Deportes Castro vs U. De Concepcion Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Dec 2016

Tip-off: 22:00

Final 70-88

23-20 10-19 12-30 25-19

Position#9

Record12-14

FormLLLLL

Points / game76.5

Allowed / game77.2

Deportes Castro

U. De Concepcion 🏆

Position#5

Record14-10

FormWWLLL

Points / game81.4

Allowed / game79.0

LNB

Other2016-17

Meetings · Deportes Castro v U. De Concepcion

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Deportes Castro winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

U. De Concepcion winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Deportes Castro Chile

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tinguiririca

#10

78-61

+17

H20/11

LNB

Osorno

68-85

-17

H23/11

LNB

Leones Quilpue

76-101

101

-25

A26/11

LNB

Catolica

#12

86-76

+10

A27/11

LNB

Valdivia

83-78

H03/12

LNB

Puerto Montt

66-69

-3

H04/12

LNB

Las Animas

71-85

-14

A10/12

LNB

Osorno

73-83

-10

A11/12

LNB

Las Animas

72-80

-8

A14/12

LNB

Espanol de Talca

75-78

-3

H17/12

LNB

17-28

19-7

23-15

19-11

13-16

22-22

19-24

14-23

11-28

20-20

23-27

22-26

28-23

17-19

19-16

22-18

27-14

17-21

22-21

17-22

22-14

17-15

14-21

13-19

9-23

16-12

28-17

18-33

16-36

23-13

13-24

21-10

13-20

22-22

23-17

14-21

18-24

19-17

21-19

17-18

154.4Avg total

74.8Scored

79.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	76.5	77.2	153.7	-0.7	46%
Season at home (13)	77.5	73.2	150.8	+4.3	62%
Season away (13)	75.5	81.2	156.6	-5.7	31%
Last 10 (10)	74.8	79.6	154.4	-4.8	30%
Last 5 (5)	71.4	79.0	150.4	-7.6	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	80.1	87.2	167.3	-7.2	33%
vs Similar (14)	77.1	78.7	155.8	-1.6	36%
vs Weaker (4)	74.8	62.2	137.0	+12.5	100%

This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

U. De Concepcion Chile

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Leones Quilpue

95-82

+13

H30/11

LNB

Las Animas

92-86

A03/12

LNB

Osorno

80-84

-4

A04/12

LNB

Las Animas

75-50

+25

H07/12

LNB

Puente Alto

#11

74-68

H08/12

LNB

Leones Quilpue

100-87

100

+13

H10/12

LNB

Catolica

#12

66-62

H11/12

LNB

Valdivia

93-103

103

-10

A14/12

LNB

Puerto Montt

73-83

-10

A15/12

LNB

Ancud

74-92

-18

A17/12

LNB

26-15

21-23

23-21

25-23

19-24

28-17

24-22

21-23

18-25

26-18

10-22

26-19

–

24-27

30-22

28-17

18-21

13-7

20-14

13-27

20-14

22-31

27-18

19-21

25-33

21-10

8-21

19-25

25-27

20-13

12-20

12-35

30-24

161.9Avg total

82.2Scored

79.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	81.4	79.0	160.4	+2.4	58%
Season at home (12)	79.8	72.5	152.2	+7.2	83%
Season away (12)	83.0	85.5	168.5	-2.5	33%
Last 10 (10)	82.2	79.7	161.9	+2.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	81.2	85.4	166.6	-4.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	81.3	91.8	173.2	-10.5	33%
vs Similar (13)	79.8	82.8	162.5	-3.0	31%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	78.8	72.1	150.9	+6.7	73%

This opponent (Deportes Castro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Deportes CastroU. De Concepcion

