PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Charlotte faces Appalachian State on 13 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model designating Charlotte as the favourite and predicting a decisive win. Charlotte has gone 2-0 this season, averaging 77.5 points scored and 68.5 allowed, and is 127th in the league; at home they are 1-0, scoring 77.0 and conceding 67.0. Their last five games show 4 wins and 1 loss, including a 77-67 victory over Georgia State at home on 5 November and a 78-70 win against Indiana State away on 2 November. Appalachian State is 1-1 overall, scoring 78.5 and allowing 53.0, and 0-1 on the road, with 49.0 points scored and 63.0 allowed; their last five games include 2 wins and 3 losses, highlighted by a 108-43 home win over Christendom on 4 November. Historically, Appalachian State leads the series 3-2, most recently beating Charlotte 65-63 on 21 November 2025. Pythia gives Charlotte a 71% chance to win and Appalachian State a 29% chance, projecting a 74-67 score for a total of 141.3 points; the model sees a 5% chance of overtime. Charlotte's recent home win over Georgia State demonstrates their current form.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 72.3 | 68.3 | 140.7 | +4.0 | 67% |
| Season at home (2) | 69.5 | 67.5 | 137.0 | +2.0 | 50% |
| Season away (1) | 78.0 | 70.0 | 148.0 | +8.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 72.8 | 74.8 | 147.6 | -2.0 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 72.8 | 73.8 | 146.6 | -1.0 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (17) | 74.4 | 78.5 | 152.8 | -4.1 | 41% |
| vs Similar (9) | 71.4 | 68.8 | 140.2 | +2.7 | 67% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 73.5 | 68.0 | 141.5 | +5.5 | 75% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 70.0 | 60.3 | 130.3 | +9.7 | 33% |
| Season at home (1) | 108.0 | 43.0 | 151.0 | +65.0 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 51.0 | 69.0 | 120.0 | -18.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 72.6 | 68.9 | 141.5 | +3.7 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 68.0 | 65.4 | 133.4 | +2.6 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 69.5 | 76.5 | 146.0 | -7.0 | 50% |
| vs Similar (6) | 71.5 | 69.7 | 141.2 | +1.8 | 33% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (21) | 69.9 | 64.1 | 134.0 | +5.7 | 62% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 33.1 | 33.7 | 66.7 | -0.6 | 43% | - |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 33.5 | 32.5 | 66.0 | +1.1 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 away (13) | 32.5 | 35.2 | 67.7 | -2.8 | 31% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 32.5 | 34.0 | 66.5 | -1.5 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 32.0 | 34.4 | 66.4 | -2.4 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (17) | 33.3 | 37.2 | 70.5 | -3.9 | 24% | - |
| vs Similar (9) | 29.7 | 28.3 | 58.0 | +1.3 | 56% | - |
| vs Weaker (4) | 39.8 | 30.5 | 70.2 | +9.2 | 100% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 32.6 | 30.3 | 62.8 | +2.3 | 57% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 34.7 | 31.0 | 65.7 | +3.7 | 62% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 30.1 | 29.4 | 59.6 | +0.7 | 50% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 35.2 | 33.7 | 68.9 | +1.5 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 33.8 | 34.8 | 68.6 | -1.0 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 35.0 | 35.5 | 70.5 | -0.5 | 50% | - |
| vs Similar (6) | 35.2 | 32.0 | 67.2 | +3.2 | 67% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (21) | 30.7 | 30.0 | 60.7 | +0.7 | 52% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21/11/25 | Appalachian State v Charlotte | 65-63 |
| 03/12/22 | Charlotte v Appalachian State | 71-62 |
| 18/11/21 | Appalachian State v Charlotte | 66-67 |
| 11/12/20 | Charlotte v Appalachian State | 57-61 |
| 22/11/19 | Appalachian State v Charlotte | 64-55 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/26 | H | Seton Hall | 62-68 |
| 06/11/26 | H | Georgia State | 77-67 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Indiana State | 78-70 |
| 14/03/26 | A | South Florida | 64-86 |
