Denver faces Wyoming on 14 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model designating Denver as the favourite and projecting a 67% chance of a win and a 33% chance for Wyoming, a 78-73 scoreline and 151.1 total points, while the 5.5-point line favours Denver with an 81% probability of covering and the 148.5-point total carries a 56% over probability; a 5% overtime likelihood is also noted. Denver enters the game 0-2 for the season, averaging 64.0 points scored and 69.5 points allowed, while Wyoming sits 2-1, averaging 83.7 points scored and 62.0 points allowed, and is 137th in the league. Denver's last five games yielded one win and four losses, including defeats to UC Riverside 60-64, Wisconsin 68-75 and North Dakota 67-83, whereas Wyoming's last five produced three wins and two losses, with a loss to North Carolina 63-76 and victories over Idaho State 93-62 and Regis University 95-48. In the four prior meetings Wyoming has won all, most recently 101-59 on 26 November 2025, and the projected 78-73 result suggests Denver will finally break that streak.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Denver winLost
67.3%fair 1.49
Best odds3.60
Implied26.8%
Edge+40.5pp
Wyoming winWon
32.7%fair 3.06
Best odds1.32
Implied73.2%
Edge-40.5pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 07:07 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Denver) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 144.5Actual: Under 144.5
Over 144.5
65.0%
@ 1.52+3.2pp
Under 144.5
35.0%
@ 2.45-3.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.47
Under
Betano
2.45
Bet365
2.40
Over/Under 149.5 · main lineActual: Under 149.5
Over 149.5
53.2%
@ 1.95+3.2pp
Under 149.5
46.8%
@ 1.91-3.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.91
Betano
1.88
SBO
1.88
Marathon Be
1.83
Under
WilliamHill
1.91
Pinnacle
1.91
Betano
1.90
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Over/Under 154.5Actual: Under 154.5
Over 154.5
41.2%
@ 2.70+4.8pp
Under 154.5
58.8%
@ 1.50-4.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.70
Betano
2.40
Under
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.41
📊 3. Team Totals
Denver total 66.5Actual: Denver under 66.5
Over 66.5
no forecast
@ 1.36
Under 66.5
no forecast
@ 2.70
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
Under
Betano
2.70
Denver total 71 · main lineActual: Denver under 71
Over 71
76.5%
@ 1.85+26.5pp
Under 71
23.5%
@ 1.85-26.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Denver total 75Actual: Denver under 75
Over 75
62.4%
Under 75
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wyoming total 73Actual: Wyoming over 73
Over 73
49.6%
Under 73
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wyoming total 77 · main lineActual: Wyoming under 77
Over 77
34.1%
@ 1.88-15.9pp
Under 77
65.9%
@ 1.85+15.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.88
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.82
Wyoming total 80.5Actual: Wyoming under 80.5
Over 80.5
23.4%
@ 2.12-19.2pp
Under 80.5
76.6%
@ 1.57+19.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.12
Under
Betano
1.57
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Denver +2Actual: Wyoming -2
DENV +2
72.4%
@ 2.85+39.9pp
WYOM -2
27.6%
@ 1.37-39.9pp
Best 5 market prices
DENV
Bet365
2.85
WYOM
Bet365
1.37
Spread Denver +5 · main lineActual: Wyoming -5
DENV +5
80.8%
@ 2.22+32.5pp
WYOM -5
19.2%
@ 1.85-32.5pp
Best 5 market prices
DENV
Bet365
2.22
Marathon Be
1.92
1xBet
1.86
WYOM
1xBet
1.85
Marathon Be
1.79
Bet365
1.60
Spread Denver +8Actual: Wyoming -8
DENV +8
87.3%
@ 1.81+33.8pp
WYOM -8
12.7%
@ 2.06-33.8pp
Best 5 market prices
DENV
SBO
1.81
Marathon Be
1.81
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
WYOM
Pinnacle
2.06
Bet365
2.01
Marathon Be
1.90
SBO
1.88
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
DenverWyoming
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Denver +3
75.3%
2.65
Bet365
2.65
-
-
-
-
+40.1pp
Lost
Denver +2
72.4%
2.85
Bet365
2.85
-
-
-
-
+39.9pp
Lost
Denver +2.5
73.4%
2.72
Betano
2.72
Bet365
2.72
-
-
-
+39.3pp
Lost
Denver +3.5
75.9%
2.52
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.50
-
-
-
+39.0pp
Lost
Denver +5.5
81.3%
1.99
Pinnacle
2.26
Bet365
2.12
Betano
2.10
SBO
1.93
Marathon Bet
1.87
+38.9pp
Lost
Denver +6
83.2%
2.03
Pinnacle
2.16
Bet365
2.05
Marathon Bet
2.04
SBO
1.88
-
+38.9pp
Lost
Denver +6.5
83.6%
1.95
Pinnacle
2.07
Betano
2.02
Marathon Bet
1.97
Bet365
1.95
BetVictor
1.88
+37.4pp
Lost
Denver +7
85.4%
1.95
Pinnacle
1.98
SBO
1.96
Bet365
1.94
Marathon Bet
1.92
-
+36.9pp
Lost
Denver +4.5
78.7%
2.11
Bet365
2.30
Betano
2.27
Marathon Bet
1.95
1xBet
1.92
-
+34.9pp
Lost
Denver +7.5
85.7%
1.86
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.88
SBO
1.88
