Deportes Castro vs U. De Concepcion Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 May 2023

Tip-off: 22:30

Final 76-84

9-22 17-26 27-19 23-17

Position#9

Record15-14

FormLWWLL

Points / game77.4

Allowed / game75.6

Deportes Castro

U. De Concepcion 🏆

Position#1

Record27-3

FormWWWWW

Points / game95.7

Allowed / game72.2

LNBLNB - Quarter-finals

Other2022-23

Meetings · Deportes Castro v U. De Concepcion

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Deportes Castro winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

U. De Concepcion winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Deportes Castro Chile

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

U. De Concepcion

86-77

H08/04

LNB

CD Puerto Varas

#10

69-78

-9

A15/04

LNB

Puerto Montt

#12

107-65

107

+42

A16/04

LNB

Valdivia

77-81

-4

A23/04

LNB

Catolica

#11

91-65

+26

H29/04

LNB

Leones Quilpue

64-67

-3

H29/04

LNB

Tinguiririca

#15

92-61

+31

A05/05

LNB

Espanol de Talca

#13

90-64

+26

A06/05

LNB

U. De Concepcion

66-80

-14

A15/05

LNB

U. De Concepcion

70-97

-27

A15/05

LNB

25-18

26-25

22-17

13-17

12-22

25-16

17-23

15-17

26-20

33-16

24-10

24-19

19-24

21-22

21-15

16-20

24-12

21-20

24-20

22-13

17-12

23-18

14-21

10-16

14-9

31-19

18-13

29-20

24-17

16-18

25-10

25-19

12-20

21-21

13-16

20-23

16-22

23-24

17-25

14-26

154.7Avg total

81.2Scored

73.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	77.4	75.6	153.0	+1.8	52%
Season at home (14)	77.6	68.9	146.5	+8.6	79%
Season away (15)	77.2	81.8	159.0	-4.6	27%
Last 10 (10)	81.2	73.5	154.7	+7.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	76.4	73.8	150.2	+2.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	70.7	83.3	154.0	-12.7	17%
vs Similar (14)	72.0	76.9	148.9	-4.9	43%
vs Weaker (10)	90.6	67.6	158.2	+23.0	90%

This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

U. De Concepcion Chile

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Leones Quilpue

92-73

+19

H15/04

LNB

Catolica

#11

91-62

+29

H16/04

LNB

Espanol Osorno

92-83

H21/04

LNB

Las Animas

86-81

H23/04

LNB

Puente Alto

73-83

-10

A30/04

LNB

Quilicura

89-83

A01/05

LNB

CD Puerto Varas

#10

107-69

107

+38

H05/05

LNB

Puerto Montt

#12

115-70

115

+45

H06/05

LNB

Deportes Castro

80-66

+14

H15/05

LNB

Deportes Castro

97-70

+27

H15/05

LNB

29-13

13-24

30-17

20-19

19-19

28-14

15-13

29-16

26-14

26-25

16-24

24-20

30-20

20-17

19-24

17-20

12-14

15-22

20-23

26-24

22-20

24-21

21-22

28-19

26-8

33-20

20-22

41-23

23-26

21-13

30-8

20-12

21-21

16-13

23-20

22-16

24-23

25-17

26-14

166.2Avg total

92.2Scored

74.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	95.7	72.2	167.9	+23.5	90%
Season at home (16)	100.3	69.8	170.1	+30.5	100%
Season away (14)	90.5	74.9	165.4	+15.6	79%
Last 10 (10)	92.2	74.0	166.2	+18.2	90%
Last 5 (5)	97.6	71.6	169.2	+26.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	71.0	94.3	165.3	-23.3	0%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	94.7	72.8	167.4	+21.9	89%

This opponent (Deportes Castro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Deportes CastroU. De Concepcion

