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Ryukyu vs NeoPhoenix Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 09:05
Projected 85-84
Projected total 169.8
Final 86-96
23-24 25-24 15-29 23-19
Position#12
Record7-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game81.1
Vs
54%
46%
■ RYUK 54%■ NEOP 46%
Pythia win probability
Position#7
Record6-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game80.0
JapanB League· Okinawa Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Ryukyu v NeoPhoenix
01 Nov 2026
RYUK86
NEOP96
31 Oct 2026
RYUK86
NEOP80
19 Apr 2026
RYUK68
NEOP86
18 Apr 2026
RYUK102
NEOP82
06 Oct 2024
RYUK82
NEOP74
05 Oct 2024
RYUK92
NEOP96
06 Apr 2022
RYUK92
NEOP69
06 Feb 2022
RYUK100
NEOP72
05 Feb 2022
RYUK110
NEOP77
31 Mar 2021
RYUK110
NEOP71
27 Oct 2019
RYUK98
NEOP87
26 Oct 2019
RYUK74
NEOP59
19 Mar 2017
RYUK72
NEOP68
18 Mar 2017
RYUK70
NEOP67
10 May 2015
RYUK63
NEOP70
09 May 2015
RYUK69
NEOP71
08 Feb 2015
RYUK82
NEOP63
07 Feb 2015
RYUK67
NEOP74
11 May 2014
RYUK72
NEOP55
10 May 2014
RYUK79
NEOP49
13 Apr 2014
RYUK80
NEOP68
12 Apr 2014
RYUK87
NEOP77
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Ryukyu host NeoPhoenix in the B League. Pythia makes Ryukyu the favourite at 54% and projects 85-84, about 170 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Ryukyu are 7-5 this season (85.0 scored, 81.1 allowed a game), form WWLWW; NeoPhoenix are 6-2 this season (86.2 scored, 80.0 allowed a game), form WWLWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ryukyu winLost
53.8%fair 1.86
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NeoPhoenix winWon
46.2%fair 2.17
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 14:21 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RyukyuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRyukyu
Date
Competition
Shiga
#15
L
72-98
72
98
-26
58avg 77
A04/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
65-76
65
76
-11
60avg 77
H08/10
B League
Shimane
#20
W
90-69
90
69
+21
90avg 77
H10/10
B League
Yokohama
#14
L
85-87
85
87
-2
74avg 77
A16/10
B League
Shiga
#15
W
99-67
99
67
+32
108avg 77
H19/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#21
W
94-65
94
65
+29
96avg 77
H21/10
B League
Gunma
#6
W
93-85
93
85
+8
91avg 77
H23/10
B League
Nagasaki
#18
L
84-101
84
101
-17
80avg 77
A26/10
B League
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#10
W
103-97
103
97
+6
no box
A28/10
EASL
NeoPhoenix
#7
W
86-80
86
80
+6
77avg 77
H31/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-16
14-32
25-29
19-21
15-13
16-18
12-22
22-23
18-15
30-17
27-16
15-21
21-19
18-27
23-14
23-27
28-22
31-17
19-21
21-7
33-21
18-16
24-13
19-15
11-22
33-18
23-25
26-20
15-24
20-26
22-28
27-23
28-21
25-24
23-27
27-25
22-28
19-18
20-18
25-16
169.6Avg total
87.1Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)85.081.1166.1+3.958%
Season at home (6)87.873.7161.5+14.283%
Season away (6)82.288.5170.7-6.333%
Last 10 (10)87.182.5169.6+4.660%
Last 5 (5)92.085.6177.6+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.075.1148.1-2.143%
vs Similar ◀ (8)84.074.5158.5+9.575%
vs Weaker (14)87.578.9166.4+8.671%
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeoPhoenixJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeoPhoenix
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
89-66
89
66
+23
85avg 82
H02/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
93-79
93
79
+14
95avg 82
H03/05
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#13
W
90-82
90
82
+8
81avg 82
A25/09
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#13
W
81-75
81
75
+6
70avg 82
A27/09
B League
Saga
#25
W
97-61
97
61
+36
98avg 82
A03/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
93-89
93
89
+4
92avg 82
A04/10
B League
Shinshu
#17
W
83-81
83
81
+2
74avg 82
A10/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
75-77
75
77
-2
70avg 82
A19/10
B League
Kobe
#23
W
91-89
91
89
+2
81avg 82
A24/10
B League
Ryukyu
#12
L
80-86
80
86
-6
74avg 82
A31/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
24-13
24-16
20-13
17-20
15-22
29-21
32-16
22-21
27-17
25-21
16-23
20-22
23-16
21-16
17-21
27-22
23-14
29-15
18-10
26-19
25-20
20-31
22-19
20-17
21-23
14-16
28-25
26-22
14-30
20-10
15-15
22-21
25-16
27-28
17-24
28-22
18-19
18-20
16-25
165.7Avg total
87.2Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.280.0166.2+6.275%
