Deportes Castro vs Valdivia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Feb 2023

Tip-off: 20:30

Final 79-77

22-16 26-23 14-18 17-20

Position#9

Record4-4

FormWLLWW

Points / game72.4

Allowed / game77.8

Deportes Castro 🏆

Valdivia

Position#5

Record5-3

FormWLWWL

Points / game87.2

Allowed / game86.1

LNB

Other2022-23

Meetings · Deportes Castro v Valdivia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Deportes Castro winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Valdivia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Deportes Castro Chile

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Puerto Montt

#24

95-63

+32

H19/11

Copa Chile

CDSC Osorno

#30

94-60

+34

A27/11

Copa Chile

Espanol Osorno

52-99

-47

A15/01

LNB

Las Animas

84-89 OT

-5

A15/01

LNB

Quilicura

70-67

H20/01

LNB

Puente Alto

73-68

H21/01

LNB

U. De Concepcion

74-87

-13

A29/01

LNB

CD Puerto Varas

#10

62-71

-9

H04/02

LNB

Puerto Montt

#12

79-70

H05/02

LNB

Temuco

#14

85-71

+14

H10/02

LNB

20-17

31-17

22-18

22-11

24-8

18-10

24-9

28-33

9-25

15-24

12-21

16-29

21-23

19-12

19-15

14-23

11-10

16-24

20-7

23-26

17-16

17-11

18-23

21-18

24-20

7-25

21-22

22-20

16-15

15-18

20-21

11-17

23-12

18-28

19-16

19-14

18-17

21-19

18-22

28-13

151.3Avg total

76.8Scored

74.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	72.4	77.8	150.1	-5.4	50%
Season at home (5)	73.8	69.4	143.2	+4.4	80%
Season away (3)	70.0	91.7	161.7	-21.7	0%
Last 10 (10)	76.8	74.5	151.3	+2.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	74.6	73.4	148.0	+1.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	71.9	86.4	158.2	-14.5	21%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	73.5	83.0	156.5	-9.5	33%
vs Weaker (10)	88.4	65.0	153.4	+23.4	100%

This opponent (Valdivia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Valdivia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ancud

83-76

H10/12

Copa Chile

Ancud

72-80

-8

A12/12

Copa Chile

CD Puerto Varas

#10

83-74

A14/01

LNB

Puerto Montt

#12

79-76

A15/01

LNB

U. De Concepcion

64-74

-10

H21/01

LNB

Las Animas

83-82

A28/01

LNB

Espanol Osorno

91-100

100

-9

A29/01

LNB

Puente Alto

90-85

H04/02

LNB

Quilicura

90-79

+11

H05/02

LNB

Ancud

118-119 OT

118

119

-1

A10/02

LNB

19-18

22-22

24-16

18-20

20-25

19-27

21-19

12-9

16-17

21-20

20-10

26-27

13-21

22-15

29-23

15-17

22-11

18-22

15-19

9-22

15-22

21-23

23-16

24-21

19-31

27-21

24-17

21-31

22-15

20-31

19-18

29-21

27-24

19-23

18-14

26-18

33-27

21-26

30-26

23-28

169.8Avg total

85.3Scored

84.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	87.2	86.1	173.4	+1.1	62%
Season at home (3)	81.3	79.3	160.7	+2.0	67%
Season away (5)	90.8	90.2	181.0	+0.6	60%
Last 10 (10)	85.3	84.5	169.8	+0.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	94.4	93.0	187.4	+1.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	74.3	75.2	149.5	-0.8	50%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	79.5	81.6	161.1	-2.1	50%
vs Weaker (8)	81.2	69.9	151.1	+11.4	88%

