On 14 November 2026 the NBL will see Decin host Plzen, with Decin the clear favourite as the Pythia model rates them at 96% to win, a reflection of their 7-5 record, 84.3 points per game and only 78.1 allowed, placing them fifth in the league, while Plzen sit 11th with a 1-10 record, 76.7 points per game and 92.8 allowed; Decin's home form is strong, 4-1 with 82.8 points scored and 71.6 allowed, and they have won two of their last five games, including a 92-66 victory over Usti n. Labem, whereas Plzen's road record is 1-5, 76.2 points scored and 95.5 allowed, with only one win in their last five. The teams have met six times, all victories for Decin, most recently 109-79 on 17 September 2026. Pythia projects a 92-71 score, a total of 163.8 points, and gives Decin a 71% chance to cover the home line of -15.0; the over on the 165.5 total has a 46% probability, and there is a 1% chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (12) | 84.3 | 78.1 | 162.4 | +6.2 | 58% |
| Season at home (5) | 82.8 | 71.6 | 154.4 | +11.2 | 80% |
| Season away (7) | 85.4 | 82.7 | 168.1 | +2.7 | 43% |
| Last 10 (10) | 82.9 | 80.1 | 163.0 | +2.8 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 83.2 | 82.2 | 165.4 | +1.0 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 78.7 | 94.8 | 173.5 | -16.2 | 0% |
| vs Similar (17) | 82.2 | 83.0 | 165.2 | -0.8 | 47% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (7) | 85.0 | 74.9 | 159.9 | +10.1 | 71% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (11) | 76.7 | 92.8 | 169.5 | -16.1 | 9% |
| Season at home (5) | 77.4 | 89.6 | 167.0 | -12.2 | 0% |
| Season away (6) | 76.2 | 95.5 | 171.7 | -19.3 | 17% |
| Last 10 (10) | 76.5 | 91.2 | 167.7 | -14.7 | 10% |
| Last 5 (5) | 75.6 | 90.0 | 165.6 | -14.4 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (10) | 76.3 | 94.9 | 171.2 | -18.6 | 0% |
| vs Similar (5) | 81.4 | 79.2 | 160.6 | +2.2 | 40% |
| vs Weaker (15) | 82.7 | 73.7 | 156.3 | +9.0 | 73% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 83.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.0 | 43.1 | 85.1 | -1.2 | 37% | 57% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 44.3 | 39.5 | 83.8 | +4.7 | 53% | 47% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 39.7 | 46.7 | 86.4 | -7.1 | 20% | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.1 | 40.9 | 84.0 | +2.2 | 50% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 43.6 | 40.2 | 83.8 | +3.4 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 40.2 | 49.0 | 89.2 | -8.8 | 0% | 83% |
| vs Similar (17) | 42.5 | 42.8 | 85.4 | -0.3 | 35% | 59% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (7) | 42.1 | 38.9 | 81.0 | +3.3 | 71% | 29% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 83.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.9 | 40.1 | 80.0 | -0.3 | 53% | 40% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 40.3 | 39.1 | 79.4 | +1.2 | 57% | 36% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 39.5 | 41.1 | 80.6 | -1.6 | 50% | 44% |
| Last 10 (10) | 36.9 | 46.7 | 83.6 | -9.8 | 30% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 38.4 | 47.0 | 85.4 | -8.6 | 20% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (10) | 36.7 | 47.8 | 84.5 | -11.1 | 20% | 60% |
| vs Similar (5) | 41.8 | 36.6 | 78.4 | +5.2 | 80% | 20% |
| vs Weaker (15) | 41.3 | 36.2 | 77.5 | +5.1 | 67% | 33% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Decin -14 | 73.7% | 1.70 | 1.76 | 1.71 | 1.68 | 1.65 | - | +19.3pp | Won |
| Decin -13 | 76.5% | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.60 | - | - | +18.5pp | Won |
| Decin -13.5 | 74.4% | 1.56 | 1.66 | 1.65 | 1.61 | 1.57 | 1.32 | +18.1pp | Won |
| Decin -12 | 79.2% | 1.52 | 1.54 | 1.52 | 1.51 | - | - | +17.9pp | Won |
| Decin -12.5 | 77.2% | 1.50 | 1.57 | 1.56 | 1.55 | 1.52 | 1.28 | +17.4pp | Won |
| Decin -11.5 | 79.7% | 1.47 | 1.52 | 1.49 | 1.45 | 1.41 | - | +17.0pp | Won |
| Decin -8.5 | 86.2% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +16.8pp | Won |
| Decin -10.5 | 82.1% | 1.41 | 1.43 | 1.39 | - | - | - | +16.6pp | Won |
| Decin -7.5 | 88.0% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +16.3pp | Won |
| Decin -9.5 | 84.2% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +15.7pp | Won |
