PythiaBasketballBETA
B League· IG Arena
Diamond Dolphins host Ryukyu on 18 November 2026 in the B League, and the Pythia model names the Dolphins as the clear favourite with an 80% chance of victory, a reflection of their 11-1 record, 91.2 points per game and 75.2 allowed, placing them first in the standings. Ryukyu, meanwhile, sit in 13th with an 8-8 record, 83.4 points per game and 81.6 allowed, and have struggled on the road, winning only 2 of 8 away games. The Dolphins have been dominant at home, winning both of their two home games and scoring 95.5 points per game while conceding 66.5, and they have won four of their last five matches, including a 93-80 win over Toyama and a 87-64 home victory over Shiga. Ryukyu's recent form is uneven, winning just one of their last five games and losing two of three away contests, most notably a 72-80 loss to Ibaraki. In their last ten meetings the Dolphins have edged Ryukyu 6-4, though Ryukyu won the most recent encounter 90-74 on 16 May. Pythia projects a 88-79 scoreline, with the Dolphins covering an 80% chance of covering the spread and a 4% chance of overtime. The projected total is 166.6 points. The Dolphins' offensive firepower and Ryukyu's road struggles give the Dolphins a decisive edge in this matchup.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (14) | 91.2 | 78.7 | 169.9 | +12.5 | 86% |
| Season at home (3) | 88.0 | 79.3 | 167.3 | +8.7 | 67% |
| Season away (11) | 92.1 | 78.5 | 170.6 | +13.5 | 91% |
| Last 10 (10) | 91.9 | 80.8 | 172.7 | +11.1 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 87.8 | 86.0 | 173.8 | +1.8 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar (12) | 76.8 | 85.2 | 162.0 | -8.5 | 42% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (18) | 89.2 | 78.2 | 167.4 | +11.1 | 72% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (16) | 83.4 | 81.6 | 165.1 | +1.8 | 50% |
| Season at home (8) | 86.8 | 77.0 | 163.8 | +9.8 | 75% |
| Season away (8) | 80.1 | 86.2 | 166.4 | -6.1 | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 87.1 | 86.5 | 173.6 | +0.6 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 82.2 | 87.4 | 169.6 | -5.2 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (10) | 76.4 | 78.0 | 154.4 | -1.6 | 50% |
| vs Similar (9) | 85.3 | 76.6 | 161.9 | +8.8 | 67% |
| vs Weaker (10) | 87.2 | 82.4 | 169.6 | +4.8 | 60% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.8 | 39.4 | 80.2 | +1.4 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 at home (9) | 41.3 | 39.6 | 80.9 | +1.8 | 56% | - |
| Last 30 away (21) | 40.6 | 39.3 | 80.0 | +1.3 | 52% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 45.0 | 41.7 | 86.7 | +3.3 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 43.0 | 41.0 | 84.0 | +2.0 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar (12) | 34.4 | 43.1 | 77.5 | -8.7 | 17% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (18) | 45.1 | 36.9 | 82.1 | +8.2 | 78% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.2 | 40.1 | 81.3 | +1.1 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 44.5 | 41.2 | 85.6 | +3.3 | 54% | - |
| Last 30 away (17) | 38.8 | 39.3 | 78.1 | -0.5 | 47% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.6 | 43.0 | 84.6 | -1.4 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 38.4 | 42.4 | 80.8 | -4.0 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (10) | 38.9 | 39.7 | 78.6 | -0.8 | 40% | - |
| vs Similar (9) | 42.3 | 40.4 | 82.8 | +1.9 | 44% | - |
| vs Weaker (10) | 41.4 | 39.7 | 81.1 | +1.7 | 60% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 41.5 | 24.7 | 53.6% | 49.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.5 | 9.2 | 32.9% | 27.6 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.1 | 15.2 | 73.8% | 15.2 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.7 | 19.0 | 53.6% | 38.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 29.8 | 9.9 | 32.9% | 29.7 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.7 | 17.3 | 73.8% | 17.3 |
Diamond Dolphins
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 | Ryukyu v Diamond Dolphins | 90-74 |
| 15/05/26 | Ryukyu v Diamond Dolphins | 85-65 |
