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Derthona Basket W vs Campobasso W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 51-61
13-14 14-17 10-14 14-16
Position#4
Record7-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game67.4
Derthona Basket W
Italy
vs
Campobasso W 🏆
Italy
Position#3
Record9-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game60.0
ItalySerie A1 WRound 14· Palaoltrepo
Women2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Derthona Basket W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Campobasso W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Derthona Basket WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Campobasso W
#3
L
57-61
57
61
-4
46avg 68
A19/10
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
57-72
57
72
-15
44avg 68
H26/10
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
85-83
85
83
+2
79avg 68
A02/11
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
W
91-84
91
84
+7
92avg 68
A23/11
Serie A1 W
Roseto W
#6
W
86-77
86
77
+9
81avg 68
H29/11
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
66-79
66
79
-13
57avg 68
A03/12
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#10
W
87-38
87
38
+49
94avg 68
H06/12
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#9
W
84-63
84
63
+21
76avg 68
A14/12
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
W
69-49
69
49
+20
62avg 68
H21/12
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
W
86-65
86
65
+21
80avg 68
A28/12
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
19-15
9-9
15-12
14-16
10-23
12-23
21-10
25-21
22-19
20-21
18-22
13-26
23-18
24-27
31-13
20-19
21-21
20-16
25-21
16-22
18-21
17-22
15-14
21-15
28-15
20-3
18-5
15-13
30-13
19-14
20-23
25-9
8-16
16-15
20-9
24-22
21-21
17-10
24-12
143.9Avg total
76.8Scored
67.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)74.467.4141.8+7.058%
Season at home (5)73.661.8135.4+11.860%
Season away (7)75.071.4146.4+3.657%
Last 10 (10)76.867.1143.9+9.770%
Last 5 (5)78.458.8137.2+19.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)61.575.5137.0-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (4)66.563.8130.2+2.850%
vs Weaker (8)80.969.2150.1+11.675%
This opponent (Campobasso W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Campobasso WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sassari W
#7
W
76-68
76
68
+8
73avg 64
A08/11
Serie A1 W
Roseto W
#6
W
69-49
69
49
+20
66avg 64
H22/11
Serie A1 W
Zabiny Brno W
#16
L
67-71
67
71
-4
57avg 64
A25/11
EuroCup Women
Broni W
#9
W
72-68 OT
72
68
+4
64avg 64
A30/11
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
71-59
71
59
+12
66avg 64
A07/12
Serie A1 W
Kibirkstis Vilnius W
#23
L
70-87
70
87
-17
52avg 64
A10/12
EuroCup Women
San Giovanni W
#5
L
55-60
55
60
-5
50avg 64
H14/12
Serie A1 W
Kibirkstis Vilnius W
#23
W
60-54
60
54
+6
48avg 64
H17/12
EuroCup Women
Brixia W
#10
W
77-63
77
63
+14
81avg 64
H21/12
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
W
55-50
55
50
+5
44avg 64
A28/12
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
21-17
19-15
16-16
18-9
20-19
22-12
9-9
24-29
11-13
24-16
8-13
15-13
14-9
13-17
18-21
20-9
16-15
22-14
13-21
12-27
19-21
25-28
14-11
12-21
20-11
4-14
19-14
13-13
18-14
12-9
17-18
27-15
19-10
13-18
18-20
10-15
10-9
20-10
15-16
130.1Avg total
67.2Scored
62.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)70.060.0130.0+10.075%
Season at home (6)68.564.8133.3+3.750%
Season away (6)71.555.2126.7+16.3100%
Last 10 (10)67.262.9130.1+4.370%
Last 5 (5)63.462.8126.2+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)64.369.3133.7-5.017%
vs Similar ◀ (4)62.562.8125.2-0.250%
vs Weaker (19)73.659.3132.9+14.384%
This opponent (Derthona Basket W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +6.6+6.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +6.6+6.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
Derthona Basket WCampobasso W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Derthona Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Campobasso W
#3
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A19/10
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H26/10
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A02/11
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A23/11
Serie A1 W
Roseto W
#6
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H29/11
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A03/12
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#10
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H06/12
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#9
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A14/12
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H21/12
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A28/12
Serie A1 W
75.7Avg total
38.7Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)37.636.173.7+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (7)36.633.470.0+3.157%-
Last 30 away (8)38.538.577.0+0.050%-
