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Denver vs UMKC Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 31 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 69-68
33-30 36-38
Position#320
Record7-15
FormLLLLW
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game79.7
Denver 🏆
USA
vs
Position#288
Record10-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game66.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Denver v UMKC
31 Dec 2025
DENV87
UMKC74
30 Jan 2025
DENV69
UMKC68
29 Feb 2024
DENV69
UMKC84
29 Dec 2022
DENV85
UMKC83
27 Jan 2022
DENV61
UMKC72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMKC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DenverUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Fullerton
#359
L
59-74
59
74
-15
A15/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#235
L
94-95 OT
94
95
-1
A18/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
75-82
75
82
-7
H21/12
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#108
L
70-91
70
91
-21
A03/01
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#146
L
84-91
84
91
-7
A05/01
NCAA
North Dakota
#312
L
70-95
70
95
-25
H10/01
NCAA
North Dakota St
#85
L
50-69
50
69
-19
H11/01
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
L
62-80
62
80
-18
H16/01
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#57
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A19/01
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#343
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
22-36
37-38
39-28
37-48
42-36
33-46
19-46
51-45
37-43
47-48
36-51
34-44
19-35
31-34
28-36
34-44
27-44
35-30
39-35
31-33
151.5Avg total
69.6Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)72.979.7152.6-6.832%
Season at home (9)77.077.0154.0+0.056%
Season away (13)70.181.5151.6-11.515%
Last 10 (10)69.681.9151.5-12.310%
Last 5 (5)62.877.2140.0-14.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)68.882.1150.9-13.412%
vs Similar (10)71.576.1147.6-4.650%
vs Weaker (3)80.772.3153.0+8.367%
This opponent (UMKC) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMKCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#257
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H15/12
NCAA
Wichita State
#147
W
74-64
74
64
+10
A18/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H21/12
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#146
W
68-54
68
54
+14
H03/01
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#343
W
90-67
90
67
+23
H04/01
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
L
58-77
58
77
-19
A09/01
NCAA
North Dakota St
#85
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A17/01
NCAA
North Dakota
#312
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A18/01
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#108
L
64-65
64
65
-1
H24/01
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#57
L
65-68
65
68
-3
H26/01
NCAA
1H
2H
46-45
39-32
38-24
36-40
35-33
38-33
31-26
37-28
37-21
53-46
25-33
33-44
35-34
29-37
36-32
36-44
37-36
27-29
31-37
34-31
139.8Avg total
71.3Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)74.566.1140.6+8.445%
Season at home (11)85.859.7145.5+26.173%
Season away (11)63.272.5135.7-9.418%
Last 10 (10)71.368.5139.8+2.850%
Last 5 (5)64.671.4136.0-6.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)56.082.0138.0-26.00%
vs Similar (16)66.667.6134.2-1.144%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)75.968.4144.3+7.560%
This opponent (Denver) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -8.2-8.21st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: -4.0-4.02nd half: -0.2-0.2
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -8.2-8.21st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: -4.0-4.02nd half: -0.2-0.2
DenverUMKC
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DenverLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Fullerton
#359
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A15/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#235
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A18/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H21/12
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#108
L
19-46
19
46
-27
A03/01
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#146
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A05/01
NCAA
North Dakota
#312
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H10/01
NCAA
North Dakota St
#85
L
19-35
19
35
-16
H11/01
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H16/01
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#57
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A19/01
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#343
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A24/01
NCAA
69.8Avg total
30.8Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.937.870.7-4.927%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.836.374.2+1.550%-
Last 30 away (18)29.638.868.4-9.211%-
Last 10 (10)30.839.069.8-8.230%-
Last 5 (5)29.840.270.0-10.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)31.038.969.9-7.919%-
vs Similar (10)33.637.971.5-4.320%-
vs Weaker (3)35.332.768.0+2.767%-
This opponent (UMKC) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMKCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#257
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H15/12
NCAA
Wichita State
#147
W
38-24
38
24
+14
A18/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H21/12
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#146
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H03/01
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#343
W
37-21
37
21
+16
H04/01
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A09/01
NCAA
North Dakota St
#85
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A17/01
NCAA
North Dakota
#312
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A18/01
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#108
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H24/01
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#57
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H26/01
NCAA
67.2Avg total
35.1Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.531.266.7+4.473%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.630.169.8+9.586%-
Last 30 away (16)31.932.164.0-0.162%-
Last 10 (10)35.132.167.2+3.080%-
Last 5 (5)32.834.467.2-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)22.034.056.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (16)31.932.664.5-0.669%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)36.831.668.4+5.280%-
This opponent (Denver) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Denver wins
6
UMKC wins
DateGameScore
10/03/24UMKC v Denver60-61
01/03/24Denver v UMKC69-84
02/02/24UMKC v Denver85-71
29/01/23UMKC v Denver70-60
30/12/22Denver v UMKC85-83 OT
28/01/22Denver v UMKC61-72
18/01/22UMKC v Denver55-63
21/02/21UMKC v Denver80-69
20/02/21UMKC v Denver68-57
Denverlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/25AOral Roberts70-68
19/01/25ASt. Thomas (Minn.)62-74
16/01/25HNebraska O.62-80
11/01/25HNorth Dakota St50-69
10/01/25HNorth Dakota70-95
05/01/25ASouth Dakota Coyotes84-91
03/01/25ASouth Dakota St.70-91
21/12/24HNorthern Colorado75-82
18/12/24ACal Poly94-95 OT
15/12/24ACS Fullerton59-74
UMKClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25HSt. Thomas (Minn.)65-68
24/01/25HSouth Dakota St.64-65
18/01/25ANorth Dakota72-76
17/01/25ANorth Dakota St64-71
09/01/25ANebraska O.58-77
04/01/25HOral Roberts90-67
03/01/25HSouth Dakota Coyotes68-54
21/12/24HEast Tennessee St73-66
18/12/24AWichita State74-64
15/12/24HBowling Green85-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW32%
HomeWLLLL56%
AwayLLLLW15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22913
Win %32%56%15%
Points / game72.977.070.1
Allowed / game79.777.081.5
Point differential-6.8+0.0-11.5
Avg total152.6154.0151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %9%0%15%
UMKC
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL45%
HomeWWWLL73%
AwayWWLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %45%73%18%
Points / game74.585.863.2
Allowed / game66.159.772.5
Point differential+8.4+26.1-9.4
Avg total140.6145.5135.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%55%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)0% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Thomas (Minn.)2317674%84.874.7+10.1
2 North Dakota St2316770%81.772.5+9.1
3 South Dakota St.2315865%79.671.1+8.5
4 South Dakota Coyotes23131057%86.183.7+2.4
5 Nebraska O.23131057%75.574.7+0.7
6 UMKC22101245%74.566.1+8.4
7 North Dakota2381535%77.879.8-2.0
8 Denver2271532%72.979.7-6.8
9 Oral Roberts2151624%75.079.3-4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Denver333669
UMKC303868
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