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Dijon vs Cholet Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 27 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record6-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game93.1
Allowed / game81.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.5/10
Below normal
4.9/10
Around normal
Position#9
Record4-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game86.0
FranceLNBRound 28· Palais des Sports Jean-Michel Geoffroy
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Dijon v Cholet
27 Apr 2027
DIJ v CHO
upcoming
11 Oct 2025
DIJ76
CHO64
08 Mar 2025
DIJ67
CHO93
24 Sep 2023
DIJ60
CHO62
08 Apr 2023
DIJ102
CHO82
19 Mar 2022
DIJ80
CHO87
30 Apr 2021
DIJ89
CHO81
18 Jan 2020
DIJ97
CHO68
22 Dec 2018
DIJ76
CHO72
05 Feb 2018
DIJ78
CHO62
23 Dec 2016
DIJ93
CHO53
28 Nov 2015
DIJ68
CHO43
09 Mar 2015
DIJ68
CHO70
15 Mar 2014
DIJ86
CHO70
30 Apr 2013
DIJ75
CHO69
04 May 2012
DIJ67
CHO74
06 Nov 2009
DIJ71
CHO78
29 Nov 2008
DIJ73
CHO78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dijon win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cholet win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DijonFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDijon
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#3
L
69-87
69
87
-18
54avg 92
A02/05
LNB
JL Bourg
#7
W
101-83
101
83
+18
103avg 92
H09/05
LNB
Le Portel
#16
W
126-80
126
80
+46
130avg 92
A16/05
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
W
81-72
81
72
+9
77avg 92
H25/09
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#14
W
89-61
89
61
+28
93avg 92
A03/10
LNB
Limoges
#12
W
108-96
108
96
+12
102avg 92
H09/10
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
92-83
92
83
+9
92avg 92
A18/10
LNB
Saint Quentin
#15
W
91-81
91
81
+10
90avg 92
A23/10
LNB
Nancy
#11
L
94-108
94
108
-14
86avg 92
H30/10
LNB
Cholet
#9
W
97-71
97
71
+26
no box
A07/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
18-21
18-13
11-25
23-22
33-21
25-19
20-21
33-27
29-27
41-9
23-17
25-8
16-25
22-15
18-24
19-14
20-14
31-19
19-14
24-26
27-24
29-27
28-19
30-20
23-22
21-26
18-15
25-21
24-15
22-27
20-18
30-25
17-21
21-27
26-35
23-19
27-14
31-17
16-21
177.0Avg total
94.8Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)93.181.7174.9+11.486%
Season at home (3)94.392.0186.3+2.367%
Season away (4)92.274.0166.2+18.2100%
Last 10 (10)94.882.2177.0+12.680%
Last 5 (5)96.487.8184.2+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)84.993.8178.6-8.912%
vs Similar (8)91.589.5181.0+2.062%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)96.487.1183.5+9.369%
This opponent (Cholet) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCholet
Date
Competition
Pau-Orthez
#14
W
85-79
85
79
+6
73avg 75
H10/10
LNB
Vechta
#20
W
84-66
84
66
+18
79avg 75
H14/10
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
77-86
77
86
-9
76avg 75
H17/10
LNB
Nanterre
#5
L
69-86
69
86
-17
55avg 75
A24/10
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
65-69
65
69
-4
56avg 75
H28/10
Champions League
Strasbourg
#8
L
82-88
82
88
-6
74avg 75
A31/10
LNB
Paris
#1
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
no box
H03/11
LNB
Dijon
#2
L
71-97
71
97
-26
no box
H07/11
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
73-75
73
75
-2
no box
A10/11
Champions League
Saint Quentin
#15
W
81-75
81
75
+6
no box
A14/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
22-16
22-25
19-21
16-21
21-11
22-17
25-17
23-25
27-16
16-27
11-18
17-23
17-21
17-22
18-20
11-14
18-15
20-26
16-14
14-23
19-21
28-32
21-12
28-19
15-22
15-20
21-18
19-23
14-27
17-31
21-16
18-23
17-17
28-21
10-14
21-12
14-20
31-20
15-23
159.2Avg total
78.1Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.086.0167.0-5.044%
Season at home (5)82.489.8172.2-7.440%
Season away (4)79.281.2160.5-2.050%
Last 10 (10)78.181.1159.2-3.040%
Last 5 (5)80.285.0165.2-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)81.988.1170.1-6.233%
vs Similar (10)84.478.5162.9+5.960%
vs Weaker (5)91.872.4164.2+19.4100%
This opponent (Dijon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.4+0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.4+0.4
DijonCholet
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DijonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#3
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A02/05
LNB
JL Bourg
#7
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H09/05
LNB
Le Portel
#16
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A16/05
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H25/09
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#14
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A03/10
LNB
Limoges
#12
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H09/10
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A18/10
LNB
Saint Quentin
#15
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A23/10
LNB
Nancy
#11
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H30/10
LNB
Cholet
#9
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A07/11
LNB
90.2Avg total
