Deportes Castro vs Valdivia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Dec 2016

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 83-78

27-14 17-21 22-21 17-22

Position#9

Record11-9

FormWWLLW

Points / game77.5

Allowed / game76.7

Deportes Castro 🏆

Valdivia

Position#4

Record9-7

FormLWWLL

Points / game86.5

Allowed / game81.6

LNB

Other2016-17

Meetings · Deportes Castro v Valdivia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Deportes Castro winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Valdivia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Deportes Castro Chile

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Espanol de Talca

75-81

-6

A29/10

LNB

U. De Concepcion

75-64

+11

A30/10

LNB

Ancud

75-64

+11

H12/11

LNB

Ancud

69-71

-2

A13/11

LNB

Valdivia

83-68

+15

H16/11

LNB

Puente Alto

#11

89-76

+13

H19/11

LNB

Tinguiririca

#10

78-61

+17

H20/11

LNB

Osorno

68-85

-17

H23/11

LNB

Leones Quilpue

76-101

101

-25

A26/11

LNB

Catolica

#12

86-76

+10

A27/11

LNB

17-21

23-15

15-18

20-27

23-24

9-15

19-14

24-11

21-19

15-12

20-16

19-17

21-22

15-16

12-12

21-21

17-17

28-23

16-15

22-13

28-11

22-15

20-23

19-27

17-28

19-7

23-15

19-11

13-16

22-22

19-24

14-23

11-28

20-20

23-27

22-26

28-23

17-19

19-16

22-18

152.1Avg total

77.4Scored

74.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	77.5	76.7	154.2	+0.8	55%
Season at home (10)	78.4	72.7	151.1	+5.7	70%
Season away (10)	76.5	80.7	157.2	-4.2	40%
Last 10 (10)	77.4	74.7	152.1	+2.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.4	79.8	159.2	-0.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	81.3	88.9	170.2	-7.6	38%
vs Similar (13)	80.4	79.4	159.8	+1.0	46%
vs Weaker (4)	74.8	62.2	137.0	+12.5	100%

This opponent (Valdivia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Valdivia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tinguiririca

#10

73-84

-11

A22/10

LNB

Catolica

#12

89-55

+34

H30/10

LNB

Leones Quilpue

85-78

H30/10

LNB

Deportes Castro

68-83

-15

A16/11

LNB

U. De Concepcion

72-79

-7

A19/11

LNB

Espanol de Talca

85-90

-5

A20/11

LNB

Puerto Montt

98-87

+11

H23/11

LNB

Osorno

88-75

+13

H26/11

LNB

Las Animas

95-96 OT

-1

H27/11

LNB

Puerto Montt

92-94

-2

A30/11

LNB

18-18

23-23

17-21

15-22

21-9

26-19

22-13

20-14

20-21

25-17

20-27

20-13

17-17

23-28

15-16

13-22

18-24

12-13

19-17

23-25

20-26

18-25

26-18

21-21

16-27

24-25

23-15

35-20

20-15

23-17

21-29

24-14

19-16

23-18

12-20

19-19

23-22

24-20

28-25

17-27

166.6Avg total

84.5Scored

82.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	86.5	81.6	168.1	+4.9	56%
Season at home (7)	91.9	79.6	171.4	+12.3	86%
Season away (9)	82.3	83.2	165.6	-0.9	33%
Last 10 (10)	84.5	82.1	166.6	+2.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	91.6	88.4	180.0	+3.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	77.7	85.3	163.0	-7.7	67%
vs Similar (14)	82.9	81.9	164.9	+1.0	64%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	89.5	81.6	171.2	+7.9	69%

