PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Davidson hosts Charlotte on 17 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model designating Davidson as the clear favourite thanks to their perfect 3-0 record, 75.3 points per game, and only 60.7 points allowed, placing them 80th in the league, while Charlotte sits at 186th with a 2-1 record, 72.3 points per game and 68.3 allowed. Davidson has won both home games, averaging 75.0 points and conceding 60.5, and has won four of its last five, including a 62-45 victory over Bradley and an 88-76 win over Mercer; Charlotte has a 1-0 road record with 78.0 points per game and 70.0 allowed, and has won three of its last five, notably a 77-67 win over Georgia State and a 78-70 road win over Indiana State. In their six meetings, Davidson has won four, most recently beating Charlotte 62-55 on 11 November 2025. Pythia assigns a 92% probability to a Davidson win and 8% to Charlotte, projecting a score of 81-65 for a total of 145.8 points, with a 2% chance of overtime. The home team's line is 81-65, and the model estimates a 92% probability that Davidson covers it. The game ends with Davidson's decisive 81-65 victory.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 75.3 | 60.7 | 136.0 | +14.7 | 100% |
| Season at home (2) | 75.0 | 60.5 | 135.5 | +14.5 | 100% |
| Season away (1) | 76.0 | 61.0 | 137.0 | +15.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 68.0 | 62.7 | 130.7 | +5.3 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 69.6 | 62.2 | 131.8 | +7.4 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 74.0 | 78.8 | 152.8 | -4.8 | 25% |
| vs Similar (16) | 64.8 | 65.8 | 130.5 | -1.0 | 44% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (10) | 80.7 | 62.3 | 143.0 | +18.4 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 69.2 | 67.8 | 137.0 | +1.5 | 50% |
| Season at home (3) | 66.3 | 67.0 | 133.3 | -0.7 | 33% |
| Season away (1) | 78.0 | 70.0 | 148.0 | +8.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 70.8 | 73.5 | 144.3 | -2.7 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 68.2 | 71.4 | 139.6 | -3.2 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (17) | 73.3 | 78.2 | 151.5 | -4.9 | 35% |
| vs Similar (8) | 72.1 | 68.5 | 140.6 | +3.6 | 75% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 74.4 | 68.4 | 142.8 | +6.0 | 80% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 33.0 | 29.7 | 62.7 | +3.2 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 at home (18) | 33.8 | 29.6 | 63.4 | +4.2 | 61% | - |
| Last 30 away (12) | 31.8 | 29.9 | 61.7 | +1.8 | 58% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 30.7 | 27.9 | 58.6 | +2.8 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 29.2 | 26.4 | 55.6 | +2.8 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 34.2 | 33.2 | 67.5 | +1.0 | 50% | - |
| vs Similar (16) | 29.8 | 30.2 | 60.1 | -0.4 | 44% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (10) | 37.5 | 27.5 | 65.0 | +10.0 | 90% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 33.0 | 33.5 | 66.6 | -0.5 | 43% | - |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 33.5 | 32.2 | 65.7 | +1.2 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 away (13) | 32.5 | 35.2 | 67.7 | -2.8 | 31% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 31.2 | 33.2 | 64.4 | -2.0 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 30.8 | 33.4 | 64.2 | -2.6 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (17) | 33.2 | 37.1 | 70.3 | -3.9 | 24% | - |
| vs Similar (8) | 30.1 | 27.9 | 58.0 | +2.2 | 62% | - |
| vs Weaker (5) | 37.2 | 30.4 | 67.6 | +6.8 | 80% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 12/11/25 | Charlotte v Davidson | 55-62 |
| 11/12/24 | Davidson v Charlotte | 75-71 |
| 30/11/23 | Charlotte v Davidson | 81-85 |
| 30/11/22 | Davidson v Charlotte | 66-68 OT |
| 01/12/21 | Charlotte v Davidson | 58-75 |
| 16/12/20 | Davidson v Charlotte | 52-63 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | H | Bradley | 62-45 |
| 08/11/26 | H | Mercer | 88-76 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Washington State | 76-61 |
| 13/03/26 | A | Saint Josephs Hawks | 58-70 |
