Giessen vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Sep 2023

Tip-off: 16:30

Final 79-73

26-17 16-18 20-14 17-24

Position#13

Record-

FormWLWLL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Giessen 🏆

Crailsheim Merlins

Position#17

Record-

FormLLWWL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

German Cup· Sporthalle Giessen-Ost (Giessen)

Other2023-24

Meetings · Giessen v Crailsheim Merlins

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Giessen winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Crailsheim Merlins winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Giessen

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormGiessen

Date

Competition

Bremerhaven

89-88

no box

H15/04

Pro A

Kirchheim

#10

82-97

-15

no box

A22/04

Pro A

Vechta

86-77

no box

H29/04

Pro A

Dresden

96-94

no box

H05/05

Pro A

Dresden

89-72

+17

no box

A07/05

Pro A

Dresden

89-76

+13

no box

H10/05

Pro A

Vechta

82-99

-17

no box

A19/05

Pro A

Vechta

79-76

no box

H21/05

Pro A

Vechta

66-88

-22

no box

A24/05

Pro A

Vechta

87-112

112

-25

no box

H26/05

Pro A

21-26

27-21

19-25

22-16

21-28

23-18

19-28

19-23

27-21

14-22

22-17

23-17

31-34

25-23

21-15

19-22

20-20

26-22

21-21

22-9

27-20

19-12

23-21

20-23

14-27

23-26

24-17

21-29

14-13

26-25

21-21

18-17

10-27

13-15

20-31

23-15

21-29

19-27

18-27

29-29

172.4Avg total

84.5Scored

87.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	84.5	87.9	172.4	-3.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	90.2	170.8	-9.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	82.0	91.3	173.3	-9.3	43%
vs Similar (20)	88.7	86.7	175.4	+2.0	60%
vs Weaker (3)	86.3	78.7	165.0	+7.7	100%

Crailsheim Merlins Germany

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMerlins

Date

Competition

Heidelberg

#10

82-93

-11

72avg 78

A26/03

BBL

Basketball Braunschweig

#13

93-88

91avg 78

H01/04

BBL

Bayreuth

#18

78-73

75avg 78

H05/04

BBL

Ludwigsburg

77-82

-5

74avg 78

A08/04

BBL

Wurzburg

#11

85-86

-1

79avg 78

H15/04

BBL

Bayern

69-78

-9

53avg 78

H23/04

BBL

Hamburg

#15

66-77

-11

58avg 78

A25/04

BBL

Bamberg

101-92

101

99avg 78

H29/04

BBL

Frankfurt

#17

84-83

79avg 78

H05/05

BBL

Syntainics MBC

#16

69-79

-10

64avg 78

A07/05

BBL

30-22

16-23

21-24

15-24

30-21

21-23

23-27

19-17

14-20

22-24

14-17

28-12

18-12

19-29

20-21

20-20

24-20

25-16

18-31

18-19

12-13

19-15

24-22

14-28

18-17

12-21

16-15

20-24

26-18

29-18

26-28

20-28

17-23

27-24

18-20

22-16

20-17

19-17

12-28

18-17

163.5Avg total

80.4Scored

83.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	80.4	83.1	163.5	-2.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	77.8	81.8	159.6	-4.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	84.0	91.1	175.1	-7.1	18%
vs Similar (18)	85.2	87.2	172.4	-2.1	39%
vs Weaker (1)	78.0	73.0	151.0	+5.0	100%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

GiessenCrailsheim Merlins

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	22.4	44.5	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.4	22.1	45.5	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	22.8	43.4	-2.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	24.5	45.1	-3.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	23.2	40.4	-6.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.7	22.7	41.4	-4.0	43%	-
vs Similar (20)	23.4	22.8	46.1	+0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.7	19.3	41.0	+2.3	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.2	40.4	-0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	20.1	39.1	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	20.3	41.8	+1.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	18.3	39.2	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	17.6	36.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.1	19.5	38.6	-0.5	45%	-
vs Similar (18)	21.2	20.7	41.9	+0.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (1)	14.0	20.0	34.0	-6.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	21.4	42.6	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	22.0	43.9	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	20.8	41.2	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	21.1	42.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.6	24.0	42.6	-5.4	14%	-
vs Similar (20)	21.9	21.0	42.9	+0.9	55%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.7	18.3	41.0	+4.3	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	23.0	44.5	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.4	22.3	45.7	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	23.7	43.3	-4.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	21.0	41.9	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.0	40.2	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.9	24.8	44.7	-4.9	27%	-
vs Similar (18)	22.4	21.8	44.3	+0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	24.0	46.0	-2.0	0%	-

GiessenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bremerhaven

48-47

H15/04

Pro A

Kirchheim

#10

44-46

-2

A22/04

Pro A

Vechta

41-43

-2

H29/04

Pro A

Dresden

56-57

-1

H05/05

Pro A

Dresden

46-42

A07/05

Pro A

Dresden

46-32

+14

H10/05

Pro A

Vechta

37-53

-16

A19/05

Pro A

Vechta

40-38

H21/05

Pro A

Vechta

23-42

-19

A24/05

Pro A

Vechta

40-56

-16

H26/05

Pro A

87.7Avg total

42.1Scored

45.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.3	43.8	87.2	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.3	44.1	89.4	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.1	43.6	84.6	-2.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.1	45.6	87.7	-3.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	44.2	81.4	-7.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	37.3	46.7	84.0	-9.4	29%	-
vs Similar (20)	45.3	43.8	89.0	+1.5	55%	-
vs Weaker (3)	44.3	37.7	82.0	+6.7	67%	-

Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Heidelberg

#10

46-45

A26/03

BBL

Basketball Braunschweig

#13

51-44

H01/04

BBL

Bayreuth

#18

36-44

-8

H05/04

BBL

Ludwigsburg

37-41

-4

A08/04

BBL

Wurzburg

#11

49-36

+13

H15/04

BBL

Bayern

31-28

H23/04

BBL

Hamburg

#15

30-38

-8

A25/04

BBL

Bamberg

55-36

+19

H29/04

BBL

Frankfurt

#17

44-47

-3

H05/05

BBL

Syntainics MBC

#16

39-34

A07/05

BBL

81.1Avg total

41.8Scored

39.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	43.2	84.9	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.3	42.4	84.7	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.1	44.1	85.1	-3.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	39.3	81.1	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	36.6	76.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	39.0	44.4	83.4	-5.4	27%	-
vs Similar (18)	43.7	42.5	86.2	+1.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (1)	36.0	44.0	80.0	-8.0	0%	-

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.1	42.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	21.5	43.9	+0.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	20.6	39.8	-1.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	22.3	43.1	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	23.4	44.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	22.7	21.9	44.6	+0.9	57%	-
vs Similar (20)	20.9	20.8	41.6	+0.1	35%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.0	21.3	38.3	-4.3	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	22.1	42.4	-1.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	22.8	43.9	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	21.3	40.9	-1.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	23.3	42.5	-4.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	22.6	41.8	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	20.7	23.1	43.8	-2.4	18%	-
vs Similar (18)	20.4	21.7	42.2	-1.3	39%	-
vs Weaker (1)	14.0	17.0	31.0	-3.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	21.5	43.4	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.7	23.4	46.1	-0.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	19.2	40.4	+1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	20.0	41.6	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	22.6	44.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	22.0	22.7	44.7	-0.7	43%	-
vs Similar (20)	22.1	21.6	43.7	+0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.3	17.3	38.7	+4.0	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	22.9	45.3	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.5	21.4	44.9	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	24.3	45.8	-2.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	20.5	39.9	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	22.6	41.4	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	24.3	23.6	47.9	+0.6	64%	-
vs Similar (18)	21.1	23.0	44.1	-1.9	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	28.0	12.0	40.0	+16.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.9	42.5	85.4	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.1	44.9	90.0	+0.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.4	39.8	80.1	+0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	42.3	84.7	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	46.0	89.4	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	44.7	44.6	89.3	+0.1	43%	-
vs Similar (20)	42.9	42.4	85.3	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	38.3	38.7	77.0	-0.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	44.9	87.7	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.5	44.2	88.7	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.1	45.7	86.7	-4.6	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	43.8	82.4	-5.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	45.2	83.2	-7.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	45.0	46.7	91.7	-1.7	27%	-
vs Similar (18)	41.5	44.7	86.2	-3.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	42.0	29.0	71.0	+13.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Giessentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Giessen: 77.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.9	20.6	53.0%	53.5%	41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.3	8.2	33.7%	32.3%	24.6
🏀 Free throws	17.1	11.8	69.0%	74.1%	11.8