This opponent (Deportes Castro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Deportes CastroValdivia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.5	39.3	-1.8	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	19.6	39.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	21.5	39.3	-3.6	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	20.9	40.5	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.2	40.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.7	22.1	40.8	-3.4	15%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.1	18.5	37.6	+0.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.8	22.0	39.8	-4.2	25%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.5	38.7	-0.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	17.9	37.7	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	21.1	39.7	-2.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.5	38.7	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.2	40.8	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.7	22.0	39.7	-4.3	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.9	20.4	39.3	-1.6	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	19.8	18.0	37.8	+1.8	38%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.5	38.4	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	17.9	40.4	+4.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	19.1	36.5	-1.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	16.4	35.4	+2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	16.6	36.6	+3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	20.5	20.4	40.9	+0.2	46%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.5	18.8	39.3	+1.8	54%	-
vs Weaker (4)	16.2	11.2	27.5	+5.0	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	19.4	40.7	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.0	19.2	42.2	+3.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	19.6	39.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	20.5	42.6	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	21.0	43.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.3	20.3	37.7	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.6	19.6	41.1	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	21.9	19.0	40.9	+2.9	62%	-

Deportes CastroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Espanol de Talca

40-36

A29/10

LNB

U. De Concepcion

32-39

-7

A30/10

LNB

Ancud

36-31

H12/11

LNB

Ancud

36-38

-2

A13/11

LNB

Valdivia

45-40

H16/11

LNB

Puente Alto

#11

50-26

+24

H19/11

LNB

Tinguiririca

#10

36-35

H20/11

LNB

Osorno

35-38

-3

H23/11

LNB

Leones Quilpue

31-48

-17

A26/11

LNB

Catolica

#12

45-42

A27/11

LNB

75.9Avg total

38.6Scored

37.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	39.0	77.7	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.1	37.5	79.6	+4.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.3	40.5	75.8	-5.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	37.3	75.9	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	37.8	77.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	39.2	42.5	81.7	-3.2	38%	-
vs Similar (13)	39.6	37.3	76.9	+2.3	54%	-
vs Weaker (4)	34.0	33.2	67.2	+0.8	75%	-

This opponent (Valdivia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ValdiviaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tinguiririca

#10

41-41

A22/10

LNB

Catolica

#12

47-28

+19

H30/10

LNB

Leones Quilpue

45-38

H30/10

LNB

Deportes Castro

40-45

-5

A16/11

LNB

U. De Concepcion

30-37

-7

A19/11

LNB

Espanol de Talca

38-51

-13

A20/11

LNB

Puerto Montt

40-52

-12

H23/11

LNB

Osorno

43-32

+11

H26/11

LNB

Las Animas

42-34

H27/11

LNB

Puerto Montt

47-42

A30/11

LNB

81.3Avg total

41.3Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	38.9	79.4	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.7	37.1	79.9	+5.6	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.2	40.7	78.9	-2.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	40.0	81.3	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	42.2	84.2	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	35.0	42.3	77.3	-7.3	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	40.4	40.0	80.4	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	41.8	37.0	78.8	+4.8	69%	-

This opponent (Deportes Castro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	21.3	41.8	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	21.2	42.6	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	21.3	41.0	-1.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	18.0	36.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.0	41.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	20.5	23.5	44.0	-2.9	31%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.4	20.9	41.3	-0.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.0	15.2	36.2	+5.8	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	20.2	42.7	+2.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	20.9	43.0	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.9	19.4	42.3	+3.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.1	40.4	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	21.4	43.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.3	26.7	46.0	-7.3	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.5	18.9	40.4	+2.6	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	24.3	20.1	44.4	+4.2	69%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.1	40.3	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	19.4	39.9	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	20.8	40.7	-0.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.0	40.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	20.1	21.0	41.1	-0.9	38%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.4	21.2	41.5	-0.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.8	13.8	33.5	+6.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.6	40.2	-0.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	20.7	39.4	-2.1	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.7	40.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	20.2	43.4	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.3	16.3	39.7	+7.0	67%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.4	21.6	40.9	-2.2	21%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	19.1	20.5	39.5	-1.4	31%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	41.4	82.1	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.9	40.6	82.5	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.5	42.1	81.7	-2.6	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	37.4	76.2	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	42.0	82.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	40.6	44.5	85.1	-3.8	31%	-
vs Similar (13)	40.8	42.1	82.8	-1.3	31%	-
vs Weaker (4)	40.8	29.0	69.8	+11.8	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	40.7	82.9	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.7	41.3	84.0	+1.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.6	40.1	81.7	+1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	39.8	80.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	41.6	86.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	42.7	43.0	85.7	-0.3	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	40.9	40.4	81.3	+0.4	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	43.4	40.5	83.9	+2.8	46%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Deportes Castro wins

