Okapi Aalst will host Den Bosch on 14 November 2026 in the BNXT League, with the model favouring the home side and expecting a decisive win. Both clubs finish the season with identical 4-2 records; Okapi averages 90.0 points per game while allowing 84.7, and sits 5th in the league, whereas Den Bosch posts 80.8 points scored and 80.5 points allowed, positioned 6th. Okapi has gone undefeated at home, 3-0, scoring 97.3 and conceding 82.0, and has won three of its last five games, though it suffered a 77-91 loss to Brussels Basketball away on 8 November. Den Bosch has won four of its last five, including a 95-86 home victory over Mechelen on 30 October, and has a 1-1 road record with 69.5 points scored and 70.5 allowed. Their head-to-head record is even, 2-2, with the last meeting ending 107-103 in favour of Okapi on 11 April. The model gives Okapi a 74% chance to win and 26% to lose, projects a 92-84 score for a 176-point total, and sees a 42% chance the home side will cover the -9.5 spread; the over on 171.0 points carries a 61% probability, and there is a 4% chance of overtime. Okapi's recent 114-90 home win over Donar Groningen shows the team can dominate defensively when it is on its own floor.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 90.0 | 84.7 | 174.7 | +5.3 | 67% |
| Season at home (3) | 97.3 | 82.0 | 179.3 | +15.3 | 100% |
| Season away (3) | 82.7 | 87.3 | 170.0 | -4.7 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 94.2 | 87.4 | 181.6 | +6.8 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 89.0 | 84.2 | 173.2 | +4.8 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 90.0 | 90.0 | 180.0 | +0.0 | 50% |
| vs Similar (7) | 90.1 | 95.3 | 185.4 | -5.1 | 29% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (21) | 98.4 | 83.8 | 182.1 | +14.6 | 90% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 80.8 | 80.5 | 161.3 | +0.3 | 67% |
| Season at home (4) | 86.5 | 85.5 | 172.0 | +1.0 | 75% |
| Season away (2) | 69.5 | 70.5 | 140.0 | -1.0 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 81.2 | 80.9 | 162.1 | +0.3 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 85.2 | 82.6 | 167.8 | +2.6 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (5) | 90.2 | 94.2 | 184.4 | -4.0 | 40% |
| vs Similar (7) | 82.3 | 91.3 | 173.6 | -9.0 | 43% |
| vs Weaker (18) | 82.6 | 73.7 | 156.3 | +8.9 | 72% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 85.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 46.9 | 45.0 | 91.9 | +1.9 | 57% | 80% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 49.1 | 45.2 | 94.3 | +3.9 | 62% | 81% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 44.4 | 44.9 | 89.2 | -0.5 | 50% | 79% |
| Last 10 (10) | 46.8 | 46.4 | 93.2 | +0.4 | 50% | 90% |
| Last 5 (5) | 44.2 | 48.2 | 92.4 | -4.0 | 20% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 36.5 | 49.5 | 86.0 | -13.0 | 0% | 50% |
| vs Similar (7) | 44.6 | 47.7 | 92.3 | -3.1 | 43% | 86% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (21) | 48.7 | 43.7 | 92.4 | +5.0 | 67% | 81% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 85.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.9 | 42.0 | 83.9 | -0.1 | 43% | 50% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 43.2 | 41.3 | 84.6 | +1.9 | 50% | 56% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 40.4 | 42.8 | 83.1 | -2.4 | 36% | 43% |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.5 | 42.5 | 83.0 | -2.0 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.6 | 42.6 | 85.2 | +0.0 | 40% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (5) | 48.6 | 44.6 | 93.2 | +4.0 | 60% | 80% |
| vs Similar (7) | 44.1 | 45.9 | 90.0 | -1.7 | 57% | 71% |
| vs Weaker (18) | 39.2 | 39.8 | 78.9 | -0.6 | 33% | 33% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 166 | 72.6% | 1.57 | 1.57 | - | - | - | - | +13.7pp | Won |
| Over 167 | 70.5% | 1.62 | 1.62 | - | - | - | - | +13.4pp | Won |
| Den Bosch over 76.5 | 77.3% | 1.38 | 1.44 | 1.40 | 1.31 | - | - | +11.2pp | Won |
| Over 164.5 | 75.1% | 1.44 | 1.44 | - | - | - | - | +11.2pp | Won |
| Den Bosch over 69.5 | 92.5% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +11.1pp | Won |
| Over 163.5 | 77.1% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +10.9pp | Won |
| Den Bosch over 74.5 | 82.8% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +10.9pp | Won |