They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 79.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀41%

🏀🏀🏀39%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.3	16.2	51.8%	53.5%	32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.1	10.3	36.7%	32.3%	30.9
🏀 Free throws	20.9	16.3	78.0%	74.1%	16.3

They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.1	24.6	58.4%	53.5%	49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	9.9	38.2%	32.3%	29.7
🏀 Free throws	15.3	11.3	73.9%	74.1%	11.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.5	18.9	51.8%	53.5%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.8	9.5	33.0%	32.3%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	20.6	15.4	74.8%	74.1%	15.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.6	20.9	51.5%	53.5%	41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.5	7.4	33.1%	32.3%	22.3
🏀 Free throws	21.4	14.9	69.5%	74.1%	14.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.4	18.4	55.0%	53.5%	36.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.2	11.0	37.6%	32.3%	32.9
🏀 Free throws	18.8	14.7	78.5%	74.1%	14.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.2	22.7	56.5%	53.5%	45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.8	9.3	37.3%	32.3%	27.8
🏀 Free throws	19.0	13.7	72.2%	74.1%	13.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.0	19.2	54.9%	53.5%	38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.0	10.5	36.1%	32.3%	31.4
🏀 Free throws	23.5	17.5	74.3%	74.1%	17.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Giessen

LLWLWWWWLW

Crailsheim Merlins

LWWLLLLWWL

#13

League position

#17

-16.8

Net rating

-2.9

103.5

Offensive rating

109.3

120.3

Defensive rating

112.2

52.1%

Effective FG%

53.3%

58.0%

Opp. effective FG%

50.8%

20.6%

Turnover %

18.5%

29.9%

Off. rebound %

26.5%

0.27

Free-throw rate

0.35

33.7%

3-point %

36.7%

54.5%

Assist %

61.1%

60%

Form (last 10/10)

40%

Profile

■ Giessen ■ Crailsheim Merlins

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Giessen wins

Crailsheim Merlins wins

Date	Game	Score
15/02/22	Crailsheim Merlins v Giessen	87-81
06/11/21	Giessen v Crailsheim Merlins	70-104
27/03/21	Crailsheim Merlins v Giessen	102-77
06/02/21	Giessen v Crailsheim Merlins	82-101
24/09/19	Giessen v Crailsheim Merlins	92-108
30/03/19	Giessen v Crailsheim Merlins	114-115
03/10/18	Crailsheim Merlins v Giessen	90-92
18/03/16	Giessen v Crailsheim Merlins	83-79
31/10/15	Crailsheim Merlins v Giessen	56-100
16/02/14	Crailsheim Merlins v Giessen	100-90 OT

Giessenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/05/23	H	Vechta	87-112
24/05/23	A	Vechta	66-88
21/05/23	H	Vechta	79-76
19/05/23	A	Vechta	82-99
10/05/23	H	Dresden	89-76
07/05/23	A	Dresden	89-72
05/05/23	H	Dresden	96-94
29/04/23	H	Vechta	86-77
22/04/23	A	Kirchheim	82-97
15/04/23	H	Bremerhaven	89-88

Crailsheim Merlinslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/05/23	A	Syntainics MBC	69-79
05/05/23	H	Frankfurt	84-83
29/04/23	H	Bamberg	101-92
25/04/23	A	Hamburg	66-77
23/04/23	H	Bayern	69-78
15/04/23	H	Wurzburg	85-86
08/04/23	A	Ludwigsburg	77-82
05/04/23	H	Bayreuth	78-73
01/04/23	H	Basketball Braunschweig	93-88
26/03/23	A	Heidelberg	82-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Giessen

German Cup 2023-24

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Crailsheim Merlins

German Cup 2023-24

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Heidelberg	1	1	0	100%	89.0	82.0	+7.0
2	Bayreuth	1	0	1	0%	82.0	89.0	-7.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Giessen	26	16	20	17	79
Crailsheim Merlins	17	18	14	24	73

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Giessen vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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