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AIK Basket vs Djurgarden Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 87-73
21-16 26-18 29-18 11-21
Position#2
Record11-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game78.5
AIK Basket 🏆
Sweden
vs
Djurgarden
Sweden
Position#9
Record8-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game85.6
SwedenSuperettan· Vasalundshallen (Solna)
Other2023-24
Meetings · AIK Basket v Djurgarden
13 Mar 2027
AIK v DJUR
upcoming
06 Dec 2025
AIK 68
DJUR73
09 Mar 2025
AIK 61
DJUR86
22 Nov 2023
AIK 87
DJUR73
27 Nov 2018
AIK 73
DJUR99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AIK Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Djurgarden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AIK BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Hogsbo
#1
W
81-76
81
76
+5
75avg 82
A23/09
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
87-68
87
68
+19
88avg 82
H30/09
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
82-74
82
74
+8
79avg 82
H07/10
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
77-64
77
64
+13
67avg 82
H15/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
90-85
90
85
+5
80avg 82
A18/10
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
83-79
83
79
+4
77avg 82
A22/10
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
79-68
79
68
+11
66avg 82
A25/10
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
84-68
84
68
+16
75avg 82
H29/10
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
130-97
130
97
+33
137avg 82
A07/11
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
109-102 OT
109
102
+7
no box
H18/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
23-29
20-11
20-14
18-25
23-10
17-12
29-21
18-17
24-20
28-17
12-20
14-11
27-19
21-14
15-20
21-20
22-18
20-32
27-15
17-24
29-7
11-24
26-24
18-26
21-9
25-15
15-18
16-14
20-10
28-18
20-26
44-24
43-22
23-22
20-29
29-22
21-31
24-23
20-18
168.3Avg total
90.2Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)89.978.5168.4+11.5100%
Season at home (6)87.776.3164.0+11.3100%
Season away (5)92.681.0173.6+11.6100%
Last 10 (10)90.278.1168.3+12.1100%
Last 5 (5)97.082.8179.8+14.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)85.989.8175.7-3.944%
vs Similar ◀ (14)87.280.4167.6+6.886%
vs Weaker (7)86.671.6158.1+15.086%
This opponent (Djurgarden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DjurgardenSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDjurgarden
Date
Competition
Huddinge
#5
W
94-83
94
83
+11
90avg 79
H04/10
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
92-75
92
75
+17
99avg 79
A11/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
79-66
79
66
+13
72avg 79
H14/10
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
93-111
93
111
-18
80avg 79
A18/10
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
93-82
93
82
+11
94avg 79
H21/10
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
86-90
86
90
-4
78avg 79
A28/10
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
80-74
80
74
+6
72avg 79
H05/11
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
86-108
86
108
-22
74avg 79
A11/11
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
97-83
97
83
+14
88avg 79
A12/11
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
W
93-91
93
91
+2
no box
H18/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
27-21
20-25
28-16
14-23
28-23
26-12
24-17
12-11
23-17
21-14
23-24
26-25
23-32
21-24
23-30
15-12
28-22
32-28
18-20
16-26
24-21
25-16
21-27
19-19
13-24
20-11
28-20
21-22
26-31
19-23
20-32
27-22
24-15
22-33
24-13
28-30
18-19
23-22
24-20
175.6Avg total
89.3Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)87.785.6173.3+2.162%
Season at home (7)87.778.6166.3+9.186%
Season away (6)87.793.8181.5-6.233%
Last 10 (10)89.386.3175.6+3.070%
Last 5 (5)88.489.2177.6-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)84.299.0183.1-14.815%
vs Similar ◀ (9)88.183.7171.8+4.467%
vs Weaker (1)97.083.0180.0+14.0100%
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +7.8+7.8Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.4+1.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +7.8+7.8Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.4+1.4
AIK BasketDjurgarden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AIK BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hogsbo
#1
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A23/09
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H30/09
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H07/10
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H15/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A18/10
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A22/10
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A25/10
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H29/10
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
87-46
87
46
+41
A07/11
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H18/11
Superettan
84.6Avg total
