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Dayton vs Loyola Chicago Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 78-51
31-30 47-21
Position#65
Record13-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game69.1
Dayton 🏆
USA
vs
Loyola Chicago
USA
Position#350
Record5-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game68.6
Allowed / game77.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Dayton v Loyola Chicago
06 Jan 2027
DAYT v LOYO
upcoming
16 Jan 2026
DAYT78
LOYO51
18 Jan 2025
DAYT83
LOYO81
31 Jan 2023
DAYT85
LOYO81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dayton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Loyola Chicago winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brigham Young
#76
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H29/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
88-71
88
71
+17
H03/12
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A06/12
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
84-61
84
61
+23
H14/12
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
97-69
97
69
+28
H17/12
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H20/12
NCAA
Fordham
#177
W
63-56
63
56
+7
H31/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A03/01
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H07/01
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-30
43-53
46-38
42-33
33-37
40-49
46-23
38-38
42-31
55-38
33-29
28-35
30-24
33-32
31-39
39-29
30-35
49-37
33-24
38-41
146.0Avg total
76.5Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)77.569.1146.6+8.476%
Season at home (12)80.467.6148.0+12.883%
Season away (5)70.672.8143.4-2.260%
Last 10 (10)76.569.5146.0+7.070%
Last 5 (5)68.865.0133.8+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.878.6152.4-4.840%
vs Similar (16)75.170.5145.6+4.669%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)81.465.6147.0+15.8100%
This opponent (Loyola Chicago) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Loyola ChicagoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Michigan
#323
W
83-72
83
72
+11
H03/12
NCAA
Princeton
#337
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H06/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
L
75-84
75
84
-9
H14/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A18/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
W
80-78
80
78
+2
A20/12
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A31/12
NCAA
Dayton
#65
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H03/01
NCAA
Davidson
#109
L
64-79
64
79
-15
H08/01
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
66-101
66
101
-35
A10/01
NCAA
George Mason
#47
L
74-82
74
82
-8
H14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-39
52-33
30-28
43-40
28-35
47-49
36-50
35-35
40-40
40-38
31-27
30-30
39-31
29-39
36-45
28-34
39-60
27-41
47-41
27-41
149.1Avg total
71.5Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)68.677.1145.7-8.428%
Season at home (12)69.375.7145.0-6.325%
Season away (6)67.279.8147.0-12.733%
Last 10 (10)71.577.6149.1-6.140%
Last 5 (5)66.677.8144.4-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)67.976.1144.1-8.225%
vs Similar (12)73.073.4146.4-0.467%
vs Weaker (1)74.051.0125.0+23.0100%
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +5.0+5.01st half: -3.9-3.92nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: -2.2-2.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +5.0+5.01st half: -3.9-3.92nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: -2.2-2.2
DaytonLoyola Chicago
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brigham Young
#76
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H29/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H03/12
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A06/12
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H14/12
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H17/12
NCAA
Liberty
#26
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H20/12
NCAA
Fordham
#177
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H31/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A03/01
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H07/01
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A14/01
NCAA
67.0Avg total
36.0Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.832.568.3+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.831.768.6+5.168%-
Last 30 away (11)33.933.967.8+0.045%-
Last 10 (10)36.031.067.0+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)31.430.261.6+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.834.867.6-2.040%-
vs Similar (16)33.631.865.3+1.862%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.032.073.0+9.062%-
This opponent (Loyola Chicago) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Loyola ChicagoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Michigan
#323
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H03/12
NCAA
Princeton
#337
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H06/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H14/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A18/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A20/12
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A31/12
NCAA
Dayton
#65
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H03/01
NCAA
Davidson
#109
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H08/01
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A10/01
NCAA
George Mason
#47
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H14/01
NCAA
75.3Avg total
35.7Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.537.071.5-2.547%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.136.270.2-2.141%-
Last 30 away (13)35.038.173.1-3.154%-
Last 10 (10)35.739.675.3-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)38.440.879.2-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)32.839.271.9-6.431%-
vs Similar (12)36.235.671.8+0.658%-
vs Weaker (1)34.021.055.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Dayton wins
2
Loyola Chicago wins
DateGameScore
03/01/26Loyola Chicago v Dayton68-70
22/02/25Loyola Chicago v Dayton76-72
18/01/25Dayton v Loyola Chicago83-81 OT
02/03/24Loyola Chicago v Dayton77-72
18/02/23Loyola Chicago v Dayton49-65
01/02/23Dayton v Loyola Chicago85-81 OT
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26ADuquesne71-65
07/01/26HGeorge Washington79-72
03/01/26ALoyola Chicago70-68
31/12/25HFordham63-56
20/12/25HLiberty61-64
17/12/25HFlorida State97-69
14/12/25HNorth Florida84-61
06/12/25AVirginia73-86
03/12/25HEast Tennessee St88-71
29/11/25HBrigham Young79-83
Loyola Chicagolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26HGeorge Mason74-82
10/01/26AGeorge Washington66-101
08/01/26HDavidson64-79
03/01/26HDayton68-70
31/12/25ARhode Island61-57
20/12/25ASanta Clara80-78
18/12/25ASan Francisco71-85
14/12/25HChicago State75-84
06/12/25HPrinceton73-68
03/12/25HCentral Michigan83-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dayton
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW76%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17125
Win %76%83%60%
Points / game77.580.470.6
Allowed / game69.167.672.8
Point differential+8.4+12.8-2.2
Avg total146.6148.0143.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%42%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %12%8%20%
Loyola Chicago
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL28%
HomeWLLLL25%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18126
Win %28%25%33%
Points / game68.669.367.2
Allowed / game77.175.779.8
Point differential-8.4-6.3-12.7
Avg total145.7145.0147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 George Mason1817194%78.867.2+11.7
2 St. Louis Billikens1716194%91.966.8+25.2
3 Dayton1713476%77.569.1+8.4
4 Richmond Spiders1813572%81.971.7+10.2
5 George Washington1812667%87.173.1+13.9
6 VCU Rams1812667%85.274.1+11.2
7 St. Bonaventure1711665%77.872.5+5.2
8 Davidson1711665%73.069.8+3.2
9 Saint Josephs Hawks1811761%74.672.7+1.9
10 Fordham1810856%72.664.7+7.9
11 Rhode Island1810856%72.366.9+5.3
12 Duquesne179853%85.178.6+6.5
13 La Salle1851328%66.473.2-6.7
14 Loyola Chicago1851328%68.677.1-8.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Dayton314778
Loyola Chicago302151
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