Decin vs Usti n. Labem Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Nov 2026

Tip-off: 17:00

Projected 84-79

Projected total 163.8

Final 92-66

26-12 23-22 16-13 27-19

Position#4

Record6-4

FormLWWLL

Points / game84.5

Allowed / game79.0

Decin 🏆

68%

32%

■ DECI 68%■ USTI 32%

Pythia win probability

Usti n. Labem

Position#6

Record6-4

FormWWLLL

Points / game87.8

Allowed / game79.5

NBLRound 11· ARMEX Sportcentrum

Other2026-27

Meetings · Decin v Usti n. Labem

Sections

Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Decin host Usti n. Labem on 7 November 2026 in the NBL, and the Pythia model names Decin the favourite with a 68% chance of winning against Usti n. Labem's 32% probability of victory; the projected score is 85-80 and the total is 164.8 points. Decin finish the season 6-4, averaging 84.5 points scored and 79.0 points allowed, while Usti n. Labem also sit 6-4, with 87.8 points scored and 79.5 points allowed, and are positioned fifth in the league. At home Decin are undefeated 3-0, posting 82.3 points per game and 70.3 points allowed, whereas Usti n. Labem are 2-1 on the road, averaging 87.0 points scored and 85.7 points allowed. In their last five games each side has won two and lost three, and Decin's recent outings include a 78-89 loss to Slavia Prague, a 84-99 defeat to Srsni Pisek, and a 87-76 win over NH Ostrava, while Usti n. Labem's recent results feature a 89-91 loss to Slavia Prague, a 61-82 defeat to NH Ostrava, and a 64-83 loss to Pardubice. Historically, Decin have won four of ten meetings with Usti n. Labem, but the most recent encounter on 18 April 2026 saw Decin triumph 85-80. The home team line is -1.5 and Pythia gives a 66% chance that Decin will cover, while the total line of 166.0 carries a 46% probability of the over; there is a 5% chance the game will go into overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Decin winWon

67.8%fair 1.47

Best odds2.12

Implied47.5%

Edge+20.3pp

Usti n. Labem winLost

32.2%fair 3.11

Best odds1.83

Implied52.5%

Edge-20.3pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 07:38 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Decin

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormDecin

Date

Competition

Plzen

#11

109-79

109

+30

109avg 74

A17/09

NBL

USK Prague

74-57

+17

68avg 74

H23/09

NBL

Opava

76-83

-7

66avg 74

A26/09

NBL

Brno

86-78

84avg 74

H30/09

NBL

Olomoucko

#12

76-51

+25

68avg 74

A04/10

NBL

Hradec Kralove

#10

93-99 OT

-6

82avg 74

A10/10

NBL

Pardubice

82-79

82avg 74

A17/10

NBL

NH Ostrava

87-76

+11

88avg 74

H24/10

NBL

Srsni Pisek

84-99

-15

no box

A01/11

NBL

Slavia Prague ERA NBK

78-89

-11

no box

A04/11

NBL

20-13

28-30

31-19

30-17

14-15

20-17

16-14

24-11

19-19

29-25

9-22

19-17

32-17

17-16

21-23

16-22

14-13

26-17

14-8

22-13

15-26

21-21

13-25

34-11

17-27

23-27

20-8

22-17

26-10

23-21

15-22

23-23

29-22

17-28

18-27

20-22

22-27

19-18

21-25

16-19

163.5Avg total

84.5Scored

79.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	84.5	79.0	163.5	+5.5	60%
Season at home (3)	82.3	70.3	152.7	+12.0	100%
Season away (7)	85.4	82.7	168.1	+2.7	43%
Last 10 (10)	84.5	79.0	163.5	+5.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	84.8	88.4	173.2	-3.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	79.1	92.6	171.7	-13.4	14%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	82.6	84.1	166.7	-1.5	47%
vs Weaker (8)	84.1	75.8	159.9	+8.4	62%

This opponent (Usti n. Labem) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Usti n. Labem Czech Republic