Last 10 (10)38.737.075.7+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.233.474.6+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)29.041.070.0-12.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)34.234.568.8-0.250%-
vs Weaker (8)40.138.078.1+2.162%-
This opponent (Campobasso W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Campobasso WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari W
#7
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A08/11
Serie A1 W
Roseto W
#6
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H22/11
Serie A1 W
Zabiny Brno W
#16
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A25/11
EuroCup Women
Broni W
#9
W
29-22
29
22
+7
A30/11
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A07/12
Serie A1 W
Kibirkstis Vilnius W
#23
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A10/12
EuroCup Women
San Giovanni W
#5
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H14/12
Serie A1 W
Kibirkstis Vilnius W
#23
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H17/12
EuroCup Women
Brixia W
#10
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H21/12
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
20-24
20
24
-4
A28/12
Serie A1 W
64.8Avg total
33.9Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.931.065.9+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.132.167.2+2.957%-
Last 30 away (16)34.730.164.8+4.669%-
Last 10 (10)33.930.964.8+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)32.031.263.2+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.834.767.5-1.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)32.033.865.8-1.825%-
vs Weaker (19)37.329.566.7+7.879%-
This opponent (Derthona Basket W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Derthona Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Derthona Basket W: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
30%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.718.6
46.9%
46.7%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.29.2
38.0%
30.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws15.211.0
72.4%
72.6%11.0
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Campobasso Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Campobasso W: 66.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
30%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.017.2
44.1%
46.7%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.5
30.4%
30.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws13.59.5
70.4%
72.6%9.5
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Derthona Basket W
WWWWLWWWLL
Campobasso W
WWWLLWWLWW
#4
League position
#3
+12.1
Net rating
+6.0
105.2
Offensive rating
93.2
93.2
Defensive rating
87.2
50.7%
Effective FG%
44.7%
46.1%
Opp. effective FG%
41.9%
18.4%
Turnover %
18.0%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.21
38.0%
3-point %
30.4%
63.3%
Assist %
68.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 93.2Defence93.2 · 87.2Shooting50.7% · 44.7%3-point %38.0% · 30.4%Ball care18.4% · 18.0%Off. rebounds31.8% · 28.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Derthona Basket W   ■ Campobasso W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Derthona Basket W wins
1
Campobasso W wins
DateGameScore
19/10/25Campobasso W v Derthona Basket W61-57
Derthona Basket Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25ASassari W86-65
21/12/25HSan Giovanni W69-49
14/12/25ABroni W84-63
06/12/25HBrixia W87-38
03/12/25ASchio W66-79
29/11/25HRoseto W86-77
23/11/25ASan Martino W91-84
02/11/25ABattipaglia W85-83
26/10/25HVenezia W57-72
19/10/25ACampobasso W57-61
Campobasso Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25AVenezia W55-50
21/12/25HBrixia W77-63
17/12/25HKibirkstis Vilnius W60-54
14/12/25HSan Giovanni W55-60
10/12/25AKibirkstis Vilnius W70-87
07/12/25ABattipaglia W71-59
30/11/25ABroni W72-68 OT
25/11/25AZabiny Brno W67-71
22/11/25HRoseto W69-49
08/11/25ASassari W76-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Derthona Basket W
Serie A1 W 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW58%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayWWLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %58%60%57%
Points / game74.473.675.0
Allowed / game67.461.871.4
Point differential+7.0+11.8+3.6
Avg total141.8135.4146.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Campobasso W
Serie A1 W 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game70.068.571.5
Allowed / game60.064.855.2
Point differential+10.0+3.7+16.3
Avg total130.0133.3126.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Schio W12120100%81.853.6+28.2
2 Venezia W1210283%74.259.1+15.1
3 Campobasso W129375%70.060.0+10.0
4 Derthona Basket W127558%74.467.4+7.0
5 San Giovanni W127558%65.061.7+3.3
6 Broni W115645%66.473.5-7.2
7 Sassari W125742%68.075.8-7.8
8 Roseto W124833%68.575.3-6.8
9 San Martino W123925%65.175.8-10.8
10 Brixia W112918%58.576.4-17.9
11 Battipaglia W121118%62.778.0-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Derthona Basket W1314101451
Campobasso W1417141661
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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