| Den Bosch +13 | 70.0% | 1.55 | 1.57 | 1.53 | - | - | - | +10.8pp | Won |
| Den Bosch +14 | 73.1% | 1.50 | 1.50 | - | - | - | - | +10.6pp | Won |
| Den Bosch +15.5 | 76.7% | 1.36 | 1.41 | 1.38 | 1.28 | - | - | +10.1pp | Won |
| Den Bosch over 78.5 | 70.9% | 1.50 | 1.57 | 1.50 | 1.43 | - | - | +10.1pp | Won |
| Den Bosch +13.5 | 71.0% | 1.49 | 1.54 | 1.50 | 1.42 | - | - | +9.9pp | Won |
| Den Bosch +17.5 | 81.6% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +9.8pp | Won |
| Den Bosch over 77.5 | 74.2% | 1.40 | 1.42 | 1.37 | - | - | - | +9.8pp | Won |
| Den Bosch over 71.5 | 89.3% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +9.8pp | Won |
| Den Bosch +16.5 | 79.2% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +9.8pp | Won |
| Den Bosch +20.5 | 87.5% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +9.7pp | Won |
| Den Bosch over 72.5 | 87.4% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +9.6pp | Won |
| Den Bosch over 70.5 | 91.0% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +9.6pp | Won |
| Den Bosch +14.5 | 73.9% | 1.39 | 1.44 | 1.34 | - | - | - | +8.9pp | Won |
| Den Bosch over 67.5 | 94.9% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +8.8pp | Won |
| Over 161.5 | 80.6% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +8.7pp | Won |
| Okapi Aalst over 78.5 | 90.2% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +8.7pp | Won |
| Over 156.5 | 87.9% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +8.4pp | Won |
| Den Bosch over 65.5 | 96.7% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +8.4pp | Won |
| Over 165.5 | 73.2% | 1.42 | 1.42 | - | - | - | - | +8.3pp | Won |
| Den Bosch over 68.5 | 93.8% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +8.3pp | Won |
| Okapi Aalst over 81.5 | 84.1% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +7.9pp | Won |
| Okapi Aalst over 79.5 | 88.4% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +7.9pp | Won |
| Okapi Aalst over 76.5 | 93.1% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +7.6pp | Won |
| Den Bosch over 66.5 | 95.9% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +7.6pp | Won |
| Okapi Aalst over 80.5 | 86.3% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +7.5pp | Won |
| Over 166.5 | 71.1% | 1.46 | 1.50 | 1.42 | - | - | - | +7.4pp | Won |
| Okapi Aalst over 74.5 | 95.3% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +7.4pp | Won |
| Okapi Aalst over 72.5 | 96.9% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Won |
| Okapi Aalst over 83.5 | 78.9% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Won |
| Okapi Aalst over 73.5 | 96.2% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| Okapi Aalst over 77.5 | 91.7% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Won |
| Okapi Aalst over 68.5 | 98.8% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +6.5pp | Won |
| Okapi Aalst over 70.5 | 98.0% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.5pp | Won |
| Over 151.5 | 93.1% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +6.5pp | Won |
| Okapi Aalst over 71.5 | 97.5% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.4pp | Won |
| Okapi Aalst over 75.5 | 94.3% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Won |
| Okapi Aalst over 69.5 | 98.4% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +6.2pp | Won |
| Over 146.5 | 96.3% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Won |
| Okapi Aalst +14.5 | 96.4% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.9pp | Won |
| Okapi Aalst over 85.5 | 72.7% | 1.32 | 1.40 | 1.24 | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 95.7% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Okapi Aalst +9.5 | 92.2% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +3.2pp | Won |
| Okapi Aalst under 97.5 | 72.0% | 1.30 | 1.31 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +2.1pp | Lost |
| Okapi Aalst +4.5 | 83.8% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | -0.6pp | Won |
| Den Bosch under 94.5 | 83.6% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -2.4pp | Lost |
| Under 191.5 | 82.8% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -2.8pp | Lost |
| Okapi Aalst (regulation) | 71.7% | 1.19 | 1.22 | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | -3.5pp | Won |
| Den Bosch under 92.5 | 78.7% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | -3.6pp | Lost |
