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Den Bosch vs Brussels Basketball Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 20 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Projected 79-81
Projected total 159.4
Scheduled
Position#7
Record4-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game83.6
Vs
43%
57%
■ DBO 43%■ BRUS 57%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
5.6/10
Above normal
Position#3
Record5-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game70.9
EuropeBNXT League· Maaspoort
Other2026-27
Meetings · Den Bosch v Brussels Basketball
20 Nov 2026
DBO v BRUS
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
DBO72
BRUS94
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Den Bosch will host Brussels Basketball on 20 November 2026 in the BNXT League, with the model favouring the visitors who are projected to win 57% of the time versus 43% for the hosts, and a predicted score of 79-81. Den Bosch enters the game with a 4-3 season record, averaging 83.6 points and conceding 83.6, while Brussels sits 5-2, scoring 80.4 and allowing 70.9, a difference that suggests the visitors have a tighter defence. At home Den Bosch has won 3 of 4 outings, scoring 86.5 and allowing 85.5, whereas Brussels has won 2 of 3 road games, scoring 77.0 and conceding 68.0. In the last five games each side has won three and lost two, with Den Bosch's recent results including a narrow 100-102 loss to Okapi Aalst away, a 86-81 home win over Leuven Bears, and a 95-86 victory over Mechelen, while Brussels' recent outings feature a 65-78 defeat to Antwerp Giants away, a 91-77 home win over Okapi Aalst, and a 66-81 loss to Spirou Charleroi at home. Their head-to-head record is even, 1-1, with Brussels' last meeting ending 94-72 on 1 April 2026. The model projects a total of 159.4 points and a 5% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Den Bosch win
43.0%fair 2.33
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Brussels Basketball win
57.0%fair 1.75
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 07:36 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Den BoschLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBosch
Date
Competition
Leiden
#10
L
75-93
75
93
-18
76avg 81
H01/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
64-109
64
109
-45
52avg 81
A06/05
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
107-57
107
57
+50
116avg 81
H09/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#8
L
59-70
59
70
-11
42avg 81
A04/10
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#14
W
79-50
79
50
+29
80avg 81
H09/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
86-125
86
125
-39
76avg 81
H17/10
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
80-71
80
71
+9
73avg 81
A23/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#11
W
95-86
95
86
+9
94avg 81
H30/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
W
86-81
86
81
+5
no box
H08/11
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
L
100-102
100
102
-2
no box
A14/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
18-25
18-22
18-21
16-32
18-24
15-23
15-30
27-17
19-15
24-6
37-19
11-16
23-15
15-16
10-23
19-9
14-12
18-16
28-13
22-29
28-25
12-35
24-36
18-32
18-19
19-8
25-12
21-20
27-20
31-18
16-28
15-14
31-33
19-17
21-17
30-22
25-31
27-18
18-31
167.5Avg total
83.1Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.683.6167.1+0.057%
Season at home (4)86.585.5172.0+1.075%
Season away (3)79.781.0160.7-1.333%
Last 10 (10)83.184.4167.5-1.350%
Last 5 (5)89.493.0182.4-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)91.895.5187.3-3.733%
vs Similar (8)79.488.6168.0-9.238%
vs Weaker (16)83.473.1156.5+10.475%
This opponent (Brussels Basketball) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brussels BasketballLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasketball
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#15
W
93-76
93
76
+17
84avg 75
H03/05
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
56-57
56
57
-1
43avg 75
H06/05
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
53-84
53
84
-31
32avg 75
A09/05
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
94-70
94
70
+24
90avg 75
H06/10
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
W
77-61
77
61
+16
77avg 75
A10/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
W
81-64
81
64
+17
77avg 75
H16/10
BNXT League
Zwolle
#8
W
89-65
89
65
+24
91avg 75
A25/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#2
L
66-81
66
81
-15
48avg 75
H30/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
W
91-77
91
77
+14
no box
H08/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
65-78
65
78
-13
no box
A14/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
25-12
23-29
24-17
16-10
17-17
17-13
6-17
12-25
15-21
13-20
13-18
28-21
14-22
29-12
23-15
23-16
16-20
25-12
13-13
25-16
19-12
18-19
19-17
19-23
20-16
28-14
22-12
18-24
10-21
20-20
18-16
23-10
30-25
23-20
15-22
25-21
15-17
7-24
18-16
147.8Avg total
76.5Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.470.9151.3+9.671%
Season at home (4)83.073.0156.0+10.075%
Season away (3)77.068.0145.0+9.067%
Last 10 (10)76.571.3147.8+5.260%
Last 5 (5)78.473.0151.4+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.089.2162.2-16.20%
vs Similar (10)81.082.4163.4-1.430%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)86.469.0155.4+17.486%
This opponent (Den Bosch) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 158.5
Over 158.5
51.4%
Under 158.5
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 163.5
Over 163.5
39.5%
Under 163.5
60.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 168.5
Over 168.5
28.6%
Under 168.5
71.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Den Bosch total 79.5
Over 79.5
46.6%
Under 79.5
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Bosch total 83.5
Over 83.5
31.9%
Under 83.5
68.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Bosch total 87.5
Over 87.5
19.8%
Under 87.5
80.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brussels Basketball total 76
Over 76
68.1%
Under 76
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brussels Basketball total 80
Over 80
52.6%
Under 80
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brussels Basketball total 84
Over 84
36.8%
Under 84
63.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Den Bosch -3
DBO -3
34.1%
BRUS +3
65.9%
Best 5 market prices
DBO
No market prices yet.
