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Dresden vs Giessen Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 85-88
31-23 23-23 14-23 17-19
Position#9
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game80.3
vs
Giessen 🏆
Germany
Position#2
Record2-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game75.3
GermanyPro ARound 4
Other2023-24
Meetings · Dresden v Giessen
17 Jan 2025
DRES78
GIE86
21 Oct 2023
DRES85
GIE88
07 May 2023
DRES72
GIE89
22 Oct 2022
DRES90
GIE87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dresden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Giessen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DresdenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDresden
Date
Competition
Tubingen
#2
L
69-98
69
98
-29
no box
A19/04
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#16
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
no box
H23/04
Pro A
Munster
#14
L
81-106
81
106
-25
no box
A29/04
Pro A
Giessen
#4
L
94-96
94
96
-2
no box
A05/05
Pro A
Giessen
#4
L
72-89
72
89
-17
no box
H07/05
Pro A
Giessen
#4
L
76-89
76
89
-13
no box
A10/05
Pro A
Hamburg
#12
L
85-88
85
88
-3
79avg 79
H24/09
German Cup
Artland
#14
W
84-68
84
68
+16
no box
A30/09
Pro A
Bochum
#17
W
106-82
106
82
+24
no box
H08/10
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#5
L
86-91
86
91
-5
no box
A14/10
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
15-29
19-18
16-26
16-20
22-17
20-23
23-21
10-24
24-32
25-30
22-20
34-31
23-25
15-21
22-19
20-20
22-26
21-21
9-22
20-27
12-19
21-23
23-20
20-24
19-29
27-13
19-22
22-17
33-19
18-12
11-20
22-11
24-25
29-22
31-24
27-16
26-26
22-18
11-31
173.9Avg total
84.5Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)92.080.3172.3+11.767%
Season at home (1)106.082.0188.0+24.0100%
Season away (2)85.079.5164.5+5.550%
Last 10 (10)84.589.4173.9-4.930%
Last 5 (5)87.483.6171.0+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.290.2164.5-16.00%
vs Similar ◀ (21)86.286.7172.9-0.452%
vs Weaker (4)94.283.0177.2+11.275%
This opponent (Giessen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GiessenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGiessen
Date
Competition
Dresden
#9
W
89-76
89
76
+13
no box
H10/05
Pro A
Vechta
#1
L
82-99
82
99
-17
no box
A19/05
Pro A
Vechta
#1
W
79-76
79
76
+3
no box
H21/05
Pro A
Vechta
#1
L
66-88
66
88
-22
no box
A24/05
Pro A
Vechta
#1
L
87-112
87
112
-25
no box
H26/05
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
79-73
79
73
+6
67avg 57
H23/09
German Cup
PS Karlsruhe
#5
W
78-77
78
77
+1
no box
A30/09
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#4
L
85-86
85
86
-1
no box
A07/10
Pro A
Chemnitz
#7
L
64-89
64
89
-25
47avg 57
A14/10
German Cup
Koblenz
#16
W
74-63
74
63
+11
no box
H18/10
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
19-12
23-21
20-23
14-27
23-26
24-17
21-29
14-13
26-25
21-21
18-17
10-27
13-15
20-31
23-15
21-29
19-27
18-27
29-29
26-17
16-18
20-14
17-24
21-19
18-20
24-17
15-21
12-26
23-20
26-16
24-24
17-29
13-20
20-18
14-22
15-19
21-20
18-14
20-10
162.2Avg total
78.3Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.075.3154.3+3.767%
Season at home (1)74.063.0137.0+11.0100%
Season away (2)81.581.5163.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)78.383.9162.2-5.650%
Last 5 (5)76.077.6153.6-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.790.3170.0-10.643%
vs Similar ◀ (19)86.284.8171.0+1.358%
vs Weaker (3)78.768.7147.3+10.0100%
This opponent (Dresden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
DresdenGiessen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DresdenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tubingen
#2
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A19/04
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#16
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H23/04
Pro A
Munster
#14
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A29/04
Pro A
Giessen
#4
W
57-56
57
56
+1
A05/05
Pro A
Giessen
#4
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H07/05
Pro A
Giessen
#4
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A10/05
Pro A
Hamburg
#12
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H24/09
German Cup
Artland
#14
W
55-36
55
36
+19
A30/09
Pro A
Bochum
#17
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H08/10
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#5
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A14/10
Pro A
89.2Avg total
43.0Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.443.485.9-1.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.040.381.3+0.753%-
Last 30 away (15)43.946.690.5-2.753%-
Last 10 (10)43.046.289.2-3.250%-