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormLabem

Date

Competition

Srsni Pisek

78-80

-2

68avg 79

H20/09

NBL

Plzen

#11

115-74

115

+41

114avg 79

H23/09

NBL

USK Prague

89-80

73avg 79

A26/09

NBL

Opava

86-76

+10

74avg 79

H30/09

NBL

Brno

83-68

+15

71avg 79

H04/10

NBL

Olomoucko

#12

102-66

102

+36

97avg 79

H11/10

NBL

Hradec Kralove

#10

111-95

111

+16

102avg 79

A17/10

NBL

Pardubice

64-83

-19

54avg 79

H25/10

NBL

NH Ostrava

61-82

-21

41avg 79

A28/10

NBL

Slavia Prague ERA NBK

89-91

-2

no box

H01/11

NBL

13-8

19-18

26-22

20-32

28-10

23-20

30-19

34-25

16-24

16-20

25-20

32-16

24-18

26-20

18-22

18-16

17-17

25-12

18-20

23-19

22-17

23-14

25-19

32-16

25-21

31-22

36-23

19-29

12-27

21-23

13-7

18-26

14-17

20-19

14-20

13-26

21-23

32-24

15-16

21-28

167.3Avg total

87.8Scored

79.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	87.8	79.5	167.3	+8.3	60%
Season at home (7)	88.1	76.9	165.0	+11.3	57%
Season away (3)	87.0	85.7	172.7	+1.3	67%
Last 10 (10)	87.8	79.5	167.3	+8.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	85.4	83.4	168.8	+2.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	85.2	95.0	180.2	-9.8	17%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	83.4	84.8	168.2	-1.4	56%
vs Weaker (8)	97.8	78.5	176.2	+19.2	100%

This opponent (Decin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 161Actual: Under 161

Over 161

56.0%

Under 161

44.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 166.25 · main lineActual: Under 166.25

Over 166.25

no forecast

@ 1.81

Under 166.25

no forecast

@ 1.81

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.81

Under

1xBet

1.81

Over/Under 171Actual: Under 171

Over 171

32.1%

Under 171

67.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Decin total 79.5Actual: Decin over 79.5

Over 79.5

68.7%

@ 1.53+8.3pp

Under 79.5

31.3%

@ 2.40-8.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.53

Bet365

1.52

1xBet

1.44

Under

Bet365

2.40

Betano

2.30

1xBet

2.20

Decin total 83.5 · main lineActual: Decin over 83.5

Over 83.5

53.8%

@ 2.00+4.9pp

Under 83.5

46.2%

@ 1.83-4.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.00

BetVictor

1.88

Marathon Be

1.86

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.82

Under

BetVictor

1.83

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.78

Betano

1.70

1xBet

1.64

Decin total 87.5Actual: Decin over 87.5

Over 87.5

38.3%

@ 2.70+3.8pp

Under 87.5

61.7%

@ 1.42-3.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.70

Betano

2.60

1xBet

2.55

Under

Betano

1.42

Bet365

1.41

1xBet

1.34

Usti n. Labem total 78.5Actual: Usti n. Labem under 78.5

Over 78.5

52.4%

@ 1.42-13.1pp

Under 78.5

47.6%

@ 2.63+13.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.33

Under

1xBet

2.63

Betano

2.57

Usti n. Labem total 82.5 · main lineActual: Usti n. Labem under 82.5

Over 82.5

37.2%

@ 1.85-14.1pp

Under 82.5

62.8%

@ 1.98+14.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.77

Betano

1.70

1xBet

1.62

Under

Betano

1.98

Marathon Be

1.87

BetVictor

1.85

1xBet

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Usti n. Labem total 86.5Actual: Usti n. Labem under 86.5

Over 86.5

24.1%

@ 2.32-15.8pp

Under 86.5

75.9%

@ 1.52+15.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.32

1xBet

2.16

Under

Betano

1.52

1xBet

1.45

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Decin -1.5Actual: Decin -1.5

