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Denizli Basket vs BC Prievidza Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 06 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 83-69
30-21 19-20 16-16 18-12
Position#31
Record-
FormLLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#23
Record2-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game100.5
Allowed / game74.0
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 1· Pamukkale Üniversitesi Spor Salonu
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denizli Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Prievidza winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denizli BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Akhisar Belediye
#12
W
80-67
80
67
+13
no box
H23/04
TBL
Bandirma Kirmizi
#14
L
74-80
74
80
-6
no box
A01/05
TBL
Tofas
#1
L
60-83
60
83
-23
no box
H07/05
TBL
Best Balikesir
#6
L
59-87
59
87
-28
no box
H12/05
TBL
Best Balikesir
#6
W
65-58
65
58
+7
no box
H14/05
TBL
Best Balikesir
#6
L
78-88
78
88
-10
no box
A17/05
TBL
Best Balikesir
#6
L
57-69
57
69
-12
no box
A19/05
TBL
Vechta
#20
L
98-101
98
101
-3
92avg 87
A15/09
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#6
L
81-85
81
85
-4
72avg 87
A26/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#11
W
101-87
101
87
+14
98avg 87
H03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
27-17
13-15
18-19
24-17
17-26
13-26
20-11
14-29
17-21
16-23
13-10
7-21
22-13
16-23
14-30
26-15
19-12
2-18
18-13
20-21
16-28
20-18
22-21
16-24
16-14
14-13
11-18
20-24
17-19
28-34
33-24
24-25
21-22
21-23
15-15
30-22
20-14
25-25
26-26
155.8Avg total
75.3Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.380.5155.8-5.230%
Last 5 (5)83.086.0169.0-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)77.286.8164.0-9.50%
vs Similar (8)72.473.5145.9-1.162%
vs Weaker (17)77.268.8146.0+8.576%
This opponent (BC Prievidza) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC PrievidzaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrievidza
Date
Competition
BC Komarno
#5
W
81-64
81
64
+17
68avg 76
A15/04
Extraliga
BC Komarno
#5
W
75-73
75
73
+2
63avg 76
H18/04
Extraliga
Levice
#1
L
90-100
90
100
-10
78avg 76
A26/04
Extraliga
Levice
#1
L
75-94
75
94
-19
62avg 76
H29/04
Extraliga
Levice
#1
L
78-105
78
105
-27
64avg 76
A02/05
Extraliga
Levice
#1
L
66-77
66
77
-11
57avg 76
H06/05
Extraliga
Samobor
#48
W
103-83
103
83
+20
100avg 76
A23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
BKM Lucenec
#4
W
97-79
97
79
+18
88avg 76
H27/09
Extraliga
Samobor
#48
W
98-65
98
65
+33
100avg 76
H30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Kosice Wolves
#5
W
104-77
104
77
+27
99avg 76
A03/10
Extraliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
30-22
11-20
25-8
14-19
26-15
18-18
17-21
21-22
16-25
23-23
30-30
20-26
14-21
15-25
26-22
23-23
14-27
20-32
21-23
23-19
14-19
9-19
20-20
28-25
24-24
27-17
24-17
21-15
29-15
21-30
26-19
18-16
20-19
29-11
31-19
24-29
27-15
33-20
20-13
168.4Avg total
86.7Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)100.574.0174.5+26.5100%
Season at home (1)98.065.0163.0+33.0100%
Season away (1)103.083.0186.0+20.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.781.7168.4+5.060%
Last 5 (5)93.676.2169.8+17.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.088.2163.2-13.212%
vs Similar (4)76.288.5164.8-12.20%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)92.677.6170.1+15.083%
This opponent (Denizli Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +4.8+4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +4.8+4.8
Denizli BasketBC Prievidza
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denizli BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akhisar Belediye
#12
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H23/04
TBL
Bandirma Kirmizi
#14
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A01/05
TBL
Tofas
#1
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H07/05
TBL
Best Balikesir
#6
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H12/05
TBL
Best Balikesir
#6
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H14/05
TBL
Best Balikesir
#6
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A17/05
TBL
Best Balikesir
#6
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A19/05
TBL
Vechta
#20
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A15/09
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A26/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#11
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
79.5Avg total
39.5Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.236.774.9+1.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.933.771.5+4.253%-
