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Djurgarden vs KFUM Kalmar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 94-80
21-18 24-28 27-15 22-19
Position#9
Record9-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game86.5
Djurgarden 🏆
Sweden
vs
KFUM Kalmar
Sweden
Position#14
Record4-12
FormLLWWL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game82.5
SwedenSuperettan· Brannkyrkahallen
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Djurgarden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
KFUM Kalmar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DjurgardenSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDjurgarden
Date
Competition
Tureberg
#8
W
80-74
80
74
+6
72avg 78
H05/11
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
86-108
86
108
-22
74avg 78
A11/11
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
97-83
97
83
+14
88avg 78
A12/11
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
W
93-91
93
91
+2
no box
H18/11
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
L
73-87
73
87
-14
59avg 78
A22/11
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
L
70-83
70
83
-13
65avg 78
H03/12
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
96-76
96
76
+20
95avg 78
H17/12
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
72-80
72
80
-8
66avg 78
A06/01
Superettan
Malbas
#12
L
86-91
86
91
-5
82avg 78
A07/01
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
96-113
96
113
-17
89avg 78
A13/01
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
13-24
20-11
28-20
21-22
26-31
19-23
20-32
27-22
24-15
22-33
24-13
28-30
18-19
23-22
24-20
16-21
18-26
18-29
21-11
22-23
14-18
14-19
20-23
11-22
26-29
28-9
31-16
16-18
10-28
17-20
29-14
22-22
20-17
19-19
25-33
32-32
16-25
23-24
25-32
173.5Avg total
84.9Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)85.986.5172.4-0.547%
Season at home (9)86.778.8165.4+7.978%
Season away (10)85.393.4178.7-8.120%
Last 10 (10)84.988.6173.5-3.740%
Last 5 (5)84.088.6172.6-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)82.5100.7183.2-18.313%
vs Similar (14)85.083.6168.6+1.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)97.083.0180.0+14.0100%
This opponent (KFUM Kalmar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KFUM KalmarSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKalmar
Date
Competition
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
86-72
86
72
+14
79avg 66
H21/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
L
78-88
78
88
-10
74avg 66
H29/10
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
L
70-79
70
79
-9
57avg 66
H04/11
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
93-96 OT
93
96
-3
no box
H11/11
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
83-78
83
78
+5
86avg 66
A18/11
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
82-87
82
87
-5
70avg 66
H09/12
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
81-103
81
103
-22
68avg 66
A16/12
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
87-71
87
71
+16
70avg 66
A17/12
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
W
108-80
108
80
+28
116avg 66
H06/01
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
L
79-83
79
83
-4
66avg 66
H13/01
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
13-22
23-14
24-20
27-30
22-18
18-21
11-19
17-15
15-31
20-15
18-18
19-12
24-29
15-28
30-19
19-23
17-26
23-15
24-14
23-25
16-21
12-17
31-24
18-23
24-27
20-29
19-24
27-20
19-18
19-15
22-18
33-15
22-21
22-26
31-18
19-19
18-18
19-19
23-27
168.4Avg total
84.7Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)75.682.5158.1-6.925%
Season at home (8)83.986.5170.4-2.625%
Season away (8)67.478.5145.9-11.125%
Last 10 (10)84.783.7168.4+1.040%
Last 5 (5)87.484.8172.2+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)77.391.2168.5-13.917%
vs Similar (4)69.881.0150.8-11.20%
vs Weaker (3)75.368.7144.0+6.767%
This opponent (Djurgarden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +3.2+3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +3.2+3.2
DjurgardenKFUM Kalmar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DjurgardenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tureberg
#8
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H05/11
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A11/11
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A12/11
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H18/11
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A22/11
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H03/12
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H17/12
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A06/01
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A07/01
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A13/01
Superettan
86.2Avg total
39.9Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.246.988.1-5.723%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.744.184.8-3.333%-