DECI -1.5

65.2%

@ 2.12+21.0pp

USTI +1.5

34.8%

@ 1.85-21.0pp

Best 5 market prices

DECI

Betano

2.12

Pinnacle

2.10

Marathon Be

2.05

1xBet

2.03

Betfair

2.00

USTI

BetVictor

1.85

SBO

1.79

Bet365

1.74

Betfair

1.73

Pinnacle

1.66

Spread Decin +1.5 · main lineActual: Decin +1.5

DECI +1.5

70.3%

@ 1.88+20.7pp

USTI -1.5

29.7%

@ 1.95-20.7pp

Best 5 market prices

DECI

Pinnacle

1.88

Betano

1.85

BetVictor

1.83

1xBet

1.81

Marathon Be

1.81

USTI

Bet365

1.95

Betfair

1.91

SBO

1.91

BetVictor

1.88

1xBet

1.86

Spread Decin +4.5Actual: Decin +4.5

DECI +4.5

79.1%

@ 1.55+17.7pp

USTI -4.5

20.9%

@ 2.55-17.7pp

Best 5 market prices

DECI

Betano

1.55

Marathon Be

1.50

Bet365

1.47

1xBet

1.44

USTI

Bet365

2.55

1xBet

2.29

Betano

2.25

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

DecinUsti n. Labem

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	21.1	22.0	43.0	-0.9	40%	60%
Last 30 at home (13)	23.7	20.6	44.3	+3.1	62%	62%
Last 30 away (17)	19.1	23.0	42.1	-3.9	24%	59%
Last 10 (10)	20.8	18.9	39.7	+1.9	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	21.8	22.4	44.2	-0.6	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.6	26.1	46.7	-5.6	14%	100%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	22.8	21.3	44.1	+1.5	53%	60%
vs Weaker (8)	18.2	19.6	37.9	-1.4	38%	25%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.3	42.2	-0.4	47%	47%
Last 30 at home (17)	22.4	19.6	42.0	+2.8	65%	41%
Last 30 away (13)	18.8	23.5	42.4	-4.7	23%	54%
Last 10 (10)	19.2	18.2	37.4	+1.0	50%	20%
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.0	39.8	-2.2	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.3	26.2	45.5	-6.8	17%	67%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	20.7	21.0	41.7	-0.3	50%	50%
vs Weaker (8)	22.4	18.2	40.6	+4.1	62%	25%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.75
Last 30 (30)	20.7	21.4	42.2	-0.7	40%	60%
Last 30 at home (13)	21.1	19.2	40.3	+1.8	54%	54%
Last 30 away (17)	20.5	23.1	43.6	-2.6	29%	65%
Last 10 (10)	22.3	22.0	44.3	+0.3	60%	70%
Last 5 (5)	20.6	23.0	43.6	-2.4	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.6	23.6	43.1	-4.0	14%	71%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.1	21.3	41.4	-1.3	33%	53%
vs Weaker (8)	23.0	19.8	42.8	+3.2	75%	62%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.75
Last 30 (30)	23.2	20.7	43.9	+2.5	60%	63%
Last 30 at home (17)	23.7	20.3	44.0	+3.4	71%	65%
Last 30 away (13)	22.5	21.2	43.8	+1.3	46%	62%
Last 10 (10)	23.6	19.2	42.8	+4.4	80%	50%
Last 5 (5)	25.4	20.4	45.8	+5.0	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	24.0	24.2	48.2	-0.2	33%	100%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	22.0	20.8	42.8	+1.2	56%	50%
vs Weaker (8)	25.0	18.0	43.0	+7.0	88%	62%

DecinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Plzen

#11

48-43

A17/09

NBL

USK Prague

34-32

H23/09

NBL

Opava

48-44

A26/09

NBL

Brno

49-33

+16

H30/09

NBL

Olomoucko

#12

40-30

+10

A04/10

NBL

Hradec Kralove

#10

36-47

-11

A10/10

NBL

Pardubice

40-54

-14

A17/10

NBL

NH Ostrava

49-31

+18

H24/10

NBL

Srsni Pisek

46-50

-4

A01/11

NBL

Slavia Prague ERA NBK

41-45

-4

A04/11

NBL

84.0Avg total

43.1Scored

40.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 84.5
Last 30 (30)	41.8	43.4	85.2	-1.6	37%	57%
Last 30 at home (13)	44.8	39.8	84.6	+4.9	54%	54%
Last 30 away (17)	39.5	46.1	85.6	-6.6	24%	59%
Last 10 (10)	43.1	40.9	84.0	+2.2	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	42.4	45.4	87.8	-3.0	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	40.1	49.7	89.9	-9.6	0%	86%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	42.9	42.6	85.5	+0.3	40%	60%
vs Weaker (8)	41.2	39.4	80.6	+1.9	62%	25%

This opponent (Usti n. Labem) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Usti n. LabemLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Srsni Pisek