Season at homeno games
Season away (8)86.280.0166.2+6.275%
Last 10 (10)87.278.5165.7+8.780%
Last 5 (5)84.484.4168.8+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)88.081.5169.5+6.567%
vs Similar ◀ (14)90.086.6176.6+3.471%
vs Weaker (10)91.381.2172.5+10.190%
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 163Actual: Over 163
Over 163
65.4%
Under 163
34.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 168Actual: Over 168
Over 168
53.4%
Under 168
46.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 173Actual: Over 173
Over 173
41.2%
Under 173
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Ryukyu total 80Actual: Ryukyu over 80
Over 80
70.5%
Under 80
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ryukyu total 84Actual: Ryukyu over 84
Over 84
55.4%
Under 84
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ryukyu total 88Actual: Ryukyu under 88
Over 88
39.5%
Under 88
60.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NeoPhoenix total 80Actual: NeoPhoenix over 80
Over 80
66.5%
Under 80
33.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NeoPhoenix total 84Actual: NeoPhoenix over 84
Over 84
50.9%
Under 84
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NeoPhoenix total 88Actual: NeoPhoenix over 88
Over 88
35.4%
Under 88
64.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Ryukyu -3Actual: NeoPhoenix +3
RYUK -3
44.7%
NEOP +3
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
RYUK
No market prices yet.
NEOP
No market prices yet.
Spread Ryukyu 0Actual: NeoPhoenix 0
RYUK 0
53.8%
NEOP 0
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
RYUK
No market prices yet.
NEOP
No market prices yet.
Spread Ryukyu +3Actual: NeoPhoenix -3
RYUK +3
62.9%
NEOP -3
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
RYUK
No market prices yet.
NEOP
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +1.0+1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +1.0+1.0
RyukyuNeoPhoenix
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RyukyuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shiga
#15
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A04/10
B League
Gunma
#6
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H08/10
B League
Shimane
#20
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H10/10
B League
Yokohama
#14
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A16/10
B League
Shiga
#15
W
59-39
59
39
+20
H19/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#21
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H21/10
B League
Gunma
#6
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H23/10
B League
Nagasaki
#18
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A26/10
B League
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#10
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A28/10
EASL
NeoPhoenix
#7
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H31/10
B League
84.3Avg total
42.9Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.881.1+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.737.582.2+7.271%-
Last 30 away (16)40.140.080.1+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)42.941.484.3+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)44.843.688.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.937.074.9+0.957%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)42.238.881.0+3.550%-
vs Weaker (14)43.639.483.0+4.364%-
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeoPhoenixLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H02/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H03/05
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#13
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A25/09
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#13
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A27/09
B League
Saga
#25
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A03/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A04/10
B League
Shinshu
#17
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A10/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A19/10
B League
Kobe
#23
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A24/10
B League
Ryukyu
#12
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A31/10
B League
84.4Avg total
44.4Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.943.388.2+1.663%-
