Dubai hosts Anadolu Efes on 17 November 2026 in the EuroLeague, with the model favouring Dubai at 69% versus 31% for the visitors and projecting a 88-82 win; the spread of -7.5 gives Dubai a 44% chance to cover, while the over on 173.5 points has a 41% probability and a 5% chance of overtime. Dubai has gone 7-3 this season, scoring 88.0 points per game and allowing 84.1, and sits 5th in the standings; at home they are 3-2, averaging 84.0 points and conceding 84.6, and they have won four of their last five games, including victories over Mega Basket 98-87, Virtus Bologna 93-75, and Zadar 89-75. Anadolu Efes is 4-6 overall, 84.2 points scored and 87.1 allowed, positioned 13th; on the road they are 1-4, 78.6 points and 88.6 allowed, and they have won two of their last five, with a recent 87-77 win over Petkim Spor and losses to Tofas 87-93 and Paris 90-95. The teams have split their two previous meetings, the most recent being an 85-69 win for Anadolu Efes on 10 April 2026. Dubai's recent form and the projected score suggest a competitive contest, with the visitors needing to overcome a 7-point deficit to stay in the hunt.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Dubai win
69.4%fair 1.44
Best odds1.34
Implied72.5%
Edge-3.0pp
Anadolu Efes win
30.6%fair 3.27
Best odds3.60
Implied27.5%
Edge+3.0pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:34 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Dubai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Total points distribution
Pythia expects about 170 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 165-169 (12%). The market's main line is 173.5.
Over/Under 168.5
Over 168.5
53.6%
@ 1.53-9.4pp
Under 168.5
46.4%
@ 2.65+9.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.53
Bet365
1.43
Marathon Be
1.42
Under
Bet365
2.65
1xBet
2.40
Over/Under 173.5 · main line
Over 173.5
41.5%
@ 1.85-12.4pp
Under 173.5
58.5%
@ 2.06+12.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.85
BetVictor
1.78
1xBet
1.75
Bet365
1.74
WilliamHill
1.73
Under
1xBet
2.06
Bet365
2.05
Marathon Be
2.03
WilliamHill
2.00
BetVictor
1.87
Over/Under 178.5
Over 178.5
30.2%
@ 2.20-13.5pp
Under 178.5
69.8%
@ 1.64+13.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
WilliamHill
2.20
Bet365
2.12
1xBet
2.10
Marathon Be
2.10
Under
1xBet
1.64
Marathon Be
1.64
Bet365
1.64
WilliamHill
1.62
📊 3. Team Totals
Dubai total 86.5
Over 86.5
55.8%
@ 1.41-9.9pp
Under 86.5
44.2%
@ 2.70+9.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.41
Under
Bet365
2.70
Dubai total 90.5 · main line
Over 90.5
40.2%
@ 1.85-11.3pp
Under 90.5
59.8%
@ 2.02+11.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.78
Marathon Be
1.74
Under
1xBet
2.02
Marathon Be
1.98
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Dubai total 94.5
Over 94.5
26.1%
@ 2.30-14.2pp
Under 94.5
73.9%
@ 1.55+14.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.30
Under
Bet365
1.55
Anadolu Efes total 79.5
Over 79.5
60.4%
@ 1.41-5.3pp
Under 79.5
39.6%
@ 2.70+5.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.41
Under
Bet365
2.70
Anadolu Efes total 83.5 · main line
Over 83.5
44.6%
@ 1.86-6.1pp
Under 83.5
55.4%
@ 1.96+6.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Marathon Be
1.80
Under
1xBet
1.96
Marathon Be
1.92
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.80
Anadolu Efes total 87.5
Over 87.5
30.0%
@ 2.40-8.8pp
Under 87.5
70.0%
@ 1.52+8.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.40
Under
Bet365
1.52
⚖️ 4. Spread
Winning margin distribution
Margin from Dubai's side (positive = Dubai win). Pythia's expected margin is +5.6; Dubai win by 1+ in 60% of simulations.
