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Decin vs Brno Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 91-85
24-22 23-15 20-23 24-25
Position#2
Record16-12
FormWLLWL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game82.0
Decin 🏆
Czech Republic
vs
Position#5
Record16-12
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game77.6
Czech RepublicNBLRound 7· ARMEX Sportcentrum
Other2023-24
Meetings · Decin v Brno
30 Sep 2026
DECI86
BRNO78
08 May 2026
DECI81
BRNO86
02 May 2026
DECI84
BRNO75
01 May 2026
DECI82
BRNO66
25 Mar 2026
DECI77
BRNO81
10 Dec 2025
DECI77
BRNO73
13 May 2025
DECI82
BRNO55
07 May 2025
DECI103
BRNO67
06 May 2025
DECI73
BRNO77
15 Mar 2025
DECI74
BRNO70
30 Jan 2025
DECI88
BRNO64
18 Jan 2025
DECI78
BRNO80
17 Apr 2024
DECI94
BRNO92
16 Apr 2024
DECI69
BRNO64
06 Mar 2024
DECI91
BRNO85
30 Dec 2023
DECI70
BRNO58
15 Mar 2023
DECI78
BRNO86
19 Nov 2022
DECI63
BRNO67
02 Oct 2021
DECI63
BRNO79
16 Dec 2020
DECI95
BRNO86
30 Oct 2019
DECI68
BRNO66
23 Mar 2019
DECI62
BRNO60
20 Dec 2018
DECI69
BRNO63
20 Jan 2018
DECI76
BRNO67
26 Nov 2016
DECI81
BRNO71
09 Jan 2016
DECI90
BRNO83
14 Oct 2015
DECI78
BRNO56
28 Mar 2015
DECI92
BRNO73
17 Jan 2015
DECI91
BRNO62
13 Feb 2014
DECI86
BRNO77
06 Nov 2013
DECI84
BRNO57
03 Nov 2010
DECI58
BRNO43
23 Jan 2010
DECI92
BRNO82
10 Oct 2009
DECI77
BRNO69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Decin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brno winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DecinCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDecin
Date
Competition
Pardubice
#6
L
76-79
76
79
-3
73avg 76
H27/01
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#8
W
76-71
76
71
+5
65avg 76
H31/01
Czech Cup
Opava
#4
W
85-81
85
81
+4
74avg 76
A03/02
NBL
Kolin
#11
W
92-84
92
84
+8
80avg 76
H07/02
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#3
L
83-93
83
93
-10
74avg 76
A11/02
NBL
BC Komarno
#7
W
78-67
78
67
+11
65avg 76
H14/02
Czech-Slovak Cup
Levice
#2
L
81-96
81
96
-15
58avg 76
H15/02
Czech-Slovak Cup
USK Prague
#4
L
69-74
69
74
-5
62avg 76
A16/02
Czech-Slovak Cup
USK Prague
#10
W
69-60
69
60
+9
64avg 76
H28/02
NBL
Nymburk
#1
L
86-101
86
101
-15
71avg 76
A02/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
19-15
17-13
19-22
13-16
28-24
15-19
20-12
25-22
19-23
23-13
18-23
18-15
20-24
33-20
21-25
18-21
23-29
18-21
24-22
24-21
17-17
12-14
25-15
24-23
12-26
19-28
26-19
28-14
14-28
10-15
17-17
16-22
21-22
22-10
10-6
17-29
27-22
17-24
25-26
160.1Avg total
79.5Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)85.682.0167.6+3.557%
Season at home (14)86.576.5163.0+10.071%
Season away (14)84.687.6172.2-2.943%
Last 10 (10)79.580.6160.1-1.150%
Last 5 (5)76.679.6156.2-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)81.289.2170.5-8.025%
vs Similar (7)82.484.9167.3-2.443%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)82.977.3160.2+5.767%
This opponent (Brno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrnoCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrno
Date
Competition
Slavia Prague
#12
W
83-65
83
65
+18
82avg 72
H20/01
NBL
Kolin
#13
W
93-73
93
73
+20
85avg 72
A22/01
Czech Cup
Usti n. Labem
#3
L
68-75
68
75
-7
59avg 72
A28/01
NBL
Siauliai
#4
L
70-88
70
88
-18
71avg 72
A30/01
ENBL
USK Prague
#3
L
66-68
66
68
-2
59avg 72
H01/02
Czech Cup
Pardubice
#6
W
72-64
72
64
+8
66avg 72
A04/02
NBL
USK Prague
#10
W
66-63
66
63
+3
56avg 72
A07/02
NBL
Opava
#4
W
100-87
100
87
+13
103avg 72
H10/02
NBL
Nymburk
#1
L
59-87
59
87
-28
46avg 72
A28/02
NBL
Kolin
#11
W
112-62
112
62
+50
119avg 72
H02/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
19-20
25-15
16-15
30-23
20-16
22-10
21-24
23-17
9-26
16-15
20-17
16-21
14-24
27-19
13-24
14-20
19-17
18-20
15-11
16-15
18-19
20-17
18-13
15-16
19-14
17-15
15-18
36-26
25-23
15-18
24-20
14-21
18-20
13-26
14-20
26-23
24-19
32-11
30-9
152.1Avg total
78.9Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)77.277.6154.9-0.457%
Season at home (13)84.474.8159.2+9.677%
Season away (15)71.180.1151.2-9.140%
Last 10 (10)78.973.2152.1+5.760%
Last 5 (5)81.872.6154.4+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)72.486.1158.5-13.814%
vs Similar (10)77.072.1149.1+4.970%
vs Weaker (5)88.469.8158.2+18.6100%
This opponent (Decin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.5+1.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.5+1.5
DecinBrno
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DecinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pardubice
#6
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H27/01
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#8
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H31/01
Czech Cup
Opava
#4
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A03/02
NBL
Kolin
#11
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H07/02
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#3
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A11/02
NBL
BC Komarno
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H14/02
Czech-Slovak Cup
Levice
#2
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H15/02
Czech-Slovak Cup
USK Prague
#4
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A16/02
Czech-Slovak Cup
USK Prague
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H28/02
NBL
Nymburk
#1
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A02/03
NBL
84.6Avg total