This opponent (Deportes Castro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Deportes CastroValdivia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.3	36.8	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.0	15.6	34.6	+3.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	20.7	38.8	-2.6	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	16.3	34.6	+2.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	16.0	35.6	+3.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.1	20.9	40.1	-1.8	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	14.8	18.2	33.0	-3.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.8	14.7	34.5	+5.1	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.6	39.7	+0.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.1	17.1	37.2	+3.0	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.1	21.5	41.6	-1.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	21.1	41.7	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	23.8	47.0	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.2	18.2	38.3	+2.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	21.1	21.3	42.4	-0.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (8)	18.1	17.1	35.2	+1.0	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.9	37.4	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.7	17.8	36.5	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	19.9	38.2	-1.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	18.8	36.5	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	20.2	35.8	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	16.0	20.1	36.1	-4.1	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	17.3	18.3	35.7	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.6	17.6	40.2	+5.0	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.1	38.7	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.6	17.6	36.2	+1.0	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.6	21.9	40.5	-3.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	23.0	44.0	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	24.8	46.4	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.7	20.5	40.2	-0.8	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	18.4	20.6	39.0	-2.1	31%	-
vs Weaker (8)	18.1	18.8	36.9	-0.6	50%	-

Deportes CastroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Puerto Montt

#24

51-34

+17

H19/11

Copa Chile

CDSC Osorno

#30

42-18

+24

A27/11

Copa Chile

Espanol Osorno

24-49

-25

A15/01

LNB

Las Animas

40-35

A15/01

LNB

Quilicura

27-34

-7

H20/01

LNB

Puente Alto

34-27

H21/01

LNB

U. De Concepcion

31-45

-14

A29/01

LNB

CD Puerto Varas

#10

31-33

-2

H04/02

LNB

Puerto Montt

#12

41-40

H05/02

LNB

Temuco

#14

39-36

H10/02

LNB

71.1Avg total

36.0Scored

35.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	37.2	74.2	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.7	33.4	71.1	+4.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.3	40.6	76.9	-4.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	35.1	71.1	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	36.2	71.4	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	35.1	41.1	76.2	-5.9	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	32.2	36.5	68.7	-4.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (10)	42.4	32.3	74.7	+10.1	90%	-

This opponent (Valdivia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ValdiviaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ancud

41-40

H10/12

Copa Chile

Ancud

39-52

-13

A12/12

Copa Chile

CD Puerto Varas

#10

37-37

A14/01

LNB

Puerto Montt

#12

35-36

-1

A15/01

LNB

U. De Concepcion

40-33

H21/01

LNB

Las Animas

36-45

-9

A28/01

LNB

Espanol Osorno

46-52

-6

A29/01

LNB

Puente Alto

42-46

-4

H04/02

LNB

Quilicura

46-47

-1

H05/02

LNB

Ancud

54-53

A10/02

LNB

85.7Avg total

41.6Scored

44.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	39.6	78.3	-0.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.7	34.7	73.4	+4.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.7	43.4	82.1	-4.7	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	44.1	85.7	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	48.6	93.4	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	39.8	38.7	78.5	+1.2	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	39.5	41.9	81.4	-2.4	25%	-
vs Weaker (8)	36.2	35.9	72.1	+0.4	38%	-

This opponent (Deportes Castro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.5	38.6	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	17.6	37.2	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	17.4	36.7	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.8	40.0	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.9	21.4	40.4	-2.5	21%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	18.0	17.5	35.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.9	15.1	38.0	+7.8	90%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	18.4	39.7	+2.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	17.5	37.4	+2.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.4	19.0	41.4	+3.4	76%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	17.8	40.1	+4.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	18.2	41.0	+4.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.3	19.8	39.2	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	20.6	18.5	39.1	+2.1	75%	-
vs Weaker (8)	24.2	17.0	41.2	+7.2	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.3	40.8	-1.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.1	18.6	36.7	-0.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.7	23.8	44.4	-3.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.4	40.8	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	16.4	36.6	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	17.8	23.9	41.6	-6.1	21%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	17.5	21.7	39.2	-4.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.1	17.6	40.7	+5.5	90%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.8	37.3	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.7	18.0	35.7	-0.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.2	19.4	38.6	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	21.4	41.7	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	23.8	48.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	15.2	16.7	31.8	-1.5	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	18.8	20.4	39.2	-1.7	44%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.8	17.0	37.8	+3.8	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	39.9	79.4	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.8	36.1	73.9	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.1	43.1	84.2	-2.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	37.8	77.5	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	37.2	76.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	36.7	45.3	82.0	-8.6	7%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	35.5	39.2	74.7	-3.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (10)	46.0	32.7	78.7	+13.3	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	37.1	77.0	+2.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	37.5	35.5	73.1	+2.0	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	41.6	38.4	80.0	+3.3	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	39.2	81.8	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	42.0	89.4	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	34.5	36.5	71.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	39.3	38.9	78.2	+0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (8)	45.0	34.0	79.0	+11.0	88%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Deportes Castro wins