32-26

H20/09

NBL

Plzen

#11

51-30

+21

H23/09

NBL

USK Prague

32-44

-12

A26/09

NBL

Opava

50-38

+12

H30/09

NBL

Brno

42-29

+13

H04/10

NBL

Olomoucko

#12

45-31

+14

H11/10

NBL

Hradec Kralove

#10

56-43

+13

A17/10

NBL

Pardubice

33-50

-17

H25/10

NBL

NH Ostrava

34-36

-2

A28/10

NBL

Slavia Prague ERA NBK

53-47

H01/11

NBL

80.2Avg total

42.8Scored

37.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 84.5
Last 30 (30)	44.1	42.0	86.1	+2.1	57%	53%
Last 30 at home (17)	46.1	39.9	86.0	+6.2	71%	53%
Last 30 away (13)	41.4	44.8	86.2	-3.4	38%	54%
Last 10 (10)	42.8	37.4	80.2	+5.4	70%	30%
Last 5 (5)	44.2	41.4	85.6	+2.8	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	43.3	50.3	93.7	-7.0	33%	67%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	42.7	41.8	84.4	+0.9	50%	56%
vs Weaker (8)	47.4	36.2	83.6	+11.1	88%	38%

This opponent (Decin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Decin win

DECI win

no forecast

@ 1.98

USTI win

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half Spread Decin -0.5 · main lineActual: Decin -0.5

DECI -0.5

no forecast

@ 2.00

USTI +0.5

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half Over/Under 84.5 · main lineActual: Under 84.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.00

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

Decin 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Decin over 41.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.81

Under

no forecast

@ 1.90

Usti n. Labem 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Usti n. Labem under 41.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.80

Under

no forecast

@ 2.02

1st half: DECI + total 84.5

DECI & over

no forecast

@ 3.60

DECI & under

no forecast

@ 3.50

1st half: Draw + total 84.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 29.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 26.00

1st half: USTI + total 84.5

USTI & over

no forecast

@ 3.90

USTI & under

no forecast

@ 3.80

1st half Over/Under 83.25Actual: Under 83.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.79

1st half Spread Decin -1.5Actual: Decin -1.5

DECI -1.5

no forecast

@ 2.25

USTI +1.5

no forecast

@ 1.71

1st half Spread Decin +0.5Actual: Decin +0.5

DECI +0.5

no forecast

@ 1.83

USTI -0.5

no forecast

@ 2.00

1st half Over/Under 86.5Actual: Under 86.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.22

Under

no forecast

@ 1.62

1st half Over/Under 82Actual: Over 82

Over

no forecast

@ 1.66

Under

no forecast

@ 2.12

1st half Spread Decin -2.5Actual: Decin -2.5

DECI -2.5

no forecast

@ 2.47

USTI +2.5

no forecast

@ 1.51

1st half Spread Decin +1.5Actual: Decin +1.5

DECI +1.5

no forecast

@ 1.75

USTI -1.5

no forecast

@ 2.03

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Decin (regulation)

