Penarol vs de Julio de Morteros Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Dec 2012

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 107-83

28-20 27-18 29-12 23-33

Position#2

Record17-8

FormLLWWL

Points / game80.9

Allowed / game76.1

Penarol 🏆

de Julio de Morteros

Position#14

Record10-17

FormWWLLW

Points / game78.6

Allowed / game83.3

Liga ARound 28

Other2012-13

Meetings · Penarol v de Julio de Morteros

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

de Julio de Morteros winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

La Union

#15

103-79

103

+24

H29/11

Liga A

Progresista

#16

93-71

+22

H01/12

Liga A

Flamengo

78-79

-1

A04/12

South American League

Regatas

58-65

-7

H06/12

South American League

Brasilia

77-87

-10

A06/12

South American League

Olimpico

74-78

-4

A10/12

Liga A

Atenas

#11

87-106

106

-19

A12/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

91-78

+13

A15/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

82-76

H17/12

Liga A

Argentino

70-75

-5

H20/12

Liga A

31-16

21-21

28-16

23-26

35-14

12-20

20-23

26-14

29-17

20-12

17-27

12-23

18-19

13-14

15-15

12-17

20-32

25-24

18-19

14-12

14-20

24-17

20-23

16-18

20-29

21-20

19-32

27-25

22-17

23-23

21-25

25-13

18-28

18-15

23-14

23-19

21-16

24-18

12-28

13-13

160.7Avg total

81.3Scored

79.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	80.9	76.1	157.0	+4.8	68%
Season at home (12)	81.2	73.8	155.1	+7.4	67%
Season away (13)	80.6	78.2	158.8	+2.5	69%
Last 10 (10)	81.3	79.4	160.7	+1.9	40%
Last 5 (5)	80.8	82.6	163.4	-1.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	75.6	77.6	153.2	-2.0	40%
vs Similar (16)	77.4	71.5	148.9	+5.9	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	86.0	76.4	162.4	+9.6	62%

This opponent (de Julio de Morteros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

de Julio de Morteros Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atenas

#11

83-86

-3

H19/11

Liga A

Sionista

88-73

+15

H24/11

Liga A

Regatas

66-88

-22

H26/11

Liga A

Boca Juniors

74-78

-4

A01/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

79-78

A03/12

Liga A

Libertad

93-85

H08/12

Liga A

Quimsa

95-83

+12

H10/12

Liga A

Argentino

97-99

-2

H15/12

Liga A

Argentino

79-84

-5

A17/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

95-94 OT

A20/12

Liga A

15-19

19-18

20-30

29-19

20-24

23-20

18-18

27-11

13-23

18-17

13-24

22-24

23-19

14-12

15-25

22-22

14-20

21-20

17-21

27-17

29-13

21-26

16-19

27-27

21-18

23-16

33-28

18-21

27-25

13-28

21-25

36-21

22-24

19-20

20-18

18-22

24-22

18-26

16-22

27-15

169.7Avg total

84.9Scored

84.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	78.6	83.3	161.8	-4.7	37%
Season at home (14)	83.4	81.9	165.4	+1.5	57%
Season away (13)	73.3	84.7	158.0	-11.4	15%
Last 10 (10)	84.9	84.8	169.7	+0.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	91.8	89.0	180.8	+2.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	78.9	83.0	161.9	-4.2	42%
vs Similar (6)	78.3	82.2	160.5	-3.8	33%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Penarolde Julio de Morteros

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	17.9	39.1	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	16.8	39.3	+5.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	18.9	38.8	+0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	20.8	43.6	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	22.0	41.0	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.6	20.0	42.6	+2.6	40%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.4	17.5	36.9	+1.9	69%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	24.1	17.9	42.0	+6.2	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.9	38.5	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	19.5	38.5	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	20.3	38.5	-2.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.7	41.5	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	20.4	45.0	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	18.6	20.5	39.0	-1.9	38%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.8	17.7	36.5	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	15.6	34.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	15.3	34.5	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	15.9	34.7	+2.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	18.4	38.5	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	18.6	40.6	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.2	16.8	33.0	-0.6	40%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.9	15.2	35.1	+4.7	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	18.5	16.6	35.1	+1.9	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	19.7	37.3	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	20.1	39.6	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.8	19.3	35.1	-3.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	20.3	39.2	-1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	23.2	42.0	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	17.6	20.2	37.8	-2.7	29%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.0	17.3	35.3	+0.7	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

La Union

#15

52-37

+15

H29/11

Liga A

Progresista

#16

47-34

+13

H01/12

Liga A

Flamengo

49-29

+20

A04/12

South American League

Regatas

31-33

-2

H06/12

South American League

Brasilia

45-56

-11

A06/12

South American League

Olimpico

38-37

A10/12

Liga A

Atenas

#11

41-49

-8

A12/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

45-40

A15/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

36-43

-7

H17/12

Liga A

Argentino

45-34

+11

H20/12

Liga A

82.1Avg total

42.9Scored

39.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	33.5	73.6	+6.7	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	32.1	73.8	+9.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.7	34.8	73.5	+3.9	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	39.2	82.1	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	40.6	81.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	38.8	36.8	75.6	+2.0	40%	-
vs Similar (16)	39.3	32.7	72.0	+6.6	81%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	42.6	34.5	77.1	+8.1	75%	-

