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Denver vs UMKC Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 69-84
37-38 32-46
Position#205
Record15-14
FormLWLWL
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game81.8
Denver
USA
vs
UMKC 🏆
USA
Position#200
Record14-15
FormLWWWW
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game70.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Denver v UMKC
31 Dec 2025
DENV87
UMKC74
30 Jan 2025
DENV69
UMKC68
29 Feb 2024
DENV69
UMKC84
29 Dec 2022
DENV85
UMKC83
27 Jan 2022
DENV61
UMKC72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMKC winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DenverUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota
#165
L
78-92
78
92
-14
A20/01
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#299
W
111-110 OT
111
110
+1
H26/01
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#247
L
72-91
72
91
-19
H27/01
NCAA
UMKC
#200
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A02/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#294
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A04/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#299
L
86-92 OT
86
92
-6
A09/02
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#118
W
94-77
94
77
+17
H10/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#165
L
78-92
78
92
-14
H16/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#235
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H17/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#95
L
70-97
70
97
-27
A23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-38
41-54
41-40
40-41
33-43
39-48
37-45
34-40
34-44
42-38
41-46
38-33
45-32
49-45
37-41
41-51
28-38
49-33
41-50
29-47
170.2Avg total
81.3Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)83.981.8165.7+2.152%
Season at home (13)90.680.2170.8+10.577%
Season away (16)78.483.1161.5-4.631%
Last 10 (10)81.388.9170.2-7.630%
Last 5 (5)81.085.8166.8-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)84.088.2172.2-4.233%
vs Similar ◀ (19)80.682.9163.5-2.342%
vs Weaker (4)91.570.5162.0+21.0100%
This opponent (UMKC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMKCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska O.
#247
W
74-72
74
72
+2
A20/01
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#95
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A26/01
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#299
W
81-57
81
57
+24
H28/01
NCAA
Denver
#205
W
85-71
85
71
+14
H02/02
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#118
L
56-71
56
71
-15
H04/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#235
L
78-82 OT
78
82
-4
A09/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#165
W
65-47
65
47
+18
A10/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#95
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H16/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#299
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A23/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#247
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
40-39
34-33
26-36
40-39
41-25
40-32
45-37
40-34
29-34
27-37
37-32
31-36
30-23
35-24
35-33
37-34
40-28
42-50
31-30
32-28
140.0Avg total
72.2Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)71.970.1142.0+1.848%
Season at home (15)76.865.7142.5+11.167%
Season away (14)66.674.9141.5-8.229%
Last 10 (10)72.267.8140.0+4.470%
Last 5 (5)72.066.4138.4+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)58.582.8141.2-24.20%
vs Similar ◀ (16)71.874.5146.3-2.738%
vs Weaker (8)73.560.5134.0+13.075%
This opponent (Denver) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -4.3-4.31st half: +3.7+3.72nd half2nd half: -2.8-2.82nd half: +1.1+1.1
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -4.3-4.31st half: +3.7+3.72nd half2nd half: -2.8-2.82nd half: +1.1+1.1
DenverUMKC
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DenverLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota
#165
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A20/01
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#299
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H26/01
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#247
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H27/01
NCAA
UMKC
#200
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A02/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#294
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A04/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#299
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A09/02
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#118
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H10/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#165
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H16/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#235
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H17/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#95
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A23/02
NCAA
79.1Avg total
37.4Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.338.777.0-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.336.176.4+4.257%-
Last 30 away (16)36.541.177.6-4.625%-
Last 10 (10)37.441.779.1-4.320%-
Last 5 (5)38.441.479.8-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.740.880.5-1.267%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)35.640.375.8-4.716%-
vs Weaker (4)47.830.278.0+17.5100%-
This opponent (UMKC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMKCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska O.
#247
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A20/01
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#95
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A26/01
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#299
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H28/01
NCAA
Denver
#205
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H02/02
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#118
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H04/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#235
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A09/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#165
W
30-23
30
23
+7
A10/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#95
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H16/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#299
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A23/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#247
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H25/02
NCAA
67.1Avg total
35.4Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.433.267.7+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.931.568.4+5.469%-
Last 30 away (14)31.635.266.8-3.643%-
Last 10 (10)35.431.767.1+3.780%-
Last 5 (5)34.629.263.8+5.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)30.538.869.2-8.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)33.635.969.6-2.350%-
vs Weaker (8)35.125.560.6+9.675%-
This opponent (Denver) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Denver wins
5
UMKC wins
DateGameScore
02/02/24UMKC v Denver85-71
29/01/23UMKC v Denver70-60
30/12/22Denver v UMKC85-83 OT
28/01/22Denver v UMKC61-72
18/01/22UMKC v Denver55-63
21/02/21UMKC v Denver80-69
20/02/21UMKC v Denver68-57
Denverlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/24ASouth Dakota St.70-97
17/02/24HNorth Dakota St77-71
16/02/24HNorth Dakota78-92
10/02/24HSt. Thomas (Minn.)94-77
09/02/24ASouth Dakota Coyotes86-92 OT
04/02/24AOral Roberts76-82
02/02/24AUMKC71-85
27/01/24HNebraska O.72-91
26/01/24HSouth Dakota Coyotes111-110 OT
20/01/24ANorth Dakota78-92
UMKClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24HNebraska O.63-58
23/02/24ASouth Dakota Coyotes82-78
16/02/24HSouth Dakota St.72-67
10/02/24ANorth Dakota65-47
09/02/24ANorth Dakota St78-82 OT
04/02/24HSt. Thomas (Minn.)56-71
02/02/24HDenver85-71
28/01/24HSouth Dakota Coyotes81-57
26/01/24ASouth Dakota St.66-75
20/01/24ANebraska O.74-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL52%
HomeWLWLW77%
AwayLLLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %52%77%31%
Points / game83.990.678.4
Allowed / game81.880.283.1
Point differential+2.1+10.5-4.6
Avg total165.7170.8161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%54%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %14%23%6%
UMKC
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW48%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWLLWW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %48%67%29%
Points / game71.976.866.6
Allowed / game70.165.774.9
Point differential+1.8+11.1-8.2
Avg total142.0142.5141.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%53%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %10%13%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Thomas (Minn.)30181260%73.465.5+7.9
2 South Dakota St.30181260%77.372.2+5.0
3 North Dakota30171357%74.772.0+2.7
4 Denver29151452%83.981.8+2.1
5 North Dakota St30151550%75.674.0+1.6
6 UMKC29141548%71.970.1+1.8
7 Nebraska O.31141745%74.473.1+1.3
8 South Dakota Coyotes30121840%76.978.8-1.9
9 Oral Roberts28111739%74.375.8-1.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Denver373269
UMKC384684
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