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Drake vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 73-66
40-32 33-34
Position#64
Record3-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game65.3
Drake 🏆
USA
vs
Position#242
Record3-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game69.1
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Drake v Valparaiso
12 Jan 2027
DRAK v VALP
upcoming
09 Feb 2026
DRAK76
VALP81
22 Jan 2025
DRAK81
VALP71
31 Jan 2024
DRAK81
VALP70
29 Dec 2022
DRAK68
VALP63
02 Dec 2021
DRAK73
VALP66
19 Feb 2020
DRAK77
VALP75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Drake winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DrakeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#50
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H06/03
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A07/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#39
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A18/03
NCAA
USC
#27
L
56-72
56
72
-16
A20/03
NCAA
Coe
#439
W
87-61
87
61
+26
H10/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#121
W
99-50
99
50
+49
H14/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#92
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H20/11
NCAA
Belmont
#24
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H26/11
NCAA
Alabama
#147
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H26/11
NCAA
North Texas
#15
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H28/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-37
31-32
31-36
34-39
20-21
33-31
37-40
19-32
47-31
40-30
40-24
59-26
35-36
38-34
33-40
36-34
29-33
42-47
20-24
34-33
135.8Avg total
69.8Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.565.3140.8+10.250%
Season at home (6)75.565.3140.8+10.250%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)69.866.0135.8+3.850%
Last 5 (5)73.266.2139.4+7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)64.065.6129.6-1.629%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)77.066.0143.0+10.986%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#122
L
43-58
43
58
-15
H27/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
W
70-58
70
58
+12
H27/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#50
L
55-66
55
66
-11
A06/03
NCAA
Toledo
#21
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H10/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#225
L
70-74 OT
70
74
-4
H13/11
NCAA
Stanford
#202
L
60-74
60
74
-14
A18/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#73
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A22/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H24/11
NCAA
Tulane
#213
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A24/11
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#533
W
106-69
106
69
+37
H28/11
NCAA
1H
2H
16-38
27-20
39-18
31-40
13-31
42-35
33-35
28-34
29-34
30-25
23-39
37-35
28-32
50-38
30-26
31-38
30-33
38-31
47-26
59-43
133.8Avg total
67.2Scored
66.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)72.069.1141.1+2.943%
Season at home (4)74.569.0143.5+5.525%
Season away (3)68.769.3138.0-0.767%
Last 10 (10)67.266.6133.8+0.640%
Last 5 (5)74.668.2142.8+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)64.171.2135.3-7.223%
vs Similar (15)63.367.1130.4-3.740%
vs Weaker (2)97.570.0167.5+27.5100%
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: -2.4-2.42nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: +3.4+3.4
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: -2.4-2.42nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: +3.4+3.4
DrakeValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DrakeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#50
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H06/03
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A07/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#39
L
20-21
20
21
-1
A18/03
NCAA
USC
#27
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A20/03
NCAA
Coe
#439
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H10/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#121
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H14/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#92
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H20/11
NCAA
Belmont
#24
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H26/11
NCAA
Alabama
#147
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H26/11
NCAA
North Texas
#15
L
20-24
20
24
-4
H28/11
NCAA
65.4Avg total
33.2Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.331.365.6+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.629.966.6+6.767%-
Last 30 away (12)30.833.464.2-2.733%-
Last 10 (10)33.232.265.4+1.030%-
Last 5 (5)31.431.462.8+0.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)31.031.462.4-0.429%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)34.731.366.0+3.459%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#122
L
16-38
16
38
-22
H27/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
W
39-18
39
18
+21
H27/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#50
L
13-31
13
31
-18
A06/03
NCAA
Toledo
#21
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H10/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#225
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H13/11
NCAA
Stanford
#202
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A18/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#73
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A22/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H24/11
NCAA
Tulane
#213
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A24/11
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#533
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H28/11
NCAA
60.0Avg total
28.8Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.032.363.3-1.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.332.264.5+0.140%-
Last 30 away (15)29.632.562.1-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)28.831.260.0-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)31.631.262.8+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)29.132.361.4-3.231%-
vs Similar (15)30.632.863.4-2.233%-
vs Weaker (2)46.029.075.0+17.0100%-
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Drake wins
2
Valparaiso wins
DateGameScore
07/02/21Valparaiso v Drake74-57
06/02/21Valparaiso v Drake77-80
20/02/20Drake v Valparaiso77-75 OT
11/01/20Valparaiso v Drake66-61
Drakelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/21HNorth Texas54-57
26/11/21HAlabama71-80
26/11/21HBelmont69-74
20/11/21HRichmond Spiders73-70
14/11/21HSouth Dakota Coyotes99-50
10/11/21HCoe87-61
20/03/21AUSC56-72
18/03/21AWichita State53-52
07/03/21ALoyola Chicago65-75
06/03/21HMissouri State71-69
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/21HTrinity (IL)106-69
24/11/21ATulane68-64
24/11/21HCoastal Carolina61-64
22/11/21AJacksonville State78-70
18/11/21AStanford60-74
13/11/21HIllinois (Chi.)70-74 OT
10/11/21HToledo61-69
06/03/21AMissouri State55-66
27/02/21HIndiana State70-58
27/02/21HIndiana State43-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Drake
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeWWLLL50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games66-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game75.575.5-
Allowed / game65.365.3-
Point differential+10.2+10.2-
Avg total140.8140.8-
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Valparaiso
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW43%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%25%67%
Points / game72.074.568.7
Allowed / game69.169.069.3
Point differential+2.9+5.5-0.7
Avg total141.1143.5138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State76186%82.061.9+20.1
2 Belmont96367%78.671.9+6.7
3 Southern Illinois74357%61.960.4+1.4
4 Drake63350%75.565.3+10.2
5 Illinois State84450%82.884.5-1.8
6 Valparaiso73443%72.069.1+2.9
7 Bradley83538%69.267.5+1.8
8 Indiana State83538%74.475.8-1.4
9 Northern Iowa62433%74.872.5+2.3
10 Evansville103730%60.966.3-5.4
11 Illinois (Chi.)72529%70.171.0-0.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Drake403373
Valparaiso323466
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