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Nagasaki vs Ryukyu Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 26 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 101-84
24-15 26-20 28-22 23-27
Position#16
Record4-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game79.9
vs
Position#11
Record6-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game79.2
JapanB League· Happiness Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Nagasaki v Ryukyu
26 Oct 2026
NAGA101
RYUK84
26 May 2026
NAGA72
RYUK64
24 May 2026
NAGA66
RYUK60
23 May 2026
NAGA69
RYUK71
02 Mar 2025
NAGA89
RYUK85
01 Mar 2025
NAGA74
RYUK93
27 Mar 2024
NAGA68
RYUK76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ryukyu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#7
L
76-84 OT
76
84
-8
A03/10
B League
Kyoto
#7
L
65-90
65
90
-25
A04/10
B League
Shinshu
#22
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H08/10
B League
Gunma
#9
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H10/10
B League
Kobe
#24
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H12/10
B League
KCC Egis
#2
L
83-98
83
98
-15
H14/10
EASL
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
63-95
63
95
-32
A17/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#23
L
65-82
65
82
-17
H19/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
84-66
84
66
+18
A21/10
B League
Shiga
#14
L
85-89
85
89
-4
A23/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-10
11-16
12-25
30-23
2-21
22-20
21-31
20-18
19-22
16-24
15-10
24-15
15-16
27-19
9-10
19-14
19-13
20-13
23-26
23-17
16-26
27-17
27-28
13-27
20-30
15-22
17-18
11-25
17-15
16-27
21-18
11-22
24-20
24-15
17-17
19-14
14-21
29-16
9-27
33-25
155.3Avg total
75.0Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)73.579.9153.5-6.436%
Season at home (6)72.775.8148.5-3.250%
Season away (5)74.684.8159.4-10.220%
Last 10 (10)75.080.3155.3-5.340%
Last 5 (5)76.086.0162.0-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)68.582.0150.5-13.525%
vs Similar (6)75.280.8156.0-5.733%
vs Weaker (19)87.478.2165.5+9.274%
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RyukyuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvark
#5
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A22/09
B League
Alvark
#5
W
85-74
85
74
+11
A23/09
B League
Shiga
#14
W
94-87
94
87
+7
A03/10
B League
Shiga
#14
L
72-98
72
98
-26
A04/10
B League
Gunma
#9
L
65-76
65
76
-11
H08/10
B League
Shimane
#18
W
90-69
90
69
+21
H10/10
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A16/10
B League
Shiga
#14
W
99-67
99
67
+32
H19/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#23
W
94-65
94
65
+29
H21/10
B League
Gunma
#9
W
93-85
93
85
+8
H23/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-23
21-27
12-22
10-12
23-25
28-16
16-17
18-16
24-17
25-26
20-20
25-24
14-16
14-32
25-29
19-21
15-13
16-18
12-22
22-23
18-15
30-17
27-16
15-21
21-19
18-27
23-14
23-27
28-22
31-17
19-21
21-7
33-21
18-16
24-13
19-15
11-22
33-18
23-25
26-20
164.2Avg total
85.0Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.079.2164.2+5.860%
Season at home (5)88.272.4160.6+15.880%
Season away (5)81.886.0167.8-4.240%
Last 10 (10)85.079.2164.2+5.860%
Last 5 (5)92.274.6166.8+17.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.673.0143.6-2.440%
vs Similar (9)82.775.2157.9+7.467%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)86.876.9163.7+9.981%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.2+1.2
NagasakiRyukyu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#7
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A03/10
B League
Kyoto
#7
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A04/10
B League
Shinshu
#22
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H08/10
B League
Gunma
#9
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H10/10
B League
Kobe
#24
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H12/10
B League
KCC Egis
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H14/10
EASL
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A17/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#23
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H19/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A21/10
B League
Shiga
#14
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A23/10
B League
75.7Avg total
37.4Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.139.480.5+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (19)41.239.580.7+1.653%-
Last 30 away (11)41.039.280.2+1.864%-
Last 10 (10)37.438.375.7-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)40.441.882.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)33.238.571.8-5.250%-
vs Similar (6)38.239.377.5-1.250%-
vs Weaker (19)43.639.483.0+4.263%-
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RyukyuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvark
#5