48.8Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.945.089.9-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.443.990.3+2.464%-
Last 30 away (16)43.645.989.6-2.338%-
Last 10 (10)48.841.490.2+7.490%-
Last 5 (5)50.041.491.4+8.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.845.986.6-5.125%-
vs Similar (8)46.644.991.5+1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)46.744.691.3+2.169%-
This opponent (Cholet) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pau-Orthez
#14
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H10/10
LNB
Vechta
#20
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H14/10
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H17/10
LNB
Nanterre
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A24/10
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#5
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H28/10
Champions League
Strasbourg
#8
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A31/10
LNB
Paris
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H03/11
LNB
Dijon
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H07/11
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A10/11
Champions League
Saint Quentin
#15
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A14/11
LNB
75.9Avg total
37.3Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.741.784.4+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.341.986.2+2.560%-
Last 30 away (15)41.041.682.6-0.647%-
Last 10 (10)37.338.675.9-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)35.841.477.2-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)42.845.087.8-2.247%-
vs Similar (10)40.739.179.8+1.650%-
vs Weaker (5)46.237.283.4+9.080%-
This opponent (Dijon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dijontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dijon: 95.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.723.9
58.7%
55.6%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.410.1
41.4%
34.3%30.3
🏀 Free throws22.517.3
76.9%
74.2%17.3
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.6
51.1%
55.6%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.2
31.1%
34.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws25.220.2
80.2%
74.2%20.2
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dijon
WLWWWWWWWL
Cholet
WLLWLLLLWW
#2
League position
#9
+13.9
Net rating
+0.0
112.0
Offensive rating
91.7
98.2
Defensive rating
91.7
60.0%
Effective FG%
49.2%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
12.2%
Turnover %
17.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.40
41.4%
3-point %
31.1%
64.4%
Assist %
70.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.0 · 91.7Defence98.2 · 91.7Shooting60.0% · 49.2%3-point %41.4% · 31.1%Ball care12.2% · 17.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Dijon   ■ Cholet
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Dijon wins
6
Cholet wins
DateGameScore
07/11/26Cholet v Dijon71-97
11/04/26Cholet v Dijon111-74
11/10/25Dijon v Cholet76-64
08/03/25Dijon v Cholet67-93
17/12/24Cholet v Dijon95-89
30/04/24Cholet v Dijon79-88
24/09/23Dijon v Cholet60-62
08/04/23Dijon v Cholet102-82
17/12/22Cholet v Dijon107-79
19/03/22Dijon v Cholet80-87
Dijonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26ACholet97-71
30/10/26HNancy94-108
23/10/26ASaint Quentin91-81
18/10/26AGravelines-Dunkerque92-83
09/10/26HLimoges108-96
03/10/26APau-Orthez89-61
25/09/26HStrasbourg81-72
16/05/26ALe Portel126-80
09/05/26HJL Bourg101-83
02/05/26ANanterre69-87
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASaint Quentin81-75
10/11/26ASpartak Subotica73-75
07/11/26HDijon71-97
03/11/26HParis94-90 OT
31/10/26AStrasbourg82-88
28/10/26HSpartak Subotica65-69
24/10/26ANanterre69-86
17/10/26HChalon/Saone77-86
14/10/26HVechta84-66
10/10/26HPau-Orthez85-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dijon
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW86%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%67%100%
Points / game93.194.392.2
Allowed / game81.792.074.0
Point differential+11.4+2.3+18.2
Avg total174.9186.3166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%33%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cholet
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW44%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game81.082.479.2
Allowed / game86.089.881.2
Point differential-5.0-7.4-2.0
Avg total167.0172.2160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris98189%97.285.9+11.3
2 Dijon76186%93.181.7+11.4
3 Le Mans76186%98.687.9+10.7
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne76186%91.184.4+6.7
5 Nanterre75271%86.779.7+7.0
6 Chalon/Saone85362%93.683.8+9.9
7 Roanne85362%81.980.0+1.9
8 Strasbourg95456%82.087.1-5.1
9 Cholet94544%81.086.0-5.0
10 Boulazac83538%80.185.4-5.2
11 Nancy72529%79.383.9-4.6
12 Limoges82625%85.990.0-4.1
13 JL Bourg82625%87.192.1-5.0
14 Pau-Orthez82625%83.690.4-6.8
15 Saint Quentin92722%86.093.2-7.2
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque7070%76.789.6-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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