Last 5 (5)45.042.687.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.044.282.2-6.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)42.643.586.1-0.957%-
vs Weaker (4)46.839.886.5+7.075%-
This opponent (Giessen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GiessenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dresden
#9
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H10/05
Pro A
Vechta
#1
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A19/05
Pro A
Vechta
#1
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H21/05
Pro A
Vechta
#1
L
23-42
23
42
-19
A24/05
Pro A
Vechta
#1
L
40-56
40
56
-16
H26/05
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H23/09
German Cup
PS Karlsruhe
#5
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A30/09
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#4
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A07/10
Pro A
Chemnitz
#7
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A14/10
German Cup
Koblenz
#16
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H18/10
Pro A
79.7Avg total
36.8Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.242.985.1-0.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.042.586.5+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)40.543.383.8-2.947%-
Last 10 (10)36.842.979.7-6.130%-
Last 5 (5)36.441.678.0-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.746.683.3-9.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)44.143.187.1+1.053%-
vs Weaker (3)43.736.079.7+7.767%-
This opponent (Dresden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dresdentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dresden: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 9% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.019.0
59.4%
-38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.013.0
36.1%
-39.0
🏀 Free throws9.08.0
88.9%
-8.0
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Giessentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Giessen: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.919.7
49.4%
-39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.8
32.5%
-23.4
🏀 Free throws17.912.5
69.8%
-12.5
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/10 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dresden
LWWLLLLLWL
Giessen
WLLWWLLWLW
#9
League position
#2
-1.2
Net rating
-15.9
102.7
Offensive rating
98.7
103.9
Defensive rating
114.6
56.6%
Effective FG%
49.1%
61.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
19.1%
Turnover %
21.7%
11.8%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.13
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.1%
3-point %
32.5%
75.0%
Assist %
53.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Dresden   ■ Giessen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Dresden wins
4
Giessen wins
DateGameScore
10/05/23Giessen v Dresden89-76
07/05/23Dresden v Giessen72-89
05/05/23Giessen v Dresden96-94
04/02/23Giessen v Dresden90-76
22/10/22Dresden v Giessen90-87
Dresdenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23APS Karlsruhe86-91
08/10/23HBochum106-82
30/09/23AArtland84-68
24/09/23HHamburg85-88
10/05/23AGiessen76-89
07/05/23HGiessen72-89
05/05/23AGiessen94-96
29/04/23AMunster81-106
23/04/23HDusseldorf92-87 OT
19/04/23ATubingen69-98
Giessenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/23HKoblenz74-63
14/10/23AChemnitz64-89
07/10/23APhoenix Hagen85-86
30/09/23APS Karlsruhe78-77
23/09/23HCrailsheim Merlins79-73
26/05/23HVechta87-112
24/05/23AVechta66-88
21/05/23HVechta79-76
19/05/23AVechta82-99
10/05/23HDresden89-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dresden
Pro A 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game92.0106.085.0
Allowed / game80.382.079.5
Point differential+11.7+24.0+5.5
Avg total172.3188.0164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Giessen
Pro A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game79.074.081.5
Allowed / game75.363.081.5
Point differential+3.7+11.0+0.0
Avg total154.3137.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Frankfurt330100%84.062.0+22.0
2 Jena330100%89.375.0+14.3
3 Trier330100%85.372.3+13.0
4 Kirchheim330100%89.080.0+9.0
5 Nurnberger32167%99.385.7+13.7
6 Dresden32167%92.080.3+11.7
7 Giessen32167%79.075.3+3.7
8 Phoenix Hagen32167%86.388.3-2.0
9 Bayreuth31233%83.078.0+5.0
10 PS Karlsruhe31233%83.785.0-1.3
11 Dusseldorf31233%85.387.7-2.3
12 Munster31233%78.784.3-5.7
13 Vechta 231233%76.083.3-7.3
14 Koblenz31233%76.785.7-9.0
15 Paderborn31233%68.387.3-19.0
16 Bremerhaven3030%78.390.3-12.0
17 Bochum3030%79.394.7-15.3
18 Artland3030%76.094.3-18.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dresden3123141785
Giessen2323231988
← all games of the day
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