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	17.5	35.9	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	15.6	35.3	+4.0	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.2	19.2	36.4	-1.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	17.6	36.5	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	16.0	32.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	18.5	18.8	37.3	-0.3	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	16.7	19.3	36.0	-2.6	36%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.6	14.3	34.9	+6.3	90%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	18.4	41.3	+4.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.6	18.1	42.7	+6.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.3	18.7	40.0	+2.6	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.9	17.0	41.9	+7.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.6	18.0	44.6	+8.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.3	18.0	34.3	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	23.6	18.4	42.0	+5.1	74%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.2	40.2	+1.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	18.9	40.6	+2.7	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	19.9	43.9	+4.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	20.0	42.8	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	19.3	22.5	41.8	-3.2	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.6	18.5	38.1	+1.1	64%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.9	18.2	42.1	+5.7	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	19.6	42.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.4	18.2	41.6	+5.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.8	20.8	43.6	+1.9	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	20.0	41.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	19.6	42.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.0	25.3	45.3	-5.3	33%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	23.4	19.0	42.3	+4.4	63%	-

Deportes CastroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

U. De Concepcion

51-43

H08/04

LNB

CD Puerto Varas

#10

37-38

-1

A15/04

LNB

Puerto Montt

#12

59-36

+23

A16/04

LNB

Valdivia

40-46

-6

A23/04

LNB

Catolica

#11

45-32

+13

H29/04

LNB

Leones Quilpue

40-30

+10

H29/04

LNB

Tinguiririca

#15

45-28

+17

A05/05

LNB

Espanol de Talca

#13

40-35

A06/05

LNB

U. De Concepcion

33-41

-8

A15/05

LNB

U. De Concepcion

39-46

-7

A15/05

LNB

80.4Avg total

42.9Scored

37.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	36.7	76.1	+2.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.3	34.6	75.9	+6.7	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.6	38.6	76.2	-1.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	37.5	80.4	+5.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	36.0	75.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	37.8	41.3	79.2	-3.5	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	36.3	37.8	74.1	-1.5	36%	-
vs Weaker (10)	44.5	32.5	77.0	+12.0	90%	-

This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

U. De ConcepcionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Leones Quilpue

42-37

H15/04

LNB

Catolica

#11

47-33

+14

H16/04

LNB

Espanol Osorno

52-39

+13

H21/04

LNB

Las Animas

50-37

+13

H23/04

LNB

Puente Alto

27-36

-9

A30/04

LNB

Quilicura

44-40

A01/05

LNB

CD Puerto Varas

#10

54-27

+27

H05/05

LNB

Puerto Montt

#12

64-49

+15

H06/05

LNB

Deportes Castro

41-33

H15/05

LNB

Deportes Castro

46-39

H15/05

LNB

83.7Avg total

46.7Scored

37.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.9	38.0	83.9	+7.9	77%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	48.0	36.3	84.3	+11.7	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.1	39.5	83.6	+4.6	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.7	37.0	83.7	+9.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.8	37.6	87.4	+12.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	36.3	43.3	79.7	-7.0	33%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	47.0	37.4	84.4	+9.6	81%	-

This opponent (Deportes Castro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	17.6	36.0	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.9	17.5	35.4	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	17.8	36.5	+1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	17.0	36.5	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	17.0	34.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	15.7	22.7	38.3	-7.0	17%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.9	17.0	34.9	+0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.5	15.5	36.0	+5.0	70%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	19.1	42.2	+4.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.9	19.1	43.0	+4.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.4	19.1	41.6	+3.3	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	18.5	40.4	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	16.8	40.6	+7.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.3	28.7	46.0	-11.3	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	23.7	18.1	41.8	+5.7	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.6	39.2	-0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	16.9	35.3	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	22.1	42.7	-1.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.8	40.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	17.2	19.3	36.5	-2.2	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.0	20.9	37.9	-3.9	29%	-
vs Weaker (10)	24.7	18.0	42.7	+6.7	90%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	17.8	41.1	+5.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.9	15.8	39.6	+8.1	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.8	19.6	42.4	+3.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	18.5	42.1	+5.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	17.2	41.2	+6.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.3	22.3	39.7	-5.0	33%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	24.0	17.3	41.3	+6.7	74%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	37.3	75.2	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.3	34.4	70.6	+1.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.4	39.8	79.2	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	36.0	74.3	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	37.8	74.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	32.8	42.0	74.8	-9.2	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	34.9	37.9	72.9	-3.0	36%	-
vs Weaker (10)	45.2	33.5	78.7	+11.7	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.4	36.9	83.3	+9.5	73%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	47.7	34.9	82.6	+12.8	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	45.2	38.7	83.9	+6.6	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.5	37.0	82.5	+8.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.8	34.0	81.8	+13.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	34.7	51.0	85.7	-16.3	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	47.7	35.4	83.1	+12.3	81%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Deportes Castro wins

U. De Concepcion wins

Date	Game	Score
15/05/23	U. De Concepcion v Deportes Castro	97-70
15/05/23	U. De Concepcion v Deportes Castro	80-66
08/04/23	Deportes Castro v U. De Concepcion	86-77
29/01/23	U. De Concepcion v Deportes Castro	87-74
28/05/22	Deportes Castro v U. De Concepcion	67-77
22/05/22	U. De Concepcion v Deportes Castro	97-75
22/05/22	U. De Concepcion v Deportes Castro	104-66
10/04/22	Deportes Castro v U. De Concepcion	87-84
09/01/22	U. De Concepcion v Deportes Castro	112-72
25/01/20	U. De Concepcion v Deportes Castro	98-84

Deportes Castrolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/05/23	A	U. De Concepcion	70-97
15/05/23	A	U. De Concepcion	66-80
06/05/23	A	Espanol de Talca	90-64
05/05/23	A	Tinguiririca	92-61
29/04/23	H	Leones Quilpue	64-67
29/04/23	H	Catolica	91-65
23/04/23	A	Valdivia	77-81
16/04/23	A	Puerto Montt	107-65
15/04/23	A	CD Puerto Varas	69-78
08/04/23	H	U. De Concepcion	86-77

U. De Concepcionlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/05/23	H	Deportes Castro	97-70
15/05/23	H	Deportes Castro	80-66
06/05/23	H	Puerto Montt	115-70
05/05/23	H	CD Puerto Varas	107-69
01/05/23	A	Quilicura	89-83
30/04/23	A	Puente Alto	73-83
23/04/23	H	Las Animas	86-81
21/04/23	H	Espanol Osorno	92-83
16/04/23	H	Catolica	91-62
15/04/23	H	Leones Quilpue	92-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Deportes Castro

LNB 2022-23

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	52%
Home	WLWWL	79%
Away	LWWLL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	14	15
Win %	52%	79%	27%
Points / game	77.4	77.6	77.2
Allowed / game	75.6	68.9	81.8
Point differential	+1.8	+8.6	-4.6
Avg total	153.0	146.5	159.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	36%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	80% (5)	0% (2)
Overtime %	7%	0%	13%

U. De Concepcion

LNB 2022-23

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	90%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WLLLW	79%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	16	14
Win %	90%	100%	79%
Points / game	95.7	100.3	90.5
Allowed / game	72.2	69.8	74.9
Point differential	+23.5	+30.5	+15.6
Avg total	167.9	170.1	165.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	77%	88%	64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	U. De Concepcion	30	27	3	90%	95.7	72.2	+23.5
2	Leones Quilpue	29	23	6	79%	83.3	66.3	+17.0
3	Ancud	31	21	10	68%	85.4	79.3	+6.1
4	Valdivia	32	20	12	62%	84.0	78.5	+5.5
5	Las Animas	32	20	12	62%	82.2	77.9	+4.2
6	Puente Alto	31	19	12	61%	79.6	75.8	+3.8
7	Espanol Osorno	30	16	14	53%	80.1	76.1	+4.1
8	Quilicura	27	14	13	52%	84.0	80.7	+3.3
9	Deportes Castro	29	15	14	52%	77.4	75.6	+1.8
10	CD Puerto Varas	28	11	17	39%	74.5	75.8	-1.3
11	Catolica	27	9	18	33%	75.0	80.5	-5.6
12	Puerto Montt	28	9	19	32%	75.4	88.5	-13.2
13	Espanol de Talca	27	6	21	22%	66.3	87.5	-21.2
14	Temuco	20	2	18	10%	71.7	91.1	-19.4
15	Tinguiririca	27	2	25	7%	66.1	87.0	-20.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Deportes Castro	9	17	27	23	76
U. De Concepcion	22	26	19	17	84

← all games of the day

Deportes Castro vs U. De Concepcion Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature