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Denizli Basket vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 101-87
30-22 20-14 25-25 26-26
Position#15
Record0-1
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Position#11
Record1-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game89.0
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 2· Pamukkale Üniversitesi Spor Salonu
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Denizli Basket v Tofas
03 Oct 2026
DEN101
TOF87
07 May 2016
DEN60
TOF83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denizli Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denizli BasketTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Meliksah
#11
W
77-67
77
67
+10
no box
A15/04
TBL
Akhisar Belediye
#12
W
80-67
80
67
+13
no box
H23/04
TBL
Bandirma Kirmizi
#14
L
74-80
74
80
-6
no box
A01/05
TBL
Tofas
#1
L
60-83
60
83
-23
no box
H07/05
TBL
Best Balikesir
#6
L
59-87
59
87
-28
no box
H12/05
TBL
Best Balikesir
#6
W
65-58
65
58
+7
no box
H14/05
TBL
Best Balikesir
#6
L
78-88
78
88
-10
no box
A17/05
TBL
Best Balikesir
#6
L
57-69
57
69
-12
no box
A19/05
TBL
Vechta
#20
L
98-101
98
101
-3
92avg 82
A15/09
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#6
L
81-85
81
85
-4
72avg 82
A26/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
23-13
7-22
28-13
22-16
27-17
13-15
18-19
24-17
17-26
13-26
20-11
14-29
17-21
16-23
13-10
7-21
22-13
16-23
14-30
26-15
19-12
2-18
18-13
20-21
16-28
20-18
22-21
16-24
16-14
14-13
11-18
20-24
17-19
28-34
33-24
24-25
21-22
21-23
15-15
151.4Avg total
72.9Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)81.085.0166.0-4.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)81.085.0166.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)72.978.5151.4-5.630%
Last 5 (5)75.880.2156.0-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.286.8164.0-9.50%
vs Similar ◀ (7)68.371.6139.9-3.357%
vs Weaker (18)77.869.2146.9+8.678%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Merkezefendi
#10
L
88-93
88
93
-5
85avg 81
H21/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
82-92
82
92
-10
79avg 81
A29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
71-91
71
91
-20
53avg 81
H04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
96-100
96
100
-4
90avg 81
A12/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
84-98
84
98
-14
79avg 81
H17/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
76-78
76
78
-2
73avg 81
A25/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
87-78
87
78
+9
88avg 81
H03/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
73-71
73
71
+2
73avg 81
H10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bordo Bandirma
#13
W
90-89
90
89
+1
76avg 81
H25/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Chemnitz
#9
W
82-69
82
69
+13
78avg 81
H29/09
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
23-27
18-17
23-28
21-21
22-30
27-16
12-25
20-28
10-25
22-13
19-25
30-23
17-26
23-20
26-31
25-29
14-22
30-20
15-27
14-19
20-21
14-17
28-21
23-20
24-26
14-11
26-21
13-21
22-26
24-11
14-13
27-16
21-31
27-21
15-21
22-15
24-15
14-23
22-16
168.8Avg total
82.9Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)90.089.0179.0+1.0100%
Season at home (1)90.089.0179.0+1.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.985.9168.8-3.040%
Last 5 (5)81.677.0158.6+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)82.487.3169.6-4.921%
vs Similar ◀ (8)83.689.0172.6-5.425%
vs Weaker (8)91.587.9179.4+3.675%
This opponent (Denizli Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -6.5-6.5Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -2.8-2.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -6.5-6.5Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -2.8-2.8
Denizli BasketTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denizli BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Meliksah
#11
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A15/04
TBL
Akhisar Belediye
#12
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H23/04
TBL
Bandirma Kirmizi
#14
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A01/05
TBL
Tofas
#1
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H07/05
TBL
Best Balikesir
#6
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H12/05
TBL
Best Balikesir
#6
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H14/05
TBL
Best Balikesir
#6
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A17/05
TBL
Best Balikesir
#6
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A19/05
TBL
Vechta
#20
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A15/09
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A26/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
78.3Avg total