| Plzen under 80.5 | 81.9% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +15.6pp | Won |
| Decin -6.5 | 89.7% | 1.23 | 1.23 | - | - | - | - | +14.4pp | Won |
| Plzen under 82.5 | 86.6% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +14.2pp | Won |
| Decin -15 | 70.6% | 1.66 | 1.83 | 1.81 | 1.62 | 1.54 | 1.52 | +13.4pp | Won |
| Plzen under 78.5 | 76.3% | 1.44 | 1.55 | 1.45 | 1.32 | - | - | +13.0pp | Lost |
| Decin -14.5 | 71.5% | 1.62 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.76 | 1.65 | 1.58 | +12.9pp | Won |
| Plzen under 86.5 | 93.2% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +10.9pp | Won |
| Plzen under 77.5 | 73.1% | 1.47 | 1.53 | 1.50 | 1.37 | - | - | +10.6pp | Lost |
| Plzen under 79.5 | 79.2% | 1.33 | 1.40 | 1.35 | 1.24 | - | - | +10.2pp | Won |
| Plzen under 81.5 | 84.4% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +9.6pp | Won |
| Plzen under 88.5 | 95.3% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +9.2pp | Won |
| Plzen under 83.5 | 88.6% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +9.1pp | Won |
| Decin over 80.5 | 88.5% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +9.0pp | Won |
| Plzen under 84.5 | 90.3% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +8.9pp | Won |
| Decin (regulation) | 95.5% | 1.02 | 1.03 | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | +8.1pp | Won |
| Plzen under 90.5 | 96.8% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +8.1pp | Won |
| Decin over 78.5 | 91.9% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +7.5pp | Won |
| Plzen under 85.5 | 91.8% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +7.4pp | Won |
| Plzen under 92.5 | 97.9% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +7.4pp | Won |
| Decin +4.5 | 98.0% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +7.2pp | Won |
| Decin over 85.5 | 75.7% | 1.35 | 1.39 | 1.31 | - | - | - | +7.2pp | Won |
| Under 176.5 | 78.5% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +7.1pp | Lost |
| Decin over 74.5 | 96.4% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Won |
| Decin over 76.5 | 94.5% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Won |
| Under 181.5 | 86.4% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +6.9pp | Won |
| Plzen under 87.5 | 94.3% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| Plzen under 89.5 | 96.1% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Won |
| Plzen under 95.5 | 98.9% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Won |
| Decin over 72.5 | 97.7% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.5pp | Won |
| Decin over 75.5 | 95.5% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +6.5pp | Won |
| Decin over 73.5 | 97.1% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Won |
| Decin win | 96.2% | 1.03 | 1.05 | 1.04 | 1.03 | 1.03 | 1.03 | +6.3pp | Won |
| Plzen under 91.5 | 97.4% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.2pp | Won |
| Plzen under 93.5 | 98.3% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Won |
| Under 172.5 | 70.7% | 1.42 | 1.42 | - | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Lost |
| Under 191.5 | 95.6% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Won |
| Decin over 79.5 | 90.3% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +5.9pp | Won |
| Decin over 81.5 | 86.4% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +5.9pp | Won |
| Decin over 71.5 | 98.2% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.9pp | Won |
| Under 173.5 | 72.8% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Lost |
| Decin over 86.5 | 72.4% | 1.36 | 1.42 | 1.30 | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| Decin over 77.5 | 93.3% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| Decin +9.5 | 99.2% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Won |
| Plzen under 96.5 | 99.1% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| Decin over 83.5 | 81.6% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| Under 186.5 | 92.0% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| Decin over 82.5 | 84.1% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Decin under 99.5 | 76.5% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Lost |
