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Bursaspor vs Darussafaka Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 May 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 98-82
31-19 24-17 24-27 19-19
Position#9
Record11-17
FormLLLWL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Position#15
Record9-19
FormWLWLL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game87.4
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 29· Tofas Spor Salonu
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Bursaspor v Darussafaka
10 May 2025
BUR98
DAR82
07 Oct 2023
BUR68
DAR64
28 Dec 2022
BUR97
DAR71
26 Mar 2022
BUR83
DAR81
10 Feb 2021
BUR68
DAR70
25 Jan 2020
BUR79
DAR87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bursaspor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Darussafaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BursasporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBursaspor
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#7
W
93-76
93
76
+17
90avg 79
A01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
W
98-93
98
93
+5
93avg 79
H08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
L
67-92
67
92
-25
51avg 79
A16/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
98-90
98
90
+8
97avg 79
H23/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#13
L
78-82
78
82
-4
73avg 79
A29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
91-121
91
121
-30
81avg 79
H05/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
L
89-95
89
95
-6
87avg 79
A12/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
68-89
68
89
-21
53avg 79
H19/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#16
W
95-75
95
75
+20
94avg 79
A27/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#6
L
82-89
82
89
-7
74avg 79
A03/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
21-18
21-19
23-18
20-28
29-20
23-26
26-19
12-19
20-26
15-22
20-25
27-22
26-19
22-17
23-32
19-26
18-10
17-23
24-23
24-27
16-34
27-33
24-27
25-15
16-29
16-25
32-26
15-23
10-18
22-17
21-31
19-15
24-20
22-24
30-16
17-25
16-21
17-24
32-19
176.1Avg total
85.9Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)84.890.0174.9-5.239%
Season at home (14)87.395.6182.9-8.336%
Season away (14)82.484.5166.9-2.143%
Last 10 (10)85.990.2176.1-4.340%
Last 5 (5)85.093.8178.8-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)84.193.6177.7-9.433%
vs Similar ◀ (18)84.688.4173.0-3.933%
vs Weaker (3)93.378.0171.3+15.3100%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDarussafaka
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#1
L
75-91
75
91
-16
69avg 74
A01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
W
89-71
89
71
+18
84avg 74
H08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
L
93-111
93
111
-18
85avg 74
A16/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
L
84-88
84
88
-4
85avg 74
H21/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
L
82-85
82
85
-3
70avg 74
A29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#13
W
84-75
84
75
+9
83avg 74
H04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
77avg 74
A11/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
W
94-87
94
87
+7
84avg 74
H19/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
86-89
86
89
-3
75avg 74
A26/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#16
L
77-84 OT
77
84
-7
67avg 74
H04/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
16-16
21-21
21-29
19-18
26-21
21-15
23-17
22-23
26-29
26-31
19-28
26-24
17-16
20-21
21-27
20-19
23-23
19-16
20-27
20-22
26-22
21-16
17-15
20-21
12-23
15-24
30-20
19-17
20-21
19-23
36-26
23-22
17-17
19-29
27-21
20-13
19-14
15-22
16-21
171.0Avg total
84.1Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)82.287.4169.6-5.132%
Season at home (15)83.881.9165.7+1.953%
Season away (13)80.493.7174.1-13.38%
Last 10 (10)84.186.9171.0-2.830%
Last 5 (5)83.684.6168.2-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)81.289.7170.9-8.523%
vs Similar ◀ (8)82.681.2163.9+1.450%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.1-0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.1-0.1
BursasporDarussafaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#7
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A16/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H23/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#13
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
40-61
40
61
-21
H05/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A12/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H19/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#16
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A27/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#6
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A03/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
83.8Avg total
40.2Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.843.083.8-2.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.844.786.5-2.953%-
Last 30 away (15)39.841.381.1-1.540%-
Last 10 (10)40.243.683.8-3.450%-
Last 5 (5)36.445.481.8-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.346.487.8-5.133%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)39.842.382.1-2.544%-
vs Weaker (3)45.336.782.0+8.7100%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#1
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A16/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H21/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#13
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A11/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H19/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A26/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#16
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H04/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
81.4Avg total
40.8Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.142.483.5-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.940.682.6+1.369%-
Last 30 away (14)40.144.584.6-4.421%-
Last 10 (10)40.840.681.4+0.270%-
Last 5 (5)39.238.477.6+0.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)41.043.984.9-2.836%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.138.579.6+2.675%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.923.6
55.0%
54.1%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.6
34.4%
35.8%25.8
🏀 Free throws16.111.3
70.2%
76.0%11.3
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.720.9
51.4%
54.1%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.7
34.4%
35.8%26.1
🏀 Free throws13.710.0
73.0%
76.0%10.0
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bursaspor
LWLLLLWLWW
Darussafaka
LLWLWLLLWL
#9
League position
#15
+4.6
Net rating
-9.3
114.5
Offensive rating
105.4
109.9
Defensive rating
114.7
53.8%
Effective FG%
51.4%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
14.9%
Turnover %
16.8%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.21
34.4%
3-point %
34.4%
55.0%
Assist %
63.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 105.4Defence109.9 · 114.7Shooting53.8% · 51.4%3-point %34.4% · 34.4%Ball care14.9% · 16.8%Off. rebounds34.8% · 27.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Bursaspor   ■ Darussafaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bursaspor wins
7
Darussafaka wins
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25AMersin SK82-89
27/04/25AYalovaspor95-75
19/04/25HBuyukcekmece68-89
12/04/25AGalatasaray89-95
05/04/25HBesiktas91-121
29/03/25AKarsiyaka78-82
23/03/25HMerkezefendi98-90
16/03/25ABahcesehir Kol.67-92
08/03/25HTofas98-93
01/03/25ATurk Telekom93-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/25HYalovaspor77-84 OT
26/04/25ABuyukcekmece86-89
19/04/25HGalatasaray94-87
11/04/25ABesiktas77-88
04/04/25HKarsiyaka84-75
29/03/25AMerkezefendi82-85
21/03/25HBahcesehir Kol.84-88
16/03/25ATofas93-111
08/03/25HTurk Telekom89-71
01/03/25AFenerbahce75-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bursaspor
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL39%
HomeLWWLL36%
AwayLLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %39%36%43%
Points / game84.887.382.4
Allowed / game90.095.684.5
Point differential-5.2-8.3-2.1
Avg total174.9182.9166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%14%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Darussafaka
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL32%
HomeWLWWL53%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %32%53%8%
Points / game82.283.880.4
Allowed / game87.481.993.7
Point differential-5.1+1.9-13.3
Avg total169.6165.7174.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)33% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %7%7%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2926390%88.180.1+8.0
2 Besiktas2823582%90.581.1+9.5
3 Anadolu Efes2619773%90.580.3+10.3
4 Tofas28171161%87.986.0+1.9
5 Bahcesehir Kol.29171259%82.479.6+2.8
6 Mersin SK29151452%82.084.9-2.9
7 Galatasaray28141450%87.686.2+1.4
8 Buyukcekmece29131645%85.885.9-0.1
9 Turk Telekom28121643%82.883.9-1.1
10 Petkim Spor28111739%82.184.0-1.9
11 Merkezefendi28111739%82.286.3-4.1
12 Bursaspor28111739%84.890.0-5.2
13 Karsiyaka27101737%84.487.4-3.0
14 Manisa29101934%87.188.9-1.8
15 Darussafaka2891932%82.287.4-5.1
16 Yalovaspor2872125%80.288.5-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bursaspor3124241998
Darussafaka1917271982
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