de Julio de Morteros vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 11 Mar 2013

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 72-76

21-27 17-17 11-12 23-20

Position#14

Record13-30

FormLLLLL

Points / game79.7

Allowed / game85.7

de Julio de Morteros

Penarol 🏆

Position#2

Record29-14

FormWWLLL

Points / game81.9

Allowed / game77.8

Liga ARound 44

Other2012-13

Meetings · de Julio de Morteros v Penarol

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

de Julio de Morteros winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Penarol winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

de Julio de Morteros Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atenas

#11

77-86

-9

A04/02

Liga A

Sionista

90-99

-9

A09/02

Liga A

Regatas

77-100

100

-23

A11/02

Liga A

Boca Juniors

64-92

-28

H15/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

106-89

106

+17

H18/02

Liga A

Libertad

69-85

-16

A23/02

Liga A

Quimsa

83-91

-8

A25/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

#10

80-99

-19

H02/03

Liga A

Lanus

73-82

-9

H04/03

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

68-87

-19

H09/03

Liga A

25-23

16-24

20-22

16-17

25-31

23-22

16-20

26-26

21-22

19-23

14-28

23-27

19-21

11-23

16-27

18-21

34-15

20-26

20-19

32-29

20-22

17-23

20-18

12-22

22-20

18-22

24-24

19-25

18-25

20-20

24-26

18-28

15-14

21-22

16-32

21-14

17-24

13-21

23-20

15-22

169.7Avg total

78.7Scored

91.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (43)	79.7	85.7	165.4	-6.0	30%
Season at home (21)	83.7	84.0	167.7	-0.3	52%
Season away (22)	75.9	87.4	163.3	-11.5	9%
Last 10 (10)	78.7	91.0	169.7	-12.3	10%
Last 5 (5)	74.6	88.8	163.4	-14.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	82.1	88.0	170.1	-5.8	33%
vs Similar (6)	83.8	84.8	168.7	-1.0	33%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Libertad

87-71

+16

H06/02

Liga A

Lanus

78-62

+16

H09/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

#10

72-58

+14

H11/02

Liga A

Progresista

#16

111-104 OT

111

104

A16/02

Liga A

La Union

#15

89-82

A18/02

Liga A

Atenas

#11

73-66

H23/02

Liga A

Olimpico

92-86

H25/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

79-93

-14

A01/03

Liga A

Boca Juniors

70-83

-13

A02/03

Liga A

Argentino

86-90

-4

A08/03

Liga A

29-14

22-7

11-26

25-24

23-12

14-13

23-19

18-18

18-15

13-13

20-8

21-22

31-19

32-22

14-26

21-31

12-20

22-27

29-10

26-25

15-14

26-19

17-12

15-21

22-20

15-17

35-24

20-25

17-26

13-26

30-29

19-12

16-23

17-16

20-19

17-25

21-23

17-22

24-17

24-28

163.2Avg total

83.7Scored

79.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (43)	81.9	77.8	159.7	+4.1	67%
Season at home (22)	82.7	74.3	157.0	+8.4	73%
Season away (21)	81.1	81.4	162.5	-0.3	62%
Last 10 (10)	83.7	79.5	163.2	+4.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	80.0	83.6	163.6	-3.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	71.0	77.0	148.0	-6.0	0%
vs Similar (17)	80.2	76.3	156.5	+3.9	65%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	89.1	83.6	172.7	+5.5	70%