This opponent (de Julio de Morteros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

de Julio de MorterosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atenas

#11

34-37

-3

H19/11

Liga A

Sionista

43-44

-1

H24/11

Liga A

Regatas

31-40

-9

H26/11

Liga A

Boca Juniors

37-31

A01/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

35-40

-5

A03/12

Liga A

Libertad

50-39

+11

H08/12

Liga A

Quimsa

44-34

+10

H10/12

Liga A

Argentino

40-53

-13

H15/12

Liga A

Argentino

41-44

-3

A17/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

42-48

-6

A20/12

Liga A

80.7Avg total

39.7Scored

41.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	39.6	75.9	-3.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.5	39.6	78.1	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.1	39.5	73.6	-5.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	41.0	80.7	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	43.6	87.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	36.2	40.7	76.9	-4.5	29%	-
vs Similar (6)	36.8	35.0	71.8	+1.8	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.8	40.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	21.3	41.3	-1.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	20.3	39.8	-0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	22.2	41.5	-2.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	24.4	43.4	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.8	20%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.4	19.9	39.3	-0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	22.0	21.8	43.8	+0.2	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	21.1	39.9	-2.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	20.8	40.8	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	21.4	39.1	-3.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	23.0	41.9	-4.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	22.4	43.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	19.1	20.6	39.7	-1.5	42%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.8	23.2	41.0	-5.3	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.6	38.7	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	20.1	39.7	-0.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	19.2	37.7	-0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	18.0	37.1	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	17.6	38.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.2	20.4	37.6	-3.2	20%	-
vs Similar (16)	18.8	18.9	37.6	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	21.4	20.1	41.5	+1.2	38%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	21.1	43.9	+1.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.1	20.7	44.9	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	21.5	42.9	-0.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.3	19.9	45.2	+5.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	21.2	46.4	+4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	23.2	21.4	44.6	+1.8	46%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	40.4	79.3	-1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	41.3	81.1	-1.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.0	39.5	77.5	-1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	40.2	78.6	-1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	42.0	81.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	36.8	40.8	77.6	-4.0	40%	-
vs Similar (16)	38.1	38.8	76.9	-0.7	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	43.4	41.9	85.2	+1.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	42.2	83.8	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.1	41.5	85.7	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.0	42.9	81.9	-3.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.2	42.9	87.1	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	43.6	90.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	42.3	42.0	84.2	+0.3	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	38.7	43.3	82.0	-4.7	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Penarol wins

de Julio de Morteros wins

Date	Game	Score
06/10/12	Penarol v de Julio de Morteros	101-69
29/09/12	de Julio de Morteros v Penarol	81-89
25/02/12	Penarol v de Julio de Morteros	89-69
17/12/11	de Julio de Morteros v Penarol	76-80
17/10/11	Penarol v de Julio de Morteros	88-66
10/10/11	de Julio de Morteros v Penarol	85-97
17/02/11	Penarol v de Julio de Morteros	80-73
14/02/11	de Julio de Morteros v Penarol	64-69

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/12/12	H	Argentino	70-75
17/12/12	H	Weber Bahia	82-76
15/12/12	A	Weber Bahia	91-78
12/12/12	A	Atenas	87-106
10/12/12	A	Olimpico	74-78
06/12/12	A	Brasilia	77-87
06/12/12	H	Regatas	58-65
04/12/12	A	Flamengo	78-79
01/12/12	H	Progresista	93-71
29/11/12	H	La Union	103-79

de Julio de Morteroslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/12/12	A	Weber Bahia	95-94 OT
17/12/12	A	Argentino	79-84
15/12/12	H	Argentino	97-99
10/12/12	H	Quimsa	95-83
08/12/12	H	Libertad	93-85
03/12/12	A	Obras Sanitarias	79-78
01/12/12	A	Boca Juniors	74-78
26/11/12	H	Regatas	66-88
24/11/12	H	Sionista	88-73
19/11/12	H	Atenas	83-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol

Liga A 2012-13

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	68%
Home	LWWWL	67%
Away	LWLLW	69%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	12	13
Win %	68%	67%	69%
Points / game	80.9	81.2	80.6
Allowed / game	76.1	73.8	78.2
Point differential	+4.8	+7.4	+2.5
Avg total	157.0	155.1	158.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	42%	23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	33% (3)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

de Julio de Morteros

Liga A 2012-13

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	37%
Home	WLWWL	57%
Away	LLWLW	15%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	14	13
Win %	37%	57%	15%
Points / game	78.6	83.4	73.3
Allowed / game	83.3	81.9	84.7
Point differential	-4.7	+1.5	-11.4
Avg total	161.8	165.4	158.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	21%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	36% (14)	43% (7)	29% (7)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Regatas	26	19	7	73%	77.1	71.4	+5.7
2	Lanus	26	19	7	73%	76.8	72.0	+4.8
3	Penarol	25	17	8	68%	80.9	76.1	+4.8
4	Olimpico	27	17	10	63%	76.1	74.6	+1.5
5	Boca Juniors	27	16	11	59%	79.3	74.4	+4.9
6	Quimsa	27	16	11	59%	79.4	75.2	+4.2
7	Libertad	24	14	10	58%	77.4	77.0	+0.3
8	Argentino	27	15	12	56%	78.6	78.6	-0.1
9	Atenas	26	13	13	50%	76.1	79.2	-3.1
10	Sionista	27	12	15	44%	78.0	80.7	-2.7
11	Gimnasia	27	11	16	41%	79.2	81.0	-1.8
12	Weber Bahia	27	10	17	37%	81.2	82.5	-1.3
13	de Julio de Morteros	27	10	17	37%	78.6	83.3	-4.7
14	Progresista	27	9	18	33%	73.0	76.9	-3.9
15	Obras Sanitarias	26	7	19	27%	77.6	82.2	-4.6
16	La Union	26	6	20	23%	71.7	75.4	-3.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Penarol	28	27	29	23	107
de Julio de Morteros	20	18	12	33	83

← all games of the day

Penarol vs de Julio de Morteros Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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