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Dayton vs UNC Asheville Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 79-56
34-19 45-37
Position#85
Record5-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game63.6
Allowed / game61.5
Dayton 🏆
USA
vs
Position#28
Record6-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game72.1
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dayton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UNC Asheville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lindenwood
#304
W
73-46
73
46
+27
H08/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H12/11
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
52-60
52
60
-8
A16/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#216
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H19/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A23/11
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A24/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#156
L
75-79 OT
75
79
-4
H25/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
67-47
67
47
+20
H01/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H03/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
49-77
49
77
-28
A08/12
NCAA
1H
2H
35-21
38-25
29-24
45-38
32-22
20-38
30-21
30-30
14-23
28-20
32-36
32-40
40-24
24-40
37-24
30-23
37-38
43-36
21-42
28-35
125.1Avg total
63.6Scored
61.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)63.661.5125.1+2.150%
Season at home (6)71.559.8131.3+11.783%
Season away (4)51.864.0115.8-12.20%
Last 10 (10)63.661.5125.1+2.150%
Last 5 (5)67.070.6137.6-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)66.669.4136.0-2.838%
vs Weaker (21)66.857.1123.9+9.676%
This opponent (UNC Asheville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNC AshevilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Colorado
#4
L
84-87
84
87
-3
H21/03
CBI
UCF Knights
#148
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
A08/11
NCAA
Brevard College
#602
W
94-46
94
46
+48
H12/11
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H19/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
L
75-77
75
77
-2
H19/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A20/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H26/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#128
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A30/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#135
W
90-83
90
83
+7
H03/12
NCAA
Warren Wilson
#673
W
122-70
122
70
+52
H07/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
41-38
0-0
43-49
0-0
36-33
0-0
40-43
0-0
57-22
0-0
37-24
0-0
34-21
0-0
38-43
0-0
30-43
0-0
45-34
0-0
30-29
0-0
38-45
0-0
30-31
0-0
43-30
0-0
29-34
0-0
37-45
0-0
46-38
0-0
44-45
0-0
59-33
0-0
63-37
157.8Avg total
84.2Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)84.272.1156.3+12.167%
Season at home (6)87.766.8154.5+20.883%
Season away (3)77.382.7160.0-5.333%
Last 10 (10)84.273.6157.8+10.660%
Last 5 (5)83.873.4157.2+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)66.079.0145.0-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)71.771.7143.4+0.040%
vs Weaker (18)83.469.4152.8+14.067%
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +3.2+3.21st half: +7.0+7.02nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +3.3+3.3
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +3.2+3.21st half: +7.0+7.02nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +3.3+3.3
DaytonUNC Asheville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lindenwood
#304
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H08/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H12/11
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
32-22
32
22
+10
A16/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#216
W
30-21
30
21
+9
H19/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
L
14-23
14
23
-9
A23/11
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A24/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#156
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H25/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H01/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H03/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
21-42
21
42
-21
A08/12
NCAA
58.2Avg total
30.7Scored
27.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.026.859.8+6.270%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.926.162.0+9.981%-
Last 30 away (14)29.627.757.4+1.957%-
Last 10 (10)30.727.558.2+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)33.432.866.2+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)32.930.963.8+2.050%-
vs Weaker (21)33.025.558.5+7.576%-
This opponent (UNC Asheville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNC AshevilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Colorado
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H21/03
CBI
UCF Knights
#148
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A08/11
NCAA
Brevard College
#602
W
57-22
57
22
+35
H12/11
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H19/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H19/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A20/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H26/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#128
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A30/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#135
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H03/12
NCAA
Warren Wilson
#673
W
59-33
59
33
+26
H07/12
NCAA
71.4Avg total
39.2Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.531.768.3+4.867%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.231.970.2+6.368%-
Last 30 away (11)33.631.465.0+2.364%-
Last 10 (10)39.232.271.4+7.070%-
Last 5 (5)38.833.071.8+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)29.034.063.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)31.035.366.3-4.330%-
vs Weaker (18)40.229.870.0+10.389%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Dayton wins
0
UNC Asheville wins
No previous meetings.
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/22AVirginia Tech49-77
03/12/22HSE Louisiana80-74
01/12/22HWestern Michigan67-47
25/11/22HBrigham Young75-79 OT
24/11/22ANC State64-76
23/11/22AWisconsin42-43
19/11/22HRobert Morris60-51
16/11/22AUNLV52-60
12/11/22HSMU Mustangs74-62
08/11/22HLindenwood73-46
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/22HWarren Wilson122-70
03/12/22HUT Martin90-83
30/11/22AN. Carolina Central66-79
26/11/22HWestern Carolina73-61
20/11/22AGeorgia State68-74
19/11/22HEastern Kentucky75-77
19/11/22HTX A&M Commerce72-64
12/11/22HBrevard College94-46
08/11/22AUCF Knights98-95 OT
21/03/22HNorthern Colorado84-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dayton
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%83%0%
Points / game63.671.551.8
Allowed / game61.559.864.0
Point differential+2.1+11.7-12.2
Avg total125.1131.3115.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %10%17%0%
UNC Asheville
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %67%83%33%
Points / game84.287.777.3
Allowed / game72.166.882.7
Point differential+12.1+20.8-5.3
Avg total156.3154.5160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %11%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fordham1110191%74.265.9+8.3
2 Duquesne97278%78.172.2+5.9
3 St. Louis Billikens107370%79.072.2+6.8
4 Davidson107370%75.972.3+3.6
5 St. Bonaventure96367%70.664.7+5.9
6 George Washington85362%77.469.0+8.4
7 George Mason106460%70.068.3+1.7
8 VCU Rams95456%65.364.9+0.4
9 Dayton105550%63.661.5+2.1
10 La Salle105550%68.270.1-1.9
11 Loyola Chicago94544%67.269.1-1.9
12 Saint Josephs Hawks94544%70.073.8-3.8
13 Richmond Spiders83538%67.065.2+1.8
14 Rhode Island92722%63.666.7-3.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big South conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 High Point108280%85.477.8+7.6
2 UNC Asheville96367%84.272.1+12.1
3 Radford106460%77.165.9+11.2
4 Longwood95456%80.367.6+12.8
5 Winthrop105550%76.975.2+1.7
6 USC Upstate84450%69.869.9-0.1
7 Gardner Webb82625%64.967.8-2.9
8 Charleston Southern82625%69.674.5-4.9
9 Presbyterian102820%62.168.4-6.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Dayton344579
UNC Asheville193756
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