| 15/04/26 | Diamond Dolphins v Ryukyu | 80-76 |
| 10/12/25 | Ryukyu v Diamond Dolphins | 60-73 |
| 08/12/24 | Ryukyu v Diamond Dolphins | 92-82 |
| 07/12/24 | Ryukyu v Diamond Dolphins | 86-68 |
| 28/04/24 | Diamond Dolphins v Ryukyu | 86-79 |
| 27/04/24 | Diamond Dolphins v Ryukyu | 83-77 |
| 10/04/24 | Ryukyu v Diamond Dolphins | 95-98 OT |
| 17/01/24 | Diamond Dolphins v Ryukyu | 77-75 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/26 | H | Tokyo Sunrockers | 73-105 |
| 13/11/26 | A | Akita | 110-94 |
| 09/11/26 | A | Gunma | 76-87 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Toyama | 93-80 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Shiga | 87-64 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Shiga | 104-69 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Tokyo Sunrockers | 96-85 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Utsunomiya Brex | 98-69 |
| 19/10/26 | A | Shinshu | 92-77 |
| 11/10/26 | A | Ibaraki Robots | 90-78 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | H | Tokyo Sunrockers | 81-78 |
| 09/11/26 | A | Ibaraki Robots | 72-80 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Utsunomiya Brex | 76-79 OT |
| 04/11/26 | H | Hong Kong Eastern | 96-104 |
| 01/11/26 | H | NeoPhoenix | 86-96 |
| 31/10/26 | H | NeoPhoenix | 86-80 |
| 28/10/26 | A | Taoyuan Pauian Pilots | 103-97 |
| 26/10/26 | A | Nagasaki | 84-101 |
| 23/10/26 | H | Gunma | 93-85 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Altiri Chiba | 94-65 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLWL | 86% |
| Home | WWL | 67% |
| Away | WWWLW | 91% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 14 | 3 | 11 |
| Win % | 86% | 67% | 91% |
| Points / game | 91.2 | 88.0 | 92.1 |
| Allowed / game | 78.7 | 79.3 | 78.5 |
| Point differential | +12.5 | +8.7 | +13.5 |
| Avg total | 169.9 | 167.3 | 170.6 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 86% | 67% | 91% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLLW | 50% |
| Home | WWWLW | 75% |
| Away | LLLLL | 25% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 16 | 8 | 8 |
| Win % | 50% | 75% | 25% |
| Points / game | 83.4 | 86.8 | 80.1 |
| Allowed / game | 81.6 | 77.0 | 86.2 |
| Point differential | +1.8 | +9.8 | -6.1 |
| Avg total | 165.1 | 163.8 | 166.4 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 25% | 38% | 12% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 33% (3) | 100% (1) | 0% (2) |
| Overtime % | 6% | 0% | 12% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Diamond Dolphins | 14 | 12 | 2 | 86% | 91.2 | 78.7 | +12.5 |
| 2 |  Hiroshima D. | 16 | 13 | 3 | 81% | 89.9 | 82.1 | +7.9 |
| 3 |  SeaHorses Mikawa | 14 | 11 | 3 | 79% | 91.9 | 79.9 | +11.9 |
| 4 |  Alvark | 18 | 14 | 4 | 78% | 92.9 | 82.3 | +10.6 |
| 5 |  Sendai | 18 | 14 | 4 | 78% | 88.6 | 80.2 | +8.4 |
| 6 |  Gunma | 16 | 12 | 4 | 75% | 82.8 | 73.8 | +9.1 |
| 7 |  NeoPhoenix | 12 | 9 | 3 | 75% | 87.4 | 81.6 | +5.8 |
| 8 | Tokyo Sunrockers | 18 | 12 | 6 | 67% | 90.8 | 79.9 | +10.9 |
| 9 | Levanga Hokkaido | 17 | 11 | 6 | 65% | 97.3 | 93.2 | +4.1 |
| 10 |  Kyoto | 16 | 9 | 7 | 56% | 84.3 | 79.2 | +5.1 |
| 11 |  Toyama | 17 | 9 | 8 | 53% | 82.6 | 88.4 | -5.8 |
| 12 |  Ibaraki Robots | 18 | 9 | 9 | 50% | 83.7 | 79.8 | +3.9 |
| 13 | Ryukyu | 16 | 8 | 8 | 50% | 83.4 | 81.6 | +1.8 |
| 14 |  Chiba | 18 | 9 | 9 | 50% | 92.2 | 95.1 | -2.9 |
| 15 |  Shimane | 16 | 7 | 9 | 44% | 83.5 | 81.1 | +2.4 |
| 16 |  Shiga | 16 | 7 | 9 | 44% | 86.4 | 88.8 | -2.4 |
| 17 |  Utsunomiya Brex | 16 | 7 | 9 | 44% | 81.1 | 83.6 | -2.4 |
| 18 |  Yokohama | 17 | 7 | 10 | 41% | 78.3 | 83.8 | -5.5 |
| 19 |  Altiri Chiba | 18 | 7 | 11 | 39% | 79.8 | 84.7 | -4.8 |
| 20 |  Shinshu | 17 | 6 | 11 | 35% | 83.9 | 86.8 | -2.9 |
| 21 |  Nagasaki | 18 | 6 | 12 | 33% | 77.3 | 82.2 | -4.9 |
| 22 |  Brave Thunders | 17 | 5 | 12 | 29% | 79.2 | 83.9 | -4.8 |
| 23 |  Akita | 18 | 5 | 13 | 28% | 83.3 | 90.7 | -7.4 |
| 24 |  Kobe | 16 | 4 | 12 | 25% | 79.9 | 87.3 | -7.4 |
| 25 |  Saga | 16 | 1 | 15 | 6% | 77.3 | 95.6 | -18.3 |
| 26 |  Osaka | 17 | 1 | 16 | 6% | 70.4 | 90.4 | -20.0 |
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