| 12/03/26 | H | Loyola Chicago | 64-59 OT |
| 07/03/26 | A | St. Bonaventure | 68-63 |
| 05/03/26 | H | Saint Josephs Hawks | 67-70 |
| 01/03/26 | H | La Salle | 71-64 |
| 26/02/26 | A | Duquesne | 67-56 |
| 21/02/26 | A | Fordham | 59-63 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | H | Appalachian State | 60-66 |
| 10/11/26 | H | Seton Hall | 62-68 |
| 06/11/26 | H | Georgia State | 77-67 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Indiana State | 78-70 |
| 14/03/26 | A | South Florida | 64-86 |
| 13/03/26 | A | UAB | 83-78 |
| 12/03/26 | H | Tulane | 74-60 |
| 08/03/26 | A | South Florida | 60-83 |
| 05/03/26 | H | UAB | 74-80 |
| 01/03/26 | A | Florida Atlantic | 76-77 OT |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWW | 100% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | W | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Points / game | 75.3 | 75.0 | 76.0 |
| Allowed / game | 60.7 | 60.5 | 61.0 |
| Point differential | +14.7 | +14.5 | +15.0 |
| Avg total | 136.0 | 135.5 | 137.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLL | 50% |
| Home | WLL | 33% |
| Away | W | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Win % | 50% | 33% | 100% |
| Points / game | 69.2 | 66.3 | 78.0 |
| Allowed / game | 67.8 | 67.0 | 70.0 |
| Point differential | +1.5 | -0.7 | +8.0 |
| Avg total | 137.0 | 133.3 | 148.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 25% | 33% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  St. Louis Billikens | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 102.3 | 71.3 | +31.0 |
| 2 |  George Washington | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 80.0 | 51.8 | +28.2 |
| 3 |  Rhode Island | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 81.2 | 59.2 | +22.0 |
| 4 | Davidson | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 75.3 | 60.7 | +14.7 |
| 5 |  Saint Josephs Hawks | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 77.3 | 70.0 | +7.3 |
| 6 |  Duquesne | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 72.7 | 66.7 | +6.0 |
| 7 |  Richmond Spiders | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 89.0 | 64.0 | +25.0 |
| 8 |  George Mason | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 71.8 | 58.8 | +13.0 |
| 9 |  Fordham | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 76.5 | 72.0 | +4.5 |
| 10 |  St. Bonaventure | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 82.3 | 64.0 | +18.3 |
| 11 |  VCU Rams | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 85.7 | 70.0 | +15.7 |
| 12 |  Loyola Chicago | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 82.0 | 70.7 | +11.3 |
| 13 |  Dayton | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 84.7 | 79.3 | +5.3 |
| 14 |  La Salle | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 67.3 | 84.7 | -17.3 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tulsa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 90.7 | 65.3 | +25.3 |
| 2 |  North Texas | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 90.0 | 64.3 | +25.7 |
| 3 |  Wichita State | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 92.7 | 73.3 | +19.3 |
| 4 |  East Carolina | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 76.7 | 71.7 | +5.0 |
| 5 |  UAB | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 80.0 | 75.3 | +4.7 |
| 6 |  UTSA Roadrunners | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 76.7 | 74.0 | +2.7 |
| 7 |  Florida Atlantic | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 80.0 | 82.3 | -2.3 |
| 8 |  Memphis | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 83.3 | 89.7 | -6.3 |
| 9 |  Tulane | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 81.2 | 78.2 | +3.0 |
| 10 | Charlotte | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 69.2 | 67.8 | +1.5 |
| 11 |  Rice | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 81.3 | 72.7 | +8.7 |
| 12 |  South Florida | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 86.0 | 78.7 | +7.3 |
| 13 |  Temple | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 67.3 | 75.3 | -8.0 |
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