Deportes Castro vs Leones Quilpue Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Jan 2015

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 102-90

25-23 31-19 21-22 25-26

Position#2

Record19-8

FormWWLLW

Points / game81.6

Allowed / game79.3

Deportes Castro 🏆

Leones Quilpue

Position#4

Record20-8

FormWWWWL

Points / game85.0

Allowed / game78.3

LNBLNB - Semi-finals

Other2014-15

Meetings · Deportes Castro v Leones Quilpue

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Deportes Castro winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Leones Quilpue winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Deportes Castro Chile

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Colo Colo

83-72

+11

H07/12

LNB

Valdivia

#10

77-84

-7

A13/12

LNB

Osorno

74-71

A14/12

LNB

Espanol de Talca

92-86 OT

H20/12

LNB

U. De Concepcion

82-76

H21/12

LNB

Catolica

91-87

A27/12

LNB

Catolica

103-88

103

+15

H03/01

LNB

Leones Quilpue

82-87

-5

A10/01

LNB

Leones Quilpue

71-84

-13

A11/01

LNB

Leones Quilpue

90-73

+17

H17/01

LNB

10-21

26-14

22-19

25-18

20-18

16-21

22-18

19-27

–

17-13

15-20

25-30

22-16

18-18

23-20

18-24

23-14

28-25

24-15

22-26

17-21

23-24

32-14

24-21

24-29

18-25

17-22

20-24

27-16

20-14

18-18

11-22

22-30

20-11

15-18

35-21

20-23

165.3Avg total

84.5Scored

80.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	81.6	79.3	160.9	+2.4	70%
Season at home (13)	86.8	77.5	164.2	+9.3	100%
Season away (14)	76.9	80.9	157.8	-4.1	43%
Last 10 (10)	84.5	80.8	165.3	+3.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	87.4	83.8	171.2	+3.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	77.9	81.9	159.8	-4.1	50%
vs Similar (4)	82.5	78.2	160.8	+4.2	100%
vs Weaker (12)	84.6	79.1	163.7	+5.5	75%

This opponent (Leones Quilpue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Leones Quilpue Chile

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Colo Colo

77-88

-11

A13/12

LNB

Puente Alto

#11

100-82

100

+18

A14/12

LNB

Osorno

89-90

-1

H20/12

LNB

Valdivia

#10

99-79

+20

H21/12

LNB

Osorno

80-84

-4

A28/12

LNB

Osorno

87-77

+10

H03/01

LNB

Osorno

94-87

H04/01

LNB

Deportes Castro

87-82

H10/01

LNB

Deportes Castro

84-71

+13

H11/01

LNB

Deportes Castro

73-90

-17

A17/01

LNB

16-25

17-25

26-12

18-26

–

28-8

13-27

24-25

24-30

19-16

19-27

29-11

32-25

22-16

22-14

8-27

28-27

21-16

34-22

18-16

14-23

–

25-18

22-17

24-20

16-27

14-20

18-18

22-11

30-22

11-20

18-15

21-35

23-20

170.0Avg total

87.0Scored

83.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	85.0	78.3	163.4	+6.7	71%
Season at home (15)	89.3	78.5	167.9	+10.8	93%
Season away (13)	80.1	78.1	158.2	+2.0	46%
Last 10 (10)	87.0	83.0	170.0	+4.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	85.0	81.4	166.4	+3.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	84.0	84.5	168.5	-0.5	50%
vs Similar (4)	86.2	74.0	160.2	+12.2	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	84.9	78.5	163.5	+6.4	73%

This opponent (Deportes Castro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Deportes CastroLeones Quilpue