Spread Dubai -10.5
DUB -10.5
33.3%
@ 2.35-6.7pp
EFS +10.5
66.7%
@ 1.55+6.7pp
Best 5 market prices
DUB
Bet365
2.35
1xBet
2.31
Marathon Be
2.30
EFS
Bet365
1.55
1xBet
1.54
Marathon Be
1.53
Spread Dubai -7.5 · main line
DUB -7.5
43.9%
@ 1.95-5.9pp
EFS +7.5
56.1%
@ 1.91+5.9pp
Best 5 market prices
DUB
1xBet
1.95
Marathon Be
1.92
Betfair
1.90
Bet365
1.86
Betano
1.83
EFS
1xBet
1.91
Betfair
1.90
Marathon Be
1.88
Bet365
1.86
Betano
1.85
Spread Dubai -4.5
DUB -4.5
55.4%
@ 1.57-3.5pp
EFS +4.5
44.6%
@ 2.35+3.5pp
Best 5 market prices
DUB
1xBet
1.57
Marathon Be
1.56
Bet365
1.55
EFS
Bet365
2.35
1xBet
2.25
Marathon Be
2.24
⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves
Quarter by quarter
DubaiAnadolu Efes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
This opponent (Anadolu Efes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Anadolu EfesLast 10 – 2nd half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A16/10
Euroleague
Esenler Erokspor
#10
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A19/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#13
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H22/10
Euroleague
Korfez Basket
#13
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A28/10
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#1
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H30/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#5
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A02/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Paris
#14
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H05/11
Euroleague
Tofas
#7
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Virtus Bologna
#16
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H13/11
Euroleague
84.3Avg total
42.3Scored
42.0Allowed
2nd half
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the half
Over 85
Last 30 (30)
40.2
42.5
82.8
-2.3
40%
37%
Last 30 at home (16)
43.8
43.7
87.5
+0.1
50%
56%
Last 30 away (14)
36.1
41.2
77.4
-5.1
29%
14%
Last 10 (10)
42.3
42.0
84.3
+0.3
50%
50%
Last 5 (5)
46.0
42.4
88.4
+3.6
80%
60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)
37.7
44.1
81.9
-6.4
29%
29%
vs Similar ◀ (12)
39.0
43.2
82.2
-4.2
42%
33%
vs Weaker (11)
43.2
40.7
83.9
+2.5
45%
45%
This opponent (Dubai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half Spread Dubai -4 · main line
DUB -4
43.9%
@ 1.88-5.9pp
EFS +4
56.1%
@ 1.86+5.9pp
2nd half Over/Under 85 · main line
Over
47.4%
@ 1.86-2.9pp
Under
52.6%
@ 1.88+2.9pp
Dubai 2nd half total 44.5 · main line
Over
44.2%
@ 1.85-6.3pp
Under
55.8%
@ 1.89+6.3pp
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)
DUB
58.3%
@ 1.57-0.0pp
Draw
3.9%
@ 18.00-1.2pp
EFS
37.8%
@ 2.50+1.2pp
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dubaitheir opponents' shots (defence), last 10 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Dubai: 83.2 points a game allowed
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
39.4
21.9
55.6%
55.2%
43.8
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
25.5
8.6
33.7%
35.7%
25.8
🏀Free throws
17.8
13.6
76.4%
77.1%
13.6
Their opponents take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of those shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
Anadolu Efestheir opponents' shots (defence), last 10 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Anadolu Efes: 83.1 points a game allowed
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
39.1
19.8
50.6%
55.2%
39.6
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
28.2
10.5
37.2%
35.7%
31.5
🏀Free throws
16.0
12.0
75.0%
77.1%
12.0
Their opponents take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of those shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dubaitheir opponents' shots (defence), last 30 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Dubai: 77.6 points a game allowed
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
36.3
19.8
54.5%
55.2%
39.6
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
25.8
8.7
33.6%
35.7%
26.0
🏀Free throws
15.6
12.0
76.9%
77.1%
12.0
Their opponents take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of those shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
Anadolu Efestheir opponents' shots (defence), last 30 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Anadolu Efes: 77.3 points a game allowed
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.7 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
33.9
17.3
51.1%
55.2%
34.7
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
27.3
10.2
37.4%
35.7%
30.6
🏀Free throws
15.9
12.0
75.8%
77.1%
12.0
Their opponents take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of those shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
💪 9. Team Strengths
Side by side
Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dubai
WLWWWWLWWW
Anadolu Efes
WLLWWLWWLW
#9
League position
#12
+9.9
Net rating
-0.8
110.0
Offensive rating
96.6
100.2
Defensive rating
97.5
58.9%
Effective FG%
54.9%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
11.0%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.8%
3-point %
34.1%
59.2%
Assist %
70.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%
Profile
■ Dubai■ Anadolu Efes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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PythiaBasketballBETA
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