Valdivia wins

Date	Game	Score
16/11/16	Deportes Castro v Valdivia	83-68
15/10/16	Valdivia v Deportes Castro	104-97 OT
02/01/16	Deportes Castro v Valdivia	81-95
27/12/15	Valdivia v Deportes Castro	96-83
26/12/15	Valdivia v Deportes Castro	110-81
05/12/15	Deportes Castro v Valdivia	91-87
17/10/15	Valdivia v Deportes Castro	89-79
13/12/14	Valdivia v Deportes Castro	84-77
01/11/14	Deportes Castro v Valdivia	97-85

Deportes Castrolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/11/16	A	Catolica	86-76
26/11/16	A	Leones Quilpue	76-101
23/11/16	H	Osorno	68-85
20/11/16	H	Tinguiririca	78-61
19/11/16	H	Puente Alto	89-76
16/11/16	H	Valdivia	83-68
13/11/16	A	Ancud	69-71
12/11/16	H	Ancud	75-64
30/10/16	A	U. De Concepcion	75-64
29/10/16	A	Espanol de Talca	75-81

Valdivialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/11/16	A	Puerto Montt	92-94
27/11/16	H	Las Animas	95-96 OT
26/11/16	H	Osorno	88-75
23/11/16	H	Puerto Montt	98-87
20/11/16	A	Espanol de Talca	85-90
19/11/16	A	U. De Concepcion	72-79
16/11/16	A	Deportes Castro	68-83
30/10/16	H	Leones Quilpue	85-78
30/10/16	H	Catolica	89-55
22/10/16	A	Tinguiririca	73-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Deportes Castro

LNB 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	55%
Home	WWWWL	70%
Away	LWLLW	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	55%	70%	40%
Points / game	77.5	78.4	76.5
Allowed / game	76.7	72.7	80.7
Point differential	+0.8	+5.7	-4.2
Avg total	154.2	151.1	157.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	50%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	50% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	5%	0%	10%

Valdivia

LNB 2016-17

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	56%
Home	WWWWL	86%
Away	LLLLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	7	9
Win %	56%	86%	33%
Points / game	86.5	91.9	82.3
Allowed / game	81.6	79.6	83.2
Point differential	+4.9	+12.3	-0.9
Avg total	168.1	171.4	165.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	57%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	0% (1)	40% (5)
Overtime %	19%	29%	11%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Leones Quilpue	19	14	5	74%	90.7	83.3	+7.4
2	Osorno	20	14	6	70%	83.0	77.0	+5.9
3	U. De Concepcion	15	9	6	60%	81.7	78.7	+3.0
4	Espanol de Talca	15	9	6	60%	80.0	78.3	+1.7
5	Valdivia	16	9	7	56%	86.5	81.6	+4.9
6	Deportes Castro	20	11	9	55%	77.5	76.7	+0.8
7	Las Animas	17	9	8	53%	81.9	83.2	-1.3
8	Ancud	20	10	10	50%	82.0	80.8	+1.2
9	Puerto Montt	17	8	9	47%	78.4	76.6	+1.8
10	Puente Alto	18	7	11	39%	75.2	81.7	-6.5
11	Tinguiririca	20	5	15	25%	74.0	80.3	-6.4
12	Catolica	19	3	16	16%	71.2	82.2	-11.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Deportes Castro	27	17	22	17	83
Valdivia	14	21	21	22	78

← all games of the day

Deportes Castro vs Valdivia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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