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Michigan State vs Duke Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 65-74
20-31 45-43
Position#154
Record1-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game65.0
Michigan State
USA
vs
Duke 🏆
USA
Position#32
Record1-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game66.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Michigan State v Duke
06 Dec 2025
MICH60
DUKE66
14 Nov 2023
MICH65
DUKE74
03 Dec 2019
MICH75
DUKE87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#76
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H22/02
NCAA
Iowa
#134
L
106-112 OT
106
112
-6
A25/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
W
80-67
80
67
+13
A01/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H04/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H10/03
NCAA
USC
#73
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H17/03
NCAA
Marquette
#15
W
69-60
69
60
+9
A19/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
93-98 OT
93
98
-5
A23/03
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
76-79 OT
76
79
-3
H07/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
74-51
74
51
+23
H10/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-29
45-36
42-42
59-59
26-38
54-29
43-34
41-44
24-33
34-35
34-34
38-28
33-28
36-32
38-43
44-39
33-37
35-31
37-14
37-37
153.2Avg total
79.2Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)75.065.0140.0+10.050%
Season at home (2)75.065.0140.0+10.050%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.274.0153.2+5.260%
Last 5 (5)76.870.0146.8+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)65.767.6133.3-1.929%
vs Similar (18)73.169.4142.5+3.667%
vs Weaker (5)69.459.6129.0+9.880%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#138
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H26/02
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H01/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
62-57
62
57
+5
A04/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
W
96-69
96
69
+27
H09/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
85-78
85
78
+7
A11/03
NCAA
Virginia
#36
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A12/03
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
W
74-51
74
51
+23
H16/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
L
52-65
52
65
-13
A18/03
NCAA
Dartmouth
#352
W
92-54
92
54
+38
H07/11
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
73-78
73
78
-5
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-32
38-33
33-29
38-38
33-31
29-26
48-32
48-37
41-36
44-42
24-17
35-32
40-23
34-28
21-27
31-38
42-21
50-33
33-41
40-37
137.8Avg total
74.5Scored
63.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.566.0148.5+16.550%
Season at home (2)82.566.0148.5+16.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.563.3137.8+11.280%
Last 5 (5)70.059.4129.4+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)63.058.0121.0+5.050%
vs Similar (13)70.567.4137.9+3.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)76.564.9141.5+11.687%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +6.9+6.92nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: +4.3+4.3
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +6.9+6.92nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: +4.3+4.3
Michigan StateDuke
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#76
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H22/02
NCAA
Iowa
#134
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A25/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A01/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H04/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H10/03
NCAA
USC
#73
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H17/03
NCAA
Marquette
#15
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A19/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A23/03
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H07/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
37-14
37
14
+23
H10/11
NCAA
67.7Avg total
34.5Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.630.462.9+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.428.061.4+5.465%-
Last 30 away (13)31.533.565.0-1.946%-
Last 10 (10)34.533.267.7+1.340%-
Last 5 (5)35.031.266.2+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)30.130.660.7-0.457%-
vs Similar (18)33.931.265.2+2.756%-
vs Weaker (5)31.027.058.0+4.060%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#138
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H26/02
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H01/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A04/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H09/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A11/03
NCAA
Virginia
#36
W
24-17
24
17
+7
A12/03
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
W
40-23
40
23
+17
H16/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
L
21-27
21
27
-6
A18/03
NCAA
Dartmouth
#352
W
42-21
42
21
+21
H07/11
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H11/11
NCAA
64.7Avg total
35.8Scored
28.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.531.066.4+4.573%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.130.068.1+8.182%-
Last 30 away (13)32.032.264.2-0.262%-
Last 10 (10)35.828.964.7+6.980%-
Last 5 (5)32.025.857.8+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.525.055.5+5.550%-
vs Similar (13)33.633.266.8+0.469%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)37.729.867.5+7.980%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Michigan State wins
2
Duke wins
DateGameScore
20/03/22Duke v Michigan State85-76
02/12/20Duke v Michigan State69-75
04/12/19Michigan State v Duke75-87
Michigan Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/23HSouthern Indiana74-51
07/11/23HJames Madison76-79 OT
23/03/23AKansas State93-98 OT
19/03/23AMarquette69-60
17/03/23HUSC72-62
10/03/23HOhio State58-68
04/03/23HOhio State84-78
01/03/23ANebraska80-67
25/02/23AIowa106-112 OT
22/02/23HIndiana80-65
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23HArizona73-78
07/11/23HDartmouth92-54
18/03/23ATennessee52-65
16/03/23HOral Roberts74-51
12/03/23AVirginia59-49
11/03/23AMiami (FL)85-78
09/03/23HPittsburgh96-69
04/03/23ANorth Carolina62-57
01/03/23HNC State71-67
26/02/23HVirginia Tech81-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game75.075.0-
Allowed / game65.065.0-
Point differential+10.0+10.0-
Avg total140.0140.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %50%50%-
Duke
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeWL50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game82.582.5-
Allowed / game66.066.0-
Point differential+16.5+16.5-
Avg total148.5148.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Iowa220100%104.067.5+36.5
2 Purdue330100%89.357.7+31.7
3 UCLA220100%71.547.0+24.5
4 Nebraska330100%76.352.0+24.3
5 Michigan330100%93.369.7+23.7
6 Minnesota220100%91.068.0+23.0
7 Penn State220100%76.555.0+21.5
8 Illinois220100%72.052.5+19.5
9 USC220100%83.564.0+19.5
10 Oregon220100%78.566.0+12.5
11 Northwestern220100%71.563.5+8.0
12 Indiana220100%70.563.5+7.0
13 Washington32167%80.769.0+11.7
14 Rutgers32167%65.356.7+8.7
15 Michigan State21150%75.065.0+10.0
16 Ohio State21150%72.573.0-0.5
17 Maryland31233%64.061.0+3.0
18 Wisconsin31233%78.076.0+2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pittsburgh330100%91.762.0+29.7
2 Florida State220100%94.067.0+27.0
3 SMU Mustangs330100%83.361.0+22.3
4 North Carolina220100%88.069.0+19.0
5 NC State220100%78.061.5+16.5
6 Virginia220100%76.560.0+16.5
7 Stanford220100%89.576.0+13.5
8 Georgia Tech220100%86.073.5+12.5
9 Boston College220100%82.070.5+11.5
10 Syracuse220100%86.074.5+11.5
11 Clemson330100%74.365.7+8.7
12 Miami (FL)43175%84.871.0+13.8
13 California32167%77.772.0+5.7
14 Virginia Tech21150%88.567.0+21.5
15 Duke21150%82.566.0+16.5
16 Wake Forest21150%89.079.0+10.0
17 Notre Dame21150%65.567.0-1.5
18 Louisville21150%82.587.0-4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State204565
Duke314374
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