| Under 186.5 | 74.3% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | -4.5pp | Lost |
| Den Bosch under 91.5 | 75.9% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | -4.6pp | Lost |
| Den Bosch under 90.5 | 72.9% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -4.9pp | Lost |
| Okapi Aalst win | 74.1% | 1.17 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.19 | 1.18 | 1.17 | -5.3pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 34.8 | 21.1 | 53.2% | 42.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.7 | 11.1 | 32.1% | 33.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 24.4 | 18.5 | 71.0% | 18.5 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 37.1 | 20.3 | 53.2% | 40.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 26.8 | 9.0 | 32.1% | 27.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 16.7 | 12.2 | 71.0% | 12.2 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 | Okapi Aalst v Den Bosch | 107-103 |
| 14/12/25 | Den Bosch v Okapi Aalst | 98-76 |
| 07/05/25 | Den Bosch v Okapi Aalst | 80-61 |
| 26/10/24 | Okapi Aalst v Den Bosch | 93-61 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | A | Brussels Basketball | 77-91 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Belfius Mons | 83-69 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Donar Groningen | 114-90 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Leiden | 77-92 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Mechelen | 94-79 |
| 03/10/26 | H | Oostende | 95-87 |
| 09/05/26 | H | LWD Basket | 118-90 |
| 06/05/26 | A | Limburg | 85-99 |
| 02/05/26 | H | Rotterdam | 102-92 |
| 25/04/26 | A | Leiden | 97-85 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | H | Leuven Bears | 86-81 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Mechelen | 95-86 |
| 23/10/26 | A | CB Liege | 80-71 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Antwerp Giants | 86-125 |
| 09/10/26 | H | Rotterdam | 79-50 |
| 04/10/26 | A | Zwolle | 59-70 |
| 09/05/26 | H | Belfius Mons | 107-57 |
| 06/05/26 | A | Den Helder | 64-109 |
| 01/05/26 | H | Leiden | 75-93 |
| 28/04/26 | A | Donar Groningen | 81-67 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWWL | 67% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | WLL | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Win % | 67% | 100% | 33% |
| Points / game | 90.0 | 97.3 | 82.7 |
| Allowed / game | 84.7 | 82.0 | 87.3 |
| Point differential | +5.3 | +15.3 | -4.7 |
| Avg total | 174.7 | 179.3 | 170.0 |
| Over 171.25 | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWWW | 67% |
| Home | WLWW | 75% |
| Away | LW | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| Win % | 67% | 75% | 50% |
| Points / game | 80.8 | 86.5 | 69.5 |
| Allowed / game | 80.5 | 85.5 | 70.5 |
| Point differential | +0.3 | +1.0 | -1.0 |
| Avg total | 161.3 | 172.0 | 140.0 |
| Over 171.25 | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 17% | 25% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 102.8 | 80.2 | +22.7 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 83.0 | 69.7 | +13.3 | |
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 79.0 | 68.0 | +11.0 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 92.0 | 84.3 | +7.7 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 90.0 | 84.7 | +5.3 | |
| 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 80.8 | 80.5 | +0.3 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 76.9 | 73.1 | +3.7 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 70.2 | 71.8 | -1.7 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 72.7 | 77.0 | -4.3 | |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 81.3 | 89.5 | -8.2 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 77.1 | 78.4 | -1.3 | |
| 12 | Rotterdam | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 75.8 | 80.2 | -4.3 |
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 88.0 | 94.8 | -6.8 | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 83.0 | 82.4 | +0.6 | |
| 15 | CB Liege | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 77.0 | 89.0 | -12.0 |
| 16 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0% | 66.9 | 89.4 | -22.6 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 31 | 18 | 31 | 102 | |
| 30 | 25 | 27 | 18 | 100 |
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