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Drake vs Chicago State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 19 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 20:00
Postponed
Position#64
Record7-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game67.9
vs
Position#345
Record4-7
FormLWLLW
Points / game61.7
Allowed / game71.2
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Drake v Chicago State
22 Dec 2021
DRAK87
CHIC50
19 Dec 2021
DRAK v CHIC
upcoming
20 Dec 2020
DRAK111
CHIC67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Drake win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Chicago State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DrakeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota Coyotes
#121
W
99-50
99
50
+49
H14/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#92
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H20/11
NCAA
Belmont
#24
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H26/11
NCAA
Alabama
#147
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H26/11
NCAA
North Texas
#15
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H28/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H03/12
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#304
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H05/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#355
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A09/12
NCAA
Clemson
#190
L
80-90 OT
80
90
-10
A11/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#286
W
70-65 OT
70
65
+5
H17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-24
59-26
35-36
38-34
33-40
36-34
29-33
42-47
20-24
34-33
40-32
33-34
37-29
37-35
27-37
51-33
32-39
42-35
27-27
33-33
142.7Avg total
74.1Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.367.9143.2+7.464%
Season at home (9)74.465.2139.7+9.267%
Season away (2)79.080.0159.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)74.168.6142.7+5.560%
Last 5 (5)75.071.0146.0+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)64.065.6129.6-1.629%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)74.668.3142.9+6.482%
This opponent (Chicago State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
67-56
67
56
+11
H13/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
56-92
56
92
-36
A17/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#124
L
50-81
50
81
-31
A20/11
NCAA
Pacific
#330
L
58-74
58
74
-16
A23/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
L
57-75
57
75
-18
A28/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#224
L
64-78
64
78
-14
A02/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H04/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
L
71-81
71
81
-10
H11/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
L
59-70
59
70
-11
H13/12
NCAA
IUPUI
#363
W
61-55
61
55
+6
A17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
27-23
40-33
22-46
34-46
22-38
28-43
12-33
46-41
15-28
42-47
29-42
35-36
25-20
34-29
32-36
39-45
27-23
32-47
27-17
34-38
131.3Avg total
60.2Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)61.771.2132.9-9.536%
Season at home (5)66.665.6132.2+1.060%
Season away (6)57.775.8133.5-18.217%
Last 10 (10)60.271.1131.3-10.930%
Last 5 (5)62.866.6129.4-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)57.478.8136.2-21.410%
vs Similar (1)61.055.0116.0+6.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: -6.8-6.82nd half2nd half: +6.1+6.12nd half: -4.1-4.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: -6.8-6.82nd half2nd half: +6.1+6.12nd half: -4.1-4.1
DrakeChicago State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DrakeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota Coyotes
#121
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H14/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#92
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H20/11
NCAA
Belmont
#24
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H26/11
NCAA
Alabama
#147
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H26/11
NCAA
North Texas
#15
L
20-24
20
24
-4
H28/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H03/12
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#304
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H05/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#355
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A09/12
NCAA
Clemson
#190
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A11/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#286
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H17/12
NCAA
64.1Avg total
32.0Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.831.965.7+1.847%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.630.065.6+5.661%-
Last 30 away (12)31.034.865.8-3.825%-
Last 10 (10)32.032.164.1-0.130%-
Last 5 (5)32.632.865.4-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)31.031.462.4-0.429%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)34.032.166.2+1.950%-
This opponent (Chicago State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
27-23
27
23
+4
H13/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
22-46
22
46
-24
A17/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#124
L
22-38
22
38
-16
A20/11
NCAA
Pacific
#330
L
12-33
12
33
-21
A23/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
L
15-28
15
28
-13
A28/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#224
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A02/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
W
25-20
25
20
+5
H04/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H11/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
W
27-23
27
23
+4
H13/12
NCAA
IUPUI
#363
W
27-17
27
17
+10
A17/12
NCAA
54.4Avg total
23.8Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)24.835.660.4-10.820%-
Last 30 at home (12)26.433.259.6-6.742%-
Last 30 away (18)23.737.260.9-13.66%-
Last 10 (10)23.830.654.4-6.840%-
Last 5 (5)28.027.655.6+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)24.736.260.9-11.617%-
vs Similar (1)27.017.044.0+10.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Drake wins
0
Chicago State wins
DateGameScore
20/12/20Drake v Chicago State111-67
Drakelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/21HJackson State70-65 OT
11/12/21AClemson80-90 OT
09/12/21ANebraska O.78-70
05/12/21HSt. Thomas (Minn.)74-64
03/12/21HValparaiso73-66
28/11/21HNorth Texas54-57
26/11/21HAlabama71-80
26/11/21HBelmont69-74
20/11/21HRichmond Spiders73-70
14/11/21HSouth Dakota Coyotes99-50
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/21AIUPUI61-55
13/12/21HNorthern Illinois59-70
11/12/21HIllinois State71-81
04/12/21HTennessee State59-49
02/12/21ALoyola Maryland64-78
28/11/21ABowling Green57-75
23/11/21APacific58-74
20/11/21AUC Santa Barbara50-81
17/11/21ALoyola Chicago56-92
13/11/21HSiu Edwardsville67-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Drake
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW64%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1192
Win %64%67%50%
Points / game75.374.479.0
Allowed / game67.965.280.0
Point differential+7.4+9.2-1.0
Avg total143.2139.7159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %18%11%50%
Chicago State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW36%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%60%17%
Points / game61.766.657.7
Allowed / game71.265.675.8
Point differential-9.5+1.0-18.2
Avg total132.9132.2133.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State1110191%86.065.1+20.9
2 Belmont1310377%80.571.8+8.8
3 Drake117464%75.367.9+7.4
4 Southern Illinois117464%65.458.5+6.9
5 Illinois State127558%80.377.9+2.4
6 Valparaiso115645%73.567.5+6.0
7 Bradley115645%70.566.8+3.7
8 Indiana State115645%72.872.2+0.6
9 Northern Iowa94544%71.367.9+3.4
10 Illinois (Chi.)114736%67.769.1-1.4
11 Evansville124833%61.865.8-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wagner64267%72.359.5+12.8
2 St. Francis (PA)104640%75.677.5-1.9
3 Chicago State114736%61.771.2-9.5
4 LIU Sharks103730%70.873.7-2.9
5 Central Connecticut State123925%62.375.4-13.1
6 Fairleigh Dickinson100100%59.881.2-21.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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