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Denver vs UTSA Roadrunners Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 79-84
28-37 51-47
Position#239
Record1-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game80.3
vs
Position#365
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game62.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UTSA Roadrunners winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DenverUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#57
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H08/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#312
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A14/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#85
L
84-89 OT
84
89
-5
A15/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#343
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H20/02
NCAA
UMKC
#288
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A28/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#108
W
78-62
78
62
+16
H01/03
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#57
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A07/03
NCAA
Seattle
#108
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A04/11
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A07/11
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
75-73
75
73
+2
A09/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-38
39-41
35-19
33-45
32-38
44-38
29-23
42-37
16-28
40-36
44-35
34-27
32-48
30-32
37-42
36-42
28-37
42-47
38-38
37-35
145.2Avg total
71.3Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)72.780.3153.0-7.733%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)72.780.3153.0-7.733%
Last 10 (10)71.373.9145.2-2.640%
Last 5 (5)71.676.6148.2-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)71.079.2150.2-8.220%
vs Similar (8)71.674.9146.5-3.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)59.074.0133.0-15.00%
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTSA RoadrunnersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulsa
#291
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A15/02
NCAA
South Florida
#282
L
73-78
73
78
-5
H20/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#144
L
89-96 OT
89
96
-7
A23/02
NCAA
Rice
#281
W
84-56
84
56
+28
H02/03
NCAA
Memphis
#15
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H05/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#323
W
83-80
83
80
+3
A09/03
NCAA
East Carolina
#144
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A14/03
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#681
W
97-30
97
30
+67
H06/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
60-77
60
77
-17
H07/11
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
23-40
53-40
40-29
33-49
39-38
43-44
31-23
53-33
36-41
34-34
39-38
44-42
28-34
37-36
56-18
41-12
29-34
31-43
26-38
43-42
148.8Avg total
76.6Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)75.362.3137.7+13.033%
Season at home (2)78.553.5132.0+25.050%
Season away (1)69.080.0149.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)76.672.2148.8+4.430%
Last 5 (5)74.867.4142.2+7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)64.574.5139.0-10.010%
vs Similar (18)79.778.2157.8+1.550%
vs Weaker (2)107.044.0151.0+63.0100%
This opponent (Denver) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -1.8-1.81st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +3.7+3.7
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -1.8-1.81st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +3.7+3.7
DenverUTSA Roadrunners
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DenverLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#57
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H08/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#312
W
35-19
35
19
+16
A14/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#85
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A15/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#343
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H20/02
NCAA
UMKC
#288
L
16-28
16
28
-12
A28/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#108
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H01/03
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#57
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A07/03
NCAA
Seattle
#108
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A04/11
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A07/11
NCAA
Montana State
#144
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A09/11
NCAA
67.4Avg total
32.8Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.136.969.9-3.833%-
Last 30 at home (11)36.935.472.3+1.564%-
Last 30 away (19)30.837.768.6-6.916%-
Last 10 (10)32.834.667.4-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)35.840.075.8-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)32.438.070.4-5.625%-
vs Similar (8)34.134.268.4-0.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)22.036.058.0-14.00%-
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTSA RoadrunnersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulsa
#291
L
23-40
23
40
-17
A15/02
NCAA
South Florida
#282
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H20/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#144
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A23/02
NCAA
Rice
#281
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H02/03
NCAA
Memphis
#15
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H05/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#323
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A09/03
NCAA
East Carolina
#144
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A14/03
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#681
W
56-18
56
18
+38
H06/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H07/11
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A13/11
NCAA
68.0Avg total
34.7Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.533.569.0+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.330.569.8+8.879%-
Last 30 away (16)32.236.168.2-3.944%-
Last 10 (10)34.733.368.0+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)35.632.468.0+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)28.134.262.3-6.130%-
vs Similar (18)37.134.471.5+2.672%-
vs Weaker (2)58.521.079.5+37.5100%-
This opponent (Denver) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Denver wins
1
UTSA Roadrunners wins
DateGameScore
17/11/21UTSA Roadrunners v Denver78-64
Denverlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25AMontana State75-73
07/11/25AWashington70-84
04/11/25ASeattle73-84
07/03/25ASt. Thomas (Minn.)62-80
01/03/25HSouth Dakota St.78-62
28/02/25AUMKC56-64
20/02/25HOral Roberts71-60
15/02/25ANorth Dakota St84-89 OT
14/02/25ANorth Dakota68-64
08/02/25HSt. Thomas (Minn.)76-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/25ATexas State69-80
07/11/25HSiu Edwardsville60-77
06/11/25HCBS Ambassadors97-30
14/03/25AEast Carolina65-70
09/03/25ACharlotte83-80
05/03/25HMemphis70-75
02/03/25HRice84-56
23/02/25AEast Carolina89-96 OT
20/02/25HSouth Florida73-78
15/02/25ATulsa76-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
Home--
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %33%-33%
Points / game72.7-72.7
Allowed / game80.3-80.3
Point differential-7.7--7.7
Avg total153.0-153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
UTSA Roadrunners
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game75.378.569.0
Allowed / game62.353.580.0
Point differential+13.0+25.0-11.0
Avg total137.7132.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Dakota St42250%83.563.2+20.2
2 South Dakota Coyotes42250%91.278.0+13.2
3 South Dakota St.42250%67.569.0-1.5
4 St. Thomas (Minn.)42250%73.075.5-2.5
5 Oral Roberts31233%80.777.7+3.0
6 Denver31233%72.780.3-7.7
7 North Dakota41325%86.279.0+7.2
8 UMKC41325%76.087.8-11.8
9 Nebraska O.3030%74.085.0-11.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wichita State330100%91.764.7+27.0
2 Temple220100%86.564.0+22.5
3 Tulsa330100%90.069.7+20.3
4 Tulane43175%73.272.5+0.8
5 South Florida32167%99.072.0+27.0
6 Charlotte32167%72.367.7+4.7
7 Florida Atlantic32167%81.781.0+0.7
8 East Carolina32167%78.382.0-3.7
9 North Texas53260%69.063.0+6.0
10 Rice42250%78.062.5+15.5
11 UAB42250%85.275.0+10.2
12 Memphis21150%76.576.5+0.0
13 UTSA Roadrunners31233%75.362.3+13.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Denver285179
UTSA Roadrunners374784
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