| 13/03/26 | A | UAB | 83-78 |
| 12/03/26 | H | Tulane | 74-60 |
| 08/03/26 | A | South Florida | 60-83 |
| 05/03/26 | H | UAB | 74-80 |
| 01/03/26 | A | Florida Atlantic | 76-77 OT |
| 26/02/26 | H | North Texas | 80-79 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/26 | A | Auburn | 53-75 |
| 05/11/26 | H | Christendom | 108-43 |
| 02/11/26 | A | Merrimack Warriors | 49-63 |
| 07/03/26 | H | Southern Miss | 73-86 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Texas State | 57-60 |
| 21/02/26 | H | Georgia Southern | 89-74 |
| 19/02/26 | H | Marshall | 93-94 |
| 14/02/26 | A | James Madison | 58-69 |
| 12/02/26 | A | Georgia Southern | 81-65 |
| 07/02/26 | H | Eastern Michigan | 65-60 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWL | 67% |
| Home | WL | 50% |
| Away | W | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Win % | 67% | 50% | 100% |
| Points / game | 72.3 | 69.5 | 78.0 |
| Allowed / game | 68.3 | 67.5 | 70.0 |
| Point differential | +4.0 | +2.0 | +8.0 |
| Avg total | 140.7 | 137.0 | 148.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWL | 33% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Win % | 33% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 70.0 | 108.0 | 51.0 |
| Allowed / game | 60.3 | 43.0 | 69.0 |
| Point differential | +9.7 | +65.0 | -18.0 |
| Avg total | 130.3 | 151.0 | 120.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tulsa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 90.7 | 65.3 | +25.3 |
| 2 |  North Texas | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 90.0 | 64.3 | +25.7 |
| 3 |  Wichita State | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 92.7 | 73.3 | +19.3 |
| 4 |  East Carolina | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 76.7 | 71.7 | +5.0 |
| 5 |  Tulane | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 87.3 | 82.7 | +4.7 |
| 6 |  UAB | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 80.0 | 75.3 | +4.7 |
| 7 | Charlotte | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 72.3 | 68.3 | +4.0 |
| 8 |  UTSA Roadrunners | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 76.7 | 74.0 | +2.7 |
| 9 |  Florida Atlantic | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 80.0 | 82.3 | -2.3 |
| 10 |  Memphis | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 83.3 | 89.7 | -6.3 |
| 11 |  Rice | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 81.3 | 72.7 | +8.7 |
| 12 |  South Florida | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 86.0 | 78.7 | +7.3 |
| 13 |  Temple | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 67.3 | 75.3 | -8.0 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Texas State | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 91.3 | 62.0 | +29.3 |
| 2 |  Old Dominion | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 76.2 | 54.5 | +21.8 |
| 3 |  Southern Miss | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 74.3 | 66.0 | +8.3 |
| 4 |  Coastal Carolina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 72.5 | 73.5 | -1.0 |
| 5 |  South Alabama | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 77.0 | 78.5 | -1.5 |
| 6 | Appalachian State | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 70.0 | 60.3 | +9.7 |
| 7 |  Marshall | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 80.7 | 76.7 | +4.0 |
| 8 |  Louisiana Lafayette | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 59.0 | 60.3 | -1.3 |
| 9 |  Georgia Southern | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 80.3 | 82.3 | -2.0 |
| 10 |  James Madison | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 76.0 | 78.7 | -2.7 |
| 11 |  Troy | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 67.3 | 77.0 | -9.7 |
| 12 |  Arkansas State | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 74.0 | 84.3 | -10.3 |
| 13 |  Georgia State | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 85.8 | 77.2 | +8.5 |
| 14 |  Louisiana Monroe | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 84.0 | 86.5 | -2.5 |
| Team | 1H | 2H | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte | 25 | 35 | 60 |
| Appalachian State | 28 | 38 | 66 |
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