DECI

no forecast

@ 2.05

Draw

no forecast

@ 16.50

USTI

no forecast

@ 1.90

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.75
Last 30 (30)	18.5	20.5	39.0	-2.1	37%	43%
Last 30 at home (13)	16.9	20.3	37.2	-3.4	38%	31%
Last 30 away (17)	19.6	20.7	40.4	-1.1	35%	53%
Last 10 (10)	17.8	19.3	37.1	-1.5	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	17.4	21.4	38.8	-4.0	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.4	21.9	41.3	-2.4	29%	57%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.5	21.5	40.1	-3.0	33%	47%
vs Weaker (8)	17.5	17.5	35.0	+0.0	50%	25%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.75
Last 30 (30)	21.9	21.3	43.2	+0.6	47%	70%
Last 30 at home (17)	21.2	21.2	42.4	+0.1	47%	71%
Last 30 away (13)	22.8	21.4	44.2	+1.4	46%	69%
Last 10 (10)	22.0	18.8	40.8	+3.2	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	20.6	17.0	37.6	+3.6	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.8	21.5	42.3	-0.7	33%	67%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	21.2	21.2	42.4	-0.1	44%	69%
vs Weaker (8)	24.1	21.1	45.2	+3.0	62%	75%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.75
Last 30 (30)	21.6	19.4	41.0	+2.2	57%	50%
Last 30 at home (13)	20.1	19.5	39.5	+0.6	46%	46%
Last 30 away (17)	22.8	19.3	42.1	+3.5	65%	53%
Last 10 (10)	22.6	17.2	39.8	+5.4	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	23.0	18.4	41.4	+4.6	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	43%	43%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	21.2	19.9	41.1	+1.3	53%	53%
vs Weaker (8)	24.1	16.9	41.0	+7.2	75%	50%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.75
Last 30 (30)	21.1	21.5	42.6	-0.4	43%	67%
Last 30 at home (17)	21.9	19.8	41.7	+2.2	59%	59%
Last 30 away (13)	20.0	23.8	43.8	-3.8	23%	77%
Last 10 (10)	23.0	23.3	46.3	-0.3	50%	80%
Last 5 (5)	20.6	25.0	45.6	-4.4	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.0	23.2	44.2	-2.2	17%	67%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.5	21.8	41.3	-2.3	38%	62%
vs Weaker (8)	24.4	19.8	44.1	+4.6	75%	75%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 81.5
Last 30 (30)	40.1	39.9	80.0	+0.2	37%	50%
Last 30 at home (13)	37.0	39.8	76.8	-2.8	23%	31%
Last 30 away (17)	42.4	40.0	82.4	+2.4	47%	65%
Last 10 (10)	40.4	36.5	76.9	+3.9	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	40.4	39.8	80.2	+0.6	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	39.0	42.9	81.9	-3.9	14%	43%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	39.7	41.5	81.2	-1.7	27%	53%
vs Weaker (8)	41.6	34.4	76.0	+7.2	75%	50%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 81.5
Last 30 (30)	43.0	42.8	85.8	+0.2	43%	53%
Last 30 at home (17)	43.2	40.9	84.1	+2.2	41%	47%
Last 30 away (13)	42.8	45.2	88.0	-2.5	46%	62%
Last 10 (10)	45.0	42.1	87.1	+2.9	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	41.2	42.0	83.2	-0.8	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	41.8	44.7	86.5	-2.8	17%	67%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	40.7	43.1	83.8	-2.4	44%	44%
vs Weaker (8)	48.5	40.9	89.4	+7.6	62%	62%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

