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St. Thomas (Minn.) vs Denver Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 80-62
48-32 32-30
Position#57
Record22-9
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game75.1
vs
Position#320
Record11-20
FormWLWLW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game77.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · St. Thomas (Minn.) v Denver
04 Jan 2026
ST. 92
DENV88
06 Mar 2025
ST. 80
DENV62
18 Jan 2025
ST. 74
DENV62
02 Mar 2024
ST. 83
DENV58
05 Jan 2023
ST. 81
DENV71
24 Feb 2022
ST. 80
DENV91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Thomas (Minn.) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

St. Thomas (Minn.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMKC
#288
W
68-65
68
65
+3
A26/01
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#343
W
86-71
86
71
+15
H30/01
NCAA
North Dakota St
#85
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H02/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#108
L
86-102
86
102
-16
A07/02
NCAA
Denver
#320
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A08/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
W
95-84
95
84
+11
H16/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#146
L
80-85
80
85
-5
A20/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#343
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A23/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#312
W
86-71
86
71
+15
H28/02
NCAA
UMKC
#288
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
37-31
31-34
45-42
41-29
45-26
34-36
42-41
44-61
38-37
41-39
45-34
50-50
38-36
42-49
27-25
39-46
47-32
39-39
31-28
34-31
153.6Avg total
79.0Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)83.575.1158.5+8.471%
Season at home (15)87.472.0159.4+15.493%
Season away (16)79.878.0157.8+1.850%
Last 10 (10)79.074.6153.6+4.470%
Last 5 (5)78.474.0152.4+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)77.673.5151.1+4.170%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)84.178.2162.2+5.967%
This opponent (Denver) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DenverUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oral Roberts
#343
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A24/01
NCAA
UMKC
#288
W
69-68
69
68
+1
H31/01
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
L
69-78
69
78
-9
A02/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#146
L
79-86
79
86
-7
H07/02
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#57
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H08/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#312
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A14/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#85
L
84-89 OT
84
89
-5
A15/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#343
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H20/02
NCAA
UMKC
#288
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A28/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#108
W
78-62
78
62
+16
H01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
39-35
31-33
33-30
36-38
29-30
40-48
42-39
37-47
37-38
39-41
35-19
33-45
32-38
44-38
29-23
42-37
16-28
40-36
44-35
34-27
143.8Avg total
72.0Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)72.777.5150.2-4.835%
Season at home (14)76.174.9151.0+1.357%
Season away (17)69.979.7149.6-9.818%
Last 10 (10)72.071.8143.8+0.250%
Last 5 (5)71.467.8139.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)71.278.9150.1-7.721%
vs Similar (7)71.973.6145.4-1.757%
vs Weaker (3)80.772.3153.0+8.367%
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.3+6.31st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: -1.4-1.4
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.3+6.31st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: -1.4-1.4
St. Thomas (Minn.)Denver
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
St. Thomas (Minn.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMKC
#288
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A26/01
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#343
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H30/01
NCAA
North Dakota St
#85
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H02/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#108
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A07/02
NCAA
Denver
#320
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A08/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H16/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#146
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A20/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#343
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A23/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#312
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H28/02
NCAA
UMKC
#288
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H02/03
NCAA
72.7Avg total
39.5Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.733.073.7+7.780%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.633.777.4+9.986%-
Last 30 away (16)38.132.470.5+5.875%-
Last 10 (10)39.533.272.7+6.3100%-
Last 5 (5)37.631.068.6+6.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)38.733.372.0+5.470%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)40.733.774.3+7.083%-
This opponent (Denver) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DenverLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oral Roberts
#343
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A24/01
NCAA
UMKC
#288
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H31/01
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A02/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#146
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H07/02
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#57
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H08/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#312
W
35-19
35
19
+16
A14/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#85
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A15/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#343
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H20/02
NCAA
UMKC
#288
L
16-28
16
28
-12
A28/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#108
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H01/03
NCAA
65.1Avg total
33.6Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.135.769.8-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.434.672.9+3.871%-
Last 30 away (16)30.336.867.1-6.419%-
Last 10 (10)33.631.565.1+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)31.228.659.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)32.736.969.7-4.232%-
vs Similar (7)35.033.968.9+1.157%-
vs Weaker (3)35.332.768.0+2.767%-
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
St. Thomas (Minn.) wins
3
Denver wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25HUMKC65-59
28/02/25HNorth Dakota86-71
23/02/25AOral Roberts66-71
20/02/25ASouth Dakota Coyotes80-85
16/02/25HNebraska O.95-84
08/02/25ADenver79-76
07/02/25ASouth Dakota St.86-102
02/02/25HNorth Dakota St79-62
30/01/25HOral Roberts86-71
26/01/25AUMKC68-65
Denverlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25HSouth Dakota St.78-62
28/02/25AUMKC56-64
20/02/25HOral Roberts71-60
15/02/25ANorth Dakota St84-89 OT
14/02/25ANorth Dakota68-64
08/02/25HSt. Thomas (Minn.)76-79
07/02/25HSouth Dakota Coyotes79-86
02/02/25ANebraska O.69-78
31/01/25HUMKC69-68
24/01/25AOral Roberts70-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

St. Thomas (Minn.)
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW71%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %71%93%50%
Points / game83.587.479.8
Allowed / game75.172.078.0
Point differential+8.4+15.4+1.8
Avg total158.5159.4157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)100% (1)43% (7)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Denver
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW35%
HomeWLLWW57%
AwayWLWLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311417
Win %35%57%18%
Points / game72.776.169.9
Allowed / game77.574.979.7
Point differential-4.8+1.3-9.8
Avg total150.2151.0149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %10%0%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Thomas (Minn.)3122971%83.575.1+8.4
2 North Dakota St31211068%81.074.2+6.8
3 South Dakota St.31201165%79.973.1+6.8
4 Nebraska O.32201262%77.275.0+2.1
5 South Dakota Coyotes31181358%85.583.2+2.4
6 UMKC33132039%72.367.2+5.1
7 North Dakota31112035%77.379.7-2.4
8 Denver31112035%72.777.5-4.8
9 Oral Roberts3072323%73.378.5-5.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
St. Thomas (Minn.)483280
Denver323062
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