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Loyola Chicago vs Dayton Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 68-70
39-31 29-39
Position#350
Record5-9
FormWLLWW
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game75.4
Loyola Chicago
USA
vs
Dayton 🏆
USA
Position#65
Record10-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game69.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Loyola Chicago v Dayton
03 Jan 2026
LOYO68
DAYT70
21 Feb 2025
LOYO76
DAYT72
01 Mar 2024
LOYO77
DAYT72
17 Feb 2023
LOYO49
DAYT65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Loyola Chicago winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dayton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Loyola ChicagoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#90
L
67-80
67
80
-13
H16/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
L
59-76
59
76
-17
H22/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
51-72
51
72
-21
H25/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
51-63
51
63
-12
A26/11
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
83-72
83
72
+11
H03/12
NCAA
Princeton
#337
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H06/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
L
75-84
75
84
-9
H14/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A18/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
W
80-78
80
78
+2
A20/12
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
21-33
46-47
37-42
22-34
26-45
25-27
31-29
20-34
31-39
52-33
30-28
43-40
28-35
47-49
36-50
35-35
40-40
40-38
31-27
30-30
140.6Avg total
67.1Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)68.875.4144.1-6.636%
Season at home (9)69.675.2144.8-5.733%
Season away (5)67.475.6143.0-8.240%
Last 10 (10)67.173.5140.6-6.440%
Last 5 (5)72.074.4146.4-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)67.973.8141.8-5.933%
vs Similar (15)72.571.5143.9+1.067%
vs Weaker (2)80.565.5146.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marquette
#290
W
77-71 OT
77
71
+6
A20/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
74-55
74
55
+19
H22/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
84-79 OT
84
79
+5
H28/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H29/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
88-71
88
71
+17
H03/12
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A06/12
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
84-61
84
61
+23
H14/12
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
97-69
97
69
+28
H17/12
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H20/12
NCAA
Fordham
#177
W
63-56
63
56
+7
H31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
39-34
29-34
44-20
30-35
40-31
29-38
36-30
43-53
46-38
42-33
33-37
40-49
46-23
38-38
42-31
55-38
33-29
28-35
30-24
33-32
147.5Avg total
78.0Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.469.3147.7+9.171%
Season at home (11)80.567.2147.7+13.482%
Season away (3)70.777.0147.7-6.333%
Last 10 (10)78.069.5147.5+8.570%
Last 5 (5)75.667.2142.8+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.878.6152.4-4.840%
vs Similar (17)74.370.6144.9+3.765%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)83.065.3148.3+17.7100%
This opponent (Loyola Chicago) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -5.7-5.71st half: +9.2+9.22nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: -1.8-1.8
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -5.7-5.71st half: +9.2+9.22nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: -1.8-1.8
Loyola ChicagoDayton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Loyola ChicagoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#90
L
21-33
21
33
-12
H16/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H22/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
26-45
26
45
-19
H25/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A26/11
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H03/12
NCAA
Princeton
#337
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H06/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H14/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A18/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A20/12
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A31/12
NCAA
67.9Avg total
31.1Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.435.368.7-1.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.834.967.8-2.138%-
Last 30 away (14)34.135.769.8-1.657%-
Last 10 (10)31.136.867.9-5.730%-
Last 5 (5)33.036.069.0-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)30.237.567.8-7.225%-
vs Similar (15)35.334.870.1+0.553%-
vs Weaker (2)34.026.060.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marquette
#290
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A20/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
44-20
44
20
+24
H22/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H28/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H29/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H03/12
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A06/12
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H14/12
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H17/12
NCAA
Liberty
#26
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H20/12
NCAA
Fordham
#177
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H31/12
NCAA
68.6Avg total
38.9Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.532.368.7+4.263%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.331.368.6+6.174%-
Last 30 away (11)35.034.069.0+1.045%-
Last 10 (10)38.929.768.6+9.290%-
Last 5 (5)36.828.865.6+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.834.867.6-2.040%-
vs Similar (17)34.631.766.4+2.965%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)42.431.073.4+11.471%-
This opponent (Loyola Chicago) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Loyola Chicago wins
3
Dayton wins
DateGameScore
22/02/25Loyola Chicago v Dayton76-72
18/01/25Dayton v Loyola Chicago83-81 OT
02/03/24Loyola Chicago v Dayton77-72
18/02/23Loyola Chicago v Dayton49-65
01/02/23Dayton v Loyola Chicago85-81 OT
Loyola Chicagolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/25ARhode Island61-57
20/12/25ASanta Clara80-78
18/12/25ASan Francisco71-85
14/12/25HChicago State75-84
06/12/25HPrinceton73-68
03/12/25HCentral Michigan83-72
26/11/25ASan Jose State51-63
25/11/25HNorthern Iowa51-72
22/11/25HNorthern Illinois59-76
16/11/25HColorado State67-80
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/25HFordham63-56
20/12/25HLiberty61-64
17/12/25HFlorida State97-69
14/12/25HNorth Florida84-61
06/12/25AVirginia73-86
03/12/25HEast Tennessee St88-71
29/11/25HBrigham Young79-83
28/11/25HGeorgetown84-79 OT
22/11/25HN. Carolina Central74-55
20/11/25AMarquette77-71 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Loyola Chicago
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW36%
HomeLLWWL33%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %36%33%40%
Points / game68.869.667.4
Allowed / game75.475.275.6
Point differential-6.6-5.7-8.2
Avg total144.1144.8143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dayton
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW71%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14113
Win %71%82%33%
Points / game78.480.570.7
Allowed / game69.367.277.0
Point differential+9.1+13.4-6.3
Avg total147.7147.7147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %14%9%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Louis Billikens1413193%95.067.5+27.5
2 George Mason1413193%80.267.6+12.6
3 St. Bonaventure1411379%78.671.1+7.6
4 VCU Rams1511473%87.273.4+13.8
5 George Washington1410471%88.473.7+14.7
6 Richmond Spiders1410471%83.172.6+10.5
7 Dayton1410471%78.469.3+9.1
8 Fordham149564%74.161.4+12.6
9 Rhode Island149564%73.966.9+7.0
10 Davidson138562%74.770.6+4.1
11 Duquesne159660%86.177.9+8.2
12 Saint Josephs Hawks148657%75.373.4+1.9
13 Loyola Chicago145936%68.875.4-6.6
14 La Salle1441029%66.972.1-5.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Loyola Chicago392968
Dayton313970
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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