BRUS
No market prices yet.
Spread Den Bosch 0
DBO 0
43.0%
BRUS 0
57.0%
Best 5 market prices
DBO
No market prices yet.
BRUS
No market prices yet.
Spread Den Bosch +3
DBO +3
52.0%
BRUS -3
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
DBO
No market prices yet.
BRUS
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +0.8+0.8
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +0.8+0.8
Den BoschBrussels Basketball
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Den BoschLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leiden
#10
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H01/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A06/05
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H09/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#8
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A04/10
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#14
W
33-21
33
21
+12
H09/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H17/10
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A23/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#11
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H30/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H08/11
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A14/11
BNXT League
85.6Avg total
42.1Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.242.084.3+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.241.384.6+1.950%-
Last 30 away (14)41.142.983.9-1.843%-
Last 10 (10)42.143.585.6-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)47.049.096.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)49.746.095.7+3.767%-
vs Similar (8)42.944.086.9-1.162%-
vs Weaker (16)39.139.678.7-0.431%-
This opponent (Brussels Basketball) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brussels BasketballLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#15
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H03/05
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H06/05
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A09/05
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H06/10
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A10/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H16/10
BNXT League
Zwolle
#8
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A25/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#2
L
28-45
28
45
-17
H30/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H08/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A14/11
BNXT League
75.8Avg total
39.1Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.938.280.1+3.767%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.137.078.1+4.167%-
Last 30 away (15)42.739.582.1+3.267%-
Last 10 (10)39.136.775.8+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.837.077.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.244.583.7-5.350%-
vs Similar (10)41.440.982.3+0.560%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.433.677.1+9.879%-
This opponent (Den Bosch) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Den Boschtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Den Bosch: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.3
54.7%
53.2%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.0
33.6%
32.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.712.2
73.1%
71.0%12.2
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brussels Basketballtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brussels Basketball: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.922.2
54.3%
53.2%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.4
29.1%
32.1%19.2
🏀 Free throws20.213.5
66.8%
71.0%13.5
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Den Bosch
LWWWLWLWLL
Brussels Basketball
LWLWWWWLLW
#7
League position
#3
-1.5
Net rating
+6.9
91.2
Offensive rating
91.2
92.7
Defensive rating
84.3
52.9%
Effective FG%
50.6%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
18.7%
Turnover %
15.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.6%
3-point %
29.1%
63.8%
Assist %
50.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence91.2 · 91.2Defence92.7 · 84.3Shooting52.9% · 50.6%3-point %33.6% · 29.1%Ball care18.7% · 15.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Den Bosch   ■ Brussels Basketball
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Den Bosch wins
1
Brussels Basketball wins
Den Boschlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AOkapi Aalst100-102
08/11/26HLeuven Bears86-81
30/10/26HMechelen95-86
23/10/26ACB Liege80-71
17/10/26HAntwerp Giants86-125
09/10/26HRotterdam79-50
04/10/26AZwolle59-70
09/05/26HBelfius Mons107-57
06/05/26ADen Helder64-109
01/05/26HLeiden75-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AAntwerp Giants65-78
08/11/26HOkapi Aalst91-77
30/10/26HSpirou Charleroi66-81
25/10/26AZwolle89-65
16/10/26HOostende81-64
10/10/26ALeiden77-61
06/10/26HCB Liege94-70
09/05/26AOostende53-84
06/05/26HMechelen56-57
03/05/26HLWD Basket93-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Den Bosch
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL57%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game83.686.579.7
Allowed / game83.685.581.0
Point differential+0.0+1.0-1.3
Avg total167.1172.0160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brussels Basketball
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL71%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game80.483.077.0
Allowed / game70.973.068.0
Point differential+9.6+10.0+9.0
Avg total151.3156.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%75%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants770100%99.378.0+21.3
2 Spirou Charleroi75271%79.068.0+11.0
3 Brussels Basketball75271%80.470.9+9.6
4 Okapi Aalst75271%91.786.9+4.9
5 Limburg74357%90.984.9+6.0
6 Oostende74357%76.973.1+3.7
7 Den Bosch74357%83.683.6+0.0
8 Zwolle74357%74.978.0-3.1
9 Donar Groningen74357%81.686.7-5.1
10 Leiden73443%77.178.4-1.3
11 Mechelen73443%88.491.0-2.6
12 Leuven Bears73443%69.974.6-4.7
13 Kortrijk72529%83.082.4+0.6
14 Rotterdam72529%75.080.6-5.6
15 CB Liege71614%77.089.0-12.0
16 Belfius Mons7070%66.989.4-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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