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Dorados vs Santos Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 106-71
27-14 30-16 26-19 23-22
Position#7
Record19-13
FormLWLWW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game85.0
Dorados 🏆
Mexico
vs
Position#11
Record14-18
FormLLWWL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game86.8
MexicoLNBP· Gimnasio Manuel Bernardo Aguirre
Other2024-25
Meetings · Dorados v Santos
05 Jul 2025
DORA87
SANT85
04 Jul 2025
DORA90
SANT69
21 Oct 2024
DORA72
SANT83
20 Oct 2024
DORA106
SANT71
09 Aug 2024
DORA82
SANT86
08 Aug 2024
DORA85
SANT82
27 Oct 2023
DORA77
SANT97
26 Oct 2023
DORA96
SANT84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dorados winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Santos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DoradosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Freseros
#12
L
76-98
76
98
-22
A22/09
LNBP
Freseros
#12
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A23/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#15
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H27/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#15
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H28/09
LNBP
Plateros
#9
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A05/10
LNBP
Plateros
#9
L
92-96
92
96
-4
A06/10
LNBP
Panteras
#6
W
82-81
82
81
+1
H11/10
LNBP
Panteras
#6
L
76-81
76
81
-5
H12/10
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#16
W
111-80
111
80
+31
H16/10
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#16
W
101-76
101
76
+25
H17/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
21-34
19-16
15-25
20-24
14-15
23-13
19-16
22-20
25-18
16-15
18-21
17-20
10-16
19-15
24-8
26-25
19-15
19-20
18-19
19-22
22-30
21-17
30-27
23-22
18-22
20-22
21-15
25-19
23-17
15-21
13-24
31-20
25-16
26-17
29-27
27-16
28-20
22-19
24-21
163.9Avg total
84.7Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)86.485.0171.4+1.559%
Season at home (16)88.680.9169.6+7.781%
Season away (16)84.289.0173.2-4.838%
Last 10 (10)84.779.2163.9+5.570%
Last 5 (5)92.482.8175.2+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)84.387.1171.4-2.844%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)86.480.2166.6+6.179%
This opponent (Santos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SantosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuerza Regia
#2
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A21/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#2
L
67-88
67
88
-21
A22/09
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#10
L
83-96
83
96
-13
H27/09
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#10
L
81-92
81
92
-11
H28/09
LNBP
Astros
#3
L
89-93 OT
89
93
-4
A05/10
LNBP
Astros
#3
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A06/10
LNBP
Freseros
#12
L
71-117
71
117
-46
H11/10
LNBP
Freseros
#12
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H12/10
LNBP
Abejas
#14
W
84-83
84
83
+1
A16/10
LNBP
Abejas
#14
L
98-105
98
105
-7
A17/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
18-28
26-25
18-17
13-27
24-13
16-24
14-24
22-24
20-32
14-24
27-16
23-25
18-26
23-25
17-16
22-28
19-27
22-15
19-12
27-21
12-18
17-13
8-22
15-28
20-33
13-34
23-22
28-19
23-22
19-22
14-20
23-18
27-17
19-28
15-20
25-29
22-27
23-22
28-27
171.9Avg total
79.8Scored
92.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)84.086.8170.8-2.844%
Season at home (16)86.187.4173.6-1.350%
Season away (16)81.986.2168.1-4.438%
Last 10 (10)79.892.1171.9-12.320%
Last 5 (5)80.292.4172.6-12.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)80.186.7166.8-6.622%
vs Similar (8)84.092.5176.5-8.550%
vs Weaker (4)94.577.2171.8+17.2100%
This opponent (Dorados) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
DoradosSantos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DoradosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Freseros
#12
L
42-57
42
57
-15
A22/09
LNBP
Freseros
#12
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A23/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#15
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H27/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#15
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H28/09
LNBP
Plateros
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A05/10
LNBP
Plateros
#9
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A06/10
LNBP
Panteras
#6
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H11/10
LNBP
Panteras
#6
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H12/10
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#16
W
56-36
56
36
+20
H16/10
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#16
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H17/10
LNBP
85.0Avg total
43.6Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.041.084.0+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.839.685.4+6.269%-
Last 30 away (14)39.742.782.4-3.029%-
Last 10 (10)43.641.485.0+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)48.240.889.0+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)41.641.683.2+0.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.540.484.9+4.157%-
This opponent (Santos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SantosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuerza Regia
#2
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A21/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A22/09
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#10
L
42-56
42
56
-14
H27/09
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#10
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H28/09
LNBP
Astros
#3
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A05/10
LNBP
Astros
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A06/10
LNBP
Freseros
#12
L
35-61
35
61
-26
H11/10
LNBP
Freseros
#12
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H12/10
LNBP
Abejas
#14
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A16/10
LNBP
Abejas
#14
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A17/10
LNBP
89.8Avg total
41.6Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.045.487.5-3.427%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.547.591.0-4.029%-
Last 30 away (16)40.843.684.4-2.925%-
Last 10 (10)41.648.289.8-6.620%-
Last 5 (5)44.446.490.8-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)39.445.584.9-6.111%-
vs Similar (8)44.946.591.4-1.650%-
vs Weaker (4)48.043.091.0+5.050%-
This opponent (Dorados) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Dorados wins
2
Santos wins
DateGameScore
10/08/24Dorados v Santos82-86
09/08/24Dorados v Santos85-82
28/10/23Dorados v Santos77-97
27/10/23Dorados v Santos96-84
Doradoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/24HLobos Plateados101-76
16/10/24HLobos Plateados111-80
12/10/24HPanteras76-81
11/10/24HPanteras82-81
06/10/24APlateros92-96
05/10/24APlateros82-79
28/09/24HCorrecaminos70-59
27/09/24HCorrecaminos81-74
23/09/24AFreseros76-68
22/09/24AFreseros76-98
Santoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/24AAbejas98-105
16/10/24AAbejas84-83
12/10/24HFreseros84-83
11/10/24HFreseros71-117
06/10/24AAstros64-74
05/10/24AAstros89-93 OT
28/09/24HHalcones Rojos81-92
27/09/24HHalcones Rojos83-96
22/09/24AFuerza Regia67-88
21/09/24AFuerza Regia77-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dorados
LNBP 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW59%
HomeWWLWW81%
AwayLLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %59%81%38%
Points / game86.488.684.2
Allowed / game85.080.989.0
Point differential+1.5+7.7-4.8
Avg total171.4169.6173.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%31%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)57% (7)50% (6)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Santos
LNBP 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL44%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %44%50%38%
Points / game84.086.181.9
Allowed / game86.887.486.2
Point differential-2.8-1.3-4.4
Avg total170.8173.6168.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)100% (3)56% (9)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fuerza Regia3223972%85.078.0+7.0
2 Astros3223972%86.081.8+4.2
3 Diablos Rojos32211166%91.784.2+7.5
4 Halcones de Xalapa32211166%87.482.3+5.0
5 Panteras33211264%87.584.2+3.2
6 Soles33201361%85.182.4+2.6
7 Dorados32191359%86.485.0+1.5
8 El Calor de Cancun33181555%82.779.0+3.7
9 Plateros33181555%84.682.8+1.8
10 Halcones Rojos33161748%84.286.8-2.6
11 Santos32141844%84.086.8-2.8
12 Freseros33122136%87.889.8-2.0
13 Mineros32102231%77.585.7-8.2
14 Abejas3282425%86.391.1-4.8
15 Correcaminos3282425%79.989.2-9.2
16 Lobos Plateados3272522%83.890.8-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dorados27302623106
Santos1416192271
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