46.6Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.439.483.8+5.070%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.839.683.3+4.269%-
Last 30 away (14)45.139.184.3+6.071%-
Last 10 (10)46.638.084.6+8.680%-
Last 5 (5)51.637.889.4+13.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.246.687.8-5.322%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)46.637.584.1+9.186%-
vs Weaker (7)44.133.978.0+10.3100%-
This opponent (Djurgarden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DjurgardenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Huddinge
#5
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H04/10
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A11/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H14/10
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A18/10
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H21/10
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A28/10
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H05/11
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A11/11
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A12/11
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H18/11
Superettan
86.7Avg total
43.1Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.147.790.8-4.627%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.444.887.2-2.541%-
Last 30 away (13)44.151.595.6-7.58%-
Last 10 (10)43.143.686.7-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)43.245.889.0-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)43.751.094.7-7.315%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.941.782.6-0.844%-
vs Weaker (1)51.037.088.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AIK Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.424.7
48.1%
50.1%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.97.4
35.4%
31.3%22.2
🏀 Free throws22.215.3
68.9%
66.9%15.3
They take 72.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Djurgardentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Djurgarden: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.623.3
52.2%
50.1%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.8
32.2%
31.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.613.3
67.9%
66.9%13.3
They take 71.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AIK Basket
WWWWWWWWWW
Djurgarden
WWLWLWLWWW
#2
League position
#9
+14.4
Net rating
+2.2
103.5
Offensive rating
105.0
89.1
Defensive rating
102.9
49.5%
Effective FG%
50.8%
44.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
19.3%
Turnover %
18.4%
35.7%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.4%
3-point %
32.2%
64.8%
Assist %
56.1%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 105.0Defence89.1 · 102.9Shooting49.5% · 50.8%3-point %35.4% · 32.2%Ball care19.3% · 18.4%Off. rebounds35.7% · 32.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)100% · 70%
■ AIK Basket   ■ Djurgarden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AIK Basket wins
3
Djurgarden wins
DateGameScore
22/03/19Djurgarden v AIK Basket105-84
27/11/18AIK Basket v Djurgarden73-99
29/09/18Djurgarden v AIK Basket116-113 OT
AIK Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23HHelsingborg109-102 OT
07/11/23AKFUM Fryshuset130-97
29/10/23HNorrort84-68
25/10/23ATureberg79-68
22/10/23AHelsingborg83-79
18/10/23AHuddinge90-85
15/10/23HKFUM Kalmar77-64
07/10/23HWetterbygden Stars82-74
30/09/23HOckelbo87-68
23/09/23AHogsbo81-76
Djurgardenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23HHogsbo93-91
12/11/23ARIG Mark97-83
11/11/23AHogsbo86-108
05/11/23HTureberg80-74
28/10/23ATureberg86-90
21/10/23HMalbas93-82
18/10/23AKFUM Fryshuset93-111
14/10/23HOckelbo79-66
11/10/23ASloga Uppsala92-75
04/10/23HHuddinge94-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AIK Basket
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.987.792.6
Allowed / game78.576.381.0
Point differential+11.5+11.3+11.6
Avg total168.4164.0173.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %9%17%0%
Djurgarden
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW62%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%86%33%
Points / game87.787.787.7
Allowed / game85.678.693.8
Point differential+2.1+9.1-6.2
Avg total173.3166.3181.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%57%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket11110100%89.978.5+11.5
2 Tureberg86275%77.570.6+6.9
3 Wetterbygden Stars149564%82.674.0+8.6
4 Hogsbo117464%88.680.0+8.6
5 Huddinge138562%80.875.4+5.4
6 Djurgarden138562%87.785.6+2.1
7 Helsingborg127558%88.878.8+9.9
8 KFUM Fryshuset148657%87.990.2-2.4
9 Ockelbo136746%71.374.0-2.7
10 IK Eos115645%79.880.1-0.3
11 Sloga Uppsala114736%76.286.7-10.5
12 RIG Mark124833%70.875.7-4.8
13 Malbas103730%72.176.8-4.7
14 Norrort1331023%71.677.2-5.5
15 Eskilstuna92722%73.187.1-14.0
16 KFUM Kalmar112918%70.381.5-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AIK Basket2126291187
Djurgarden1618182173
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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