DECI win + total 166.5

🔒 Pro

USTI win + total 166.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: DECI leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: USTI leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (DECI:USTI): DECI wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Decin +2	72.9%	1.74	Pinnacle 1.81	Marathon Bet 1.74	SBO 1.72	Bet365 1.68	-	+21.3pp	Won
Decin +1.5	70.3%	1.81	Pinnacle 1.88	Betano 1.85	BetVictor 1.83	1xBet 1.81	Marathon Bet 1.81	+20.7pp	Won
Decin +2.5	73.8%	1.69	Betano 1.75	Pinnacle 1.75	Marathon Bet 1.67	Bet365 1.64	1xBet 1.62	+20.6pp	Won
Decin +3	75.7%	1.63	Pinnacle 1.68	Marathon Bet 1.62	Bet365 1.58	-	-	+20.5pp	Won
Decin +4	78.5%	1.56	Pinnacle 1.59	Marathon Bet 1.53	-	-	-	+20.1pp	Won
Decin +3.5	76.4%	1.60	Betano 1.65	Pinnacle 1.63	Marathon Bet 1.58	1xBet 1.53	-	+19.5pp	Won
Decin +7.5	86.0%	1.35	Betano 1.35	-	-	-	-	+18.1pp	Won
Decin +5.5	81.6%	1.42	Betano 1.47	1xBet 1.37	-	-	-	+18.1pp	Won
Decin +4.5	79.1%	1.49	Betano 1.55	Marathon Bet 1.50	Bet365 1.47	1xBet 1.44	-	+17.7pp	Won
Decin +6.5	83.9%	1.35	Betano 1.40	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	+17.0pp	Won
Decin +8.5	87.8%	1.30	Betano 1.30	-	-	-	-	+17.0pp	Won
Usti n. Labem under 86.5	75.9%	1.48	Betano 1.52	1xBet 1.45	-	-	-	+15.8pp	Won
Usti n. Labem under 85.5	72.9%	1.57	Betano 1.60	Bet365 1.57	1xBet 1.53	-	-	+15.6pp	Won
Usti n. Labem under 88.5	81.3%	1.33	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	-	+15.3pp	Won
Decin +9.5	89.4%	1.24	Betano 1.25	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	+15.2pp	Won
Usti n. Labem under 87.5	78.7%	1.41	Betano 1.44	Bet365 1.41	1xBet 1.39	-	-	+14.8pp	Won
Usti n. Labem under 89.5	83.7%	1.29	Bet365 1.30	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	+13.4pp	Won
Usti n. Labem under 91.5	87.8%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+11.7pp	Won
Usti n. Labem under 92.5	89.6%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+10.7pp	Won
Decin +14.5	95.0%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+10.6pp	Won
Usti n. Labem under 93.5	91.1%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+10.6pp	Won
Decin +19.5	97.8%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+8.8pp	Won
Usti n. Labem under 95.5	93.7%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Won
Decin over 78.5	72.1%	1.41	Betano 1.45	Bet365 1.40	1xBet 1.37	-	-	+8.3pp	Won
Decin over 73.5	85.9%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Won
Decin over 77.5	75.3%	1.35	Bet365 1.37	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Won
Decin over 75.5	81.1%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Won
Decin +24.5	99.0%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
Decin over 71.5	89.8%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
Decin over 72.5	88.0%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
Decin over 76.5	78.3%	1.28	Bet365 1.29	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
Under 172.5	70.7%	1.42	Betano 1.42	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Decin over 74.5	83.6%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Under 175.5	76.5%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Under 180.5	84.5%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Under 190.5	94.2%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Decin under 100.5	94.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Under 185.5	90.3%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Overtime: no	95.2%	1.03	Betano 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	-
Decin under 99.5	92.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Decin under 98.5	91.5%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Decin under 96.5	88.1%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+2.6pp	Won
Decin under 97.5	89.9%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Decin under 94.5	83.8%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+2.3pp	Won
Over 140.5	92.0%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
Usti n. Labem +20.5	90.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Lost
Decin under 95.5	86.1%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Won
Decin under 93.5	81.3%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+0.8pp	Won
Decin under 90.5	72.4%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+0.0pp	Lost
Over 145.5	86.4%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-0.2pp	Won
Decin under 92.5	78.5%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-0.3pp	Won
Decin under 91.5	75.5%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-0.6pp	Lost
Over 150.5	78.5%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-1.0pp	Won
Usti n. Labem over 67.5	87.2%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	-1.5pp	Lost
Usti n. Labem over 69.5	82.7%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-3.4pp	Lost
Usti n. Labem +15.5	81.7%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-3.8pp	Lost
Usti n. Labem over 71.5	77.1%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	-5.1pp	Lost
Usti n. Labem over 72.5	74.1%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-5.4pp	Lost
Usti n. Labem over 73.5	70.8%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-7.0pp	Lost

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Decintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Decin: 83.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀27%

🏀26%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 27% of the points

🏀 Free throws21.7 pts a game · 26% of the points

League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game

47%

34%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.1	19.8	49.4%	52.9%	39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.2	7.5	28.6%	32.4%	22.5
🏀 Free throws	28.5	21.7	76.1%	68.6%	21.7

They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Usti n. Labemtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Usti n. Labem: 86.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game

47%

34%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.2	22.2	55.2%	52.9%	44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	8.3	29.3%	32.4%	24.9
🏀 Free throws	24.0	17.0	70.8%	68.6%	17.0

They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.7	15.3	46.8%	52.9%	30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.7	10.2	32.2%	32.4%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	25.9	17.2	66.4%	68.6%	17.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.7	18.8	49.9%	52.9%	37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.9	9.7	30.4%	32.4%	29.1
🏀 Free throws	21.9	14.0	63.9%	68.6%	14.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.8	19.5	47.7%	52.9%	38.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	7.7	29.8%	32.4%	23.2
🏀 Free throws	27.7	19.8	71.5%	68.6%	19.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	21.7	55.5%	52.9%	43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.2	8.5	32.3%	32.4%	25.4
🏀 Free throws	25.2	17.6	69.8%	68.6%	17.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.1	17.1	50.1%	52.9%	34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.8	10.3	32.5%	32.4%	31.0
🏀 Free throws	28.1	18.8	66.8%	68.6%	18.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.9	19.2	50.6%	52.9%	38.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.7	10.4	30.9%	32.4%	31.2
🏀 Free throws	22.1	15.3	69.2%	68.6%	15.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Decin