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathon Bet
1.87
+34.6pp
Lost
Denver +8
87.3%
1.80
SBO
1.81
Marathon Bet
1.81
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
-
+33.8pp
Lost
Denver +5
80.8%
2.00
Bet365
2.22
Marathon Bet
1.92
1xBet
1.86
-
-
+32.5pp
Lost
Denver +4
78.1%
2.17
Bet365
2.50
Marathon Bet
2.02
1xBet
1.98
-
-
+32.3pp
Lost
Denver +8.5
87.5%
1.74
Betano
1.75
SBO
1.75
Marathon Bet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
1.71
+31.9pp
Lost
Denver +10
90.5%
1.57
Bet365
1.57
-
-
-
-
+31.6pp
Lost
Denver +9
89.0%
1.69
Marathon Bet
1.75
Bet365
1.66
Pinnacle
1.66
-
-
+31.3pp
Lost
Denver +10.5
90.7%
1.54
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.54
-
-
-
+30.7pp
Lost
Denver +9.5
89.2%
1.64
Marathon Bet
1.69
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
-
+29.7pp
Lost
Denver +11
91.8%
1.50
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
-
+29.3pp
Lost
Denver +11.5
91.9%
1.46
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.45
-
-
-
+28.6pp
Lost
Denver +12.5
93.1%
1.40
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
+27.0pp
Lost
Denver +12
93.0%
1.40
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
-
+27.0pp
Lost
Denver over 71
76.5%
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
+26.5pp
Lost
Denver over 70.5
77.2%
1.81
Marathon Bet
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
Pinnacle
1.83
WilliamHill
1.80
Bet365
1.80
+25.5pp
Lost
Denver over 69.5
80.1%
1.69
Pinnacle
1.72
Betano
1.65
-
-
-
+25.3pp
Lost
Denver over 71.5
74.1%
1.89
Betano
1.93
Pinnacle
1.93
BetVictor
1.91
WilliamHill
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85
+25.2pp
Lost
Denver +13.5
94.0%
1.35
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
+25.1pp
Lost
Denver over 72.5
70.9%
1.98
Betano
2.05
WilliamHill
1.91
-
-
-
+24.5pp
Lost
Denver +13
94.0%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+24.5pp
Lost
Denver over 72
73.3%
1.88
Marathon Bet
1.88
1xBet
1.88
-
-
-
+24.1pp
Lost
Denver +14.5
94.9%
1.29
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.27
-
-
-
+23.4pp
Lost
Denver +14
94.9%
1.29
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
-
+23.0pp
Lost
Denver over 68.5
82.7%
1.51
Betano
1.52
1xBet
1.50
-
-
-
+21.8pp
Lost
Denver +15.5
95.6%
1.25
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
+21.6pp
Lost
Denver +15
95.6%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+20.9pp
Lost
Wyoming under 78.5
70.5%
1.86
BetVictor
1.91
Marathon Bet
1.87
Pinnacle
1.87
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.83
+20.1pp
Won
Wyoming under 79.5
73.7%
1.72
Betano
1.72
-
-
-
-
+19.9pp
Won
Wyoming under 80.5
76.6%
1.57
Betano
1.57
-
-
-
-
+19.2pp
Won
Denver +17.5
96.8%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
+17.3pp
Lost
Denver +22.5
98.6%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+10.3pp
Lost
Overtime: no
95.1%
1.03
WilliamHill
1.04
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
+3.9pp
Won
Over 142
71.0%
1.37
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
-
+3.4pp
Lost
Over 141
73.1%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+3.1pp
Lost
Over 141.5
71.6%
1.35
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
+3.1pp
Lost
Over 123.5
95.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.6pp
Won
Over 140.5
73.6%
1.30
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
-
+2.2pp
Lost
Over 128.5
91.5%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+1.9pp
Won
Over 138.5
77.5%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+1.3pp
Lost
Over 133.5
85.6%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+0.6pp
Lost
Under 173.5
91.0%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-0.5pp
Won
Wyoming over 59.5
90.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-3.1pp
Won
Under 168.5
85.4%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-3.6pp
Won
Wyoming over 61.5
86.8%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-4.7pp
Won
Under 163.5
77.6%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-6.2pp
Won
Wyoming over 63.5
82.1%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-8.1pp
Won
Denver under 87.5
82.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-9.9pp
Won
Wyoming over 65.5
76.5%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-11.8pp
Won
Denver under 85.5
76.8%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-13.9pp
Won
Wyoming over 67.5
70.1%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-15.4pp
Won
Wyoming +12.5
74.5%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-16.6pp
Won
Denver under 83.5
70.4%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-18.3pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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