84-75
Balikesirlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/25HAnkara Kolejliler82-80 OT
27/09/25AKocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor81-96
21/09/25HGaziantep66-77
30/04/25HEsenler Erokspor77-84
27/04/25AEsenler Erokspor109-116
24/04/25AHarem Spor106-96
22/04/25ABordo Sportif82-80
19/04/25HKonya BBSK104-95
13/04/25AMKE Ankaragucu87-100
06/04/25HTrabzonspor85-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Darussafaka
TBL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game68.377.064.0
Allowed / game75.362.082.0
Point differential-7.0+15.0-18.0
Avg total143.7139.0146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Balikesir
TBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game76.374.081.0
Allowed / game84.378.596.0
Point differential-8.0-4.5-15.0
Avg total160.7152.5177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %33%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cayirova440100%79.557.2+22.2
2 Konya BBSK440100%81.069.2+11.8
3 Kahramanmaras440100%85.276.2+9.0
4 Gaziantep43175%85.571.8+13.8
5 Bordo Sportif43175%79.872.2+7.5
6 Goztepe43175%77.880.5-2.8
7 MKE Ankaragucu42250%57.253.0+4.2
8 CO Basket42250%61.061.5-0.5
9 OGM Ormanspor42250%75.276.8-1.5
10 Kocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor42250%76.579.5-3.0
11 Darussafaka31233%68.375.3-7.0
12 Balikesir31233%76.384.3-8.0
13 Ankara Kolejliler41325%81.281.0+0.2
14 Final Spor41325%56.257.8-1.5
15 Fenerbahce 241325%71.577.8-6.2
16 Harem Spor41325%72.879.5-6.8
17 iLab Basketbol4040%76.892.0-15.2
18 Yalovaspor4040%0.020.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Darussafaka1617312084
Balikesir1923131671
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