Last 30 away (15)38.539.778.2-1.133%-
Last 10 (10)39.540.079.5-0.530%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.682.6-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)41.048.089.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (8)35.435.070.4+0.438%-
vs Weaker (17)38.934.473.4+4.559%-
This opponent (BC Prievidza) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC PrievidzaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Komarno
#5
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A15/04
Extraliga
BC Komarno
#5
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H18/04
Extraliga
Levice
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A26/04
Extraliga
Levice
#1
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H29/04
Extraliga
Levice
#1
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A02/05
Extraliga
Levice
#1
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H06/05
Extraliga
Samobor
#48
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
BKM Lucenec
#4
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H27/09
Extraliga
Samobor
#48
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Kosice Wolves
#5
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A03/10
Extraliga
83.1Avg total
42.1Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.641.684.2+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.137.481.6+6.764%-
Last 30 away (16)41.245.286.5-4.031%-
Last 10 (10)42.141.083.1+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)45.639.284.8+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.045.179.1-11.112%-
vs Similar (4)40.243.884.0-3.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)46.939.686.5+7.472%-
This opponent (Denizli Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denizli Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denizli Basket: 93.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.721.0
54.3%
53.4%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.012.0
42.9%
32.5%36.0
🏀 Free throws18.015.3
85.2%
72.8%15.3
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Prievidzatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Prievidza: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.621.6
53.2%
53.4%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.3
34.7%
32.5%27.9
🏀 Free throws22.415.4
68.8%
72.8%15.4
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/10 games with a box score before 06 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denizli Basket
WLLLLWLLLW
BC Prievidza
WWWWLLLLWW
#31
League position
#23
+2.7
Net rating
+5.0
109.0
Offensive rating
93.2
106.2
Defensive rating
88.3
58.5%
Effective FG%
52.7%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
12.5%
Turnover %
16.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.33
42.9%
3-point %
34.7%
56.6%
Assist %
57.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 93.2Defence106.2 · 88.3Shooting58.5% · 52.7%3-point %42.9% · 34.7%Ball care12.5% · 16.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Denizli Basket   ■ BC Prievidza
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Denizli Basket wins
0
BC Prievidza wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26HTofas101-87
26/09/26APetkim Spor81-85
15/09/26AVechta98-101
19/05/16ABest Balikesir57-69
17/05/16ABest Balikesir78-88
14/05/16HBest Balikesir65-58
12/05/16HBest Balikesir59-87
07/05/16HTofas60-83
01/05/16ABandirma Kirmizi74-80
23/04/16HAkhisar Belediye80-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26AKosice Wolves104-77
30/09/26HSamobor98-65
27/09/26HBKM Lucenec97-79
23/09/26ASamobor103-83
06/05/26HLevice66-77
02/05/26ALevice78-105
29/04/26HLevice75-94
26/04/26ALevice90-100
18/04/26HBC Komarno75-73
15/04/26ABC Komarno81-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denizli Basket
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
BC Prievidza
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game100.598.0103.0
Allowed / game74.065.083.0
Point differential+26.5+33.0+20.0
Avg total174.5163.0186.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dinamo Bucharest220100%100.570.5+30.0
2 Dziki Warszawa110100%103.076.0+27.0
3 BC Prievidza220100%100.574.0+26.5
4 Mykonos110100%78.058.0+20.0
5 Zielona Gora110100%90.080.0+10.0
6 Parnu21150%70.070.5-0.5
7 Neftchi IK31233%66.372.7-6.3
8 Szolnoki Olaj1010%80.090.0-10.0
9 Samobor2020%74.0100.5-26.5
10 Tartu Ulikool1010%76.0103.0-27.0
11 Peja2020%70.5100.5-30.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denizli Basket3019161883
BC Prievidza2120161269
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