This opponent (de Julio de Morteros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

de Julio de MorterosPenarol

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	20.8	42.6	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	20.1	42.8	+2.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	21.6	42.3	-0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	21.7	43.3	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	21.0	39.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	21.2	21.2	42.4	-0.0	42%	-
vs Similar (6)	24.0	19.3	43.3	+4.7	83%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	19.3	41.5	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.1	17.9	42.0	+6.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	20.7	40.9	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	18.6	39.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	21.2	39.4	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.3	22.7	45.0	-0.3	33%	-
vs Similar (17)	21.9	18.5	40.5	+3.4	65%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	22.5	19.6	42.1	+2.9	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.5	39.2	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	21.1	40.3	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	19.9	38.0	-1.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	22.6	40.4	-4.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	21.6	39.4	-3.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	18.3	21.2	39.5	-2.9	29%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.8	17.8	37.7	+2.0	83%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.1	36.7	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.5	16.8	34.3	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	19.3	39.1	+0.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	18.2	37.3	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	20.0	37.6	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.3	16.7	36.0	+2.7	67%	-
vs Similar (17)	17.1	16.8	33.9	+0.4	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	21.1	20.7	41.8	+0.4	50%	-

de Julio de MorterosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atenas

#11

41-47

-6

A04/02

Liga A

Sionista

48-53

-5

A09/02

Liga A

Regatas

40-45

-5

A11/02

Liga A

Boca Juniors

30-44

-14

H15/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

54-41

+13

H18/02

Liga A

Libertad

37-45

-8

A23/02

Liga A

Quimsa

40-42

-2

A25/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

#10

38-45

-7

H02/03

Liga A

Lanus

36-36

H04/03

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

30-45

-15

H09/03

Liga A

83.7Avg total

39.4Scored

44.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	41.4	81.7	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.9	41.2	83.1	+0.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.8	41.5	80.3	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	44.3	83.7	-4.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	42.6	78.8	-6.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	39.5	42.4	81.9	-2.9	29%	-
vs Similar (6)	43.8	37.2	81.0	+6.7	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Libertad

51-21

+30

H06/02

Liga A

Lanus

37-25

+12

H09/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

#10

31-28

H11/02

Liga A

Progresista

#16

63-41

+22

A16/02

Liga A

La Union

#15

34-47

-13

A18/02

Liga A

Atenas

#11

41-33

H23/02

Liga A

Olimpico

37-37

H25/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

30-52

-22

A01/03

Liga A

Boca Juniors

33-39

-6

A02/03

Liga A

Argentino

38-45

-7

A08/03

Liga A

76.3Avg total

39.5Scored

36.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	37.4	78.2	+3.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	34.7	76.3	+7.0	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.0	40.1	80.1	-0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	36.8	76.3	+2.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	41.2	77.0	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	41.7	39.3	81.0	+2.3	33%	-
vs Similar (17)	39.1	35.3	74.4	+3.8	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	43.6	40.3	83.9	+3.3	60%	-

This opponent (de Julio de Morteros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	23.4	43.0	-3.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	23.0	43.5	-2.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	23.7	42.4	-5.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	23.6	42.9	-4.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	24.0	45.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	19.7	23.1	42.8	-3.4	38%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.2	24.3	43.5	-5.2	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.2	41.3	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	18.6	40.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	21.9	42.5	-1.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	19.0	41.3	+3.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	20.2	45.4	+5.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.7	20.3	37.0	-3.7	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	20.8	20.4	41.2	+0.5	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	22.7	20.0	42.7	+2.7	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	22.3	44.5	-0.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.2	22.1	45.3	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	22.5	43.6	-1.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	23.1	43.1	-3.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	22.2	39.2	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	22.5	22.0	44.5	+0.5	38%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.8	23.3	44.2	-2.5	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.7	40.3	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	21.1	41.3	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	20.4	39.3	-1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	23.1	43.7	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	22.2	41.2	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	12.7	17.3	30.0	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar (17)	19.7	20.2	39.9	-0.5	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	21.5	22.7	44.2	-1.2	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	45.7	87.4	-3.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.7	45.1	88.9	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.8	46.2	86.0	-6.4	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	46.7	86.0	-7.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	46.2	84.6	-7.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	42.2	45.2	87.4	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	40.0	47.7	87.7	-7.7	17%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	41.0	81.6	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	39.7	81.3	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.6	42.3	81.9	-2.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	42.1	85.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	42.4	86.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	29.3	37.7	67.0	-8.3	33%	-
vs Similar (17)	40.5	40.5	81.1	+0.0	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	44.2	42.7	86.9	+1.5	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