LLWWLWWLWW

Usti n. Labem

LLLWWWWWWL

League position

+5.9

Net rating

+6.0

91.3

Offensive rating

92.3

85.4

Defensive rating

86.3

46.8%

Effective FG%

50.6%

47.5%

Opp. effective FG%

47.9%

15.2%

Turnover %

13.0%

0.43

Free-throw rate

0.35

28.6%

3-point %

29.3%

69.2%

Assist %

47.9%

60%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Decin ■ Usti n. Labem

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Decin wins

Usti n. Labem wins

Date	Game	Score
18/04/26	Decin v Usti n. Labem	85-80
05/03/26	Usti n. Labem v Decin	78-70
17/01/26	Usti n. Labem v Decin	95-87
12/11/25	Decin v Usti n. Labem	87-78
12/03/25	Decin v Usti n. Labem	94-74
26/01/25	Usti n. Labem v Decin	94-77
29/12/24	Usti n. Labem v Decin	104-75
19/10/24	Decin v Usti n. Labem	72-77
16/05/24	Usti n. Labem v Decin	93-77
14/05/24	Decin v Usti n. Labem	79-66

Decinlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/11/26	A	Slavia Prague ERA NBK	78-89
01/11/26	A	Srsni Pisek	84-99
24/10/26	H	NH Ostrava	87-76
17/10/26	A	Pardubice	82-79
10/10/26	A	Hradec Kralove	93-99 OT
04/10/26	A	Olomoucko	76-51
30/09/26	H	Brno	86-78
26/09/26	A	Opava	76-83
23/09/26	H	USK Prague	74-57
17/09/26	A	Plzen	109-79

Usti n. Labemlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/11/26	H	Slavia Prague ERA NBK	89-91
28/10/26	A	NH Ostrava	61-82
25/10/26	H	Pardubice	64-83
17/10/26	A	Hradec Kralove	111-95
11/10/26	H	Olomoucko	102-66
04/10/26	H	Brno	83-68
30/09/26	H	Opava	86-76
26/09/26	A	USK Prague	89-80
23/09/26	H	Plzen	115-74
20/09/26	H	Srsni Pisek	78-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Decin

NBL 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	60%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	WLWLL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	3	7
Win %	60%	100%	43%
Points / game	84.5	82.3	85.4
Allowed / game	79.0	70.3	82.7
Point differential	+5.5	+12.0	+2.7
Avg total	163.5	152.7	168.1
Over 166.25	40%	0%	57%
Win by 10+	40%	67%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	10%	0%	14%

Usti n. Labem

NBL 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	60%
Home	WWWLL	57%
Away	WWL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	7	3
Win %	60%	57%	67%
Points / game	87.8	88.1	87.0
Allowed / game	79.5	76.9	85.7
Point differential	+8.3	+11.3	+1.3
Avg total	167.3	165.0	172.7
Over 166.25	50%	43%	67%
Win by 10+	50%	57%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Slavia Prague ERA NBK	12	11	1	92%	98.9	80.9	+18.0
2	Pardubice	12	10	2	83%	90.3	78.5	+11.8
3	Srsni Pisek	9	6	3	67%	90.3	86.1	+4.2
4	Usti n. Labem	10	6	4	60%	87.8	79.5	+8.3
5	Decin	10	6	4	60%	84.5	79.0	+5.5
6	NH Ostrava	10	6	4	60%	85.0	79.8	+5.2
7	USK Prague	11	5	6	45%	83.8	85.4	-1.5
8	Brno	10	4	6	40%	80.9	83.9	-3.0
9	Opava	11	4	7	36%	83.1	90.3	-7.2
10	Hradec Kralove	10	3	7	30%	85.3	92.7	-7.4
11	Olomoucko	10	1	9	10%	66.1	87.0	-20.9
12	Plzen	11	1	10	9%	76.7	92.8	-16.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Decin	26	23	16	27	92
Usti n. Labem	12	22	13	19	66

← all games of the day

Decin vs Usti n. Labem Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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