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Duke vs Hofstra Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 13 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 89-68
44-39 45-29
Position#32
Record6-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game65.9
Duke 🏆
USA
vs
Position#122
Record6-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game68.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hofstra winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#62
L
52-65
52
65
-13
A18/03
NCAA
Dartmouth
#352
W
92-54
92
54
+38
H07/11
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
73-78
73
78
-5
H11/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
74-65
74
65
+9
A15/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#270
W
90-60
90
60
+30
H17/11
NCAA
La Salle
#222
W
95-66
95
66
+29
H22/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H24/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A30/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A02/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#116
W
80-56
80
56
+24
H09/12
NCAA
1H
2H
21-27
31-38
42-21
50-33
33-41
40-37
31-20
43-45
44-29
46-31
39-29
56-37
31-35
49-27
32-33
43-47
31-35
37-37
45-27
35-29
143.7Avg total
77.9Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.865.9146.7+14.967%
Season at home (6)85.062.7147.7+22.383%
Season away (3)72.372.3144.7+0.033%
Last 10 (10)77.965.8143.7+12.160%
Last 5 (5)79.667.2146.8+12.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)63.058.0121.0+5.050%
vs Similar (11)71.266.4137.5+4.864%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)77.464.8142.2+12.682%
This opponent (Hofstra) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HofstraUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cincinnati
#6
L
65-79
65
79
-14
H18/03
NIT
St. Joseph's (Brooklyn)
#621
W
101-48
101
48
+53
H06/11
NCAA
Princeton
#11
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H11/11
NCAA
George Washington
#238
L
60-71
60
71
-11
A15/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
102-68
102
68
+34
A21/11
NCAA
Wright State
#160
W
85-76
85
76
+9
A22/11
NCAA
High Point
#29
W
97-92 OT
97
92
+5
H23/11
NCAA
South Florida
#20
W
82-63
82
63
+19
H01/12
NCAA
Iona
#218
W
62-57
62
57
+5
A07/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A09/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
37-40
0-0
28-39
0-0
44-19
0-0
57-29
0-0
29-30
0-0
38-44
0-0
29-35
0-0
31-36
0-0
59-26
0-0
43-42
0-0
38-48
0-0
47-28
0-0
33-27
0-0
55-61
0-0
44-23
0-0
38-40
0-0
28-26
0-0
34-31
0-0
31-29
0-0
37-42
148.8Avg total
78.9Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.468.9149.3+11.667%
Season at home (4)86.869.2156.0+17.575%
Season away (5)75.468.6144.0+6.860%
Last 10 (10)78.969.9148.8+9.060%
Last 5 (5)78.871.8150.6+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)76.381.7158.0-5.333%
vs Similar (3)84.073.3157.3+10.7100%
vs Weaker (23)76.060.2136.1+15.878%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +5.2+5.21st half: +6.9+6.92nd half2nd half: +6.9+6.92nd half: +1.6+1.6
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +5.2+5.21st half: +6.9+6.92nd half2nd half: +6.9+6.92nd half: +1.6+1.6
DukeHofstra
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#62
L
21-27
21
27
-6
A18/03
NCAA
Dartmouth
#352
W
42-21
42
21
+21
H07/11
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H11/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
31-20
31
20
+11
A15/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#270
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H17/11
NCAA
La Salle
#222
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H22/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H24/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A30/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A02/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#116
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H09/12
NCAA
64.6Avg total
34.9Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.830.866.6+4.970%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.431.369.8+7.175%-
Last 30 away (14)32.730.363.0+2.464%-
Last 10 (10)34.929.764.6+5.250%-
Last 5 (5)35.631.867.4+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.525.055.5+5.550%-
vs Similar (11)34.432.566.8+1.973%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)37.330.567.8+6.871%-
This opponent (Hofstra) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HofstraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cincinnati
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H18/03
NIT
St. Joseph's (Brooklyn)
#621
W
44-19
44
19
+25
H06/11
NCAA
Princeton
#11
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H11/11
NCAA
George Washington
#238
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A15/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
59-26
59
26
+33
A21/11
NCAA
Wright State
#160
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A22/11
NCAA
High Point
#29
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H23/11
NCAA
South Florida
#20
W
44-23
44
23
+21
H01/12
NCAA
Iona
#218
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A07/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A09/12
NCAA
67.5Avg total
37.2Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.829.566.3+7.363%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.127.465.4+10.775%-
Last 30 away (14)35.331.967.2+3.450%-
Last 10 (10)37.230.367.5+6.960%-
Last 5 (5)34.830.665.4+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)33.032.365.3+0.733%-
vs Similar (3)42.039.081.0+3.033%-
vs Weaker (23)36.727.464.1+9.274%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Duke wins
0
Hofstra wins
No previous meetings.
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23HCharlotte80-56
02/12/23AGeorgia Tech68-72
30/11/23AArkansas75-80
24/11/23HSouthern Indiana80-62
22/11/23HLa Salle95-66
17/11/23HBucknell90-60
15/11/23AMichigan State74-65
11/11/23HArizona73-78
07/11/23HDartmouth92-54
18/03/23ATennessee52-65
Hofstralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23ASt. Louis Billikens68-71
07/12/23AIona62-57
01/12/23HSouth Florida82-63
23/11/23HHigh Point97-92 OT
22/11/23AWright State85-76
21/11/23ABuffalo102-68
15/11/23AGeorge Washington60-71
11/11/23HPrinceton67-74
06/11/23HSt. Joseph's (Brooklyn)101-48
18/03/23HCincinnati65-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %67%83%33%
Points / game80.885.072.3
Allowed / game65.962.772.3
Point differential+14.9+22.3+0.0
Avg total146.7147.7144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%83%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hofstra
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%75%60%
Points / game80.486.875.4
Allowed / game68.969.268.6
Point differential+11.6+17.5+6.8
Avg total149.3156.0144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %11%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Clemson990100%78.768.2+10.4
2 Virginia98189%68.053.2+14.8
3 North Carolina97278%85.173.7+11.4
4 NC State86275%80.270.0+10.2
5 Boston College118373%78.971.0+7.9
6 Pittsburgh107370%82.566.3+16.2
7 Miami (FL)107370%80.471.8+8.6
8 Virginia Tech107370%74.166.7+7.4
9 Syracuse107370%77.270.8+6.4
10 Duke96367%80.865.9+14.9
11 Wake Forest96367%79.069.4+9.6
12 Georgia Tech85362%71.070.2+0.8
13 SMU Mustangs106460%74.463.4+11.0
14 Stanford84450%80.276.0+4.2
15 Florida State84450%78.075.4+2.6
16 Louisville94544%74.674.7-0.1
17 Notre Dame94544%64.267.3-3.1
18 California93633%76.375.6+0.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NC Wilmington97278%86.670.1+16.4
2 Hofstra96367%80.468.9+11.6
3 Charleston95456%74.075.1-1.1
4 Elon105550%81.878.0+3.8
5 Drexel105550%64.362.2+2.1
6 Towson105550%62.765.0-2.3
7 William & Mary115645%79.374.0+5.3
8 Monmouth115645%69.475.8-6.5
9 Hampton94544%84.474.2+10.2
10 Stony Brook94544%71.470.4+1.0
11 Northeastern104640%74.275.7-1.5
12 Campbell93633%60.763.3-2.7
13 N. Carolina A&T8080%67.589.9-22.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke444589
Hofstra392968
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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