de Julio de Morteros wins

Penarol wins

Date	Game	Score
22/12/12	Penarol v de Julio de Morteros	107-83
06/10/12	Penarol v de Julio de Morteros	101-69
29/09/12	de Julio de Morteros v Penarol	81-89
25/02/12	Penarol v de Julio de Morteros	89-69
17/12/11	de Julio de Morteros v Penarol	76-80
17/10/11	Penarol v de Julio de Morteros	88-66
10/10/11	de Julio de Morteros v Penarol	85-97
17/02/11	Penarol v de Julio de Morteros	80-73
14/02/11	de Julio de Morteros v Penarol	64-69

de Julio de Morteroslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/03/13	H	Weber Bahia	68-87
04/03/13	H	Lanus	73-82
02/03/13	H	Gimnasia	80-99
25/02/13	A	Quimsa	83-91
23/02/13	A	Libertad	69-85
18/02/13	H	Obras Sanitarias	106-89
15/02/13	H	Boca Juniors	64-92
11/02/13	A	Regatas	77-100
09/02/13	A	Sionista	90-99
04/02/13	A	Atenas	77-86

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/03/13	A	Argentino	86-90
02/03/13	A	Boca Juniors	70-83
01/03/13	A	Obras Sanitarias	79-93
25/02/13	H	Olimpico	92-86
23/02/13	H	Atenas	73-66
18/02/13	A	La Union	89-82
16/02/13	A	Progresista	111-104 OT
11/02/13	H	Gimnasia	72-58
09/02/13	H	Lanus	78-62
06/02/13	H	Libertad	87-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

de Julio de Morteros

Liga A 2012-13

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	30%
Home	LWLLL	52%
Away	LLLLL	9%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	43	21	22
Win %	30%	52%	9%
Points / game	79.7	83.7	75.9
Allowed / game	85.7	84.0	87.4
Point differential	-6.0	-0.3	-11.5
Avg total	165.4	167.7	163.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	24%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	31% (16)	43% (7)	22% (9)
Overtime %	2%	0%	5%

Penarol

Liga A 2012-13

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	67%
Home	WWWWW	73%
Away	WWLLL	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	43	22	21
Win %	67%	73%	62%
Points / game	81.9	82.7	81.1
Allowed / game	77.8	74.3	81.4
Point differential	+4.1	+8.4	-0.3
Avg total	159.7	157.0	162.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	50%	19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (9)	25% (4)	40% (5)
Overtime %	5%	0%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Regatas	43	32	11	74%	78.9	72.7	+6.2
2	Lanus	43	30	13	70%	76.8	73.0	+3.8
3	Penarol	43	29	14	67%	81.9	77.8	+4.1
4	Boca Juniors	43	27	16	63%	81.2	75.1	+6.2
5	Argentino	43	24	19	56%	79.1	78.2	+1.0
6	Olimpico	43	24	19	56%	75.2	75.6	-0.4
7	Quimsa	43	23	20	53%	78.3	76.6	+1.7
8	Libertad	43	22	21	51%	78.1	77.8	+0.3
9	Gimnasia	43	21	22	49%	81.1	80.6	+0.5
10	Sionista	43	21	22	49%	78.5	79.7	-1.2
11	Atenas	43	21	22	49%	76.6	79.3	-2.7
12	Weber Bahia	43	20	23	47%	81.1	80.2	+0.9
13	Obras Sanitarias	43	17	26	40%	80.2	80.5	-0.3
14	de Julio de Morteros	43	13	30	30%	79.7	85.7	-6.0
15	La Union	43	10	33	23%	72.7	78.7	-6.0
16	Progresista	43	10	33	23%	73.8	81.7	-7.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
de Julio de Morteros	21	17	11	23	72
Penarol	27	17	12	20	76

← all games of the day

de Julio de Morteros vs Penarol Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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