Leones Quilpue vs Deportes Castro Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Nov 2014

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 82-65

21-26 19-9 21-16 21-14

Position#4

Record11-4

FormLWWLW

Points / game83.7

Allowed / game77.1

Leones Quilpue 🏆

Deportes Castro

Position#2

Record11-3

FormWWLWW

Points / game81.5

Allowed / game78.2

LNB

Other2014-15

Meetings · Leones Quilpue v Deportes Castro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leones Quilpue winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Deportes Castro winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leones Quilpue Chile

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ancud

57-76

-19

A19/10

LNB

Puerto Montt

#12

99-88

+11

H25/10

LNB

Las Animas

83-82

H26/10

LNB

Colo Colo

86-70

+16

H01/11

LNB

Puente Alto

#11

92-78

+14

H02/11

LNB

Osorno

75-77

-2

A08/11

LNB

Valdivia

#10

70-68

A09/11

LNB

Espanol de Talca

85-69

+16

A22/11

LNB

U. De Concepcion

77-84

-7

A23/11

LNB

Ancud

93-82

+11

H28/11

LNB

–

25-22

26-25

25-20

23-21

16-18

16-24

29-15

22-25

16-23

25-15

22-18

23-14

21-23

21-16

20-15

30-24

15-19

11-14

25-21

24-23

20-15

12-15

23-15

15-23

30-20

18-18

19-16

18-15

24-21

19-17

10-23

24-23

21-14

19-16

24-23

29-29

159.1Avg total

81.7Scored

77.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	83.7	77.1	160.8	+6.5	73%
Season at home (8)	89.8	78.4	168.1	+11.4	100%
Season away (7)	76.7	75.7	152.4	+1.0	43%
Last 10 (10)	81.7	77.4	159.1	+4.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	80.0	76.0	156.0	+4.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	84.0	84.5	168.5	-0.5	50%
vs Similar (3)	89.3	69.3	158.7	+20.0	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	81.9	78.0	159.9	+3.9	70%

This opponent (Deportes Castro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Deportes Castro Chile

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Leones Quilpue

85-82

H18/10

LNB

Catolica

99-80

+19

H19/10

LNB

Puente Alto

#11

95-90

A25/10

LNB

Colo Colo

75-77

-2

A26/10

LNB

Valdivia

#10

97-85

+12

H01/11

LNB

Osorno

85-84

H02/11

LNB

Espanol de Talca

72-70

A08/11

LNB

U. De Concepcion

62-89

-27

A09/11

LNB

Las Animas

67-59

H22/11

LNB

Puerto Montt

#12

68-66

H23/11

LNB

–

22-21

29-26

23-19

21-24

20-20

15-4

21-26

19-27

22-27

28-20

26-15

21-23

23-25

23-16

17-26

22-17

15-28

20-12

18-13

19-17

12-26

10-15

10-31

30-17

19-13

12-16

20-21

16-9

22-18

12-16

19-11

15-21

158.7Avg total

80.5Scored

78.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	81.5	78.2	159.7	+3.3	79%
Season at home (7)	84.6	76.6	161.1	+8.0	100%
Season away (7)	78.4	79.9	158.3	-1.4	57%
Last 10 (10)	80.5	78.2	158.7	+2.3	80%
Last 5 (5)	70.8	73.6	144.4	-2.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	75.0	83.9	158.9	-8.9	43%
vs Similar (3)	85.3	80.7	166.0	+4.7	100%
vs Weaker (7)	84.4	76.4	160.9	+8.0	86%