| Plzen under 94.5 | 98.6% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.9pp | Won |
| Decin under 100.5 | 79.5% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +1.7pp | Won |
| Over 141.5 | 91.7% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +1.5pp | Won |
| Over 146.5 | 85.8% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | -1.3pp | Won |
| Over 151.5 | 77.7% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | -2.8pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 39.5 | 19.7 | 52.9% | 39.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 26.9 | 7.9 | 32.5% | 23.7 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 27.9 | 21.0 | 68.8% | 21.0 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 34.5 | 14.5 | 52.9% | 29.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 33.5 | 10.9 | 32.5% | 32.7 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.5 | 14.5 | 68.8% | 14.5 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 17/09/26 | Plzen v Decin | 79-109 |
| 16/11/16 | Plzen v Decin | 50-113 |
| 14/12/11 | Plzen v Decin | 52-67 |
| 22/10/11 | Decin v Plzen | 79-49 |
| 22/01/11 | Plzen v Decin | 54-74 |
| 30/10/10 | Decin v Plzen | 82-68 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | H | Pardubice | 75-81 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Usti n. Labem | 92-66 |
| 04/11/26 | A | Slavia Prague ERA NBK | 78-89 |
| 01/11/26 | A | Srsni Pisek | 84-99 |
| 24/10/26 | H | NH Ostrava | 87-76 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Pardubice | 82-79 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Hradec Kralove | 93-99 OT |
| 04/10/26 | A | Olomoucko | 76-51 |
| 30/09/26 | H | Brno | 86-78 |
| 26/09/26 | A | Opava | 76-83 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/26 | A | Slavia Prague ERA NBK | 82-114 |
| 31/10/26 | A | NH Ostrava | 64-82 |
| 28/10/26 | A | Pardubice | 74-98 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Hradec Kralove | 77-84 |
| 16/10/26 | A | Olomoucko | 81-72 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Brno | 69-83 |
| 03/10/26 | A | Opava | 82-92 |
| 30/09/26 | H | USK Prague | 81-84 |
| 27/09/26 | H | Srsni Pisek | 81-88 |
| 23/09/26 | A | Usti n. Labem | 74-115 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLWL | 58% |
| Home | WWWWL | 80% |
| Away | WLWLL | 43% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 12 | 5 | 7 |
| Win % | 58% | 80% | 43% |
| Points / game | 84.3 | 82.8 | 85.4 |
| Allowed / game | 78.1 | 71.6 | 82.7 |
| Point differential | +6.2 | +11.2 | +2.7 |
| Avg total | 162.4 | 154.4 | 168.1 |
| Over 166 | 33% | 0% | 57% |
| Win by 10+ | 42% | 60% | 29% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 8% | 0% | 14% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLLL | 9% |
| Home | LLLLL | 0% |
| Away | LWLLL | 17% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 11 | 5 | 6 |
| Win % | 9% | 0% | 17% |
| Points / game | 76.7 | 77.4 | 76.2 |
| Allowed / game | 92.8 | 89.6 | 95.5 |
| Point differential | -16.1 | -12.2 | -19.3 |
| Avg total | 169.5 | 167.0 | 171.7 |
| Over 166 | 55% | 40% | 67% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Prague ERA NBK | 12 | 11 | 1 | 92% | 98.9 | 80.9 | +18.0 |
| 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 85% | 89.6 | 78.2 | +11.4 | |
| 3 | Srsni Pisek | 10 | 7 | 3 | 70% | 90.5 | 84.0 | +6.5 |
| 4 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 64% | 84.3 | 79.1 | +5.2 | |
| 5 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 58% | 84.3 | 78.1 | +6.2 | |
| 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 55% | 85.8 | 80.6 | +5.2 | |
| 7 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 45% | 81.0 | 82.1 | -1.1 | |
| 8 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 45% | 83.8 | 85.4 | -1.5 | |
| 9 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 33% | 82.2 | 89.2 | -7.0 | |
| 10 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 27% | 83.4 | 91.7 | -8.4 | |
| 11 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 9% | 76.7 | 92.8 | -16.1 | |
| 12 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 9% | 66.0 | 87.5 | -21.5 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 28 | 26 | 20 | 100 | |
| 21 | 23 | 13 | 22 | 79 |
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