Last 30 away (15)41.749.791.4-8.113%-
Last 10 (10)39.946.386.2-6.420%-
Last 5 (5)37.846.884.6-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)42.851.494.2-8.67%-
vs Similar (14)38.842.881.6-4.036%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)51.037.088.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (KFUM Kalmar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KFUM KalmarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H21/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H29/10
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H04/11
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H11/11
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A18/11
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H09/12
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A16/12
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A17/12
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H06/01
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H13/01
Superettan
84.7Avg total
41.8Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.944.982.8-6.923%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.246.586.7-6.329%-
Last 30 away (16)35.943.479.4-7.519%-
Last 10 (10)41.842.984.7-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.841.485.2+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)38.146.684.7-8.417%-
vs Similar (4)36.839.876.5-3.025%-
vs Weaker (3)38.038.776.7-0.767%-
This opponent (Djurgarden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Djurgardentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Djurgarden: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.322.9
50.6%
50.1%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.18.6
30.6%
31.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.112.0
62.8%
66.9%12.0
They take 73.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
KFUM Kalmartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KFUM Kalmar: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.3
53.6%
50.1%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.310.3
39.2%
31.3%30.9
🏀 Free throws16.510.2
61.8%
66.9%10.2
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Djurgarden
LLLWLLWWLW
KFUM Kalmar
LWWLLWLLLW
#9
League position
#14
-5.7
Net rating
-0.4
99.7
Offensive rating
103.6
105.4
Defensive rating
104.0
48.8%
Effective FG%
55.7%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
21.3%
Turnover %
21.4%
36.4%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
30.6%
3-point %
39.2%
55.2%
Assist %
56.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.7 · 103.6Defence105.4 · 104.0Shooting48.8% · 55.7%3-point %30.6% · 39.2%Ball care21.3% · 21.4%Off. rebounds36.4% · 25.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Djurgarden   ■ KFUM Kalmar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Djurgarden wins
0
KFUM Kalmar wins
No previous meetings.
Djurgardenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24AHelsingborg96-113
07/01/24AMalbas86-91
06/01/24AIK Eos72-80
17/12/23HIK Eos96-76
03/12/23HWetterbygden Stars70-83
22/11/23AAIK Basket73-87
18/11/23HHogsbo93-91
12/11/23ARIG Mark97-83
11/11/23AHogsbo86-108
05/11/23HTureberg80-74
KFUM Kalmarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24HEskilstuna79-83
06/01/24HAIK Basket108-80
17/12/23ARIG Mark87-71
16/12/23AHogsbo81-103
09/12/23HTureberg82-87
18/11/23ASloga Uppsala83-78
11/11/23HKFUM Fryshuset93-96 OT
04/11/23HRIG Mark70-79
29/10/23HOckelbo78-88
21/10/23HSloga Uppsala86-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Djurgarden
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL47%
HomeWWWLW78%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %47%78%20%
Points / game85.986.785.3
Allowed / game86.578.893.4
Point differential-0.5+7.9-8.1
Avg total172.4165.4178.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%56%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
KFUM Kalmar
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL25%
HomeLLLWL25%
AwayLLWLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game75.683.967.4
Allowed / game82.586.578.5
Point differential-6.9-2.6-11.1
Avg total158.1170.4145.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%25%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket1815383%85.678.9+6.7
2 Hogsbo1914574%91.278.1+13.1
3 Huddinge1711665%81.375.6+5.7
4 Tureberg1711665%78.174.2+3.9
5 Helsingborg2012860%87.879.2+8.6
6 Wetterbygden Stars2011955%79.575.2+4.2
7 Sloga Uppsala179853%76.980.3-3.4
8 KFUM Fryshuset1910953%86.587.2-0.7
9 Djurgarden1991047%85.986.5-0.5
10 IK Eos178947%79.680.5-0.9
11 Malbas2091145%73.777.1-3.5
12 Ockelbo1881044%71.176.2-5.1
13 Norrort1751229%72.576.4-3.9
14 KFUM Kalmar1641225%75.682.5-6.9
15 RIG Mark1741324%68.275.7-7.5
16 Eskilstuna1741324%74.187.6-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Djurgarden2124272294
KFUM Kalmar1828151980
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