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	19.5	20.3	39.8	-0.9	48%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.8	18.7	38.4	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (11)	19.2	22.2	41.4	-3.0	45%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.3	18.8	38.1	+0.6	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.8	41.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	17.8	19.6	37.5	-1.8	38%	-
vs Similar (1)	23.0	25.0	48.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.4	20.9	42.3	+0.6	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	20.6	18.6	39.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	20.6	18.5	39.2	+2.1	55%	-
Last 30 away (9)	20.6	18.8	39.3	+1.8	67%	-
Last 10 (8)	19.5	17.4	36.9	+2.1	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.0	36.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	24.0	21.0	45.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar (3)	20.7	22.7	43.3	-2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	20.4	17.8	38.1	+2.6	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	18.8	18.4	37.3	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (11)	17.1	17.4	34.5	-0.3	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.7	18.0	38.7	+2.7	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	17.4	38.6	+3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	16.4	18.8	35.2	-2.5	31%	-
vs Similar (1)	23.0	16.0	39.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.9	18.1	40.0	+3.8	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	19.1	18.6	37.7	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	21.1	19.6	40.7	+1.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (9)	16.6	17.4	34.0	-0.9	33%	-
Last 10 (8)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	17.2	40.0	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	19.0	17.0	36.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar (3)	20.0	19.3	39.3	+0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	18.9	18.6	37.5	+0.2	50%	-

Deportes CastroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Colo Colo

36-35

H07/12

LNB

Valdivia

#10

36-39

-3

A13/12

LNB

Espanol de Talca

32-33

-1

H20/12

LNB

U. De Concepcion

41-38

H21/12

LNB

Catolica

52-40

+12

A27/12

LNB

Catolica

55-38

+17

H03/01

LNB

Leones Quilpue

35-47

-12

A10/01

LNB

Leones Quilpue

38-32

A11/01

LNB

Leones Quilpue

35-29

H17/01

LNB

76.8Avg total

40.0Scored

36.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	38.3	38.8	77.1	-0.5	52%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	40.2	38.1	78.2	+2.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (11)	36.3	39.5	75.8	-3.3	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	40.0	36.8	76.8	+3.2	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	37.2	80.2	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	34.2	38.5	72.7	-4.2	38%	-
vs Similar (1)	46.0	41.0	87.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (9)	43.3	39.0	82.3	+4.3	67%	-

This opponent (Leones Quilpue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Leones QuilpueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Colo Colo

33-50

-17

A13/12

LNB

Osorno

41-35

H20/12

LNB

Valdivia

#10

38-43

-5

H21/12

LNB

Osorno

44-30

+14

A28/12

LNB

Osorno

55-38

+17

H03/01

LNB

Deportes Castro

47-35

+12

H10/01

LNB

Deportes Castro

32-38

-6

H11/01

LNB

Deportes Castro

29-35

-6

A17/01

LNB

77.9Avg total

39.9Scored

38.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	39.6	37.3	76.9	+2.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	41.7	38.2	79.9	+3.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (9)	37.1	36.2	73.3	+0.9	67%	-
Last 10 (8)	39.9	38.0	77.9	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	35.2	76.6	+6.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	43.0	38.0	81.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar (3)	40.7	42.0	82.7	-1.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	39.2	36.4	75.6	+2.9	69%	-

This opponent (Deportes Castro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	20.8	21.3	42.2	-0.5	48%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	22.8	20.8	43.6	+1.9	58%	-
Last 30 away (11)	18.7	21.9	40.6	-3.2	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	22.1	22.8	44.9	-0.7	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	22.8	45.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	20.2	22.8	43.0	-2.7	31%	-
vs Similar (1)	17.0	26.0	43.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.2	18.7	40.9	+3.6	78%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	22.1	18.4	40.5	+3.7	80%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	23.5	17.3	40.7	+6.2	91%	-
Last 30 away (9)	20.4	19.8	40.2	+0.7	67%	-
Last 10 (8)	21.5	19.6	41.1	+1.9	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.8	40.4	-3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	10.0	23.0	33.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	22.3	15.3	37.7	+7.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	22.8	18.7	41.5	+4.1	81%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	20.3	20.6	40.9	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.1	19.5	39.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (11)	20.6	21.7	42.4	-1.1	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	22.1	21.6	43.7	+0.6	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	23.8	45.8	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	21.9	20.1	42.0	+1.8	62%	-
vs Similar (1)	22.0	17.0	39.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (9)	17.9	21.7	39.6	-3.8	11%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	22.9	22.6	45.4	+0.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	24.0	23.1	47.1	+0.9	55%	-
Last 30 away (9)	21.4	21.9	43.3	-0.4	67%	-
Last 10 (8)	23.1	25.0	48.1	-1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	23.8	46.0	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	24.0	23.0	47.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.7	18.3	38.0	+1.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	23.4	23.3	46.7	+0.1	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	41.2	41.9	83.1	-0.7	52%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	42.8	40.3	83.2	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (11)	39.4	43.6	83.0	-4.3	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	44.2	44.3	88.6	-0.1	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	46.6	91.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	42.1	42.9	85.0	-0.8	62%	-
vs Similar (1)	39.0	43.0	82.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (9)	40.1	40.3	80.4	-0.2	44%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	45.0	41.0	85.9	+4.0	65%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	47.5	40.4	87.8	+7.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (9)	41.9	41.7	83.6	+0.2	56%	-
Last 10 (8)	44.6	44.6	89.2	+0.0	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	45.6	86.4	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	34.0	46.0	80.0	-12.0	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	42.0	33.7	75.7	+8.3	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	46.2	42.0	88.2	+4.2	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Deportes Castro wins