Valdivia wins

Date	Game	Score
16/04/22	Valdivia v Deportes Castro	74-60
30/03/22	Deportes Castro v Valdivia	63-71
01/02/20	Valdivia v Deportes Castro	88-69
29/01/20	Deportes Castro v Valdivia	67-70
15/01/20	Valdivia v Deportes Castro	83-81
12/10/19	Deportes Castro v Valdivia	98-79
19/01/19	Deportes Castro v Valdivia	78-73
24/11/18	Valdivia v Deportes Castro	116-106 OT
05/11/18	Valdivia v Deportes Castro	87-82
24/10/18	Deportes Castro v Valdivia	81-66

Deportes Castrolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/02/23	H	Temuco	85-71
05/02/23	H	Puerto Montt	79-70
04/02/23	H	CD Puerto Varas	62-71
29/01/23	A	U. De Concepcion	74-87
21/01/23	H	Puente Alto	73-68
20/01/23	H	Quilicura	70-67
15/01/23	A	Las Animas	84-89 OT
15/01/23	A	Espanol Osorno	52-99
27/11/22	A	CDSC Osorno	94-60
19/11/22	H	Puerto Montt	95-63

Valdivialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/02/23	A	Ancud	118-119 OT
05/02/23	H	Quilicura	90-79
04/02/23	H	Puente Alto	90-85
29/01/23	A	Espanol Osorno	91-100
28/01/23	A	Las Animas	83-82
21/01/23	H	U. De Concepcion	64-74
15/01/23	A	Puerto Montt	79-76
14/01/23	A	CD Puerto Varas	83-74
12/12/22	A	Ancud	72-80
10/12/22	H	Ancud	83-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Deportes Castro

LNB 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	50%
Home	WWLWW	80%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	5	3
Win %	50%	80%	0%
Points / game	72.4	73.8	70.0
Allowed / game	77.8	69.4	91.7
Point differential	-5.4	+4.4	-21.7
Avg total	150.1	143.2	161.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	20%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	12%	0%	33%

Valdivia

LNB 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	62%
Home	LWW	67%
Away	WWWLL	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	3	5
Win %	62%	67%	60%
Points / game	87.2	81.3	90.8
Allowed / game	86.1	79.3	90.2
Point differential	+1.1	+2.0	+0.6
Avg total	173.4	160.7	181.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	12%	0%	20%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	U. De Concepcion	4	4	0	100%	100.8	69.0	+31.8
2	Leones Quilpue	7	7	0	100%	88.9	66.1	+22.7
3	Ancud	8	7	1	88%	100.8	88.6	+12.1
4	CD Puerto Varas	8	5	3	62%	80.0	72.2	+7.8
5	Espanol Osorno	8	5	3	62%	86.4	80.8	+5.6
6	Valdivia	8	5	3	62%	87.2	86.1	+1.1
7	Puente Alto	8	4	4	50%	81.2	76.9	+4.4
8	Las Animas	8	4	4	50%	89.5	86.2	+3.2
9	Quilicura	8	4	4	50%	77.6	77.2	+0.4
10	Deportes Castro	8	4	4	50%	72.4	77.8	-5.4
11	Espanol de Talca	7	3	4	43%	64.4	70.3	-5.9
12	Puerto Montt	8	2	6	25%	67.0	80.4	-13.4
13	Catolica	7	1	6	14%	71.4	83.3	-11.9
14	Tinguiririca	7	1	6	14%	60.7	74.1	-13.4
15	Temuco	8	0	8	0%	68.4	92.8	-24.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Deportes Castro	22	26	14	17	79
Valdivia	16	23	18	20	77

← all games of the day

Deportes Castro vs Valdivia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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