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Dayton vs Rhode Island Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 76-81 (OT)
39-31 25-33 12-17
Position#65
Record14-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game68.7
Dayton
USA
vs
Rhode Island 🏆
USA
Position#209
Record12-8
FormLWLWW
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game66.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Dayton v Rhode Island
27 Jan 2026
DAYT76
RHOD81
20 Jan 2024
DAYT96
RHOD62
28 Jan 2022
DAYT53
RHOD51
04 Mar 2021
DAYT84
RHOD72
30 Jan 2021
DAYT67
RHOD56
11 Feb 2020
DAYT81
RHOD67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dayton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rhode Island winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Florida
#361
W
84-61
84
61
+23
H14/12
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
97-69
97
69
+28
H17/12
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H20/12
NCAA
Fordham
#177
W
63-56
63
56
+7
H31/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A03/01
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H07/01
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A14/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
78-51
78
51
+27
H17/01
NCAA
La Salle
#346
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A21/01
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
46-23
38-38
42-31
55-38
33-29
28-35
30-24
33-32
31-39
39-29
30-35
49-37
33-24
38-41
31-30
47-21
29-40
35-27
36-38
38-43
139.5Avg total
74.1Scored
65.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.768.7145.4+8.070%
Season at home (13)80.266.3146.5+13.985%
Season away (7)70.173.1143.3-3.043%
Last 10 (10)74.165.4139.5+8.770%
Last 5 (5)73.267.2140.4+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.280.0155.2-4.850%
vs Similar ◀ (15)75.772.2147.9+3.560%
vs Weaker (10)79.364.3143.6+15.090%
This opponent (Rhode Island) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rhode IslandUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
McNeese State
#15
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H10/12
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
62-45
62
45
+17
H17/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#358
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H23/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H31/12
NCAA
George Mason
#47
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A03/01
NCAA
La Salle
#346
L
72-79
72
79
-7
H08/01
NCAA
Davidson
#109
W
70-45
70
45
+25
A10/01
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
75-84
75
84
-9
H14/01
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A22/01
NCAA
George Mason
#47
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-37
27-29
22-27
40-18
48-39
37-38
27-31
30-30
26-31
24-30
41-41
31-38
39-23
31-22
30-40
45-44
33-33
36-35
32-33
42-32
132.9Avg total
67.8Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)72.266.9139.1+5.360%
Season at home (12)72.866.2139.0+6.558%
Season away (8)71.467.9139.2+3.562%
Last 10 (10)67.865.1132.9+2.750%
Last 5 (5)72.068.2140.2+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.773.9142.6-5.129%
vs Similar ◀ (13)72.869.2142.0+3.562%
vs Weaker (10)77.972.1150.0+5.850%
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: +0.0+0.02nd half2nd half: +5.9+5.92nd half: +2.7+2.7
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: +0.0+0.02nd half2nd half: +5.9+5.92nd half: +2.7+2.7
DaytonRhode Island
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Florida
#361
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H14/12
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H17/12
NCAA
Liberty
#26
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H20/12
NCAA
Fordham
#177
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H31/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A03/01
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H07/01
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A14/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H17/01
NCAA
La Salle
#346
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A21/01
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A24/01
NCAA
65.4Avg total
34.1Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.933.469.3+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.532.069.5+5.572%-
Last 30 away (12)33.435.568.9-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)34.131.365.4+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)31.833.465.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.035.869.8-1.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)33.933.066.9+0.953%-
vs Weaker (10)38.832.671.4+6.260%-
This opponent (Rhode Island) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rhode IslandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
McNeese State
#15
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H10/12
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
22-27
22
27
-5
H17/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#358
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H23/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H31/12
NCAA
George Mason
#47
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A03/01
NCAA
La Salle
#346
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H08/01
NCAA
Davidson
#109
W
39-23
39
23
+16
A10/01
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H14/01
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A22/01
NCAA
George Mason
#47
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H24/01
NCAA
67.0Avg total
33.5Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.335.170.3+0.237%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.433.968.3+0.541%-
Last 30 away (13)36.436.673.0-0.231%-
Last 10 (10)33.533.567.0+0.020%-
Last 5 (5)35.034.069.0+1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.438.471.9-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)33.632.165.7+1.546%-
vs Weaker (10)38.736.675.3+2.150%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Dayton wins
2
Rhode Island wins
DateGameScore
27/02/25Rhode Island v Dayton77-85
20/01/24Dayton v Rhode Island96-62
26/01/23Rhode Island v Dayton75-70
15/02/22Rhode Island v Dayton57-63
29/01/22Dayton v Rhode Island53-51
04/03/21Dayton v Rhode Island84-72
17/02/21Rhode Island v Dayton91-89 OT
30/01/21Dayton v Rhode Island67-56
05/03/20Rhode Island v Dayton57-84
12/02/20Dayton v Rhode Island81-67
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26ASaint Josephs Hawks74-81
21/01/26ALa Salle64-67
17/01/26HLoyola Chicago78-51
14/01/26ADuquesne71-65
07/01/26HGeorge Washington79-72
03/01/26ALoyola Chicago70-68
31/12/25HFordham63-56
20/12/25HLiberty61-64
17/12/25HFlorida State97-69
14/12/25HNorth Florida84-61
Rhode Islandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26HGeorge Mason74-65
22/01/26ARichmond Spiders69-68
14/01/26HVCU Rams75-84
10/01/26ADavidson70-45
08/01/26HLa Salle72-79
03/01/26AGeorge Mason50-61
31/12/25HLoyola Chicago57-61
23/12/25HNortheastern85-77
17/12/25HCanisius62-45
10/12/25HMcNeese State64-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dayton
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL70%
HomeWLWWW85%
AwayLWWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20137
Win %70%85%43%
Points / game76.780.270.1
Allowed / game68.766.373.1
Point differential+8.0+13.9-3.0
Avg total145.4146.5143.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%46%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %10%8%14%
Rhode Island
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeWLLLW58%
AwayWLLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %60%58%62%
Points / game72.272.871.4
Allowed / game66.966.267.9
Point differential+5.3+6.5+3.5
Avg total139.1139.0139.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%42%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Louis Billikens2019195%91.566.8+24.6
2 George Mason2018290%77.767.3+10.3
3 VCU Rams2014670%84.473.7+10.7
4 Dayton2014670%76.768.7+8.0
5 George Washington2013765%85.872.7+13.1
6 Davidson1912763%72.569.7+2.8
7 Richmond Spiders2113862%79.773.0+6.7
8 Rhode Island2012860%72.266.9+5.3
9 St. Bonaventure2012860%77.173.9+3.2
10 Saint Josephs Hawks2012860%74.873.0+1.7
11 Duquesne2011955%83.477.0+6.5
12 Fordham20101050%71.765.3+6.3
13 La Salle2071335%67.072.8-5.7
14 Loyola Chicago2151624%67.477.1-9.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Dayton39251276
Rhode Island31331781
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