40.4Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.884.3+0.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.240.382.5+1.960%-
Last 30 away (15)42.743.386.1-0.627%-
Last 10 (10)40.444.284.6-3.820%-
Last 5 (5)40.044.884.8-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.045.286.2-4.225%-
vs Similar (7)41.744.686.3-2.929%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)42.840.483.3+2.450%-
This opponent (Brno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrnoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slavia Prague
#12
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H20/01
NBL
Kolin
#13
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A22/01
Czech Cup
Usti n. Labem
#3
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A28/01
NBL
Siauliai
#4
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A30/01
ENBL
USK Prague
#3
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H01/02
Czech Cup
Pardubice
#6
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A04/02
NBL
USK Prague
#10
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A07/02
NBL
Opava
#4
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H10/02
NBL
Nymburk
#1
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A28/02
NBL
Kolin
#11
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H02/03
NBL
79.3Avg total
39.8Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.541.180.7-1.650%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.540.682.1+0.965%-
Last 30 away (13)36.941.878.8-4.931%-
Last 10 (10)39.839.579.3+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)42.239.281.4+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)38.245.183.4-6.929%-
vs Similar (10)37.837.975.7-0.150%-
vs Weaker (5)44.636.881.4+7.8100%-
This opponent (Decin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Decintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Decin: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
48%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.819.5
49.0%
51.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.48.0
28.2%
31.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.016.1
73.2%
69.5%16.1
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brnotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brno: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
48%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.6
53.0%
51.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.1
30.1%
31.4%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.714.2
68.6%
69.5%14.2
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Decin
LWLLWLWWWL
Brno
WLWWWLLLWW
#2
League position
#5
-1.2
Net rating
+6.8
103.5
Offensive rating
103.2
104.7
Defensive rating
96.4
46.2%
Effective FG%
49.7%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
45.8%
17.1%
Turnover %
18.9%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
28.2%
3-point %
30.1%
56.4%
Assist %
69.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 103.2Defence104.7 · 96.4Shooting46.2% · 49.7%3-point %28.2% · 30.1%Ball care17.1% · 18.9%Off. rebounds33.7% · 31.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Decin   ■ Brno
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Decin wins
5
Brno wins
DateGameScore
30/12/23Decin v Brno70-58
14/10/23Brno v Decin101-79
19/03/23Brno v Decin74-87
15/03/23Decin v Brno78-86
08/02/23Brno v Decin86-95
21/01/23Brno v Decin96-86 OT
19/11/22Decin v Brno63-67
05/12/21Brno v Decin95-96 OT
02/10/21Decin v Brno63-79
16/12/20Decin v Brno95-86
Decinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24ANymburk86-101
28/02/24HUSK Prague69-60
16/02/24AUSK Prague69-74
15/02/24HLevice81-96
14/02/24HBC Komarno78-67
11/02/24AUsti n. Labem83-93
07/02/24HKolin92-84
03/02/24AOpava85-81
31/01/24HUsti n. Labem76-71
27/01/24HPardubice76-79
Brnolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24HKolin112-62
28/02/24ANymburk59-87
10/02/24HOpava100-87
07/02/24AUSK Prague66-63
04/02/24APardubice72-64
01/02/24HUSK Prague66-68
30/01/24ASiauliai70-88
28/01/24AUsti n. Labem68-75
22/01/24AKolin93-73
20/01/24HSlavia Prague83-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Decin
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL57%
HomeWLLWW71%
AwayWLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %57%71%43%
Points / game85.686.584.6
Allowed / game82.076.587.6
Point differential+3.5+10.0-2.9
Avg total167.6163.0172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%57%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Brno
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW57%
HomeWWWWW77%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %57%77%40%
Points / game77.284.471.1
Allowed / game77.674.880.1
Point differential-0.4+9.6-9.1
Avg total154.9159.2151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%46%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)67% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nymburk2621581%92.270.0+22.2
2 Opava2719870%90.584.1+6.4
3 Usti n. Labem2819968%89.282.6+6.6
4 Decin28161257%85.682.0+3.5
5 Brno28161257%77.277.6-0.4
6 Pardubice28151354%83.283.2+0.0
7 USK Prague28121643%73.976.2-2.4
8 NH Ostrava27111641%78.381.5-3.2
9 Kolin29111838%78.386.8-8.4
10 Olomoucko27101737%82.887.3-4.6
11 Srsni Pisek27101737%85.189.8-4.7
12 Slavia Prague2752219%76.590.5-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Decin2423202491
Brno2215232585
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