38.7Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.837.074.8+0.740%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.033.570.5+3.550%-
Last 30 away (16)38.440.178.6-1.731%-
Last 10 (10)38.739.678.3-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)39.040.879.8-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.048.089.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)33.334.968.1-1.629%-
vs Weaker (18)38.835.173.9+3.756%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Merkezefendi
#10
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H21/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
30-53
30
53
-23
H04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A12/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H17/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A25/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H03/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bordo Bandirma
#13
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H25/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Chemnitz
#9
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H29/09
Eurocup
87.8Avg total
41.6Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.244.086.2-1.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.644.586.1-2.944%-
Last 30 away (14)43.043.486.4-0.457%-
Last 10 (10)41.646.287.8-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)42.042.084.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.642.182.8-1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.846.988.6-5.125%-
vs Weaker (8)45.544.289.8+1.275%-
This opponent (Denizli Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denizli Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denizli Basket: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.024.5
55.7%
54.8%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.0
35.3%
35.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws15.013.5
90.0%
75.9%13.5
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.621.2
57.9%
54.8%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.16.9
29.9%
35.9%20.7
🏀 Free throws24.718.8
76.1%
75.9%18.8
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/10 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denizli Basket
LLLLWLLLWW
Tofas
WWWWLLLLLL
#15
League position
#11
-4.1
Net rating
-4.0
105.2
Offensive rating
94.6
109.3
Defensive rating
98.6
54.7%
Effective FG%
52.8%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
10.0%
Turnover %
16.6%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.41
35.3%
3-point %
29.9%
52.2%
Assist %
67.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 94.6Defence109.3 · 98.6Shooting54.7% · 52.8%3-point %35.3% · 29.9%Ball care10.0% · 16.6%Free throws0.22 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Denizli Basket   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Denizli Basket wins
2
Tofas wins
DateGameScore
07/05/16Denizli Basket v Tofas60-83
16/01/16Tofas v Denizli Basket89-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/26APetkim Spor81-85
15/09/26AVechta98-101
19/05/16ABest Balikesir57-69
17/05/16ABest Balikesir78-88
14/05/16HBest Balikesir65-58
12/05/16HBest Balikesir59-87
07/05/16HTofas60-83
01/05/16ABandirma Kirmizi74-80
23/04/16HAkhisar Belediye80-67
15/04/16AMeliksah77-67
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/26HChemnitz82-69
25/09/26HBordo Bandirma90-89
10/05/26HPetkim Spor73-71
03/05/26HKarsiyaka87-78
25/04/26ABahcesehir Kol.76-78
17/04/26HBesiktas84-98
12/04/26AManisa96-100
04/04/26HTrabzonspor71-91
29/03/26AAnadolu Efes82-92
21/03/26HMerkezefendi88-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denizli Basket
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game81.0-81.0
Allowed / game85.0-85.0
Point differential-4.0--4.0
Avg total166.0-166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game90.090.0-
Allowed / game89.089.0-
Point differential+1.0+1.0-
Avg total179.0179.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bahcesehir Kol.110100%98.083.0+15.0
2 Anadolu Efes110100%95.081.0+14.0
3 Korfez Basket110100%88.079.0+9.0
4 Trabzonspor110100%82.076.0+6.0
5 Petkim Spor110100%85.081.0+4.0
6 Tofas110100%90.089.0+1.0
7 Turk Telekom110100%73.072.0+1.0
8 Galatasaray21150%86.578.5+8.0
9 Karsiyaka21150%75.072.0+3.0
10 Bordo Bandirma1010%89.090.0-1.0
11 Denizli Basket1010%81.085.0-4.0
12 Bursaspor1010%76.082.0-6.0
13 Esenler Erokspor1010%79.088.0-9.0
14 Besiktas1010%81.095.0-14.0
15 Fenerbahce1010%83.098.0-15.0
16 Cayirova1010%79.0102.0-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denizli Basket30202526101
Tofas2214252687
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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