This opponent (Leones Quilpue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Leones QuilpueDeportes Castro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (9)	20.9	19.4	40.3	+1.4	56%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	19.8	20.0	39.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (4)	22.2	18.8	41.0	+3.5	75%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.9	19.4	40.3	+1.4	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	17.8	39.8	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	24.0	21.0	45.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar (2)	23.0	21.5	44.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	19.7	18.5	38.2	+1.2	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (11)	19.2	21.5	40.6	-2.3	36%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	20.5	19.3	39.8	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (5)	17.6	24.0	41.6	-6.4	20%	-
Last 10 (8)	19.4	22.2	41.6	-2.9	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	22.0	40.2	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	17.2	22.0	39.2	-4.8	17%	-
vs Similar (1)	23.0	25.0	48.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.2	19.8	41.0	+1.5	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (9)	18.6	17.8	36.3	+0.8	56%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	21.4	19.2	40.6	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 away (4)	15.0	16.0	31.0	-1.0	25%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.6	17.8	36.3	+0.8	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	16.0	31.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	19.0	17.0	36.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar (2)	21.5	16.5	38.0	+5.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	17.5	18.3	35.8	-0.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (11)	17.6	18.9	36.5	-1.3	45%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	18.0	21.8	39.8	-3.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (5)	17.2	15.4	32.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 10 (8)	18.6	15.6	34.2	+3.0	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	15.0	30.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	15.0	19.0	34.0	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar (1)	23.0	16.0	39.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.2	19.5	39.8	+0.8	50%	-

Leones QuilpueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Puerto Montt

#12

51-47

H25/10

LNB

Las Animas

32-42

-10

H26/10

LNB

Colo Colo

41-38

H01/11

LNB

Puente Alto

#11

42-39

H02/11

LNB

Osorno

26-33

-7

A08/11

LNB

Valdivia

#10

32-30

A09/11

LNB

Espanol de Talca

48-38

+10

A22/11

LNB

U. De Concepcion

43-38

A23/11

LNB

Ancud

40-30

+10

H28/11

LNB

76.7Avg total

39.4Scored

37.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (9)	39.4	37.2	76.7	+2.2	78%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	41.2	39.2	80.4	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 away (4)	37.2	34.8	72.0	+2.5	75%	-
Last 10 (9)	39.4	37.2	76.7	+2.2	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	33.8	71.6	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	43.0	38.0	81.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar (2)	44.5	38.0	82.5	+6.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	37.2	36.8	74.0	+0.3	67%	-

This opponent (Deportes Castro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Deportes CastroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Puente Alto

#11

51-47

A25/10

LNB

Colo Colo

35-24

+11

A26/10

LNB

Valdivia

#10

50-47

H01/11

LNB

Osorno

46-41

H02/11

LNB

Espanol de Talca

35-40

-5

A08/11

LNB

U. De Concepcion

22-41

-19

A09/11

LNB

Las Animas

31-29

H22/11

LNB

Puerto Montt

#12

34-34

H23/11

LNB

75.9Avg total

38.0Scored

37.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (11)	36.8	40.4	77.2	-3.5	45%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	38.5	41.2	79.7	-2.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (5)	34.8	39.4	74.2	-4.6	40%	-
Last 10 (8)	38.0	37.9	75.9	+0.1	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.6	37.0	70.6	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	32.2	41.0	73.2	-8.8	17%	-
vs Similar (1)	46.0	41.0	87.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (4)	41.5	39.2	80.8	+2.2	75%	-