Leones Quilpue wins

Date	Game	Score
17/01/15	Deportes Castro v Leones Quilpue	90-73
11/01/15	Leones Quilpue v Deportes Castro	84-71
10/01/15	Leones Quilpue v Deportes Castro	87-82
29/11/14	Leones Quilpue v Deportes Castro	82-65
18/10/14	Deportes Castro v Leones Quilpue	85-82

Deportes Castrolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/01/15	H	Leones Quilpue	90-73
11/01/15	A	Leones Quilpue	71-84
10/01/15	A	Leones Quilpue	82-87
03/01/15	H	Catolica	103-88
27/12/14	A	Catolica	91-87
21/12/14	H	U. De Concepcion	82-76
20/12/14	H	Espanol de Talca	92-86 OT
14/12/14	A	Osorno	74-71
13/12/14	A	Valdivia	77-84
07/12/14	H	Colo Colo	83-72

Leones Quilpuelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/01/15	A	Deportes Castro	73-90
11/01/15	H	Deportes Castro	84-71
10/01/15	H	Deportes Castro	87-82
04/01/15	H	Osorno	94-87
03/01/15	H	Osorno	87-77
28/12/14	A	Osorno	80-84
21/12/14	H	Valdivia	99-79
20/12/14	H	Osorno	89-90
14/12/14	A	Puente Alto	100-82
13/12/14	A	Colo Colo	77-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Deportes Castro

LNB 2014-15

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	70%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LWWLL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	13	14
Win %	70%	100%	43%
Points / game	81.6	86.8	76.9
Allowed / game	79.3	77.5	80.9
Point differential	+2.4	+9.3	-4.1
Avg total	160.9	164.2	157.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	54%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (10)	100% (3)	71% (7)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

Leones Quilpue

LNB 2014-15

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	71%
Home	WWWWW	93%
Away	WLWLL	46%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	15	13
Win %	71%	93%	46%
Points / game	85.0	89.3	80.1
Allowed / game	78.3	78.5	78.1
Point differential	+6.7	+10.8	+2.0
Avg total	163.4	167.9	158.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	60%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	75% (4)	25% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	U. De Concepcion	28	21	7	75%	86.1	76.1	+10.0
2	Leones Quilpue	28	20	8	71%	85.0	78.3	+6.7
3	Deportes Castro	27	19	8	70%	81.6	79.3	+2.4
4	Espanol de Talca	24	16	8	67%	84.0	77.4	+6.6
5	Colo Colo	28	17	11	61%	83.0	77.5	+5.5
6	Catolica	24	12	12	50%	79.5	82.4	-2.9
7	Osorno	25	12	13	48%	81.2	80.8	+0.4
8	Ancud	24	10	14	42%	78.5	78.4	+0.0
9	Las Animas	22	9	13	41%	73.7	77.0	-3.3
10	Valdivia	22	7	15	32%	79.5	86.9	-7.4
11	Puente Alto	22	3	19	14%	79.3	90.7	-11.4
12	Puerto Montt	22	2	20	9%	76.1	89.7	-13.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Deportes Castro	25	31	21	25	102
Leones Quilpue	23	19	22	26	90

← all games of the day

Deportes Castro vs Leones Quilpue Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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