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A22/09
B League
Alvark
#5
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A23/09
B League
Shiga
#14
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A03/10
B League
Shiga
#14
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A04/10
B League
Gunma
#9
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H08/10
B League
Shimane
#18
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H10/10
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A16/10
B League
Shiga
#14
W
59-39
59
39
+20
H19/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#23
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H21/10
B League
Gunma
#9
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H23/10
B League
85.8Avg total
45.1Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.837.879.6+3.960%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.836.980.6+6.969%-
Last 30 away (14)39.538.978.4+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)45.140.785.8+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)48.238.887.0+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.037.675.6+0.460%-
vs Similar (9)41.337.278.6+4.156%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.238.281.4+4.962%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.417.3
51.8%
53.9%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.79.8
33.0%
32.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws14.410.3
71.5%
73.7%10.3
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ryukyutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ryukyu: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.4
49.6%
53.9%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.3
34.4%
32.7%30.9
🏀 Free throws21.316.0
75.1%
73.7%16.0
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
LWLLLWWWLL
Ryukyu
WWWLWLLWWL
#16
League position
#11
-5.5
Net rating
+6.8
86.9
Offensive rating
96.4
92.4
Defensive rating
89.6
50.7%
Effective FG%
50.5%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
16.7%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.0%
3-point %
34.4%
64.9%
Assist %
74.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence86.9 · 96.4Defence92.4 · 89.6Shooting50.7% · 50.5%3-point %33.0% · 34.4%Ball care16.7% · 14.3%Free throws0.23 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Ryukyu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Nagasaki wins
5
Ryukyu wins
DateGameScore
26/05/26Nagasaki v Ryukyu72-64
24/05/26Nagasaki v Ryukyu66-60
23/05/26Nagasaki v Ryukyu69-71
15/03/26Ryukyu v Nagasaki58-68
14/03/26Ryukyu v Nagasaki95-81
20/04/25Ryukyu v Nagasaki87-66
19/04/25Ryukyu v Nagasaki90-80
02/03/25Nagasaki v Ryukyu89-85
01/03/25Nagasaki v Ryukyu74-93
21/04/24Ryukyu v Nagasaki84-91
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/26AShiga85-89
21/10/26ASaga84-66
19/10/26HAltiri Chiba65-82
17/10/26ATokyo Sunrockers63-95
14/10/26HKCC Egis83-98
12/10/26HKobe85-69
10/10/26HGunma70-59
08/10/26HShinshu74-71
04/10/26AKyoto65-90
03/10/26AKyoto76-84 OT
Ryukyulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/26HGunma93-85
21/10/26HAltiri Chiba94-65
19/10/26HShiga99-67
16/10/26AYokohama85-87
10/10/26HShimane90-69
08/10/26HGunma65-76
04/10/26AShiga72-98
03/10/26AShiga94-87
23/09/26AAlvark85-74
22/09/26AAlvark73-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL36%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%50%20%
Points / game73.572.774.6
Allowed / game79.975.884.8
Point differential-6.4-3.2-10.2
Avg total153.5148.5159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %9%0%20%
Ryukyu
B League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW60%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%80%40%
Points / game85.088.281.8
Allowed / game79.272.486.0
Point differential+5.8+15.8-4.2
Avg total164.2160.6167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins880100%91.875.4+16.4
2 Hiroshima D.109190%92.681.0+11.6
3 NeoPhoenix76186%87.179.1+8.0
4 Kyoto97278%88.878.2+10.6
5 SeaHorses Mikawa86275%90.177.6+12.5
6 Alvark118373%92.583.1+9.4
7 Sendai118373%86.679.6+7.0
8 Tokyo Sunrockers128467%91.079.2+11.8
9 Ryukyu106460%85.079.2+5.8
10 Levanga Hokkaido106460%97.893.9+3.9
11 Gunma106460%78.375.3+3.0
12 Toyama106460%84.486.0-1.6
13 Shiga105550%89.388.1+1.2
14 Utsunomiya Brex105550%80.681.0-0.4
15 Yokohama115645%81.085.7-4.7
16 Shimane94544%80.982.0-1.1
17 Akita104640%78.785.7-7.0
18 Ibaraki Robots114736%81.780.8+0.9
19 Nagasaki114736%73.579.9-6.4
20 Chiba114736%91.598.0-6.5
21 Brave Thunders103730%80.885.3-4.5
22 Altiri Chiba113827%77.886.7-8.9
23 Kobe102820%77.885.4-7.6
24 Shinshu112918%83.789.0-5.3
25 Saga101910%74.392.6-18.3
26 Osaka111109%69.388.8-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki24262823101
Ryukyu1520222784
← all games of the day
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