This opponent (Leones Quilpue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (9)	21.9	18.4	40.3	+3.4	89%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	24.0	18.2	42.2	+5.8	100%	-
Last 30 away (4)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.5	75%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.9	18.4	40.3	+3.4	89%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.6	39.8	+0.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	10.0	23.0	33.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	20.5	17.0	37.5	+3.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	24.3	18.2	42.5	+6.2	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (11)	20.0	20.7	40.7	-0.7	45%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	20.8	19.3	40.2	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (5)	19.0	22.4	41.4	-3.4	40%	-
Last 10 (8)	19.2	20.2	39.5	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	20.4	37.2	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	19.2	22.7	41.8	-3.5	33%	-
vs Similar (1)	17.0	26.0	43.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.0	16.5	38.5	+5.5	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (9)	23.1	21.9	45.0	+1.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	25.4	22.6	48.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (4)	20.2	21.0	41.2	-0.8	75%	-
Last 10 (9)	23.1	21.9	45.0	+1.2	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	22.6	44.6	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	24.0	23.0	47.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar (2)	20.5	14.5	35.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	23.8	24.2	48.0	-0.3	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (11)	20.6	19.7	40.4	+0.9	55%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	19.5	19.0	38.5	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (5)	22.0	20.6	42.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 10 (8)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	16.2	36.6	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	22.0	20.5	42.5	+1.5	67%	-
vs Similar (1)	22.0	17.0	39.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.2	19.2	37.5	-1.0	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (9)	45.0	40.3	85.3	+4.7	78%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	49.4	40.8	90.2	+8.6	100%	-
Last 30 away (4)	39.5	39.8	79.2	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	45.0	40.3	85.3	+4.7	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	42.2	84.4	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	34.0	46.0	80.0	-12.0	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	41.0	31.5	72.5	+9.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	48.2	42.3	90.5	+5.8	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (11)	40.6	40.5	81.1	+0.2	64%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	40.3	38.3	78.7	+2.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (5)	41.0	43.0	84.0	-2.0	60%	-
Last 10 (8)	39.6	39.6	79.2	+0.0	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	36.6	73.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	41.2	43.2	84.3	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (1)	39.0	43.0	82.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (4)	40.2	35.8	76.0	+4.5	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Leones Quilpue wins

Deportes Castro wins

Date	Game	Score
18/10/14	Deportes Castro v Leones Quilpue	85-82

Leones Quilpuelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/11/14	H	Ancud	93-82
23/11/14	A	U. De Concepcion	77-84
22/11/14	A	Espanol de Talca	85-69
09/11/14	A	Valdivia	70-68
08/11/14	A	Osorno	75-77
02/11/14	H	Puente Alto	92-78
01/11/14	H	Colo Colo	86-70
26/10/14	H	Las Animas	83-82
25/10/14	H	Puerto Montt	99-88
19/10/14	A	Ancud	57-76

Deportes Castrolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/11/14	H	Puerto Montt	68-66
22/11/14	H	Las Animas	67-59
09/11/14	A	U. De Concepcion	62-89
08/11/14	A	Espanol de Talca	72-70
02/11/14	H	Osorno	85-84
01/11/14	H	Valdivia	97-85
26/10/14	A	Colo Colo	75-77
25/10/14	A	Puente Alto	95-90
19/10/14	H	Catolica	99-80
18/10/14	H	Leones Quilpue	85-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leones Quilpue

LNB 2014-15

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	73%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LLWWL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	8	7
Win %	73%	100%	43%
Points / game	83.7	89.8	76.7
Allowed / game	77.1	78.4	75.7
Point differential	+6.5	+11.4	+1.0
Avg total	160.8	168.1	152.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	47%	62%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	100% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Deportes Castro

LNB 2014-15

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	79%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWLWL	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	79%	100%	57%
Points / game	81.5	84.6	78.4
Allowed / game	78.2	76.6	79.9
Point differential	+3.3	+8.0	-1.4
Avg total	159.7	161.1	158.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	43%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	86% (7)	100% (3)	75% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	U. De Concepcion	14	12	2	86%	88.8	75.3	+13.5
2	Deportes Castro	14	11	3	79%	81.5	78.2	+3.3
3	Espanol de Talca	15	11	4	73%	81.9	74.8	+7.1
4	Leones Quilpue	15	11	4	73%	83.7	77.1	+6.5
5	Osorno	14	9	5	64%	83.2	79.9	+3.4
6	Colo Colo	15	9	6	60%	84.8	78.9	+5.9
7	Las Animas	14	6	8	43%	77.6	78.4	-0.8
8	Ancud	15	6	9	40%	75.4	75.5	-0.1
9	Valdivia	14	4	10	29%	81.3	87.9	-6.6
10	Catolica	14	4	10	29%	73.6	81.6	-8.0
11	Puente Alto	14	2	12	14%	78.1	91.6	-13.5
12	Puerto Montt	14	1	13	7%	77.3	89.3	-12.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Leones Quilpue	21	19	21	21	82
Deportes Castro	26	9	16	14	65

← all games of the day

Leones Quilpue vs Deportes Castro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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