Last 30 at home (9)43.843.887.6+0.056%-
Last 30 away (21)45.443.188.5+2.367%-
Last 10 (10)44.440.084.4+4.480%-
Last 5 (5)45.041.886.8+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.045.386.3-4.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)44.543.387.8+1.257%-
vs Weaker (10)47.942.190.0+5.890%-
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ryukyutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ryukyu: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.1
51.9%
53.6%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.0
33.4%
32.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws22.617.6
77.9%
73.8%17.6
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
NeoPhoenixtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

NeoPhoenix: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.621.3
56.6%
53.6%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.0
34.1%
32.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.314.5
79.2%
73.8%14.5
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ryukyu
WWLWWWLWLL
NeoPhoenix
LWLWWWWWWW
#12
League position
#7
+4.9
Net rating
+10.7
97.5
Offensive rating
98.8
92.6
Defensive rating
88.2
51.1%
Effective FG%
54.3%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
14.1%
Turnover %
14.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.4%
3-point %
34.1%
73.9%
Assist %
63.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence97.5 · 98.8Defence92.6 · 88.2Shooting51.1% · 54.3%3-point %33.4% · 34.1%Ball care14.1% · 14.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Ryukyu   ■ NeoPhoenix
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Ryukyu wins
4
NeoPhoenix wins
DateGameScore
31/10/26Ryukyu v NeoPhoenix86-80
19/04/26Ryukyu v NeoPhoenix68-86
18/04/26Ryukyu v NeoPhoenix102-82
09/11/25NeoPhoenix v Ryukyu83-81
08/11/25NeoPhoenix v Ryukyu69-92
19/05/25NeoPhoenix v Ryukyu69-77
18/05/25NeoPhoenix v Ryukyu98-100 OT
17/05/25NeoPhoenix v Ryukyu87-85
06/10/24Ryukyu v NeoPhoenix82-74
05/10/24Ryukyu v NeoPhoenix92-96 OT
Ryukyulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HNeoPhoenix86-80
28/10/26ATaoyuan Pauian Pilots103-97
26/10/26ANagasaki84-101
23/10/26HGunma93-85
21/10/26HAltiri Chiba94-65
19/10/26HShiga99-67
16/10/26AYokohama85-87
10/10/26HShimane90-69
08/10/26HGunma65-76
04/10/26AShiga72-98
NeoPhoenixlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26ARyukyu80-86
24/10/26AKobe91-89
19/10/26AHiroshima D.75-77
10/10/26AShinshu83-81
04/10/26ASaga93-89
03/10/26ASaga97-61
27/09/26AIbaraki Robots81-75
25/09/26AIbaraki Robots90-82
03/05/26HDiamond Dolphins93-79
02/05/26HDiamond Dolphins89-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ryukyu
B League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW58%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%83%33%
Points / game85.087.882.2
Allowed / game81.173.788.5
Point differential+3.9+14.2-6.3
Avg total166.1161.5170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
NeoPhoenix
B League 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL75%
Home--
AwayWWLWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games8-8
Win %75%-75%
Points / game86.2-86.2
Allowed / game80.0-80.0
Point differential+6.2-+6.2
Avg total166.2-166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%-12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins10100100%92.573.6+18.9
2 Hiroshima D.1312192%91.279.6+11.5
3 SeaHorses Mikawa108280%90.578.2+12.3
4 Alvark1411379%95.483.1+12.3
5 NeoPhoenix86275%86.280.0+6.2
6 Sendai1410471%85.680.0+5.6
7 Gunma139469%81.872.8+8.9
8 Kyoto128467%84.676.8+7.8
9 Tokyo Sunrockers149564%89.479.3+10.1
10 Toyama138562%83.785.7-2.0
11 Ryukyu127558%85.081.1+3.9
12 Levanga Hokkaido127558%95.294.0+1.2
13 Yokohama136746%79.284.5-5.2
14 Ibaraki Robots146843%83.679.6+4.0
15 Nagasaki146843%77.080.3-3.3
16 Shiga125742%85.589.3-3.8
17 Utsunomiya Brex135838%81.285.2-4.0
18 Shinshu145936%83.285.9-2.7
19 Altiri Chiba145936%80.186.2-6.1
20 Shimane124833%81.282.8-1.6
21 Brave Thunders124833%80.484.8-4.3
22 Chiba134931%90.597.0-6.5
23 Akita134931%78.986.7-7.8
24 Kobe1331023%78.986.1-7.2
25 Saga131128%76.394.0-17.7
26 Osaka131128%67.890.2-22.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ryukyu2325152386
NeoPhoenix2424291996
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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