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	20.2	38.0	-2.3	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	18.1	37.3	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.5	22.2	38.7	-5.7	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	22.6	40.0	-5.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	23.4	39.0	-7.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	18.2	21.7	39.8	-3.5	17%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.6	18.4	36.0	-0.7	36%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.8	22.0	39.8	-4.2	25%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.2	59%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.8	18.7	39.4	+2.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	20.0	40.5	+0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (8)	20.4	19.0	39.4	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	17.6	37.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	22.5	21.5	44.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.3	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	20.0	17.4	37.4	+2.6	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.0	38.0	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	17.7	39.7	+4.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	18.3	36.4	-0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	16.8	36.0	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	15.8	35.2	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	21.5	19.6	41.1	+1.9	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.9	18.5	38.4	+1.4	64%	-
vs Weaker (4)	16.2	11.2	27.5	+5.0	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	18.3	18.5	36.7	-0.2	56%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.5	17.8	35.2	-0.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	19.1	37.9	-0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (8)	21.5	19.1	40.6	+2.4	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.2	24.5	43.7	-5.3	17%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.0	18.8	35.8	-1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	19.3	14.0	33.3	+5.3	89%	-

Deportes CastroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tinguiririca

#10

36-35

H20/11

LNB

Osorno

35-38

-3

H23/11

LNB

Leones Quilpue

31-48

-17

A26/11

LNB

Catolica

#12

45-42

A27/11

LNB

Valdivia

44-35

H03/12

LNB

Puerto Montt

39-29

+10

H04/12

LNB

Las Animas

25-35

-10

A10/12

LNB

Osorno

39-49

-10

A11/12

LNB

Las Animas

35-42

-7

A14/12

LNB

Espanol de Talca

37-41

-4

H17/12

LNB

76.0Avg total

36.6Scored

39.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	38.1	76.1	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.2	35.8	77.0	+5.4	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.7	40.5	75.1	-5.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	39.4	76.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	39.2	74.2	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	39.7	41.2	80.9	-1.6	42%	-
vs Similar (14)	37.6	36.9	74.4	+0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	34.0	33.2	67.2	+0.8	75%	-

This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

U. De ConcepcionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Leones Quilpue

47-38

H30/11

LNB

Las Animas

47-41

A03/12

LNB

Osorno

44-43

A04/12

LNB

Leones Quilpue

54-49

H10/12

LNB

Catolica

#12

33-21

+12

H11/12

LNB

Valdivia

49-49

A14/12

LNB

Puerto Montt

29-31

-2

A15/12

LNB

Ancud

32-33

-1

A17/12

LNB

80.0Avg total

41.9Scored

38.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	38.9	37.9	76.8	+1.0	52%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	38.2	36.4	74.7	+1.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.4	39.1	78.5	+0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (8)	41.9	38.1	80.0	+3.8	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	36.6	76.0	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	41.7	46.0	87.7	-4.3	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	37.2	38.7	75.8	-1.5	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	39.3	31.4	70.8	+7.9	78%	-

This opponent (Deportes Castro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.7	41.0	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	20.3	40.5	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	21.0	41.4	-0.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.1	40.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.6	39.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.6	23.3	42.9	-3.8	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.7	19.9	40.6	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.0	15.2	36.2	+5.8	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	18.7	21.6	40.3	-2.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.3	42%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	22.7	41.3	-4.2	33%	-
Last 10 (8)	18.5	23.8	42.2	-5.2	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	25.0	43.2	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	22.3	22.2	44.5	+0.2	67%	-
vs Similar (12)	16.9	20.8	37.8	-3.9	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	18.6	22.2	40.8	-3.7	44%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.3	39.4	-1.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.2	19.7	37.9	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	20.9	40.9	-0.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	20.1	37.8	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	20.2	36.8	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.2	20.5	39.8	-1.2	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.8	21.9	40.7	-3.1	21%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.8	13.8	33.5	+6.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	21.1	21.9	43.0	-0.8	48%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.5	19.1	37.6	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.2	24.2	47.4	-1.0	47%	-
Last 10 (8)	23.8	23.0	46.8	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	23.8	47.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.3	23.7	41.0	-6.3	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	22.4	21.5	43.9	+0.9	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	21.9	21.3	43.2	+0.6	44%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	40.9	80.3	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.4	40.0	78.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.4	41.9	82.3	-1.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	40.2	78.4	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	39.8	76.2	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	38.8	43.8	82.7	-5.0	17%	-
vs Similar (14)	39.5	41.9	81.4	-2.4	29%	-
vs Weaker (4)	40.8	29.0	69.8	+11.8	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	39.8	43.5	83.3	-3.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	37.3	39.2	76.6	-1.9	42%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.7	46.9	88.7	-5.2	27%	-
Last 10 (8)	42.2	46.8	89.0	-4.5	25%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	48.8	90.6	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	39.7	45.8	85.5	-6.2	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	39.3	42.3	81.7	-3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	40.4	43.6	84.0	-3.1	33%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Deportes Castro wins

U. De Concepcion wins

Date	Game	Score
30/10/16	U. De Concepcion v Deportes Castro	64-75
12/12/15	U. De Concepcion v Deportes Castro	97-66
24/10/15	Deportes Castro v U. De Concepcion	79-86
21/12/14	Deportes Castro v U. De Concepcion	82-76
09/11/14	U. De Concepcion v Deportes Castro	89-62

Deportes Castrolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/12/16	H	Espanol de Talca	75-78
14/12/16	A	Las Animas	72-80
11/12/16	A	Osorno	73-83
10/12/16	A	Las Animas	71-85
04/12/16	H	Puerto Montt	66-69
03/12/16	H	Valdivia	83-78
27/11/16	A	Catolica	86-76
26/11/16	A	Leones Quilpue	76-101
23/11/16	H	Osorno	68-85
20/11/16	H	Tinguiririca	78-61

U. De Concepcionlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/12/16	A	Ancud	74-92
15/12/16	A	Puerto Montt	73-83
14/12/16	A	Valdivia	93-103
11/12/16	H	Catolica	66-62
10/12/16	H	Leones Quilpue	100-87
08/12/16	H	Puente Alto	74-68
07/12/16	H	Las Animas	75-50
04/12/16	A	Osorno	80-84
03/12/16	A	Las Animas	92-86
30/11/16	H	Leones Quilpue	95-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Deportes Castro

LNB 2016-17

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	46%
Home	WLWLL	62%
Away	LWLLL	31%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	46%	62%	31%
Points / game	76.5	77.5	75.5
Allowed / game	77.2	73.2	81.2
Point differential	-0.7	+4.3	-5.7
Avg total	153.7	150.8	156.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	38%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	40% (5)	67% (3)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

U. De Concepcion

LNB 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	58%
Home	WWWWW	83%
Away	WLLLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	58%	83%	33%
Points / game	81.4	79.8	83.0
Allowed / game	79.0	72.5	85.5
Point differential	+2.4	+7.2	-2.5
Avg total	160.4	152.2	168.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	42%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	100% (2)	25% (4)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Osorno	27	20	7	74%	82.5	76.9	+5.6
2	Leones Quilpue	26	19	7	73%	90.5	83.2	+7.3
3	Valdivia	24	14	10	58%	87.2	82.0	+5.3
4	U. De Concepcion	24	14	10	58%	81.4	79.0	+2.4
5	Espanol de Talca	24	14	10	58%	79.9	79.1	+0.8
6	Ancud	26	15	11	58%	81.5	79.0	+2.5
7	Las Animas	25	13	12	52%	80.3	81.2	-0.8
8	Puerto Montt	25	12	13	48%	78.1	77.6	+0.5
9	Deportes Castro	26	12	14	46%	76.5	77.2	-0.7
10	Puente Alto	25	8	17	32%	74.1	80.7	-6.6
11	Tinguiririca	26	6	20	23%	74.4	81.8	-7.4
12	Catolica	26	5	21	19%	70.6	79.3	-8.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Deportes Castro	23	10	12	25	70
U. De Concepcion	20	19	30	19	88

← all games of the day

Deportes Castro vs U. De Concepcion Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature